scholarly journals ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK APPLIED IN FORECASTING THE COMPOSITION OF MUNICIPAL SOLID WASTE IN IASI, ROMANIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 368-380
Author(s):  
Cristina Ghinea ◽  
Petronela Cozma ◽  
Maria Gavrilescu

Neural network time series (NNTS) tool was used to predict municipal solid waste composition in Iasi, Romania. The nonlinear input output (NIO) time series model and nonlinear autoregressive model with external (exogenous) input (NARX) included in this tool were selected. The coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) were chosen for evaluation. By applying NIO, the optimum model is 4-11-6 artificial neural network (ANN, R2 = 0.929) in the case of testing as for the validation, with all 0.849 and 0.885, respectively. Applying NARX, the suitable model became 4-13-6 ANN model, with R2 = 0.999 for training, 0.879 for testing, and 0.931, respectively 0.944 for validation and all. The resulted RMSE is zero for training and 0.0109 for validation in the case of this model which had 4 inputs, 13 neurons and 6 outputs. The four input variables were: number of residents, population aged 15–59 years, urban life expectancy, total municipal solid waste (ton/year). The suitable ANN model revealed the lowest root mean square error and the highest coefficient of determination. Results indicate that NNTS tool is a complex instrument, NARX is more accurate than NIO model, and can be used and applied easily.

Author(s):  
Madhukar A. Dabhade ◽  
M. B. Saidutta ◽  
D. V. R. Murthy

Presence of phenol and phenolic compounds in various wastewaters and its harmful effects has led to the use of different treatment methods. Work on biological methods shows the use of different microorganisms and different bioreactors so as to improve the removal efficiency economically. The present work deals with the use of N. hydrocarbonoxydans (NCIM 2386), an actinomycetes, for the degradation of phenol. N. hydrocarbonoxydans was immobilized on GAC and used in a spouted bed contactor for effective contact of microorganisms and the substrate. The contactor performance was studied by varying flow rates, influent concentrations and the solids loading in the contactor. The effect of these variables on phenol degradation was investigated and modeling study was carried out using the artificial neural network (ANN). A feed forward neural network with back propagation was used for the model development. The experiments were planned as per the face centered cube design (FCCD) and used for training of the model, whereas data from four other experimental runs were used for testing and validation of the model. The network was optimized for the number of neurons based on the mean square error. The ANN model with three layers with three input neurons, eight neurons in hidden layers and one output neuron was found to predict effectively the effluent concentration for the given operating conditions in the spouted bed contactor. The mean square error was found to be 9.318e-12 for this ANN model. Also the experimental data was used to develop second order nonlinear empirical model obtained using multiple regression (MR) and the results compared with ANN using correlation coefficient (R2), average absolute error (AAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). Results show that R2, AAE and RMSE values of MR model were 0.9363, 2.085 % and 2.338 % respectively, while in case of ANN model these values were 0.9995, 0.59 % and 1.263 % respectively. This shows that ANN model prediction is better than multiple regression model prediction.


2017 ◽  
Vol 76 (9) ◽  
pp. 2413-2426 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seef Saadi Fiyadh ◽  
Mohammed Abdulhakim AlSaadi ◽  
Mohamed Khalid AlOmar ◽  
Sabah Saadi Fayaed ◽  
Ako R. Hama ◽  
...  

Abstract The main challenge in the lead removal simulation is the behaviour of non-linearity relationships between the process parameters. The conventional modelling technique usually deals with this problem by a linear method. The substitute modelling technique is an artificial neural network (ANN) system, and it is selected to reflect the non-linearity in the interaction among the variables in the function. Herein, synthesized deep eutectic solvents were used as a functionalized agent with carbon nanotubes as adsorbents of Pb2+. Different parameters were used in the adsorption study including pH (2.7 to 7), adsorbent dosage (5 to 20 mg), contact time (3 to 900 min) and Pb2+ initial concentration (3 to 60 mg/l). The number of experimental trials to feed and train the system was 158 runs conveyed in laboratory scale. Two ANN types were designed in this work, the feed-forward back-propagation and layer recurrent; both methods are compared based on their predictive proficiency in terms of the mean square error (MSE), root mean square error, relative root mean square error, mean absolute percentage error and determination coefficient (R2) based on the testing dataset. The ANN model of lead removal was subjected to accuracy determination and the results showed R2 of 0.9956 with MSE of 1.66 × 10−4. The maximum relative error is 14.93% for the feed-forward back-propagation neural network model.


