scholarly journals Effect of global climate change on the distribution of Anchomenus dorsalis (Coleoptera, Carabidae) in Europe

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 237-260
Author(s):  
Viktor Brygadyrenko ◽  
Tamara Avtaeva ◽  
Alex Matsyura
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Temperature ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Ground Beetle ◽  
Energy Reserves ◽  
Global Climate Changes ◽  
The North ◽  
Climatic Scenarios ◽  
Anchomenus Dorsalis ◽  
Important Object ◽  
Annual Amount

Shifts in the bioclimatic range of Anchomenus dorsalis – specialized entomophage – were modeled in the MaxEntsoftware package and are presented on habitat maps. For the prediction, we used two climatic scenarios – mild (RCP2.6) and extreme (RCP8.5). Under the considered scenarios, the further warming would lead to shift and extension of the range to the north, northeast and east and decrease in the number of populations in the southern regions of Europe. The most important bioclimatic indicators which describe the geographic distribution of A. dorsalis are mean annual air temperature, mean daily amplitude of temperature for each month, overall amount of precipitations in the coldest quarter of the year, minimum temperature of the coldest month, mean temperature of the warmest quarter of the year, and annual amount of precipitations. Global warming causes the bioclimatic range of A. dorsalis to shift northeast and east in intracontinental territories, and west and northwest on islands. This species of ground beetle is an important object in monitoring of the condition of natural and agrarian ecosystems, sensitive to the growing global climate changes.  Poikilothermic animals may suffer from overheating, and even if they live far in the northern hemisphere, the ability of their organism to withstand increase in the environmental temperature is limited. Mild winters (with higher temperatures) may increase the mortality of A. dorsalis by exhausting their energy reserves.

scholarly journals Changes of weather conditions in Ukraine under climate changes

2017 ◽  
pp. 31-37
Author(s):  
V.M. Khokhlov ◽  
H.O. Borovska ◽  
O.V. Umanska ◽  
M.S. Tenetko
Keyword(s):  
Wavelet Analysis ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Global Climate Changes ◽  
The North ◽  
Regional Feature ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

The paper analyzes spatiotemporal features the indices of hot, cold and precipitation that are related to weather conditions. The temperature in Ukraine tends to be higher, which is the main regional feature of global climate changes. The North Atlantic Oscillation had an influence on the precipitation in Ukraine – weather is rainier during its negative phases. Also, colder night and hotter days were more frequent during negative phases of the NAO. This fact can be explained by enhancing meridional flows in Ukraine. The wavelet analysis also revealed an impact of the NAO on temperature anomalies – positive phases determined increasing monthly minimum temperatures before the 1980s and decreasing ones after 1980s. Also, the wavelet analysis showed that the Nor-th Atlantic Oscillation influenced the precipitation in northern and southern parts of Ukraine in different ways.

Global climate changes over time shaping the environmental niche distribution of Octopus insularis (Cephalopoda: Octopodidae) in the Atlantic Ocean

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Françoise D Lima ◽  
Luis Enrique Ángeles-González ◽  
Tatiana S Leite ◽  
Sergio MQ Lima
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Geographic Distribution ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Trophic Chain ◽  
Future Scenarios ◽  
Climatic Niche ◽  
Global Climate Changes ◽  
Climatic Scenarios ◽  
Over Time

In the Atlantic Ocean, Octopus insularis Leite and Haimovici, 2008 inhabits warm and shallow habitats, where it is one of the main targets of cephalopod fisheries. Considering the current trend of increase of increasing sea-water temperature, warm-water species are expected to expand their geographic distribution range. Ecological niche modeling (ENM) is an important tool to help describe likely changes in geographic distribution patterns of a species in many climatic scenarios. To evaluate the changes of O. insularis distribution over time, the Maximum Entropy approach was used, which estimated a suitable climatic niche for Octopus under five scenarios of global climate changes. Six environmental layers were chosen to model the modern suitable climatic niche of O. insularis and four variables were used for past and future scenarios. The ENM in different climatic scenarios showed good validation and pointed out an increase of the suitable niche for O. insularis settlement, from Last Glacial Maximum (21 Kya) up to future scenarios. In the future projections, the availability of species suitable niche will potentially increase in Tropical Atlantic compared to the current distribution. In addition, the modeling pointed out the possibility of an expansion from the species current range to Temperate Northern Atlantic, Temperate South America, and Temperate South Africa. This may cause potential threats, such as possible extinction of endemic species, habitat displacement of native octopuses, reorganizations in the trophic chain.

scholarly journals Modeling the bioclimatic range of Pterostichus melanarius (Coleoptera, Carabidae) in conditions of global climate change

