scholarly journals Ethnicity and other COVID-19 death risk factors in Mexico

Author(s):  
Erwin Chiquete ◽  
Jesus Alegre-Díaz ◽  
Ana Ochoa-Guzmán ◽  
Liz Nicole Toapanta-Yanchapaxi ◽  
Carlos González-Carballo ◽  
...  

IntroductionPatients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection may develop coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Risk factors associated with death vary among countries with different ethnic backgrounds. We aimed to describe the factors associated with death in Mexicans with confirmed COVID-19.Material and methodsWe analysed the Mexican Ministry of Health’s official database on people tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection by real-time reverse transcriptase–polymerase chain reaction (rtRT-PCR) of nasopharyngeal fluids. Bivariate analyses were performed to select characteristics potentially associated with death, to integrate a Cox-proportional hazards model.ResultsAs of May 18, 2020, a total of 177,133 persons (90,586 men and 86,551 women) in Mexico received rtRT-PCR testing for SARS-CoV-2. There were 5332 deaths among the 51,633 rtRT-PCR-confirmed cases (10.33%, 95% CI: 10.07–10.59%). The median time (interquartile range, IQR) from symptoms onset to death was nine days (5–13 days), and from hospital admission to death 4 days (2–8 days). The analysis by age groups revealed that the significant risk of death started gradually at the age of 40 years. Independent death risk factors were obesity, hypertension, male sex, indigenous ethnicity, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, immunosuppression, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, age > 40 years, and the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Only 1959 (3.8%) cases received IVM, of whom 1893 were admitted to the intensive care unit (96.6% of those who received IMV).ConclusionsIn Mexico, highly prevalent chronic diseases are risk factors for death among persons with COVID-19. Indigenous ethnicity is a poorly studied factor that needs more investigation.

Antibiotics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 105
Author(s):  
Jatapat Hemapanpairoa ◽  
Dhitiwat Changpradub ◽  
Sudaluck Thunyaharn ◽  
Wichai Santimaleeworagun

The prevalence of enterococcal infection, especially E. faecium, is increasing, and the issue of the impact of vancomycin resistance on clinical outcomes is controversial. This study aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes of infection caused by E. faecium and determine the risk factors associated with mortality. This retrospective study was performed at the Phramongkutklao Hospital during the period from 2014 to 2018. One hundred and forty-five patients with E. faecium infections were enrolled. The 30-day and 90-day mortality rates of patients infected with vancomycin resistant (VR)-E. faecium vs. vancomycin susceptible (VS)-E. faecium were 57.7% vs. 38.7% and 69.2% vs. 47.1%, respectively. The median length of hospitalization was significantly longer in patients with VR-E. faecium infection. In logistic regression analysis, VR-E. faecium, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores, and bone and joint infections were significant risk factors associated with both 30-day and 90-day mortality. Moreover, Cox proportional hazards model showed that VR-E. faecium infection (HR 1.91; 95%CI 1.09–3.37), SOFA scores of 6–9 points (HR 2.69; 95%CI 1.15–6.29), SOFA scores ≥ 10 points (HR 3.71; 95%CI 1.70–8.13), and bone and joint infections (HR 0.08; 95%CI 0.01–0.62) were significant risk factors for mortality. In conclusion, the present study confirmed the impact of VR-E. faecium infection on mortality and hospitalization duration. Thus, the appropriate antibiotic regimen for VR-E. faecium infection, especially for severely ill patients, is an effective strategy for improving treatment outcomes.


