scholarly journals The Role of FDI on Structural Transformation among Sub-Saharan African and EAP Countries Using a Panel Data Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (11) ◽  
pp. 402-428
Author(s):  
Solomon Kebede Menza ◽  
◽  
Zerihun Getachew ◽  
Berhanu Kuma ◽  
Tora Abebe ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Structural Transformation ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Income Category ◽  
Pooled Mean Group ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sub Saharan

In recent decades the activities of multinational corporations have increased across the globe substantially having a massive flows of foreign direct investment. This paper empirically examines the role of FDI on structural transformation among Sub-Saharan African and EAP Countries Using a Panel Data Approach. To achieve the objective the study took 31 years panel data . The study used descriptive analysis and empirical methods of analysis. The panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag model with error correction models of Pooled Mean Group technique were employed after checking the possible assumptions of our economic series. The results of Im-Pesaran-Shin test confirms our economic series are stationary at level and first difference forms. Pedroni’s cointegration tests suggests the existence of co-integration between the variables. According to the descriptive analysis, on average structural transformation index (STI) is the highest for China (30.52%) followed by South Korea (25.86), while Ethiopia (4.85) is having the lowest. On other hand, the East Asian and Pacific (EAP) countries in the higher income category are performing better than Sub-Saharan African countries. In addition,Sub-Saharan Africa countries are by far having low level of FDI inflows as compared to EAP countries. Particularly, the FDI inflows for EAP countries in the higher income category is around USD 52 Billion, and while for low and middle income category SSA countries it accounts around USD 2.2 Billion and USD 85 million, respectively. More specifically, across countries in the panel the FDI inflow is the highest for China while on average Kenya is having the lowest FDI inflows. On the other hand, according to the ARDL model of Pooled Mean Group estimation technique in the long-run financial development indicator and FDI have positive impact on the structural transformation index of nations at 1percent level of significance for the full sample in the panel. Moreover, pooled mean group regression result among the Sub-Saharan African and EAP countries FDI has a significant but having different sign for the two group in predicting structural transformation. Particularly, for EAP countries FDI has a negative effect in the long run and a positive effect in the short-run on structural transformation index which are also statistically significant. While for Sub-Saharan African countries FDI has a positive and statistically significant effect on structural transformation both in the long run and short-run. Finally, the government of developing countries like SSAs should provide different incentive packages to attract FDI inflows, among others.

scholarly journals Long-Run and Short-Run Effects of Trade Openness on Life Quality in Sub-Saharan Africa

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 72-83
Author(s):  
Guivis Zeufack Nkemgha ◽  
Aimée Viviane Mbita ◽  
Symphorin Engone Mve ◽  
Rodrigue Tchoffo
Keyword(s):  
Trade Openness ◽  
Life Quality ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Pooled Mean Group ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
French Colonies ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
British Colonies

This paper contributes to the understanding of the other neglected effects of trade openness by analysing how it affects life quality in sub-Saharan African countries over the period 2000–2016. We used two trade openness indicators, namely: Squalli and Wilson index and the rate of trade. The empirical evidence is based on a pooled mean group approach. With two panels differentiated by their colonial origin, the following findings are established: the trade openness variable measured by Squalli and Wilson index has no effect on life quality in the both groups of countries in the short-run. However, it has a positive and significant effect on life quality in the both group of countries in the long-run. The use of the rate of trade confirms the results in the both groups of countries in the long-run. The contribution of trade openness to life quality is 3.27 and 5.19 times higher in the Former British Colonies than that recorded in the Former French Colonies of SSA respectively to the use of Squalli and Wilson index and the rate of trade. Overall, we find strong evidence supporting the view that trade openness promotes life quality in SSA countries in the long run.

Population Growth and Urbanization in Africa

2016 ◽  
pp. 282-297 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel Adams ◽  
Eric Evans Osei Opoku
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Dioxide ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Carbon Dioxide Emissions ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Pooled Mean Group ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sub Saharan

This study examined the effect of population growth and urbanization on the environment (carbon dioxide emissions) for 37 sub Saharan African countries based on 1980-2010 annual data. Using the Pooled Mean Group estimation technique, the findings of the study show that affluence and industrialization have negative effect on the environment (increases carbon dioxide emissions) while urbanization does not have a significant effect on carbon dioxide emissions. The population variable is significant only in the long run but insignificant in the short run. Also, after controlling for the different age groups, the results show that the more active age group (15-59) is positive and significantly related to carbon dioxide emissions.