2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 140-150
Author(s):  
T. A. Avtaeva ◽  
R. A. Sukhodolskaya ◽  
V. V. Brygadyrenko
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Ground Beetle ◽  
Large Family ◽  
Potential Range ◽  
Mediterranean Populations ◽  
North West ◽  
The North ◽  
Bioclimatic Variables ◽  
Pterostichus Melanarius

At present, climate change significantly affects living organisms on the planet, leading to transformations in their niches, ranges and abundance. The aim of our work was to forecast the range of the representative of the large family Carabidae, famous for its indicative characters, richness and importance in soil communities. We used 19 bioclimatic variables of Bioclim according to our own data and the data of GBIF with the help of the MaxEnt program. We used 550 coordinates of ground beetle Pterostichus melanarius (Illiger, 1798) records. We distinguished the potential range the species studied and drew prognostic maps of the species’ distribution related to climate change according to four scenarios. Mean annual temperatures and the mean temperature in the warmest and the coldest quarters of the year were the major factors affecting spatial distribution of P. melanarius. Visualization of potential range according to RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5 and RCP 6.0 scenarios predicted range reduction by 2050 but its recovery by 2070. According to RCP 8.5 scenario, the range of the species studied will be significantly transformed: by 2070 the range will shift towards the north-west in the continental European states but to the northeast – in the coastal states. By 2070 almost all southern territories of Europe will become unsuitable for P. melanarius survival. The most visible changes will be the shift in range to the north in the eastern part of the European plain. The comfort conditions for P. melanarius decrease in mountain regions including the Alps, Carpathians, Caucasus and Urals. By 2070, the cenotic optimum significantly decreases on the Balkan Peninsula. Thus, a sharp reduction in Southern European and Mediterranean populations is predicted.

scholarly journals Monitoring and interpreting the ocean uptake of atmospheric CO 2

2011 ◽  
Vol 369 (1943) ◽  
pp. 1997-2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew J. Watson ◽  
Nicolas Metzl ◽  
Ute Schuster
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Climate Feedbacks ◽  
Global Climate Changes ◽  
The North ◽  
Indian Ocean Sector ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Ocean Sector

The oceans are an important sink for anthropogenically produced CO 2 , and on time scales longer than a century they will be the main repository for the CO 2 that humans are emitting. Our knowledge of how ocean uptake varies (regionally and temporally) and the processes that control it is currently observation-limited. Traditionally, and based on sparse observations and models at coarse resolution, ocean uptake has been thought to be relatively invariant. However, in the few places where we have enough observations to define the uptake over periods of many years or decades, it has been found to change substantially at basin scales, responding to indices of climate variability. We illustrate this for three well-studied regions: the equatorial Pacific, the Indian Ocean sector of the Southern Ocean, and the North Atlantic. A lesson to take from this is that ocean uptake is sensitive to climate (regionally, but presumably also globally). This reinforces the expectation that, as global climate changes in the future owing to human influences, ocean uptake of CO 2 will respond. To evaluate and give early warning of such carbon–climate feedbacks, it is important to track trends in both ocean and land sinks for CO 2 . Recent coordinated observational programmes have shown that, by organization of an observing network, the atmosphere–ocean flux of CO 2 can, in principle, be accurately tracked at seasonal or better resolution, over at least the Northern Hemisphere oceans. This would provide a valuable constraint on both the ocean and (by difference) land vegetation sinks for atmospheric CO 2 .

Variability of planetary high-altitude frontal zone and jet stream in the Northern hemisphere from 1991 to 2019 in the summer period

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Evgeniya Durneva
Keyword(s):  
High Altitude ◽  
Frontal Zone ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Arctic Region ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Jet Stream ◽  
Summer Period ◽  
Jet Streams ◽  
Global Climate Changes ◽  
The North

<p>Global climate changes particularly observed in the Arctic region are influenced on the formation of circulation in the atmosphere. The planetary high-altitude frontal zone for midlatitudes has analyzed from 1991 to 2019 in the summer period, on July. Deviations poleward from the normal of high-altitude frontal zone and jet stream have observed, particularly marked over the Eurasia during last decades. Changes in the form and decreasing of intensity of high-altitude jet streams are noted, which further contribute to the formation of blocking anticyclones and increasing in the incidence of anomalous weather events.</p><p>The case of July 2018 is presented in this work. The anomalous high temperature in Scandinavia and north area of the European part of Russia have observed due to formation of the blocking over this territory. The main reason for the formation of blocking is the instability of the jet stream. The characteristics (intensity, position relative to the North Pole and form) of the arctic and midlatitudes jet stream have analyzed.</p>