Author(s):  
Jiwei Bai ◽  
Mingxuan Li ◽  
Jianxin Shi ◽  
Liwei Jing ◽  
Yixuan Zhai ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective Skull base chordoma (SBC) is rare and one of the most challenging diseases to treat. We aimed to assess the optimal timing of adjuvant radiation therapy (RT) and to evaluate the factors that influence resection and long-term outcomes. Methods In total, 284 patients with 382 surgeries were enrolled in this retrospective study. Postsurgically, 64 patients underwent RT before recurrence (pre-recurrence RT), and 47 patients underwent RT after recurrence. During the first attempt to achieve gross-total resection (GTR), when the entire tumor was resected, 268 patients were treated with an endoscopic midline approach, and 16 patients were treated with microscopic lateral approaches. Factors associated with the success of GTR were identified using χ2 and logistic regression analyses. Risk factors associated with chordoma-specific survival (CSS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated with the Cox proportional hazards model. Results In total, 74.6% of tumors were marginally resected [GTR (40.1%), near-total resection (34.5%)]. History of surgery, large tumor volumes, and tumor locations in the lower clivus were associated with a lower GTR rate. The mean follow-up period was 43.9 months. At the last follow-up, 181 (63.7%) patients were alive. RT history, histologic subtype (dedifferentiated and sarcomatoid), non-GTR, no postsurgical RT, and the presence of metastasis were associated with poorer CSS. Patients with pre-recurrence RT had the longest PFS and CSS, while patients without postsurgical RT had the worst outcome. Conclusion GTR is the goal of initial surgical treatment. Pre-recurrence RT would improve outcome regardless of GTR.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Shi ◽  
Matthew Rappelt ◽  
Rayan Yousefzai ◽  
Nasir Sulemanjee ◽  
Dianne Zwicke ◽  
...  

Introduction: Continuous-flow Left Ventricular Assisted Device (CF-LVAD) therapy is increasingly utilized for patients with end stage heart failure. Among the most common and unpredictable complications after CF-LVAD is gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB). Hypothesis: We hypothesize that pre-implant characteristics are associated with GIB post-implant of a CF-LVAD. The aim of this analysis is to identify novel pre-implant factors that influence risk of post-implant GIB. Methods: All CF-LVAD implants between January 2006 and December 2014 among patients who survived more than 15 days were included and followed for 12 months. Primary event was GIB and patients were censored at time of re-implant, heart transplant, or death. Student’s t-test was used to compare continuous variables and chi-square test for categorical variables. Cox Proportional Hazards model was used to identify univariate and multivariable models predicting GIB. Results: Among the total 257 patients included, 65 (25.3%) were identified as having a GIB. Baseline differences and their independent univariate hazard ratio (HR) are noted in Table 1. Using stepwise selection and developing a multivariable model, prior GI abnormalities (HR=2.12, p<0.01), prior percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI: HR=2.65, P<0.01) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD: HR=1.73, P<0.01) remained statistically significant predictors of GIB (Table 2). Conclusions: We describe novel risk factors (history of GI abnormalities, prior PCI, COPD) as predictors for developing GIB post CF-LVAD implantation. We advocate a closer examination of these risk factors when evaluating patients for CF-LVAD therapy.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. e0248009
Author(s):  
Andrea De Vito ◽  
Vito Fiore ◽  
Elija Princic ◽  
Nicholas Geremia ◽  
Catello Mario Panu Napodano ◽  
...  

Introduction Since the start of the pandemic, millions of people have been infected, with thousands of deaths. Many foci worldwide have been identified in retirement nursing homes, with a high number of deaths. Our study aims were to evaluate the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the retirement nursing homes, the predictors to develop symptoms, and death. Methods and findings We conducted a retrospective study enrolling all people living in retirement nursing homes (PLRNH), where at least one SARS-CoV-2 infected person was present. Medical and clinical data were collected. Variables were compared with Student’s t-test or Pearson chi-square test as appropriate. Uni- and multivariate analyses were conducted to evaluate variables’ influence on infection and symptoms development. Cox proportional-hazards model was used to evaluate 30 days mortality predictors, considering death as the dependent variable. We enrolled 382 subjects. The mean age was 81.15±10.97 years, and males were 140(36.7%). At the multivariate analysis, mental disorders, malignancies, and angiotensin II receptor blockers were predictors of SARS-CoV-2 infection while having a neurological syndrome was associated with a lower risk. Only half of the people with SARS-CoV-2 infection developed symptoms. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and neurological syndrome were correlated with an increased risk of developing SARS-CoV-2 related symptoms. Fifty-six (21.2%) people with SARS-CoV-2 infection died; of these, 53 died in the first 30 days after the swab’s positivity. Significant factors associated with 30-days mortality were male gender, hypokinetic disease, and the presence of fever and dyspnea. Patients’ autonomy and early heparin treatment were related to lower mortality risk. Conclusions We evidenced factors associated with infection’s risk and death in a setting with high mortality such as retirement nursing homes, that should be carefully considered in the management of PLRNH.


