Von der Tulpenkrise zum Finanzmarktkollaps. Das Allgemeine im Besonderen

2011 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Toni Pierenkemper
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
General Pattern ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Dynamic Processes ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Shed Light

AbstractContrary to the presumed perfect markets of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, the very concept of which seems logically flawed, numerous economic crises have been observed in the economic development of the last four hundred years. The following paper seeks to shed light on a specific type of crisis the speculative crisis and in particular its general pattern, from its starting point as an innovative business idea, to Boom and Crash, to exploring consequences, making use of examples from selected historical crises. This paper also seeks to demonstrate that speculations of this sort were also often associated with long term positive effects on economic growth. A complete prevention of dynamic processes of this sort, therefore, by means of comprehensive regulation, appears not only illusory, but also anti-progressive, although measures to limit the negative effects of crises as far as possible must, of course, be taken.

scholarly journals Analysis of Ziswaf, Production Index and Sharia Stock Index on Economic Growth

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 221-242
Author(s):  
Purbawati Setyaningsih ◽  
Roikhan Mochamad Aziz ◽  
Puji Hadiyati
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Production Index ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Term Model ◽  
Long Run

This study analyzes the influence ZISWAF, Gini ratio, the total export value, the index of industrial production, sharia stock index investment to GDP growth, in the short and long term. Qualitative data were taken from BPS, Baznas, ACT Global Waqf, the FSA from March 2006 until December 2017 using the methodology of The Error Correction Model (ECM). The results of this study indicate that the variable Gini Ratio, Ziswaf, Total exports, Production Index and Sharia Stock Index on GDP economic growth have significant and positive effects in the long term and the short term. Meaning that these variables have a relationship with GDP economic growth. If the variable decreases or slows down-then GDP economic growth also. While total exports have insignificant effects and negative effects on GDP economic growth. The R-square regression value of the long-term model produces a proportion of 96 percent, the short-term model produces a proportion of 97 percent. Both in the long-run and short-run models, the highest coefficient value is the value of the Gini ratio with 4.941522 and 0.348043. All positive coefficients, Gini ratio variables, ziswaf and production index have a significant effect on gdp, total exports and sharia stock indexes do not have a significant effect on gdp both in the long and short-term models. It implies in the future, fiscal economic policy makers to economic growth that opened a lot of employment, by encouraging resource based economic activities of Indonesia's largest export-oriented agriculture and mining. Good Corporate goverment should do so gini ratio of the areas surrounding the economy improved and people kesejahtaeraan increase.

scholarly journals Multi-Factor Crime in Malaysia, 1980 – 2013: Bounds Testing of Level Relationships and Granger Non-Causality Analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Dullah Mulok ◽  
Mori Kogid ◽  
Rozilee Asid ◽  
Jaratin Lily
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

This study examines the relationship between criminal activities and the multi-macroeconomic factors of economic growth, unemployment, poverty, population and inflation in Malaysia from 1980 to 2013. The ARDL bounds testing of the level relationship was used to establish the long-run relation, and the Toda-Yamamoto Augmented VAR approach was used to test the short-run impact based on partial Granger non-causality analysis. Empirical results suggest that economic growth, inflation, poverty and population are significant factors affecting criminal activities in Malaysia with economic growth and poverty recording positive effects, whereas negative effects were recorded for inflation and population in the long-term. Further investigation using Granger non-causality analysis revealed that only population does Granger caused the criminal activities in the short-run. The findings provide useful information for policymakers to strengthen the existing crime-related policies in order to improve safety and security while maintaining economic sustainability in Malaysia.

THE EFFECTS OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT ON THE HOST COUNTRY'S ECONOMIC GROWTH: THEORY AND EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE

2013 ◽  
Vol 58 (03) ◽  
pp. 1350017 ◽  
Author(s):  
ROSA FORTE ◽  
RUI MOURA
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Growth Theory ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Host Countries ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Shed Light

Foreign direct investment (FDI) influences host country's economic growth through several channels. Empirically, a variety of studies considers that FDI generate economic growth but others conclude that FDI is a source of negative effects. By reviewing existing theoretical and empirical literature, we intend to shed light on the main explanations for the mixed results. The main conclusion is that the effects of FDI on economic growth depend on the domestic conditions of the host country (e.g., human capital, economic and technological conditions, degree of openness of its economy). Thus, the host countries governments have a key role in creating the conditions that allow for the leverage of the positive effects or for the reduction of the negative effects of FDI on the host country's economic growth.