2015 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 217-225 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammed Yasin Çodur ◽  
Ahmet Tortum

This study presents an accident prediction model of Erzurum’s Highways in Turkey using artificial neural network (ANN) approaches. There are many ANN models for predicting the number of accidents on highways that were developed using 8 years with 7,780 complete accident reports of historical data (2005-2012). The best ANN model was chosen for this task and the model parameters included years, highway sections, section length (km), annual average daily traffic (AADT), the degree of horizontal curvature, the degree of vertical curvature, traffic accidents with heavy vehicles (percentage), and traffic accidents that occurred in summer (percentage). In the ANN model development, the sigmoid activation function was employed with Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. The performance of the developed ANN model was evaluated by mean square error (MSE), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the coefficient of determination (R2). The model results indicate that the degree of vertical curvature is the most important parameter that affects the number of accidents on highways.


2020 ◽  
Vol 69 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 595-602
Author(s):  
Hichem Tahraoui ◽  
Abd Elmouneïm Belhadj ◽  
Adhya Eddine Hamitouche

The region of Médéa (Algeria) located in an agricultural site requires a large amount of drinking water. For this purpose, the water analyses in question are imperative. To examine the evolution of the drinking water quality in this region, firstly, an experimental protocol was done in order to obtain a dataset by taking into account several physicochemical parameters. Secondly, the obtained data set was divided into two parts to form the artificial neural network, where 70 % of the data set was used for training, and the remaining 30 % was also divided into two equal parts: one for testing and the other for validation of the model. The intelligent model obtained was evaluated as a function of the correlation coefficient nearest to 1 and lowest mean square error (RMSE). A set of 84 data points were used in this study. Eighteen parameters in the input layer, five neurons in the hidden layer, and one parameter in the output layer were used for the ANN modelling. Levenberg Marquardt learning (LM) algorithm, logarithmic sigmoid, and linear transfer function were used, respectively, for the hidden and the output layers. The results obtained during the present study showed a correlation coefficient of <i>R</i> = 0.99276 with root mean square error RMSE = 11.52613 mg dm<sup>–3</sup>. These results show that obtained ANN model gave far better and more significant results. It is obviously more accurate since its relative error is small with a correlation coefficient close to unity. Finally, it can be concluded that obtained model can effectively predict the rate of soluble bicarbonate in drinking water in the Médéa region.


Food Research ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (S1) ◽  
pp. 144-151
Author(s):  
S.E. Adebayo ◽  
N. Hashim

In this study, the application of laser imaging technique was utilized to predict the quality attributes (firmness and soluble solids content) of pear fruit and to classify the maturity stages of the fruit harvested at different days after full bloom (dafb). Laser imaging system emitting at visible and near infra-red region (532, 660, 785, 830 and 1060 nm) was deployed to capture the images of the fruit. Optical properties (absorption ma and reduced scattering ms ʹ coefficients) at individual and combined wavelengths of the laser images of the fruit were used in the prediction and classifications of the maturity stages. Artificial neural network (ANN) was employed in the building of both prediction and classification models. Root mean square error of calibration (RMSEC), root mean square error of crossvalidation (RMSECV), correlation coefficient (r) and bias were used to test the performance of the prediction models while sensitivity and specificity were used to evaluate the classification models. The results showed that there was a very strong correlation between the ma and ms ʹ with pear development. This study had shown that optical properties of pears with ANN as prediction and classification models can be employed to both predict quality parameters of pear and classify pear into different (dafb) non-destructively.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 6177-6181

Hydropower scheme would experience issue relating to high flooding especially at low lying area due to extreme raining season. To mitigate the potential risk of flooding and improve the hydroelectric regulation, a flow prediction is needed to estimate the discharge of water flow at hydroelectric reservoirs. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model were used in this research to forecast the water discharge of hydroelectric station. The discharge flow predictions were made based on fore bay elevation, inflow and the discharge of water flow. Elman Neural Network architecture was selected as ANN method and its performance was evaluated by considering the number of hidden nodes and training methods. ANN model performance were assessed using performance metrics such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Sum Square Error (SSE). The result indicate that ANN model showed the best applicability for discharge prediction with small performance metric.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (17) ◽  
pp. 4206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seef Saadi Fiyadh ◽  
Mohamed Khalid AlOmar ◽  
Wan Zurina Binti Jaafar ◽  
Mohammed Abdulhakim AlSaadi ◽  
Sabah Saadi Fayaed ◽  
...  

Multi-walled carbon nanotubes (CNTs) functionalized with a deep eutectic solvent (DES) were utilized to remove mercury ions from water. An artificial neural network (ANN) technique was used for modelling the functionalized CNTs adsorption capacity. The amount of adsorbent dosage, contact time, mercury ions concentration and pH were varied, and the effect of parameters on the functionalized CNT adsorption capacity is observed. The (NARX) network, (FFNN) network and layer recurrent (LR) neural network were used. The model performance was compared using different indicators, including the root mean square error (RMSE), relative root mean square error (RRMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean square error (MSE), correlation coefficient (R2) and relative error (RE). Three kinetic models were applied to the experimental and predicted data; the pseudo second-order model was the best at describing the data. The maximum RE, R2 and MSE were 9.79%, 0.9701 and 1.15 × 10−3, respectively, for the NARX model; 15.02%, 0.9304 and 2.2 × 10−3 for the LR model; and 16.4%, 0.9313 and 2.27 × 10−3 for the FFNN model. The NARX model accurately predicted the adsorption capacity with better performance than the FFNN and LR models.