Author(s):  
Marlise P. dos Santos ◽  
Armin Sabri ◽  
Dar Dowlatshahi ◽  
Ali Muraback Bakkai ◽  
Abed Elallegy ◽  
...  

AbstractBackground: Recurrence after intracranial aneurysm coiling is a highly prevalent outcome, yet to be understood. We investigated clinical, radiological and procedural factors associated with major recurrence of coiled intracranial aneurysms. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed prospectively collected coiling data (2003-12). We recorded characteristics of aneurysms, patients and interventional techniques, pre-discharge and angiographic follow-up occlusion. The Raymond-Roy classification was used; major recurrence was a change from class I or II to class III, increase in class III remnant, and any recurrence requiring any type of retreatment. Identification of risk factors associated with major recurrence used univariate Cox Proportional Hazards Model followed by multivariate regression analysis of covariates with P<0.1. Results: A total of 467 aneurysms were treated in 435 patients: 283(65%) harboring acutely ruptured aneurysms, 44(10.1%) patients died before discharge and 33(7.6%) were lost to follow-up. A total of 1367 angiographic follow-up studies (range: 1-108 months, Median [interquartile ranges (IQR)]: 37[14-62]) was performed in 384(82.2%) aneurysms. The major recurrence rate was 98(21%) after 6(3.5-22.5) months. Multivariate analysis (358 patients with 384 aneurysms) revealed the risk factors for major recurrence: age>65 y (hazard ratio (HR): 1.61; P=0.04), male sex (HR: 2.13; P<0.01), hypercholesterolemia (HR: 1.65; P=0.03), neck size ≥4 mm (HR: 1.79; P=0.01), dome size ≥7 mm (HR: 2.44; P<0.01), non-stent-assisted coiling (HR: 2.87; P=0.01), and baseline class III (HR: 2.18; P<0.01). Conclusion: Approximately one fifth of the intracranial aneurysms resulted in major recurrence. Modifiable factors for major recurrence were choice of stent-assisted technique and confirmation of adequate baseline occlusion (Class I/II) in the first coiling procedure.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S323-S323
Author(s):  
Mamta Sharma ◽  
Susan M Szpunar ◽  
Ashish Bhargava ◽  
Leonard B Johnson ◽  
Louis Saravolatz

Abstract Background Mortality from COVID-19 is associated with male sex, older age, black race, and comorbidities including obesity. Our study identified risk factors for in-hospital mortality from COVID-19 using survival analysis at an urban center in Detroit, MI. Methods This was a single-center historical cohort study. We reviewed the electronic medical records of patients positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (the COVID-19 virus) on qualitative polymerase-chain-reaction assay, who were admitted between 3/8-6/14/20. We assessed risk factors for mortality using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models. Results We included 565 patients with mean age (standard deviation) 64.4 (16.2) years, 52.0% male (294) and 77.2% (436) black/African American. The overall mean body mass index (BMI) was 32.0 (9.02) kg/m2. At least one comorbidity was present in 95.2% (538) of patients. The overall case-fatality rate was 30.4% (172/565). The unadjusted mortality rate among males was 33.7% compared to 26.9% in females (p=0.08); the median time to death (range) for males was 16.8 (0.3, 33.9) compared to 14.2 (0.32, 47.7) days for females (p=0.04). Univariable survival analysis with Cox proportional hazards models revealed that age (p=&lt; 0.0001), admission from a facility (p=0.002), public insurance (p&lt; 0.0001), respiratory rate ≥ 22 bpm (p=0.02), lymphocytopenia (p=0.07) and serum albumin (p=0.007) were additional risk factors for mortality (Table 1). From multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling (Table 2), after controlling for age, Charlson score and qSofa, males were 40% more likely to die than females (p=0.03). Table 1. Univariate analysis with Cox proportional hazards model on factors associated with mortality in patients with COVID-19 Abbreviations: HR: Hazard ratio, CI: Confidence interval Table 2. Multivariable analysis with Cox proportional hazards model on factors associated with mortality in patients with COVID-19 Abbreviations: HR: Hazard ratio, CI: Confidence interval, CWIC: Charlson weighted index of comorbidity, qSOFA: Quick sepsis related organ failure assessment Conclusion After controlling for risk factors for mortality including age, comorbidity and sepsis-related organ failure assessment, males continued to have a higher hazard of death. These demographic and clinical factors may help healthcare providers identify risk factors from COVID-19. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
jiwei bai ◽  
Mingxuan Li ◽  
Jianxin Shi ◽  
Liwei Jing ◽  
Yixuan Zhai ◽  
...  

