scholarly journals The Effects of Inflation, Openness to Trade and Value Added in Production on Economic Growth in Transition Economies

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Özgür Ömer Ersin ◽  
Melike Bildirici
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Transition Economies ◽  
Transition Period ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Openness To Trade ◽  
Positive Impacts

The study aims to evaluate the economic growth process and the macroeconomic factors, namely, the inflation rates, the value added in the production taken as a proxy of productivity and openness to trade for the selected Eurasian transition economies. The paper focuses on the transition period and the economic performance achieved following the independence of the analyzed countries. By using a sample that consists of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, the relationship between economic growth with inflation, trade openness and value added obtained by the national industries are evaluated within a panel setting. The dataset is investigated with traditional and structural break unit root tests followed by panel regression analyses. Considering the findings in the literature which suggest either statistically insignificant or having positive or negative effects of inflation on growth depending on the countries analyzed, the empirical findings of the paper are in favor of negative effects of inflation on growth: though the size of the effect of inflation rates on growth in rather small, negative effect of inflation cannot be rejected. Further, the positive effects of value added in the production which is taken as a proxy to productivity shows significant positive impacts on growth. Similarly, openness to international trade is shown to have positive impacts for the transition countries analyzed. The results are in favor of the findings in literature suggesting that “it is not the inflation rates, rather than the variation in inflation” which could limit economic growth. The findings for openness and value added suggest policies to enhance productivity and international trade to accelerate the economic growth in the transition economies.

scholarly journals The Relationships between Military Expenditures and Unemployment in G-20 States

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmet Fatih Aydemir ◽  
Dilek Özdemir ◽  
Ömer Selçuk Emsen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Military Spending ◽  
Military Expenditure ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
The Public ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Military Expenditures ◽  
Liberal Approach ◽  
The Military

The effects of the military expenditure on the economic growth and consequently on the employment has been the primary topic of the discussing in the literature of economics. Considering that the military expenditures generally emerge as a sub-item of the public spending, it has been asserted by the liberal approach that the principle of the non-productiveness of the public sector would be even more applicable in the military expenditures. None the less, using the military spending as a tool to lead an economy that feature underemployment constitutes the positive aspect of the views to the military expenditure and this is also the case of the prediction of the Keynesian economy. In this study, the effects of the military expenditure on the unemployment, which is a reflection of the effects of the economic growth, are analyzed as the subject matter. The findings revealed that the military spending has positive effects on the unemployment in some G20 states while it also has negative effects in some and has neutral effects in others. In addition, it is further indicated that the positive effects are experienced in relatively advanced economies, the negative effects emerge in relatively less developed economies, and the countries with abundant natural resources experience neutral effects.

scholarly journals The Value-Added Effects of Exchange Rates on Global Trade

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 184
Author(s):  
Myoung Shik Choi ◽  
Hun Dae Lee
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Bilateral Trade ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Trade Flows ◽  
Intermediate Goods ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Policy Objective ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
The Us ◽  
Bilateral Trade Flows

This study is an investigation of view about the gross, bilateral, and value-added trades adjusting to exchange rate and income within global value chains. Various difference between aggregate and value-added trade flows is introduced. We adopt the traditional trade models and test them using time-series analysis on value-added exports and imports. We find that currency depreciation has negative effects on gross exports in the US and Korea due to intermediate goods imports, but positive effects on value-added exports in Japan and Korea. On the other hand, currency appreciation has negative effects on gross imports in the US, China, Japan and Korea due to intermediate goods exports, but positive effects on value-added imports in Japan. All income effects are positive as we expect. Also, we find the similar effects of exchange rate on bilateral trade flows. On the whole, depreciation has negative effects on gross exports but positive effects on value-added exports while appreciation has negative effects on gross imports but positive effects on value-added imports. With this study, the main contribution is further evidence on the value-added trade analysis. Practical implications reducing uncertainty could be an important policy objective to achieve higher growth.   Received: 23 October 2020 / Accepted: 16 December 2020 / Published: 17 January 2021

scholarly journals THE FACTORS INFLUENCING ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dian Citra Amelia
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Government ◽  
Positive Effect

This research is based on the fact that the state of economic growth in Indonesia tends to fluctuate, even more often decrease. This is because the government policy is not appropriate to improve the economic growth of Indonesia. This study aims to determine and analyze the factors of foreign direct investment, inflation, international trade, and government expenditure that affect economic growth in Indonesia. The problem in this research is due to the limited fund in economic development both structure and infrastructure so that economic growth tends to decrease. Therefore, appropriate strategies must be taken to overcome the limitations in promoting economic growth. From this problem, this research aims to see how big influence of foreign direct investment (FDI), inflation (INF), international trade (NX) and government expenditure (GE) variable to economic growth. The data used in this study is secondary data (periodical data) in the period of observation 1996-2014 obtained from the World Bank and Statistics of Indonesia. To identify the influence of the variables used in this study used the VAR (Vector Autoregression) method. The results of this study show that equation regression shows that FDI (-1) has a negative influence on economic growth and FDI (-2) has a positive effect on economic growth, INF (-1) and INF (-2) have positive effects on economic growth , Variable NX (-1) has a positive effect on economic growth but NX (-2) has a negative effect on economic growth, and GE variable (-1) has a positive effect on economic growth while GE (-2) has a negative effect on growth Economy.

scholarly journals PENGARUH ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED DAN MARKET VALUE ADDEDTERHADAP RETURN SAHAM PADA PERUSAHAAN MANUFAKTUR YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA PERIODE 2011-2013

2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 135
Author(s):  
Rizky Alika Ramadhani ◽  
Emma S.N. Sipayung
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Economic Value ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Economic Value Added ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Analyze Data

