Reliability Method to Estimate Shear Strength Parameters

2011 ◽  
Vol 52-54 ◽  
pp. 1752-1756
Author(s):  
Li Hong Chen ◽  
Yu Fei Zhao

The design and safety evaluation of a geotechnical project is influenced by the shear strength parameters of geo-material. Moment method and linear regression method are the mainly used methods to estimate the shear strength parameters. But moment method is always over estimate the variation of strength parameters due to the smaller sample size, meanwhile the conventional linear regression method cannot obtain the standard deviation. Base on the reliability theory, a new method employing Solver add-in of spreadsheet was developed to calculate the shear strength parameters. The method was simplified by the principle that the shortest distance form origin point to the limit state surface in the normalization space was the reliability index. Four hundred and four samples of direct shear tests of rock mass from many large hydraulic projects in China were analyzed by four statistic methods including the new proposed one. Comparing results of different methods indicated that the new reliability statistic method had good performance than the traditional ways.

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoliang Xu ◽  
Jianlin Li ◽  
Jiawei Gong ◽  
Huafeng Deng ◽  
Liangpeng Wan

The estimation of the cross-correlation of shear strength parameters (i.e., cohesion and internal friction angle) and the subsequent determination of the probability of failure have long been challenges in slope reliability analysis. Here, a copula-based approach is proposed to calculate the probability of failure by integrating the copula-based joint probability density function (PDF) on the slope failure domain delimited with theg-line. Here, copulas are used to construct the joint PDF of shear strength parameters with specific marginal distributions and correlation structure. In the paper a failure (limit state) function approach is applied to investigate a system characterized by a homogeneous slope. The results show that the values obtained by using the failure function approach are similar to those calculated by means of conventional methods, such as the first-order reliability method (FORM) and Monte Carlo simulations (MC). In addition, an entropy weight (EW) copula is proposed to address the discrepancies of the results calculated by different copulas to avoid over- or underestimating the slope reliability.


2002 ◽  
Vol 39 (5) ◽  
pp. 1075-1087 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faten Saihi ◽  
Serge Leroueil ◽  
Pierre La Rochelle ◽  
Ivan French

The role of the degree of microstructure on the behaviour of clayey soils has been the focus of many studies. However, none so far have quantified the evolution of the shear strength parameters for a given soil for degrees of microstructure going from an intact condition to complete remoulding. In the present study, a series of compression triaxial tests have been performed on specimens of the naturally highly structured Saint-Jean-Vianney clay under the following conditions: intact, destructured by straining outside the limit state curve, and reconstituted and reconsolidated after complete remoulding. The results show that the limit state curve is influenced by the level of destructuration reached before testing, and moreover, that the shear strength parameters at large deformation are influenced by the level of destructuration at the beginning of the test. The compression tests infer that the soil seems to retain the memory of its initial microstructure, at least for consolidation volumetric strains up to 14%. The observed behaviour has implications for the understanding and modelling of natural clays; it also explains to some extent the difference in strength parameters used in stability analyses of embankments on soft clays and natural slopes in clay.Key words: clay, microstructure, destructuration, shear strength, large deformation shear strength, triaxial test.


Author(s):  
Mohammad Shohidul Islam ◽  
Sultana Easmin Siddika ◽  
S M Injamamul Haque Masum

Rainfall forecasting is very challenging task for the meteorologists. Over the last few decades, several models have been utilized, attempting the successful analysing and forecasting of rainfall. Recorded climate data can play an important role in this regard. Long-time duration of recorded data can be able to provide better advancement of rainfall forecasting. This paper presents the utilization of statistical techniques, particularly linear regression method for modelling the rainfall prediction over Bangladesh. The rainfall data for a period of 11 years was obtained from Bangladesh Meteorological department (BMD), Dhaka i.e. that was surface-based rain gauge rainfall which was acquired from 08 weather stations over Bangladesh for the years of 2001-2011. The monthly and yearly rainfall was determined. In order to assess the accuracy of it some statistical parameters such as average, meridian, correlation coefficients and standard deviation were determined for all stations. The model prediction of rainfall was compared with true rainfall which was collected from rain gauge of different stations and it was found that the model rainfall prediction has given good results.


1988 ◽  
Vol 53 (6) ◽  
pp. 1134-1140
Author(s):  
Martin Breza ◽  
Peter Pelikán

It is suggested that for some transition metal hexahalo complexes, the Eg-(a1g + eg) vibronic coupling model is better suited than the classical T2g-(a1g + eg) model. For the former, alternative model, the potential constants in the analytical formula are evaluated from the numerical map of the adiabatic potential surface by using the linear regression method. The numerical values for 29 hexahalo complexes of the 1st row transition metals are obtained by the CNDO/2 method. Some interesting trends of parameters of such Jahn-Teller-active systems are disclosed.


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