scholarly journals Transmission mechanism of monetary policy and response to outside shocks in 2020 by National Bank of the Republic of Kazakhstan

2021 ◽  
pp. 179-185
Author(s):  
G. G. Ilyassova ◽  
Z. N. Abiyeva ◽  
G. A. Perneyeva
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Base Rate ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Inflation Forecasts ◽  
National Bank ◽  
The Republic

The article examines the features and current state of monetary policy and transmission mechanism of the National Bank of Kazakhstan. The transmission mechanism is not a tool to achieve the goals set for the development of the modern economy. This mechanism is a set of interactions in economic processes through which the results of decisions or transactions in the framework of monetary policy affect the economy. In this regard, the article describes the level of inflation and its impact on the level of prices for goods and services. The situation with the use of the consumer price index to calculate inflation, calculated on the basis of the analysis of prices in the portfolio of consumer goods and services of the Ministry of National Economy of the Republic of Kazakhstan, is analyzed in detail. Macroeconomic and microeconomic factors, reflecting the viable direction of the monetary policy of the Republic of Kazakhstan, affect the level of the consumer price index. To make decisions, the NBRK conducts research to determine inflation forecasts. Inflationary expectations make it possible to assess the possible impact on the economy. In this context, the article states that the NBRK's inflation target will be achieved through the following channels (base rate, exchange rate and money supply). The conclusion is based on the fact that, given the global pandemic around the world, one can see the NBRK's expansionary monetary policy and decisions to lower the base rate, increase the money supply and stabilize the currency.

scholarly journals Empirical Study of Relationship between Money Supply and Inflation Based on Data from New Standardised Reporting Format

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 213 ◽  
Author(s):  
Satrugan Sinah
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Effective Management ◽  
Empirical Estimation ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Monetary Aggregates ◽  
Bank Managers ◽  
Trade Partner

This study is based on data obtained from the new standardised reporting format introduced by International Monetary Fund. The empirical estimation of relationship between money supply and inflation leads to development of a model, which can be used by policy makers while formulating monetary policy. This model is based on new standardised reporting format, which has a broader approach in terms of capturing monetary aggregates in a country. Thus, as opposed to findings of many earlier studies, which used non-standardised data, this paper shows that an increase in money supply leads to an increase in consumer price index. ly. Finally, the study found that the RGDP of trade partner and bilateral real exchange rate are not statistically significant. empirical evidence linking bank customers’ participation in financial ads to their attitude. Managerially, this study informs bank managers regarding effective management of financial advert contents in order to influence bank customer’s attitude towards financial adverts.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy and the Real Economy: A Structural VAR Approach for Kazakhstan

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zinauova Bekbolatkyzy Nurgul ◽  
Tautanova Zere ◽  
Hayot Berk Saydaliev
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Structural Var ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Federal Funds ◽  
Federal Funds Rate

This paper shows monetary policy indicator which better explains Kazakhstani transmission mechanism. The study also discusses how foreign monetary policy or oil prices affect domestic macroeconomic variables. We use a seven variable by utilizing quarterly time series data from Kazakhstan covering the period from January 2005 to December 2017. They are: interest rate, exchange rate, output, reserve money, consumer price index, then, World oil price index and Federal Funds rate.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF MONETARY POLICY ON THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF KUWAIT FOR THE PERIOD OF 1980-2020

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (9) ◽  
pp. 01-14
Author(s):  
Nor Asmat Ismail
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
The Government

The government of Kuwait has shifted its focus from the dependence on oil and has concentrated on applying a long-term strategic vision that seeks to recover the economy and raise the citizens’ standard of living. To accomplish these objectives, monetary policy should be formulated appropriately by the government. However, it seems that the effects of monetary policy instruments on the economic growth of Kuwait are not obvious. Therefore, the main purpose of this study is to empirically explore the effect of monetary policy on Kuwaiti economic growth. This research uses annual time series data on real GDP, exchange rate, broad money supply (M2), consumer price index, and deposit interest rate over the period (1980 - 2020) and applies Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The results of the empirical analysis show the presence of a long-run relationship between real Gross Domestic Product and monetary policy instruments. Specifically, it finds that broad money supply (M2), deposit interest rate, and consumer price index affect economic growth positively and statistically significant. While the exchange rate affects real Gross Domestic Product negatively and statistically insignificant. The Granger causality test based on VECM shows two unidirectional causal relationships running from broad money supply and consumer price index to real GDP in the short run. Thus, the study suggests that policymakers concentrate on improving the economy by managing interest rates and maintain supporting environment for sustainable economic growth and development.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Ekonomi Makro Terhadap Indeks Harga Konsumen