2015 ◽  
Vol 768 ◽  
pp. 722-727 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salman Safavi ◽  
S. Mohyeddin Bateni ◽  
Tong Ren Xu

Accurate prediction of the amount of municipal solid waste (MSW) is crucial for designing and programming MSW management systems. Reliable estimation of MSW is difficult since many variables such as socio-economic characteristics, climatic factors and standard of living affect it. A number of studies used artificial neural network (ANN) to predict MSW. However, due to the large number of input variables to the ANN, it could not not perform well and generally encountered overfitting. This study takes advantage of the principal component analysis (PCA) technique to reduce the number of input variables to the ANN model in order to overcome the overfitting problem. The proposed PCA-ANN approach is used to predict the weight of MSW in the province of Mashhad, Iran. The utilized experimental data in this study are obtained from the Recycling Organization of Mashhad Municipality archive (http://www.wmo.mashhad.ir). It is found that the PCA approach can successfully decrease the number of input variables from thirteen to eight. The PCA-ANN model (with eight input variables) outperforms ANN (with thirteen input variables) and provides more accurate estimates of MSW as it mitigates the overfitting problem associated with ANN. The root-mean-square-error (RMSE) of MSW estimates reduces from 499000 Kg to 448000 Kg by using the PCA-ANN model instead of ANN.


2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 239-251 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anupama Thapliyal ◽  
Roop Krishen Khar ◽  
Amrish Chandra

Background: In this study, computational Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model is applied for optimisation and evaluation of silver nanoparticles (AgNPs) size in the bionanocomposite matrix. The primary purpose of this study is used a feed-forward ANN model to create a connection between the output as the size of Ag–NPs, with four inputs variables, including AgNO3 concentration, the weight percentage of starch, Bentonite amount and Gallic acid concentration. Method: Silver nanoparticles were synthesised via biogenic green reduction method. The fast Levenberg– Marquardt (LM) backpropagation algorithm applied for the training of ANN model in this research. The optimised ANN is a multilayer perceptron (MLP) which is a kind of feed forward (4- 10-1) network has an input layer with 4 nodes, hidden layers with 10 neurones, and an output layer with 1 node found a fitness function. Results: The output results of developed computational ANN model were compared to its predictive values of the size of silver nanoparticles regarding two statistical parameters, the coefficient of determination (R2) and mean square error (MSE) of data set. It observed that ANN predicted values are close to the actual values and well fitted to the data. The mean square error(MSE) is 0.03, and a regression is about 1. Conclusion: AgNO3 concentration has the most likely factor affecting the size of silver nanoparticles (Ag–NPs) and this makes possible to develop a green reduction method for the preparation of silver nanoparticles. This study confirms that employing ANN method with LM feed forward (4-10-1) network is a useful tool with cost-effective for predicting the results of analysis and modelling of the chemical reactions.


2021 ◽  
pp. 0734242X2110085
Author(s):  
Majeed S Jassim ◽  
Gulnur Coskuner ◽  
Metin Zontul

The evolution of machine learning (ML) algorithms provides researchers and engineers with state-of-the-art tools to dynamically model complex relationships. The design and operation of municipal solid waste (MSW) management systems require accurate estimation of generation rates. In this study, we applied rapid, non-linear and non-parametric data driven ML algorithms independently, multi-layer perceptron artificial neural network (MLP-ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) models to predict annual MSW generation rates in Bahrain. Models were trained and tested with MSW generation data for period of 1997–2019. The population, gross domestic product, annual tourist numbers, annual electricity consumption and total annual CO2 emissions were selected as explanatory variables and incorporated into developed models. The zero score normalization (ZSN) and minimum maximum normalization (MMN) methods were utilized to improve the quality of data and subsequently enhances the performance of ML algorithms. Statistical metrics were employed to discriminate performance of MLP-ANN and SVR models. The linear, polynomial, radial basis function (RBF) and sigmoid kernel functions were investigated to find the optimal SVR model. Results showed that RBF-SVR model with R2 value of 0.97% and 4.82% and absolute forecasting error (AFE) for the period of 2008 and 2019 exhibits superior prediction and robustness in comparison to MLP-ANN. The efficacy of MLP-ANN model was also reasonably successful with R2 value of 0.94. It was shown that MMN pre-processing generated optimal MLP-ANN model while ZSN pre-processing produced optimal RBF-SVR model. This work also highlights the importance of application of ML modelling approaches to plan and implement their roadmap for waste management systems by policymakers.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document