<span class="fontstyle0">The objective of study is determine the influence of EVA and MVA to stock returns in manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange from 2011 until 2013. Based sampling technique using a :purposive sampling” obtained sample of 91 companies and number of observations as many as 264. The number of observations in this<br />study using multiple regression analysis with the spss 20.0 to analyze data.<br />The results of the study shows that EVA variable has positive effects on stock returns. But other result shows the variable MVA has negative effects on stock returns.</span>

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Canada: An Evidence from Time-Series Tests

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 361-407 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tarlok Singh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Null Hypothesis ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Single Equation ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Trade And Investment ◽  
Consistent Support

This study examines the effects of international trade and investment on output and tests the null hypothesis of Granger non-causality among trade, investment and economic growth in Canada. The long-run model is estimated using several single-equation and system estimators to assess the robustness of results across methodologies. The single-equation, OLSEG, GMM, DOLS, NLLS and FMOLS, estimates of the model provide consistent support for the positive and significant long-run effects of exports and investment on output. The ML system estimates cross-validate the cointegrating relationship and reinforce the positive effects of exports and investment and the negative effects of imports on output. The over-parameterized level-VAR estimates suggest unidirectional Granger-causality from exports, imports and investment each to output. The estimates of the model with structural breaks support the long-run relationship, though the evidence is not unambiguous ubiquitously across all the tests. The evidence supporting the positive and significant long-run effects overwhelms the evidence providing weak or no support for the effects of trade on output. The results underline the need for the acceleration of exports (and investment) to offset the demand-reducing effects of imports and escalate the altitudes of output and economic growth.

scholarly journals An Analysis of Value-Added Agricultural Exports to Middle-Income Developing Countries: The Case of Wheat and Beef Products

1991 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 141-154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jung-Hee Lee ◽  
David Henneberry ◽  
David Pyles
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Income Growth ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Agricultural Exports ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Beef Products ◽  
Import Share

AbstractThis study determined probable future directions in U.S. value-added agricultural exports to middle-income developing countries (MIDCs) under the assumption of continued income growth. Import share equations for U.S. bulk, semi-processed and value-added wheat or beef products, as a percent of total U.S. wheat or beef product exports to each MIDC, were econometrically estimated using the ordinary least squares (OLS) technique. The empirical results indicate that in most MIDCs, increases in real per capita income have negative effects on the import share of processed wheat products while having positive effects on the import share of bulk wheat. However, import shares of U.S. processed beef products are likely to increase with income growth in most MIDCs.

Von der Tulpenkrise zum Finanzmarktkollaps. Das Allgemeine im Besonderen

2011 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Toni Pierenkemper
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
General Pattern ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Dynamic Processes ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Shed Light

AbstractContrary to the presumed perfect markets of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, the very concept of which seems logically flawed, numerous economic crises have been observed in the economic development of the last four hundred years. The following paper seeks to shed light on a specific type of crisis the speculative crisis and in particular its general pattern, from its starting point as an innovative business idea, to Boom and Crash, to exploring consequences, making use of examples from selected historical crises. This paper also seeks to demonstrate that speculations of this sort were also often associated with long term positive effects on economic growth. A complete prevention of dynamic processes of this sort, therefore, by means of comprehensive regulation, appears not only illusory, but also anti-progressive, although measures to limit the negative effects of crises as far as possible must, of course, be taken.

scholarly journals THE FACTORS INFLUENCING ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Dian Citra Amelia ◽  
Sri Fajar Ayu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Government ◽  
Positive Effect

This research is based on the fact that the state of economic growth in Indonesia tends to fluctuate, even more often decrease. This is because the government policy is not appropriate to improve the economic growth of Indonesia. This study aims to determine and analyze the factors of foreign direct investment, inflation, international trade, and government expenditure that affect economic growth in Indonesia. The problem in this research is due to the limited fund in economic development both structure and infrastructure so that economic growth tends to decrease. Therefore, appropriate strategies must be taken to overcome the limitations in promoting economic growth. From this problem, this research aims to see how big influence of foreign direct investment (FDI), inflation (INF), international trade (NX) and government expenditure (GE) variable to economic growth. The data used in this study is secondary data (periodical data) in the period of observation 1996-2014 obtained from the World Bank and Statistics of Indonesia. To identify the influence of the variables used in this study used the VAR (Vector Autoregression) method. The results of this study show that equation regression shows that FDI (-1) has a negative influence on economic growth and FDI (-2) has a positive effect on economic growth, INF (-1) and INF (-2) have positive effects on economic growth , Variable NX (-1) has a positive effect on economic growth but NX (-2) has a negative effect on economic growth, and GE variable (-1) has a positive effect on economic growth while GE (-2) has a negative effect on growth Economy.

scholarly journals PENGARUH REMITANSI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI LIMA NEGARA BERKEMBANG DI ASEAN (2005-2016)

2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-27
Author(s):  
Christopher Reynaldo Romlin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Control Variable ◽  
Household Consumption ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Fixed Capital ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Fixed Capital Formation

This study aims to identify the effect of remittances on economic growth. The objects used in this study are five ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Cambodia, the Philippines, Vietnam, and Thailand, for the period 2005 to 2016. There are other variables, namely gross fixed capital formation, household consumption expenditure, trade, and population growth which are used as control variable in this model. This study uses a quantitative approach and panel data methods. As a result, there are significant and negative effects on remittances: significant and positive effects on gross fixed capital formation, significant and positive effects on household consumption expenditures, significant and positive effects on trade, and significant and negative effects on population growth on economic growth in five countries. ASEAN.

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