Population Growth and Urbanization in Africa

2019 ◽  
pp. 1355-1370
Author(s):  
Samuel Adams ◽  
Eric Evans Osei Opoku
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Dioxide ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Carbon Dioxide Emissions ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Pooled Mean Group ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sub Saharan

This study examined the effect of population growth and urbanization on the environment (carbon dioxide emissions) for 37 sub Saharan African countries based on 1980-2010 annual data. Using the Pooled Mean Group estimation technique, the findings of the study show that affluence and industrialization have negative effect on the environment (increases carbon dioxide emissions) while urbanization does not have a significant effect on carbon dioxide emissions. The population variable is significant only in the long run but insignificant in the short run. Also, after controlling for the different age groups, the results show that the more active age group (15-59) is positive and significantly related to carbon dioxide emissions.

scholarly journals Implications of Governance, Natural Resources, and Security Threats on Economic Development: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (12) ◽  
pp. 6236
Author(s):  
Husam Rjoub ◽  
Chuka Uzoma Ifediora ◽  
Jamiu Adetola Odugbesan ◽  
Benneth Chiemelie Iloka ◽  
João Xavier Rita ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Natural Resources ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Security Threats ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sub Saharan

Sub-Saharan African countries are known to be bedeviled with some challenges hindering the economic development. Meanwhile, some of these issues have not been exhaustively investigated in the context of the region. Thus, this study aimed at investigating the implications of government effectiveness, availability of natural resources, and security threats on the regions’ economic development. Yearly data, spanning from 2007 to 2020, was converted from low frequency (yearly) to high frequency (quarterly) and utilized. Data analysis was conducted using Dynamic heterogeneous panel level estimators (PMG and CS-ARDL). Findings show that while PMG estimator confirms a long-run causal effect of governance, natural resources, and security threats on economic development, only natural resources show a short-run causal effect with economic development, while the CS-ARDL (model 2) confirms the significance of all the variables both in the long and short-run. Moreover, the ECT coefficients for both models were found to be statistically significant at less than 1% significance level, which indicates that the systems return back to equilibrium in case of a shock that causes disequilibrium, and in addition, reveals a stable long-run cointegration among the variables in the model. Finally, this study suggests that the policy makers in SSA countries should place more emphasis on improving governance, managing security challenges, and effectively utilizing rents from the natural resources, as all these have severe implications for the economic development of the region if not addressed.

scholarly journals Deconstructing the Impact of Entrepreneurship on Income Inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa Countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 273-284
Author(s):  
Jimoh S. Ogede
Keyword(s):  
Income Inequality ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
Entrepreneurial Activities ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The study examines the impacts of entrepreneurship on income inequality in a panel of 29 Sub-Saharan African countries spanning from 2004 to 2020. The paper employs a dynamic heterogeneous panel approach to differentiate between long-run and short-run impacts of entrepreneurship on income inequality. The findings establish a robust and direct nexus between entrepreneurial activities and income disparity. The results of the two entrepreneurial indicators are stable. Besides, the coefficient of the human capital is positive in the regression and statistically significant at a 5 percent significance level. The proxies for macroeconomic factors exhibit diverse signs and impact, which suggest a policy stimulus aimed at refining macroeconomic situations and also ignite prospects for households to increase their incomes.

scholarly journals The Dynamic Impact of Public External Debt on Capital Formation in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Pooled Mean Group Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 144-157
Author(s):  
Chukwunenye N Kocha ◽  
Marshal Iwedi ◽  
James Sarakiri
Keyword(s):  
External Debt ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Debt Service ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Interest Payment ◽  
Debt Sustainability ◽  
Pooled Mean Group ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sub Saharan

The increasing reliance on public external debt stocks in Africa and other developing countries has raised the question of debt sustainability, especially in the face of Covid-19, which has forced many counties (both developed and developing) into an unforeseen and unplanned recession. This study contributes to the literature on debt sustainability by examining the effect of public debt on capital formation in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) from 2000 to 2008 using the pooled mean group estimation approach. The debt variables considered are external debt stock, debt service on external debt, and interest payment on external debt. Consistent with the overhang theory, our results show that increasing external debt stock and interest payment on external debts only have a marginal impact on capital formation in the short run and exerts a serious negative effect in the long run. Our results also show that debt service burden has a positive effect on gross fixed capital formation in the long run. Therefore, we argue that despite being faced with a huge debt service burden resulting from large external debt stock, SSA countries are not neglecting investments in critical infrastructures needed to drive economic growth. However, we recommend that increasing government revenue base, minimizing economic waste associated with public expenditure, and intensifying negotiations for debt relief may be a plausible way out.

