scholarly journals Investigation of Energy Inflation Dynamics in Pakistan: Revisiting the Role of Structural Determinants

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 371-380
Author(s):  
Sidra Iqbal ◽  
Fouzia Yasmin ◽  
Noreen Safdar ◽  
Maria Safdar
Keyword(s):  
Energy Demand ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Energy Prices ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Structural Determinants ◽  
The Government ◽  
Bound Test

Enormous fluctuation has been observed in energy prices in recent years. This strong volatility in energy prices implies grave inferences for Pakistan’s economy as shown by its substantial dependence on imported fuels. In Pakistan, energy prices play a critical role in inflation determination also concluded in the study at hand. The index of energy inflation was constructed, and the role of various control variables such as board money, taxes, oil prices, energy import, and GDP has been elaborated. Current study endeavors to examine the determinants of energy inflation in Pakistan by using time-series data for 1991 to 2019. Unit root was tested by utilizing ADF, furthermore, the Bound test suggested ARDL cointegration for empirical analysis. Therefore, an increase in the demand for energy in economic activities in developing countries indicates an energy demand hence implies energy inflation. The government of Pakistan must focus on the role of these factors to control inflation and to enhance the welfare in the country.

scholarly journals Current Situation of Egyptian Cotton: Econometrics Study Using ARDL Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 88
Author(s):  
Yosri Nasr Ahmed ◽  
Huang Delin
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Agricultural Practices ◽  
Government Support ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Cotton Crop ◽  
Export Prices ◽  
The Government ◽  
Bound Test ◽  
Egyptian Cotton ◽  
Relative Profitability

The Egyptian cotton crop have experienced challenges in recent years from a drop in the quantity produced and exported, to a decrease in cultivated areas, this have affected the production quantity and value of exports. This study aims to bridge the research gap by exploring the nexus between cultivated area of cotton in Egypt, Relative profitability (cotton-clover/rice-clover), export quantity of cotton, the export prices of Egyptian cotton and the export prices of American cotton (Pima). In order to clarify the relationship between the variables studied and the cultivated area of cotton, the research use time series data from 1980 to 2016, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound test to the find the co-integration between the variables after checking the stationarity in chosen variables with different unit root tests e.g. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and the Phillips-Perron (PP). The results show, significant factors that influence the cultivated area of cotton include Relative profitability (cotton-clover/rice-clover), export quantity of cotton in long run term. Which underscores the need for government support in agriculture, in particular, cotton crop support. The increasing trend of cotton cost with declining revenue and decreasing in exports quantity is the main cause of decreased cultivated area of Egyptian cotton. Research recommends that support should be given to cotton farmers, in the form of agricultural equipment or training in good agricultural practices or set a price for cotton guaranteeing a decent profit margin for the farmers. The government (policy makers) should improve the productivity of cotton with the purpose of reducing the total costs and increasing the degree of competitiveness of the Egyptian cotton. Some effective policy measures may include but not limited to, farmer training programs and providing better extension services that will led to the capacity development of farmers.

scholarly journals An Econometric Validation of Malthusian Theory: Evidence in Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-90
Author(s):  
Musa Abdullahi Sakanko ◽  
Joseph David
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Food Production ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Control Measure ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
Bound Test ◽  
Malthusian Theory

Rising population is an asset, provided, the skills of the workforce are used to the maximum extent. If not appropriately channelized, it can be a liability for a nation. A skilled and hardworking population can emerge as a foundation for a country’s development. This study examines the validity of Malthusian Theory in Nigeria using time series data from 1960 to 2016, employs the ARDL bound test techniques. The result shows that in the long-run, population growth and food production move proportionately, while population growth poses a depleting effect on food production in the short-run, thus validating the incidence of Malthusian impact in Nigerian economy in the short-run. The researcher recommended the government should strategize plans, which will further intensify family planning and birth control measure, compulsory western education and revitalization of the agricultural sector.DOI: 10.150408/sjie.v7i1.6461

