Violent Conflicts and ‘Early Warning and Risk Analysis’ in Post Covid-19: An Analytical Framework

Author(s):  
Dr. Maria Saifuddin Effendi

Covid-19 has exacerbated violence in Kashmir, Syria, Palestine, and Afghanistan. Direct and structural violence, through discriminatory policies, has increased the risk of the humanitarian crisis in Africa, the Middle East, and South Asia. A few examples of this include the communication blockade in the Indian occupied Kashmir [IOK] and Palestine, supply of expired Covid vaccines to Palestine by Israel, and no provision of vaccination for the Balukhali Rohingya refugee camp in Bangladesh. During Covid-19, these communities have also been suffering due to insufficient health care facilities besides violence. Considering that the international community invests substantially to develop Early Warning and Risk Analysis (EWRA; such as hotline communication between rival states) to gauge the 'traditional military threats' related to the nuclear states. This study focuses on developing a customized EWRA that can help countries prevent the vulnerabilities of violent conflicts during Covid-19. It argues that EWRA only helps prevent a violent conflict but does not aim to provide solutions to the conflicts. The article takes a generic approach to violent conflicts, building on how Covid-19 has increased direct and structural violence in those areas. The study, with a qualitative exploratory approach, offers unique contribution to the literature. First, it is an original contribution to the literature on conflict prevention as no EWRA is suggested to deal with the combined threats of Covid-19 and violent conflicts. Second, it evolves a discussion on paradigm shifts from geo-politics/geo-economics (during post 9-11 era) to geo-humanism in the postCovid-19 period.

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Bastian ◽  
Claire Munaretto ◽  
Natalie Myers ◽  
Carey Baxter ◽  
Jamie Fishman ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Jackie Smith

Conventional scholarship on peace and peacebuilding fail to consider how the capitalist world-system is implicated in the structural violence that fuels violent conflicts around the world. This helps to account for the widespread failures of state-led peacebuilding interventions. Although social movement and civil society actors are deemed critical to successful peacebuilding, they are typically denied meaningful roles in shaping these processes. Yet subaltern groups are critical agents pressing for attention to latent conflicts before they escalate into violent confrontations, and they work to reduce violent conflicts and their harmful effects on communities. By shifting our gaze from the realm of states and the interstate system, we see an array of forces working “from below” to articulate projects to transform social relations in ways that Oliver Richmond calls “peace formation.” Global human rights discourses have provided a unifying framework and focal point for these grassroots initiatives, which eschew mainstream notions of rights as formal protections for individuals while advancing new foundations for transformative peacebuilding based upon “people-centered human rights.”


Author(s):  
Neeta Baporikar ◽  
Rosalia Fotolela

This study aimed to explore how SME owner-managers perceive their roles in marketing and brand management as a strategic approach to enhance their competitiveness to ensure profits, growth, and sustainability. For any organization to grow and thrive it is essential to become customers first choice and for that it is critical to communicate their brand content through effective and strategic brand management. Hence, adopting a qualitative, exploratory approach, 10 owner-managers of SMEs and entrepreneurs in Windhoek, Namibia, were interviewed using semi-structured in-depth interview protocol. Findings reflect that SME brand strategies both in modern and traditional aspects enhance company growth. The study also proposes a framework that is of practical significance for future entrepreneurs, SMEs and brand consultants to enable SMEs to create and develop their brands for better and competitive positioning in the markets. The unique contribution of this study is how SME-focused brand strategies can act as a driver and provide impetus to profits, growth, and sustainability.


2013 ◽  
Vol 448-453 ◽  
pp. 2259-2265
Author(s):  
Sheng Chun Yang ◽  
Bi Qiang Tang ◽  
Jian Guo Yao ◽  
Feng Li ◽  
Yi Jun Yu ◽  
...  