scholarly journals Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment: A Panel Data Analysis for Sub-Saharan African Countries

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 80-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Semra Boğa
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
Determinants Of Fdi

The aim of this study is to investigate the determinants of FDI inflows in Sub-Saharan African countries. In this study, panel data analysis was performed by using annual data from 23 countries for the period of 1975-2017. The Pesaran (2004) Cross-Section Dependence Test was performed to test correlation and IPS Unit Root Test was applied to reveal the stationary level between the units. Based on the PMG estimator results GDP growth, trade openness, domestic credit, natural resources and telecommunication infrastructure are all found to be the determinants of FDI inflows in Sub-Saharan countries in the long term. But, in the short term, only the GDP growth and trade openness determines the FDI inflows.

Are Merchandise Exports and FDI Inflows an Engine of Growth for ASEAN-10 Countries? New Evidence Using the Pooled Mean Group Estimation Method

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 414-430 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soo Khoon Goh ◽  
Koi Nyen Wong ◽  
Chee Lam Yew
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Regional Economy ◽  
Driving Forces ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Regional Growth ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Pooled Mean Group ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has made remarkable economic progress in terms of rapid economic growth and expanding export trade and foreign direct investment (FDI). Theoretically speaking, both merchandise exports and FDI can be regarded as the key driving forces behind the ‘economic miracle’ of the regional economy. The major contribution of this study is that it is the first effort to empirically analyse the short-run and long-run growth effects of merchandise exports and FDI on the ASEAN-10 countries using time-series panel data. In this regard, this study aims to ascertain whether the spectacular regional growth is export- and FDI-driven, based on the ASEAN-10 panel data spanning from 1970 to 2016 using the pooled mean group (PMG) method. The findings show that merchandise exports are a key source of growth for the regional economy, attributable to the joint liberalisation efforts of the member states to expand trade and FDI. The study does not find evidence of FDI-led growth because the bulk of the FDI was invested in only a few ASEAN countries, and the minor FDI-recipient countries are at an early stage to benefit from the growth impacts of FDI, owing to lower absorptive capacity. JEL Classification: C51, F21, F23, O19

scholarly journals An Investigation into the Interest Elasticity of Demand for Money in Developing Countries: A Panel Data Approach

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Felix S. Nyumuah
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Equatorial Guinea ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Demand For Money ◽  
Elasticity Of Demand ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Interest Rate

The issue as to whether the interest rate influences the demand for money in developing countries is still controversial. The aim of this study is to attempt to resolve this controversy. The study uses panel data from eight African countries to look at the interest elasticity of demand for money in developing countries. The countries used in the study are Angola (ANG), Equatorial Guinea (EQG), Gambia (GMB), Guinea-Bissau (GBS), Kenya (KNY), Mali (MLI), Nigeria (NGR) and Uganda (UGD). Overall, the study finds the interest rate to be inelastic in the short run but elastic in the long run. This finding suggests that monetary policy is ineffective in developing countries in the long run.

Assessing the Role of Governance in West African Fiscal Performance

2019 ◽  
Vol 65 (1) ◽  
pp. 97-122
Author(s):  
Fisayo Fagbemi
Keyword(s):  
West African ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Fiscal Performance ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Pooled Mean Group ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Fiscal Prudence

The article analyzes the short-run and long-run dynamic relationship between the quality of institutions and fiscal performance in 12 West African countries over the period of 1984 to 2016 using Pooled Mean Group and Mean Group estimator. The results show that, in the long run as well as in the short run, improved governance appears to lead to decreasing deficits. In comparison with other measures, in the long run, democratic accountability dimension seems to have the most significant effect on West African fiscal performance. However, the empirical evidence further reveals that, in the short run, the institutional dimensions are found to be insignificant in explaining West African fiscal performance. Hence, given that increased public debt could harm the quality of sustainable fiscal measures, the study suggests that creating incentives for the building of sound institutions and securing enabling governance would enhance fiscal prudence and sustainability in West Africa. JEL Classifications: G, H

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