Abstract OBJECTIVE: Skull-base chordoma (SBC) is rare and one of the most challenging diseases to treat. We aimed to assess the optimal timing of adjuvant radiation therapy (RT) and evaluate the factors that influence resection and long-term outcomes.METHODS: In total, 284 patients with 382 surgeries were enrolled in this retrospective study. Postsurgically, 64 patients underwent RT before recurrence (pre-recurrence RT), and 47 patients underwent RT after recurrence. During the first attempt to achieve gross-total resection (GTR), when the entire tumor was resected, 268 patients were treated with an endoscopic midline approach, and 16 patients were treated with microscopic lateral approaches. Factors associated with the success of GTR were identified using c2 and logistic regression analyses. Risk factors associated with chordoma-specific survival (CSS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated with the Cox proportional hazards model.RESULTS: In total, 74.6% of tumors were marginally resected [GTR (40.1%); near-total resection (34.5%)]. History of surgery, large tumor volumes and tumor locations in the lower clivus were associated with a lower GTR rate. The mean follow-up period was 43.9 months. At last follow-up, 181 (63.7%) patients were alive. RT history, histologic subtype (dedifferentiated and sarcomatoid), non-GTR, no postsurgical RT, and the presence of metastasis were associated with poorer CSS. Patients with pre-recurrence RT had the longest PFS and CSS, while patients without postsurgical RT had the worst outcome.CONCLUSION: GTR is the goal of initial surgical treatment. Pre-recurrence RT would improve outcome regardless of GTR.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 161-161
Author(s):  
Jane Banaszak-Holl ◽  
Xiaoping Lin ◽  
Jing Xie ◽  
Stephanie Ward ◽  
Henry Brodaty ◽  
...  

Abstract Research Aims: This study seeks to understand whether those with dementia experience higher risk of death, using data from the ASPREE (ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) clinical trial study. Methods: ASPREE was a primary intervention trial of low-dose aspirin among healthy older people. The Australian cohort included 16,703 dementia-free participants aged 70 years and over at enrolment. Participants were triggered for dementia adjudication if cognitive test results were poorer than expected, self-reporting dementia diagnosis or memory problems, or dementia medications were detected. Incidental dementia was adjudicated by an international adjudication committee using the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual for Mental Disorders (DSM-IV) criteria and results of a neuropsychological battery and functional measures with medical record substantiation. Statistical analyses used a cox proportional hazards model. Results: As previously reported, 1052 participants (5.5%) died during a median of 4.7 years of follow-up and 964 participants had a dementia trigger, of whom, 575 (60%) were adjucated as having dementia. Preliminary analyses has shown that the mortality rate was higher among participants with a dementia trigger, regardless of dementia adjudication outcome, than those without (15% vs 5%, Χ2 = 205, p &lt;.001). Conclusion: This study will provide important analyses of differences in the hazard ratio for mortality and causes of death among people with and without cognitive impairment and has important implications on service planning.


2017 ◽  
Vol 38 (10) ◽  
pp. 1155-1166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erica Herc ◽  
Payal Patel ◽  
Laraine L. Washer ◽  
Anna Conlon ◽  
Scott A. Flanders ◽  
...  