With the construction of UHV power grid, integration of large-scale renewable clean energy, and large-scale energy base putting into operation, the power grid dispatching faced with more and more complex challenges. On the basis of existing research results, architecture of intelligent dispatching based on situation awareness is proposed, so as to accurately achieve prevention and control of the power system. The shortcomings of traditional dispatching mode are analyzed firstly, and the concepts and characterization approaches of grid situational awareness and operation state trajectory of power grid are then introduced. The overall objective of intelligent dispatching is presented, including data processing and integrated knowledge mining, predictive perception of grid operation, risk analysis and comprehensive early warning, so as to achieve "automatic cruise under normal operating conditions, automatic navigation under abnormal operating conditions ". The functional framework of intelligent dispatching is also proposed in details, including four major aspects of the perception and forecasts, risk analysis, decision-making support, and automatic control, as well as three supporting functions such as post-assessment of dispatching, trajectory index calculation, and human-computer interaction (HCI).Technical innovations to support automatic intelligent dispatching are discussed and organised in three levels, i.e. perception, comprehension and projection. The breakthroughs are: construction of index system, trajectory recognition based on massive information and knowledge mining, trajectory projection taking into accounts the uncertainties, online risk assessment and early warning, power grid intelligent decision-making support, automatic coordination of grid operation control, online assessment, natural human-computer interaction mode, and etc... These are the future research areas of automatic intelligent dispatching.


2018 ◽  
Vol 42 (4) ◽  
pp. 513-529 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liliana Katinas ◽  
Jorge V Crisci

The challenge of increasing food production to keep pace with demand, while retaining the essential ecological integrity of production systems, requires coordinated action among science disciplines. Thus, 21st-century Agriculture should incorporate disciplines related to natural resources, environmental science, and life sciences. Biogeography, as one of those disciplines, provides a unique contribution because it can generate research ideas and methods that can be used to ameliorate this challenge, with the concept of relative space providing the conceptual and analytical framework within which data can be integrated, related, and structured into a whole. A new branch of Biogeography, Agriculture Biogeography, is proposed here and defined as the application of the principles, theories, and analyses of Biogeography to agricultural systems, including all human activities related to breeding or cultivation, mostly to provide goods and services. It not only encompasses the problem that land use seems scarcely to be compatible with biodiversity conservation, but also a substantial body of theory and analysis involving subjects not strictly related to conservation. Our aim is to define the field and scope of Agriculture Biogeography, set the foundations of a conceptual framework of the discipline, and present some subjects related to Agriculture Biogeography. We present, in summary form, a concept map which summarizes the relationship between agriculture systems and Biogeography, and delineates the current engagement between Agriculture and Biogeography through the discussion of some perspectives from Biogeography and from the agriculture research.


Author(s):  
Itai Makone ◽  
Derica Lambrechts

Political Risk Analysis (PRA) levels are theoretically postulated to increase in a hybrid regime. This paper argues that there is a change to this hypothesis. A single case research design was employed, using Zimbabwe from 1990 to 2018. During the period, Zimbabwe showed five diverse forms of hybridity which are liberal, competitive illiberal, competitive, illiberal, and military hybrid regimes. A conceptual framework is developed to assess political risk in a hybrid regime using hybrid regime indicators and some political risk factors of most concern to developing countries. 28 key informants from six categories of respondents were interviewed. Illegitimacy, corruption, the staleness of leadership, adverse government regulation, election violence, and severed home-host state relations were confirmed to increase the perception of political risk in a hybrid regime. Investors were observed to have developed a tolerance for some “unacceptable” factors that increased political risk. Military tutelage, weak institutions, flawed elections, military generals in power, undemocratic means to retain power, minimum horizontal accountability and weak rule of law were found to not automatically increase political risk as before. The paper concludes that there is no single form of hybridity and as such different forms of hybrid regimes accrue different levels of political risk, some lower levels while others substantially higher levels. Therefore, in a hybrid regime, a differentiated PRA monitoring, assessing and mitigation strategy will be most effective for management to implement. Future studies can apply the analytical framework of assessing PRA in a hybrid to another hybrid regime to expand the theoretical propositions made by this paper


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