Resource–Economic Growth Nexus, Role of Governance, Financial Development, Globalisation and War: Dynamic Approach

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sorush Niknamian
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Good Governance ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Government ◽  
Rich Countries

This study reassesses the resource–economic growth nexus by incorporating several channels. Advanced panel time series techniques are used to analyse panel time series data from 1980 to 2015 in 31 oil-rich countries. Results show that oil rent augments economic growth; thus, oil rent is conducive rather than impediment for economic growth. The role of governance in economic growth is significant in the selected countries. Oil rent exerts a positive significant impact on economic growth in countries with good governance compare to countries with poor governance. Financial development is an unimportant channel in the resource–growth nexus because FD is often unable to mobilise oil rent from the government to the private sector in oil-rich countries. Globalisation is advantageous for countries and promote economic growth. Moreover, war exerts a significant negative effect on growth in the long term.

scholarly journals Effect of Economic and Agricultural Diversification on the Economic Growth in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 40 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ohunyeye O. Felix ◽  
Obamen Joseph ◽  
Omonona Solomon ◽  
Agbaeze K. Emmanuel
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Test Method ◽  
Annual Reports ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Agricultural Diversification ◽  
The Government ◽  
Bound Test

The study examines the effect of economic and agricultural diversification on economic growth in Nigeria. The objectives were to determine the effect of government agricultural spending on Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product. Data were collected from secondary sourced using the time series data which was extracted from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) annual Statistical Bulletin for the period and The Nigeria Bureau of Statistic annual reports. Data were analyzed using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach or Bound Test Method. The findings revealed that Government agricultural expenditure does not have a significant effect on Gross Domestic Product. The investigation suggested that the government at all level should increase their budgetary allocations for agriculture and also develop a functional agricultural long-term blueprint to improve the sector.

scholarly journals Impact of Remittance on Economic Development of Nepal

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-30
Author(s):  
Rameshwar Acharya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Fixed Capital Formation ◽  
Annual Time Series ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Annual Time

This study assesses the impact of remittance on Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Gross National Product (GNP) and Per Capita Income (PCI) of Nepal employing multiple regression method on national annual time series data for a period of 41 years (from 1974/75 to 2014/15). The results show that there is positive impact of remittance on GDP, GNP and PCI. Further, the findings clearly provide an evidence of predictive power of fixed capital formation on economic development. But the role of export could not be established. Finally, to foster the economic development, it is suggested that the government should initiate policy to channelize the remittance income into the productive uses by offering attractive investment schemes to the remittance receiving families.

scholarly journals Fiscal Response to Terrorism in Pakistan: The Role of Institutions

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 154-192
Author(s):  
Tahir Mukhtar ◽  
Zainab Jehan
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Institutional Quality ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Defense Spending ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

This study empirically estimates the fiscal consequences of terrorism in Pakistan by using annual time series data from 1984 to 2016. By employing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique, the study has gauged the impact of terrorist incidents on two important facets of fiscal policy, namely, tax revenue and defense spending. The results reveal that terrorism has detrimental ramifications for fiscal policy in Pakistan. Specifically, on the one hand, an increase in terrorist incidents tends to bring a fall in tax revenue while on the other hand, they induce a rise in defense outlays, thus deteriorating both fronts of the fiscal position. Notably, the moderating role of institutional quality appears significant and indicates that institutional quality has not only a significant direct impact on fiscal policy, but it also helps in completely mitigating (reducing) the harmful impact of terrorism on defense spending (tax revenue) in Pakistan. These findings suggest that there is a need to take appropriate steps for strengthening institutional setup to control the fallouts of terrorism on fiscal behavior of the government of Pakistan. Keywords: Terrorism; Tax Revenue; Institutional Quality; ARDL JEL Classification: E62; H2; E02; H5; F35

scholarly journals Resource–Economic Growth Nexus, Role of Governance, Financial Development, Globalisation and War: Dynamic Approach