Take it to the (public) bank: The efficiency of public bank loans to private firms

2020 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anders Kärnä
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Firm Growth ◽  
Bank Loans ◽  
Government Interventions ◽  
The Public ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Economic Output ◽  
Unique Dataset

AbstractIncomplete capital markets and credit constraints for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are often considered obstacles to economic growth, thus motivating government interventions in capital markets. While such policies are common, it is less clear to what extent these interventions result in firm growth or to which firms interventions should be targeted. Using a unique dataset with information about state bank loans targeting credit-constrained SMEs in Sweden with and without complementary private bank loans, this paper contributes to the literature by studying how these loans affect the targeted firms for several outcome variables. The results suggest that the loans create a one-off increase in investments, with long-term, positive effects for sales and labor productivity but only for firms with 10 or fewer employees. Increased access to capital by firms can therefore produce increases in economic output but only in a specific type of firm. This insight is of key importance in designing policy if the aim is to increase economic growth.

Study on Dynamic Relationship between Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in Chongqing - Based on 1980-2011 Data

2013 ◽  
Vol 448-453 ◽  
pp. 4319-4324
Author(s):  
Sheng Wang ◽  
Chun Yan Dai ◽  
En Chuang Wang ◽  
Chun Yan Li
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Industrial Structure ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Improve Energy Efficiency ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship

Analyzed the dynamic interaction characteristics of Chongqing Economic growth and energy consumption between 1980-2011 based on vector auto regression model, impulse response function. The results showed that: 1 Between the Chongqing's economic growth and energy consumption exist the positive long-term stable equilibrium relationship, Chongqing's economic development depending on energy consumption is too high, to keep the economy in Chongqing's rapid economic development, energy relatively insufficient supply sustainable development must rely on the energy market, which will restrict the development of Chongqing's economy. 2At this stage, Chongqing continuing emphasis on optimizing the industrial structure to improve energy efficiency at the same time, the key is to establish and improve the energy consumption intensity and total energy demand "dual control" under the security system, weakening the energy bottleneck effect on economic growth.

DEMOCRACY, ECONOMIC COMPLEXITY AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: PROBLEMS OF INTERCONNECTION AND WAYS OF THEIR INCREASE IN UKRAINE

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Smahliuk ◽  
◽  
Tetiana Pokotylo ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Democratic Institutions ◽  
Economic Complexity ◽  
Multiplier Effect ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
National Production ◽  
Level Of Knowledge ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

The article explores the factors that allow the economies of the countries of the world to achieve sustainable economic growth at different stages of the country's economic development, depending on the level of GDP per capita. Among which are highlighted: basic factors, efficiency factors and innovative factors. For the Ukrainian economy, which is at the stage of focusing on efficiency, the issues of the place, significance and level of economic complexity of the Ukrainian economy and ensuring sustainable economic growth on this basis are considered. Economic diversification and complexity are defined as key drivers of long-term growth. The dynamics of the index of economic complexity in Ukraine is analyzed, modern trends are revealed. Directions and strategic approaches to the diversification of national production are proposed, which could have a significant multiplier effect, increase the complexity and level of knowledge in the economy. It also provides evidence on the relationship between socio-economic development, values of self-expression and democratic institutions. The conclusion is formulated: socio- economic development leads to the spread of the values of self-expression, and they, in turn, to the establishment and strengthening of democratic institutions.

The Role of Entrepreneurial Performance in Supporting Economic Development of Countries: An Empirical Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Valentina Diana Rusu ◽  
Angela Roman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Social Progress ◽  
Entrepreneurial Performance ◽  
Panel Data Estimation ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
National Competitiveness ◽  
Key Factor ◽  
Future Economic Development

Abstract Entrepreneurship is recognized as one of the factors stimulating economic growth and increasing economic competitiveness. In addition, the Europe 2020 Strategy has focused its attention on entrepreneurship as a key factor of economic growth, social progress, and employment. In this context, our study examines the role of entrepreneurial performance for sustaining the development of countries, focusing on a sample of European countries. We attempt to reveal if increasing entrepreneurial performance would have significant influence on improving the economic position of countries and their future economic development. Starting from the OECD-Eurostat Entrepreneurship Indicators Programme we use a set of entrepreneurial performance indicators as independent variables and examine to what extent they can influence competitiveness and economic growth, seen as dependent variables of the models. We focus on a period of 10 years (2008–2017) and we apply panel-data estimation techniques. Because the period considered includes the period of the last international financial crisis, we also include in our analysis a dummy variable. Our results emphasize that the changes in entrepreneurial performance play a significant role in enhancing national competitiveness and economic growth. Our findings contribute to the expansion of literature in the field by providing evidence on the correlation of indicators that measure entrepreneurial performance with national competitiveness and economic growth. Moreover, our findings point out the need of the policy makers to adopt measures and policies that help and stimulate entrepreneurs to become more performant because they can generate positive effects to the economy as a whole.

scholarly journals ANALISIS POTENSI DAN EFEKTIVITAS PAJAK HOTEL DAN RESTORAN SERTA DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP PAD DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI KABUPATEN MINAHASA

