scholarly journals PELATIHAN INDENTIFIKASI INDEKS SAHAM USA UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI FLUKTUASI IHSG: LINCOM ANALYSIS PADA NASABAH TYPE SWINGER RELIANCE SURAKARTA

WASANA NYATA ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-37
Author(s):  
Tri Widianto ◽  
Yenni Khristiana ◽  
Nugroho Wisnu Murti
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Technical Analysis ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Daily Basis ◽  
Capital Gains ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Fundamental Analysis ◽  
Short Period ◽  
Market Practices

ABSTRACT            Capital market practices in the type of stock instruments undergo a shift in the way of analysis. This is not in line with the theory of stock fundamental analysis which explains that fundamental factors become the main variable in determining stock investment decisions for the long term. Fundamental analysis of stocks takes into account various factors including company performance, macroeconomic analysis and the industrial sector. The fundamental variable of stock analysis is used as a consideration of the investment portfolio of the stock for the long term. Users of these variables are usually the owners of capital with the type of investor. Investor type is the owner of capital with the main purpose of buying shares by expecting stock valuations in the long run and dividends, not short-term capital gains. The need for the development of applied science of technical analysis and fundamental analysis of stock investors who have a form of trading activities on a daily basis generally only conduct transactions on the capital market using speculation from each investor. This of course in terms of education that novice stock investors do must have the same time in obtaining maximum income in the trading stock market            This service is carried out on customers of PT Reliance Surakarta. There were 13 training participants, namely customers who became stock investors but did not trade every day for a short period of time. The service was held for 1 day. Expected outputs from the event are expected that after attending the training the participants are expected to be able to carry out fundamental and technical analysis of JCI fluctuations on a daily basisKeywords: Stock index, JCI Fluctuation Prediction, Swinger Type

scholarly journals Dynamic of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Relationship, Macroeconomic Stability and Return of Shares Index in Four Asen Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-55
Author(s):  
Fisit Suharti ◽  
M. Zidny Nafi' Hasbi
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Asean Countries

Southeast Asian countries are looking forward to capital market integration. The presence of this momentum requires stable economic conditions in each country and an attractive capital market. This momentum is also an opportunity for the Islamic capital market to be further developed in this region. This study aims to examine the effects of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and macroeconomic variables, namely economic growth, inflation, reference interest rates and exchange rates on the return of the Islamic stock index in four ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore. The research period since four quarter of 2006 until the first quarter of 2020. The method used in empirical evidence in this study is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds Testing Approach (ARDL). This study found a long-term co-integration relationship in all research object countries. In terms of long-term relationships and short-term dynamics, this study finds variations in yield and direction coefficients in 4 ASEAN countries. The speed of readjustment of balance in case of shocks, respectively, is 44.7%, 65.4%, 43.5% and 50.0% per month.

scholarly journals Medias Móviles, como alternativas de inversión en un índice accionario.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerardo Ablanedo Rosas ◽  
Lágrima De María Azcárraga Montiel ◽  
Edmundo Mejía Sánchez
Keyword(s):  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Technical Analysis ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Back Testing ◽  
A Value ◽  
Stock Investment ◽  
Convergence And Divergence

  RESUMEN En inversión accionaria, identificar la tendencia del precio es importante para tomar decisiones de compra o venta de títulos o valores bursátiles. Dentro del análisis técnico, existen métodos que intentan predecir el comportamiento de un valor en función a datos históricos. En este trabajo se analizan dos estrategias de análisis técnico: la media móvil exponencial y la media móvil de convergencia y divergencia. Se generan datos históricos y se observa su comportamiento en el tiempo. Las estrategias se aplican a precios históricos del índice accionario del país Singapur que, por su movimiento lateral, es difícil de predecir y las medias móviles serían la herramienta que apoyaría la decisión del inversor. Además, y para fundamentar las conclusiones de éste trabajo, los resultados que se obtienen se comparan con la estrategia “buy and hold” que corresponde a comprar y mantener durante largo plazo y se exponen los efectos. Este trabajo es una investigación cuantitativa basada en el método empírico-analítico, que muestra las consecuencias de aplicar la media móvil exponencial y la media móvil de convergencia y divergencia a gráficos diarios del índice accionario mencionado. Se pretende identificar la herramienta de mayor funcionalidad que reconozca el mayor número de aciertos con posiciones largas y cortas, lo que permitiría incrementar los rendimientos de inversiones especulativas y con ello orientar al inversionista sobre la mejor estrategia. Los resultados basados en pruebas de back testing demuestran que, en ocasiones, el análisis técnico y el uso de medias móviles que son herramientas sofisticadas de trading, no generan altos rendimientos y que la estrategia más sencilla basada en comprar y esperar puede ser más rentable en el largo plazo.ABSTRACT In stock investment, identifying the price trend is important to make decisions to buy or sell securities or securities. Within the technical analysis, there are methods that try to predict the behavior of a value based on historical data. In this paper, two technical analysis strategies are analyzed: the exponential moving average and the moving convergence and divergence average. Historical data are generated and its behavior over time is observed. The strategies are applied to historical prices of the stock index of the country Singapore, which, due to its lateral movement, is difficult to predict and the moving averages would be the tool that would support the decision of the investor. In addition, and to base the conclusions of this work, the results obtained are compared with the "buy and hold" strategy that corresponds to buying and maintaining for a long term and the effects are exposed. This work is a quantitative research based on the empirical-analytical method, which shows the consequences of applying the exponential moving average and the moving average of convergence and divergence to daily charts of the aforementioned stock index. The aim is to identify the tool with the most functionality that recognizes the greatest number of successes with long and short positions, which would allow to increase the yields of speculative investments and thereby guide the investor on the best strategy. The results based on back testing prove that, at times, technical analysis and the use of mobile averages that are sophisticated trading tools do not generate high returns and that the simpler strategy based on buying and waiting can be more profitable in the long-term. Keywords: Technical analysis; Exponential moving average; Moving average of convergence and divergence; Trend. 