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-34
Author(s):  
Fazhar Sumantri ◽  
Umi Latifah
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Index Number ◽  
The Republic

Consumer Price Index (CPI) is an index number indicates the price level of commodity and services must be purchase by consumers inone period. The purpose of the research is to analyze macroeconomics impact to CPI on variable Interest Rate of Credit, Money Supply, USD Exchange Rate, and Inflation as variables. Data used in this research was taken from Central Statistics Agency Indonesia and The Central Bank of The Republic of Indonesia. The result from F test shows significant relationship in Interest Rate of Credit, Money Supply, USD Exchange Rate, and Inflation to CPI. Meanwhile t test shows there is no significant relationship between Money Supply and USD Exchange Rate to CPI, while significant relationship Interest Rate of Credit and Inflation to CPI. Based on Adjuted R Square; Interest Rate of Credit, Money Supply, USD Exchange Rate, and Inflation towards to CPI is 65.6% while the rest of it 34.4% was influenced by other factors.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy and Domestic Private Investment in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 04 (07) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lubo Ebisine ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Insignificant Effect ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Domestic Savings

This paper empirically examined the effect of monetary policy on domestic private investment in Nigeria from 1981 to 2018. In other to achieve our objectives, annual time series data of the dependent variable – domestic private investment (DPI) and independent variables – money supply (MS), government domestic debt (GDD), government domestic savings (GDS), interest rate (INT) and consumer price index (CPI) were collected from secondary sources like CBN Statistical Bulletin and WDI. Thereafter, the data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and the econometrics technique of Vector Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) method of analysis. The results of analysis indicated that a long run relationship exists among the variables. Furthermore, the paper revealed that money supply (MS), government domestic savings (GDS). interest rate (INT) and consumer price index (CPI) have a negative and insignificant effect on domestic private investment in the long run but interest rate is significant at 5%, while government domestic debt (GDD), has a positive and insignificant effect on domestic private investment (DPI) in the long run in Nigeria within the period. Based on the above findings, the paper recommends as follows: Expansionary monetary policy should be formulated that will reduce interest rate, encourage borrowings and savings. This will expand commercial banks and other credit granting financial institutions which will encourage real investment in the economy.

TREND INFLATION AND MONETARY POLICY IN EASTERN EUROPE

2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 1649-1663
Author(s):  
Monika Junicke
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Transition Economies ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Producer Price ◽  
Trend Inflation ◽  
Theoretical Predictions ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic ◽  
Eastern European Countries

I use a two-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a nonzero steady-state inflation to study monetary policy in transition economies. In particular, my analysis focuses on whether inflation targeting is based on a consumer price index (CPI) or its producer counterpart, producer price index (PPI). This issue is specifically relevant for transition economies as they might be subject to Balassa–Samuelson effects arising from trading in international markets. Under these circumstances, domestic inflation is possibly higher than imported inflation, hence targeting PPI inflation may prove more effective in influencing domestic macroeconomic variables than targeting CPI inflation. Using a Bayesian methodology, I find that the central banks of three Eastern European countries (namely, the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland) are likely to target PPI inflation rather than CPI inflation. This result is in line with the theoretical predictions in the literature, and is robust across several Taylor-type rules.

scholarly journals Cashless Society and de-Dollarization in Ukraine. What is Missing from Present Discussions?

2016 ◽  
pp. 6-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marko Skreb ◽  
Kostiantyn Khvedchuk
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Underground Economy ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Substantial Part ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
National Bank ◽  
System Improvement

The National Bank of Ukraine stepped on the track to a cashless economy aiming at reforming the financial system, improvement of the transmission mechanism, and reduction of the underground economy and corruption. A substantial part of money in the Ukrainian economy is estimated to be foreign cash in circulation. This article underlines the importance of considering it while conducting monetary policy. Negative consequences of high dollarization and proliferation of cash are emphasized. We discuss measures that are helpful in decreasing usage of cash in general and foreign cash in particular.