Antarctic Climate History and Global Climate Changes

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pontus Lurcock ◽  
Fabio Florindo
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Sediment Cores ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Climate History ◽  
Global Climate Changes ◽  
Planetary Albedo

Antarctic climate changes have been reconstructed from ice and sediment cores and numerical models (which also predict future changes). Major ice sheets first appeared 34 million years ago (Ma) and fluctuated throughout the Oligocene, with an overall cooling trend. Ice volume more than doubled at the Oligocene-Miocene boundary. Fluctuating Miocene temperatures peaked at 17–14 Ma, followed by dramatic cooling. Cooling continued through the Pliocene and Pleistocene, with another major glacial expansion at 3–2 Ma. Several interacting drivers control Antarctic climate. On timescales of 10,000–100,000 years, insolation varies with orbital cycles, causing periodic climate variations. Opening of Southern Ocean gateways produced a circumpolar current that thermally isolated Antarctica. Declining atmospheric CO2 triggered Cenozoic glaciation. Antarctic glaciations affect global climate by lowering sea level, intensifying atmospheric circulation, and increasing planetary albedo. Ice sheets interact with ocean water, forming water masses that play a key role in global ocean circulation.

scholarly journals The evolving response of mesopelagic fishes to declining midwater oxygen concentrations in the southern and central California Current

2018 ◽  
Vol 76 (3) ◽  
pp. 626-638 ◽  
Author(s):  
J Anthony Koslow ◽  
Pete Davison ◽  
Erica Ferrer ◽  
S Patricia A Jiménez Rosenberg ◽  
Gerardo Aceves-Medina ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Baja California ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
California Current ◽  
Deep Ocean ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Oxygen Minimum Zones ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Oxygen Concentrations

Abstract Declining oxygen concentrations in the deep ocean, particularly in areas with pronounced oxygen minimum zones (OMZs), are a growing global concern related to global climate change. Its potential impacts on marine life remain poorly understood. A previous study suggested that the abundance of a diverse suite of mesopelagic fishes off southern California was closely linked to trends in midwater oxygen concentration. This study expands the spatial and temporal scale of that analysis to examine how mesopelagic fishes are responding to declining oxygen levels in the California Current (CC) off central, southern, and Baja California. Several warm-water mesopelagic species, apparently adapted to the shallower, more intense OMZ off Baja California, are shown to be increasing despite declining midwater oxygen concentrations and becoming increasingly dominant, initially off Baja California and subsequently in the CC region to the north. Their increased abundance is associated with warming near-surface ocean temperature, the warm phase of the Pacific Decadal oscillation and Multivariate El Niño-Southern Oscillation Index, and the increased flux of Pacific Equatorial Water into the southern CC.

scholarly journals Future climate change will impact the size and location of breeding and wintering areas of migratory thrushes in South America

The Condor ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Natália Stefanini Da Silveira ◽  
Maurício Humberto Vancine ◽  
Alex E Jahn ◽  
Marco Aurélio Pizo ◽  
Thadeu Sobral-Souza
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
South America ◽  
Migratory Birds ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Ecological Niche Models ◽  
Global Climate Changes ◽  
The Andes ◽  
Wintering Areas

Abstract Bird migration patterns are changing worldwide due to current global climate changes. Addressing the effects of such changes on the migration of birds in South America is particularly challenging because the details about how birds migrate within the Neotropics are generally not well understood. Here, we aim to infer the potential effects of future climate change on breeding and wintering areas of birds that migrate within South America by estimating the size and elevations of their future breeding and wintering areas. We used occurrence data from species distribution databases (VertNet and GBIF), published studies, and eBird for 3 thrush species (Turdidae; Turdus nigriceps, T. subalaris, and T. flavipes) that breed and winter in different regions of South America and built ecological niche models using ensemble forecasting approaches to infer current and future potential distributions throughout the breeding and wintering periods of each species. Our findings point to future shifts in wintering and breeding areas, mainly through elevational and longitudinal changes. Future breeding areas for T. nigriceps, which migrates along the Andes Mountains, will be displaced to the west, while breeding displacements to the east are expected for the other 2 species. An overall loss in the size of future wintering areas was also supported for 2 of the species, especially for T. subalaris, but an increase is anticipated for T. flavipes. Our results suggest that future climate change in South America will require that species shift their breeding and wintering areas to higher elevations in addition to changes in their latitudes and longitude. Our findings are the first to show how future climate change may affect migratory birds in South America throughout the year and suggest that even closely related migratory birds in South America will be affected in different ways, depending on the regions where they breed and overwinter.

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