scholarly journals INFLUENCE KNOWLEDGE LEVEL FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS AND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ON CONTINUITY OF INVESTING IN SHARIA STOCKS IN SHARIA INVESTMENT GALLERY INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE STATE INSTITUTE OF ISLAMIC RELIGION KERINCI

TRANSFORMATIF ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 121-142
Author(s):  
Abi Suar Alizar Suar ◽  
Meirison Meirison Meirison
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Research Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Technical Analysis ◽  
Quantitative Approach ◽  
Fundamental Analysis ◽  
Knowledge Level ◽  
State Institute ◽  
Islamic Religion ◽  
Level Of Knowledge

Once the prospection of sharia trading in the capital market must be supported with a level of knowledge in analyzing the stocks that will be traded. Therefore there is an in-depth knowledge of the analysis of sharia stocks before making transactions on the sharia capital market and needed a deepening of understanding on fundamental and technical analysis to achieve optimal profit in the purchase or sale of Sharia stocks. This research aims to determine the influence of the knowledge level of fundamental analysis in the Continuity of investing in sharia stocks. Influence the level of technical analysis in the continuation of Continuity to invest in sharia stocks and the effect of the knowledge level of fundamental and technical analysis simultaneously on the Continuity of investing in sharia stocks. The research method used in this research is to use a quantitative approach. The result of the study was on a partial (independent) fundamental analysis level (X1) test for the variable Continuity of investing (Y). The influence of Knowledge level technical analysis (X2) partially against the Continuity of investing (Y), both get the result of a  tcount  <  Ttable, OR a significant > 0.05. Zero hypotheses (H0) received, and an alternate hypothesis (HA) is rejected, which means variable X does Not affect the variable Y. Similar results are also obtained From simultaneous calculations (together). 

Performative Praktiken am Kapitalmarkt

2015 ◽  
Vol 59 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabuha Ilgaz ◽  
Hans-Martin Zademach
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Qualitative Data ◽  
Socially Responsible ◽  
Impact Investing ◽  
Responsible Investment ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Socially Responsible Investments ◽  
Market Practices ◽  
And Performance

Performative capital market practices. The case of socially responsible investments in Germany. Socially responsible investment (SRI), also referred to as sustainable, responsible or impact investing, is an investment discipline that does not only take conventional financial criteria into account (most notably return, risk and liquidity), but also puts emphasis on environmental, social, governance (ESG) considerations to generate long-term competitive financial returns and positive societal impact. Key instrument in this market are so-called sustainability ratings which seek to assess the economic, environmental and social values and performance of potential investment objects. Such ratings are produced by a worldwide growing, but still limited number of private rating agencies that offer a dazzling variety of - in some cases even contradictory - ratings, rankings, indices and awards that have an enormous potential to influence investment decisions of all kind of investors. Applying a cultural geographies of economies approach, the paper in-hand aims to shed new light on this particular group of financial agents and their particular practices. It presents original qualitative data from Germany that delivers insights on the different ways these agencies follow in their assessments, how they define, operationalize and perform the notion of sustainability, and how effective they are in actually contributing to a more sustainable world.

scholarly journals Long-Term Changes of Hydrological Variables in a Small Lowland Watershed in Central Poland

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 564 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Krajewski ◽  
Anna Sikorska-Senoner ◽  
Roberto Ranzi ◽  
Kazimierz Banasik
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
Daily Basis ◽  
Meteorological Variables ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Natural Habitats ◽  
Central Poland ◽  
Short Period ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Annual Discharge