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sorush Niknamian
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Good Governance ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Government ◽  
Rich Countries

This study reassesses the resource–economic growth nexus by incorporating several channels. Advanced panel time series techniques are used to analyse panel time series data from 1980 to 2015 in 31 oil-rich countries. Results show that oil rent augments economic growth; thus, oil rent is conducive rather than impediment for economic growth. The role of governance in economic growth is significant in the selected countries. Oil rent exerts a positive significant impact on economic growth in countries with good governance compare to countries with poor governance. Financial development is an unimportant channel in the resource–growth nexus because FD is often unable to mobilise oil rent from the government to the private sector in oil-rich countries. Globalisation is advantageous for countries and promote economic growth. Moreover, war exerts a significant negative effect on growth in the long term.

scholarly journals Economic Growth and Environmental Pollution in Brunei: ARDL Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Issa Moh’d Hemed ◽  
Suleiman Malik Faki ◽  
Salim Hamad Suleiman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Environmental Pollution ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Kuznets Curve ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
Bound Test

Aims: This study examined the short run and long run dynamic relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution in Brunei. We adoptedAuto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to scrutinize the existence of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) among the studying variables by using time series data cover the period of 1974 to 2014. Methodology: The ARDL bound test revealed the existence of long-run relationship among the integrated variables when CO2 chosen as a dependent variable. Results: The results support the existences of EKC hypotheses in the long-run whereas in the short-run an inverted U-shaped curve was not confirmed between GDP and CO2 in Brunei. The results of Granger causality based on VECM analysis have shown unidirectional causality runs from economic growth to CO2 in the short run. Further analysis through stability test indicates the coefficients in the model are stable and do not suffers with structural break within the time taken in the study. Conclusion: The government of Brunei should proceed to target the sustainable means of production, which has an environmental friendly and consumes less energy to enhance economic growth and maintain environmental quality in the long run.

scholarly journals The Influence Of Small Micro Industries On Economic Growth

JEJAK ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 318-326
Author(s):  
Rohadin Rohadin ◽  
Yanah Yanah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Growth Data ◽  
Capital Access ◽  
The Government ◽  
Analyze Data

The purpose of this study to determine whether SMEs have a role to economic growth and how big the role of SMEs to economic growth in Indonesia. Types of data used are time series data i.e SMEs data and Economic growth data from year 2003 until 2018 in Indonesia.Tool of analyze data used in this research is multiple linear regression. The result of analysis shows that the influence between of SMEs on economic growth in Indonesia is only 12,5%, it means that Small Micro Entreprises do not have a significant influence on economic growth in Indonesia, government to accelerate the development of SMEs in Indonesia in order to contribute to economic growth as in the economic crisis that occurred in 1998 SMEs are able to survive when many large companies are bankrupt. This may be caused by SMEs owners and workers in SMEs do not pay taxes to the government so that not much contribute to the economic growth of the Indonesia. In order for SMEs to contribute to economic growth, must export their products to other countries and support from the government is needed to facilitate SMEs in obtaining capital access from financial institutions.

scholarly journals DISPARITAS PEMBANGUNAN DAN FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHINYA (STUDI KASUS DI DAERAH SUMBAGSEL)

2007 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 21
Author(s):  
Daryono Soebagiyo
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Regional Development ◽  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Influence Factors ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Government Revenue ◽  
The Government

This is well illustrated by recent research into inter-regional development growth disparities. Some researchers have followed the Neoclassical route, emphasizing the role of the Williamson Index, and then can be expressed relationship in general form that in regression and correlation coefficient analysis involving time series data. The objectives of this research was to preview the classification development of disparities and influence factors in the late five years during 1992-1996, case study in SUMBAGSEL. The Analysis can be calculated to measure the government revenue, income regional and contributed tax sectors.

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