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessy V. Tiwang ◽  
Debby Ch. Rotinsulu ◽  
Daisy S.M. Engka
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Tax Collection ◽  
Local Revenue ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The City

ABSTRAK             Pembangunan ekonomi daerah khususnya Pemerintah Kota merupakan titik awal pelaksanaan pembangunan, sehingga daerah diharapkan bisa lebih mengetahui potensi dan apa yang menjadi kebutuhan daerahnya salah satunya peningkatan Pendapatan dan Pertumbuhan ekonomi melalui proses pemugutan pajak Hotel dan Restoran guna dampak sesuai yang diharapkan.            Dalam penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis potensi dan efektivitas Pajak Hotel dan Restoranserta dampaknya terhadap Pendapatan Asli Daerah dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Kabupaten Minahasa.            Berdasarkan hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Pajak Hotel dan Restoran masih kurang berpotensi, sementara untuk tingkat efektivitas, Pajak Hotel dan Restoran menunjukkan angka yang efektif yakni rata-rata diatas 100%, dan secara bersama variabel Pajak Hotel dan Restoran memberikan pengaruh yang positif terhadap Pendapatan Asli Daerah, begitu pula secara bersamaan variabel Pajak Hotel dan restoran serta Pendapatan Asli Daerah memberikan pengaruh yang positif terhadap tingkat pertumbuhan ekonomi yang ada di Kabuaten Minahasa. Kata Kunci : Pendapatan Asli Daerah, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Pajak Hotel dan Restoran  ABSTRACT             Economic development areas especially the city is the starting point of construction , so that the regions is expected to be more aware of their potential and what has been one of the needs of the regions increase in income and economic growth through a tax collection hotel and restaurant to the impact as expected.            In this study aims to to analyze the all the potential and the effectiveness of tax hotel tax and restoranserta what effect it had on the regional genuine income and economic growth in kabupaten Minahasa .            Based on the research shows that hotel and restaurant tax potential is weak , while the effectiveness , hotel and restaurant tax shows a figure that is effective and above 100% , and together the hotel and restaurant tax positive impact on local revenue , this is also at the same time the hotel and restaurant tax and local revenue positive impact on the economic growth is in kabupaten Minahasa . Keyword : Local revenue, economic growth, hotel and restaurant taxes

scholarly journals Complexity systems and middle-income trap: the long-term roots of Latin America underdevelopment

Nova Economia ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (spe) ◽  
pp. 1225-1256
Author(s):  
Fernanda Cimini ◽  
Jorge Britto ◽  
Leonardo Costa Ribeiro
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Latin America ◽  
Economic Structure ◽  
The Political ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Trap ◽  
To Come ◽  
Shed Light

Abstract Our intent is to reinterpret the concept of middle-income trap using the language of the complex system approach to refer to the unpredictability, non-linearity and the enormous range of possible behaviors of economic development in the long-term time series. By redefining the concept of trap in those terms, we propose to shed light on the institutional background of economic development. In order to advance our argument, we conduct a case study of Latin America, a region that has presented an unstable and non-linear economic trajectory across the 20th century. We argue that the combination between the colonial economic legacy and the political fragmentation amid the process of independence shaped the socio-economic structure and institutional capabilities for years to come, restricting the possibilities of overcoming underdevelopment.

International Market Orientation and International Outcomes

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 669-696 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diana Escandón-Barbosa ◽  
Miguel Hernandez-Espallardo ◽  
Augusto Rodriguez
Keyword(s):  
Market Orientation ◽  
International Market ◽  
International Markets ◽  
Hierarchical Regression ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Internal And External Factors ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
International Sales

The literature in the field of internationalization has managed to link other areas of knowledge such as marketing to give an explanation to the establishment of strategies to survive in international markets. In this sense, the concept of international market orientation emerges that manages to explain how businesses design a strategy to improve the satisfaction of customer needs in international contexts. The purpose of this article is finding the factors that influence the relationship between the international market orientation and international results. In turn, the directors of export SME´s should be aware that entering international markets prematurely and achieving a significant percentage by volume of international sales does not necessarily guarantee better international performance. They should search for other types of resources or capabilities that permit better possibilities of obtaining competitive advantage in the long-term, such as the adoption of an international market orientation, which makes it possible to evaluate and analyze the internal and external factors present in a company’s internal dynamics. To achieve this objective is taken as the unit of analysis Colombian exporters companies through a sample of 319 surveys and that are processed in a hierarchical regression analysis. The main findings confirm that adopt a strategy of international orientation relative to other strategies such as innovative and entrepreneurial orientation does have positive effects on the internationalization of companies. However, this strategy has a tendency to saturation and therefore can generate negative effects on the international results.

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