Climate-induced changes in small watersheds are still not well researched because long-term datasets are usually missing for these watersheds. Such studies can, however, improve our understanding of the watershed response to climatic changes at such a small scale being transparent. In this study, we investigate trends in temperature, precipitation and river-flow characteristics in a small watershed, typical for Central Poland, with 53 years of observations (1963–2015) using the Mann-Kendall test. Particularly, we examine whether any trends in hydro-meteorological variables can be identified, and if any associated changes in water resources in this region can already be observed. We found that this short period already allows for detecting some changes in hydro-meteorological variables. These changes could be characterized by a significant increase in the mean annual air temperature on a daily basis, and a significant decrease in the mean annual discharge on a daily basis and in the minimum annual discharge on a daily basis. Yet, no significant trend could be detected for the total annual precipitation, the maximum summer rainfall, and the maximum annual discharge on a daily basis. These findings indicate that water resources are decreasing in this region, which affects natural habitats, agriculture and local communities.

The Mortality Rate of COVID-19 in Iraq Compare with Iran and Turkey, its Association with the Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) vaccine and the Iraqi Preparedness Plan Prior to Pandemics. (Preprint)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rawand Essa
Keyword(s):  
Middle East ◽  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Daily Basis ◽  
Bcg Vaccine ◽  
Critical Position ◽  
Preparedness Plan ◽  
Contagious Diseases ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Government

BACKGROUND In the span of COVID-19, the mortality rate has been different from one country to another. As a country in the Middle East Iraq has a critical position, lies between Iran and Turkey while both countries coronavirus cases increase on daily basis, while Iranian mortality rate record is high similar to Turkey. After Wuhan city of China, Lombard of Italy, Qum city in Iran has the highest number of COVID-19 as a first country in the Middle East. OBJECTIVE aim of this study is to show the effect of BCG vaccine during pandemic diseases, especially nowadays at the time of COVID-19. One of the crucial observations is the government preparedness and strategic planning prior pandemics, in which the BCG vaccine is an attenuated live vaccine for control of tuberculosis (TB). BCG vaccine has a non-specific immune effect that is used against pathogens like bacteria and viruses, through the promotion of pro-inflammatory cytokines' secretion. METHODS An epidemiological study has been performed, and it shows that some countries are more prone to contagious diseases like COVID-19, regardless of the main cultural, religious, societal similarities among the three mentioned countries. The information data has been collected from WHO reports and worldometer in 18 February 2020 to 10 May 2020. Regarding the efficacy of the BCG vaccine, relevant data has been retrieved from Google scholar, Pub-med and BCG world-atlas. RESULTS COVID-19 mortality rates are at peak in Iran and Turkey while the mortality rate is very low in Iraq, while the patients that died in Iraq all had history of other long-term diseases as heart disease, blood pressure, cancer etc. CONCLUSIONS From the experiences of the three countries in the life span of COVID-19, the historical plan of BCG vaccine in Iraq in cooperation with WHO since the last decades it shows that COVID-19 mortality rate is lower than other countries due to the early vaccination of the Iraqis, otherwise Iraq is more fragile than Iran and Turkey due to the poor conditions of Iraq in terms of economics, politics, war and other aspects.

Mindtree: Tryst with the Corporate Control Market

2021 ◽  
pp. 227797792199190
Author(s):  
P. Bala Bhaskaran
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Corporate Control ◽  
Theory And Practice ◽  
Effective Control ◽  
Small Fish ◽  
Market Theory ◽  
Strategic Fit ◽  
Sequence Of Events ◽  
The Capital Market

The case is structured around the takeover of Mindtree Ltd (ML) by Larsen & Toubro Ltd (L&T) in June 2019. ML was founded and nurtured by a group of software professionals. In two decades, it had blossomed into an enterprise with global presence, US$ 1 billion turnover and a unique organizational culture. In a strange sequence of events, more than 20% of ML’s shares landed in L&T’s lap. L&T grabbed this opportunity and ran a systematic campaign to acquire the company. In about 100 days, L&T achieved its objective and got into the driver’s seat. The case traces the evolution of ML from a start-up to a publicly held company with global standing. It examines the circumstances and events leading to L&T getting the initial stake in the company; it examines the acquisition campaign of L&T and the response of the top management of ML. Research Questions Was there a strategic fit between ML and L&T? Were the capital market processes just and fair to all the stakeholders involved in the acquisition? Was L&T fair, prudent and sensitive in the acquisition process? Was Siddhartha loyal and fair to the founders of ML? Link to Theory The theoretical concepts that would enable a better comprehension of the case are: Analysis of strategic fit in M&A situations Capital market: Theory and practice Strategy for corporate control of an enterprise Significance of culture and ecosystem in knowledge organizations Phenomenon Studied Leadership styles relevant at different stages of evolution of an enterprise are different. A leader, at a given point of time, is successful when he is able to match his aspirations with the leadership needs of the enterprise at that point of time. The case can be used to demonstrate this phenomenon. Case Context Context of the case is that of an emerging infotech enterprise, coming under corporate raid and the unfolding capital market processes. The case highlights the shortcomings of the co-founders, leading to their unseating as also the sensitivity of the incoming management in handling the transition. Findings The case demonstrates the ability of the capital market to be fair to all stakeholders ensuring reward for competence and punishment for sloppiness. The case emphasizes the need for co-founders to have an effective strategy for corporate control; only then they could hope to achieve the long-term objectives. The case also illustrates the significance of sensitivity in handling softer issues like people and ecosystem in ensuring long-term success. Discussions At the outset, the case may appear to be that of a big fish swallowing a small fish. But a closer scrutiny would reveal the multiple dimensions of the case. Consider the role of Siddhartha. He seeded the idea of the company; he was a financier to it; he remained an investor in the company longer than most of the founders; when he pulled out, the co-founders could not hold the company together. Neither Siddhartha nor the co-founders had the far-sightedness to consolidate their shareholdings for effective control of the company into the future. This would trigger discussions on the differing roles of technocrats, managers, leaders and founders. Another point worthy of discussion would be: How were the co-founders choosing their leaders? Was it by rotation among themselves, or did they engage a set of criteria to identify an incumbent capable of leading a global company?