scholarly journals MONETARY POLICY OF THE REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 103-110
Author(s):  
Ilyasova Gulmira Garifollaevna ◽  
Bekmukhametova Assemgul Bauirzhanovna
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Inclusive Growth ◽  
External Shocks ◽  
Credit Policy ◽  
Methodological Research ◽  
National Bank ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Near Future

Purpose: Currently due to Kazakhstan's high vulnerability to external shocks, Kazakhstan needs new growth factors to accelerate and provide more inclusive growth. The National Bank of Kazakhstan, as the central bank, is responsible for the development and implementation of state monetary and credit policy within the framework of powers provided by current legislation. Objectives of monetary policy are primarily carried out to achieve this goal. Restoration of trust to actions of economic authorities is possible only if a balanced and responsible policy, supported by concrete actions and results, is implemented. Methodology: This study provides a literature review of domestic and foreign authors, who conducted the study of monetary policy of Central Banks of countries in various aspects of international experience.  The study gives an analytical overview of the current monetary policy of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Main Findings: The study discusses the importance of Kazakhstan’s monetary-credit regulation as only by means of effective monetary policy state can mitigate economic crises, restrain inflation growth and stimulate investments in various sectors of country's economy. The studies are systematized theoretical and methodological research aspects of the monetary policy of Kazakhstan of which the conclusions and recommendations proposed to improve the economy of our country. Implications/Applications:  This suggests that we should work in the near future, look for drivers of growth, so as to ensure not just an anti-crisis manual management of the economy, but to enter the rails of sustainable development.

scholarly journals Impacts of Monetary Policy on Inflation in Bangladesh

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 103-119
Author(s):  
Mohammad Nayeem Abdullah ◽  
Kamruddin Parvez ◽  
Rahat Bari Tooheen
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Major Transitions ◽  
Classification Code ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
The Developed Countries ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this paper is to analyze and discuss the impacts of monetary policy on Bangladesh inflation, identify the major drawbacks of the policies in minimizing the inflation rate and suggest policy recommendations on some key issues of Bangladesh inflation. To estimate the effects of the monetary policy in Bangladesh, at first the impact of different monetary policy tools used by the “Central Banks” of the developed countries have been reviewed. Next, the impact of the monetary policy of Bangladesh Bank and government have been analyzed for which the data on money supply, growth of the GDP, changes in the price level, and changes in the unemployment rate have been quantitatively analyzed. We mainly used Consumer Price Index to determine the level on inflation in Bangladesh. Moreover, our study focuses on data collected from the 1950-2012, mainly focusing our study from the period of 2000-2012 as major transitions have been observed in the economy during the 12 years. We have further analyzed whether there is any correlation between (i) inflation rates and money supply, and (ii) inflation rates and growth of GDP. On the basis of the outcome of the qualitative and quantitative analysis, in the end findings and conclusion have been drawn. We have found the correlation, the impacts of monetary policy and inflation, their drawbacks and possible solutions such as independence of the monetary policy from the fiscal policy and enhancing the transparency, communication and signaling effect of policy moves, keeping the broad money in line with the estimated real GDP growth, borrowing from non-bank sources, and control money supply through various open market operations. Due to lack of access to sufficient data, some of our work is based on hypothesis and models. So some data vary according to the model being used. Lastly, even though, many works have been done from the perspective of developed and other developing countries, much work has not been carried out to establish the relationship between monetary policy and inflation in Bangladesh. GEL Classification Code: E31; E42; E50

scholarly journals Monetary policy change of the Central bank of Poland

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 246-259
Author(s):  
Ireneusz Kraś
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Policy Change ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Democratic Character ◽  
National Bank ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Government

Abstract The National Bank of Poland is an institution which, in conjunction with the government is responsible for the implementation of country’s economic policy reinforces its democratic character. Provisions of its operation are governed by the Constitution of The Republic of Poland and by the Act on the National Bank of Poland. To this end, the objective of the present research is to analyse the proposed amendments in the Act on the NBP. The latter concerns the amendment procedures, term of office and the rotations and numbers of Monetary Policy Council. The remaining part of the analyses is dedicated to the issue of dismissal of a MPC’s member in conjunction with the prohibition of occupying other positions, the adoption of the NBP’s financial statements and the separation of instruments of monetary policy’s instruments for stability of domestic financial system. Introduced changes in the proposed draft reduce the independence of the NBP while making it more subject to the Cabinet. Following the result of further consultations on the draft of Act on the NBP, provisions which reduce the independence of the NBP shall be partially removed.

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