BACKGROUNDPeripherally inserted central catheters (PICCs) are associated with central-line–associated bloodstream infections (CLABSIs). However, no tools to predict risk of PICC-CLABSI have been developed.OBJECTIVETo operationalize or prioritize CLABSI risk factors when making decisions regarding the use of PICCs using a risk model to estimate an individual’s risk of PICC-CLABSI prior to device placement.METHODSUsing data from the Michigan Hospital Medicine Safety consortium, patients that experienced PICC-CLABSI between January 2013 and October 2016 were identified. A Cox proportional hazards model with robust sandwich standard error estimates was then used to identify factors associated with PICC-CLABSI. Based on regression coefficients, points were assigned to each predictor and summed for each patient to create the Michigan PICC-CLABSI (MPC) score. The predictive performance of the score was assessed using time-dependent area-under-the-curve (AUC) values.RESULTSOf 23,088 patients that received PICCs during the study period, 249 patients (1.1%) developed a CLABSI. Significant risk factors associated with PICC-CLABSI included hematological cancer (3 points), CLABSI within 3 months of PICC insertion (2 points), multilumen PICC (2 points), solid cancers with ongoing chemotherapy (2 points), receipt of total parenteral nutrition (TPN) through the PICC (1 point), and presence of another central venous catheter (CVC) at the time of PICC placement (1 point). The MPC score was significantly associated with risk of CLABSI (P<.0001). For every point increase, the hazard ratio of CLABSI increased by 1.63 (95% confidence interval, 1.56–1.71). The area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve was 0.67 to 0.77 for PICC dwell times of 6 to 40 days, which indicates good model calibration.CONCLUSIONThe MPC score offers a novel way to inform decisions regarding PICC use, surveillance of high-risk cohorts, and utility of blood cultures when PICC-CLABSI is suspected. Future studies validating the score are necessary.Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol2017;38:1155–1166


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhaojie Dong ◽  
Xin Du ◽  
Shangxin Lu ◽  
Chao Jiang ◽  
Shijun Xia ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) underwent a high risk of hospitalization, which, however, has not been paid much attention in clinic. Therefore, we aimed to assess the incidence, causes and predictors of hospitalization in AF patients.Methods: From August 2011 to December 2017, 20,172 AF patients from the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry (China-AF) Study were enrolled in this study. We described the incidence, causes of hospitalization according to age and gender categories. The Cox proportional hazards model was employed to identify predictors of first all-cause and first cause-specific hospitalization. Results: After a mean follow-up of 37.3 ± 20.4 months, 7,512 (37.2%) AF patients experienced one or more hospitalizations. The overall incidence of all-cause hospitalization was 24.0 per 100 patient-years. Patients aged < 65 years were predominantly hospitalized for AF (42.1% of the total frequency of hospitalizations); while patients aged 65-74 and ≥ 75 years were mainly hospitalized for non-cardiovascular diseases (43.6% and 49.3%, respectively). Multivariate Cox model analysis verified the higher risk of hospitalization in patients complicated with heart failure (HF)[hazard ratio (HR) 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08-1.24], established coronary artery disease (CAD) (HR 1.26, 95%CI 1.19-1.34), ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA) (HR 1.26, 95%CI 1.18-1.33), diabetes (HR 1.16, 95%CI 1.10-1.22), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (HR 1.41, 95%CI 1.13-1.76), gastrointestinal disorder (HR 1.39, 95%CI 1.23-1.58), and renal dysfunction (HR 1.31, 95%CI 1.16-1.48). Conclusions: More than one-third of AF patients included in this study were hospitalized at least once during almost 3 years of follow-up. The main cause for hospitalization among elderly patients (≥65 years) is non-cardiovascular diseases rather than AF. Multidisciplinary management of comorbidities should be advocated as strategies to reduce hospitalization in AF patients.Clinical Trial Registration: URL: http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=5831. Unique identifier: ChiCTR-OCH-13003729.


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