scholarly journals Was Y2K Behind the Business Investment Boom and Bust?

2003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin L. Kliesen
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robin Greenwood ◽  
Samuel G. Hanson

Abstract We study the link between investment boom and bust cycles and returns on capital in the dry bulk shipping industry. We show that high current ship earnings are associated with high used ship prices and heightened industry investment in new ships, but forecast low future returns. We propose and estimate a behavioral model of industry cycles that can account for the evidence. In our model, firms overextrapolate exogenous demand shocks and partially neglect the endogenous investment response of their competitors. As a result, firms overpay for ships and overinvest in booms and are disappointed by the subsequent low returns. Formal estimation of the model suggests that modest expectational errors can result in dramatic excess volatility in prices and investment.


2019 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 704-706

Gregory Dempster of Hampden-Sydney College reviews “Bankers and Bolsheviks: International Finance and the Russian Revolution,” by Hassan Malik. The Econlit abstract of this book begins: “Chronicles the Russian investment boom and bust of the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, using financial, economic, and archival data, and investigates Russia's relationship with international finance during that period.”


Author(s):  
Hassan Malik

This introductory chapter argues that the story of the Russian investment boom and bust of the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries is based on, among other things, financial and economic data, as well as the correspondence, reports, and other documents in government and private banking archives in Moscow, Saint Petersburg, Paris, London, and New York. The 1918 Bolshevik repudiation of debts contracted by the Tsarist and Provisional governments—the largest default in history—punctuated the end of an era during which Russia had become the leading net international debtor in the world. It is relevant to an extensive academic literature that stretches across the disciplines of history, economics, and political science. The secondary literature cited in these sources relates to the Russian Revolution, banking and business history, the historical sociology of revolutions, and international capital flows. Given the crucial importance of the last of these, the story is international, touching on aspects of the histories of nations such as Russia, France, Germany, Britain, the United States, China, and Japan.


2011 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 151-169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viktor Dorofeenko ◽  
Gabriel S. Lee ◽  
Kevin D. Salyer

AbstractThe dramatic world-wide housing boom and bust cycles during the last few years are often described in the media as “bubbles” and were largely caused by irrational exuberance due to the liberalization of housing finance (i.e. credit market irregularities in the U.S.: the subprime markets and mortgage structured products). Following Dorofeenko et al (2011), this paper, however, argues that many of the business and housing stylized facts, especially, the U.S. housing price and residential investment volatilites can be explained by analyzing the role of uncertainty (risk) in the framework of a Real Business Cycle model that includes a housing sector with financial information frictions. Consequently, we show for the U.S., these large housing price and residential investment boom and bust cycles are at least were driven largely by economic fundamentals with irrationality (or psychology) at most in the background.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
William Quinn ◽  
John D. Turner
Keyword(s):  

CFA Digest ◽  
2000 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 19-20
Author(s):  
Thomas J. Latta
Keyword(s):  

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