scholarly journals Management of a Mycotic Aneurysm in a Patient with COVID-19: A Case Report

Medicina ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 57 (6) ◽  
pp. 620
Author(s):  
Muzammil H. Syed ◽  
Mark Wheatcroft ◽  
Danny Marcuzzi ◽  
Hooman Hennessey ◽  
Mohammad Qadura
Keyword(s):  
Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm ◽  
Aortic Aneurysm ◽  
Stent Graft ◽  
Mycotic Aneurysm ◽  
Neurological Deficits ◽  
Endovascular Stent ◽  
Endovascular Stents ◽  
Abdominal Aortic ◽  
Short Period

The aim of this paper is to share our experience in managing a patient with Klebsiella pneumoniae mycotic abdominal aortic aneurysm who was also infected with COVID-19. A 69-year-old male was transferred to our hospital for the management of an infra-renal mycotic abdominal aortic aneurysm. During his hospital course, the patient contracted severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). He was intubated due to respiratory distress. Over a short period, his mycotic aneurysm increased in size from 2.5 cm to 3.9 cm. An emergency repair of his expanding aneurysm was achieved using our previously described protocol of coating endovascular stents with rifampin. The patient was managed with a rifampin-coated endovascular stent graft without any major complications. Postoperatively, the patient did not demonstrate any neurological deficits nor any vascular compromise. He remained afebrile during his postoperative course and was extubated sometime thereafter. He was then transferred to the ward for additional monitoring prior to his discharge to a rehab hospital while being on long-term antibiotics. During his hospital stay, he was monitored with serial ultrasounds to ensure the absence of abscess formation, aortic aneurysm growth or graft endoleak. At 6 weeks after stent graft placement, he underwent a CT scan, which showed a patent stent graft, with a residual sac size of 2.5 cm without any evidence of abscess or endoleak. Over a follow-up period of 180 days, the patient remained asymptomatic while remaining on long-term antibiotics. Thus, in patients whose surgical risk is prohibitive, endovascular stent grafts can be used as a bridge to definitive surgical management.

scholarly journals Design of a Database of Case Studies and Technologies to Increase the Diffusion of Low-Temperature Waste Heat Recovery in the Industrial Sector

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 5223
Author(s):  
Miriam Benedetti ◽  
Daniele Dadi ◽  
Lorena Giordano ◽  
Vito Introna ◽  
Pasquale Eduardo Lapenna ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Low Temperature ◽  
Case Studies ◽  
Heat Recovery ◽  
Waste Heat Recovery ◽  
Waste Heat ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Implementation Rate ◽  
Depth Analysis ◽  
Technology Market

The recovery of waste heat is a fundamental means of achieving the ambitious medium- and long-term targets set by European and international directives. Despite the large availability of waste heat, especially at low temperatures (<250 °C), the implementation rate of heat recovery interventions is still low, mainly due to non-technical barriers. To overcome this limitation, this work aims to develop two distinct databases containing waste heat recovery case studies and technologies as a novel tool to enhance knowledge transfer in the industrial sector. Through an in-depth analysis of the scientific literature, the two databases’ structures were developed, defining fields and information to collect, and then a preliminary population was performed. Both databases were validated by interacting with companies which operate in the heat recovery technology market and which are possible users of the tools. Those proposed are the first example in the literature of databases completely focused on low-temperature waste heat recovery in the industrial sector and able to provide detailed information on heat exchange and the technologies used. The tools proposed are two key elements in supporting companies in all the phases of a heat recovery intervention: from identifying waste heat to choosing the best technology to be adopted.

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