scholarly journals Exploring accumulation-mode H<sub>2</sub>SO<sub>4</sub> versus SO<sub>2</sub> stratospheric sulfate geoengineering in a sectional aerosol–chemistry–climate model

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (7) ◽  
pp. 4877-4897 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandro Vattioni ◽  
Debra Weisenstein ◽  
David Keith ◽  
Aryeh Feinberg ◽  
Thomas Peter ◽  
...  

Abstract. Stratospheric sulfate geoengineering (SSG) could contribute to avoiding some of the adverse impacts of climate change. We used the SOCOL-AER global aerosol–chemistry–climate model to investigate 21 different SSG scenarios, each with 1.83 Mt S yr−1 injected either in the form of accumulation-mode H2SO4 droplets (AM H2SO4), gas-phase SO2 or as combinations of both. For most scenarios, the sulfur was continuously emitted at an altitude of 50 hPa (≈20 km) in the tropics and subtropics. We assumed emissions to be zonally and latitudinally symmetric around the Equator. The spread of emissions ranged from 3.75∘ S–3.75∘ N to 30∘ S–30∘ N. In the SO2 emission scenarios, continuous production of tiny nucleation-mode particles results in increased coagulation, which together with gaseous H2SO4 condensation, produces coarse-mode particles. These large particles are less effective for backscattering solar radiation and have a shorter stratospheric residence time than AM H2SO4 particles. On average, the stratospheric aerosol burden and corresponding all-sky shortwave radiative forcing for the AM H2SO4 scenarios are about 37 % larger than for the SO2 scenarios. The simulated stratospheric aerosol burdens show a weak dependence on the latitudinal spread of emissions. Emitting at 30∘ N–30∘ S instead of 10∘ N–10∘ S only decreases stratospheric burdens by about 10 %. This is because a decrease in coagulation and the resulting smaller particle size is roughly balanced by faster removal through stratosphere-to-troposphere transport via tropopause folds. Increasing the injection altitude is also ineffective, although it generates a larger stratospheric burden, because enhanced condensation and/or coagulation leads to larger particles, which are less effective scatterers. In the case of gaseous SO2 emissions, limiting the sulfur injections spatially and temporally in the form of point and pulsed emissions reduces the total global annual nucleation, leading to less coagulation and thus smaller particles with increased stratospheric residence times. Pulse or point emissions of AM H2SO4 have the opposite effect: they decrease the stratospheric aerosol burden by increasing coagulation and only slightly decrease clear-sky radiative forcing. This study shows that direct emission of AM H2SO4 results in higher radiative forcing for the same sulfur equivalent mass injection strength than SO2 emissions, and that the sensitivity to different injection strategies varies for different forms of injected sulfur.

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandro Vattioni ◽  
Debra Weisenstein ◽  
David Keith ◽  
Aryeh Feinberg ◽  
Thomas Peter ◽  
...  

Abstract. Stratospheric sulfate geoengineering (SSG) could contribute to avoiding some of the adverse impacts of climate change. We used the global 3D-aerosol-chemistry-climate model, SOCOL-AER, to investigate 21 different SSG scenarios, each with 1.83 Mt S yr−1 injected either in the form of accumulation-mode-H2SO4 droplets (AM-H2SO4), gas-phase SO2, or as combinations of both. For most scenarios, the sulfur was continuously emitted at 50 hPa (≈ 20 km) altitude in the tropics and subtropics, zonally and latitudinally symmetric about the equator (ranging from &amp;pm;3.75° to &amp;pm;30°). In the SO2 emission scenarios, continuous production of tiny nucleation mode particles results in increased coagulation, which together with condensation produces larger coarse mode particles. These larger particles are less effective for backscattering solar radiation and sedimentation out of the stratosphere is faster. On average, AM-H2SO4 injection increases stratospheric aerosol residence times by 32 % and stratospheric aerosol burdens 37–41 % when comparing to SO2 injection. The modelled all-sky (clear-sky) short-wave radiative forcing for AM-H2SO4 injection scenarios is up to 17–70 % (44 %–57 %) larger than is the case for SO2. Aerosol burdens have a surprisingly week dependence on the latitudinal spread of emissions with emission in the stratospheric surf zone (> 15° N–15° S) decreasing burdens by only about 10 %. This is because the faster removal through stratosphere-to-troposphere transport via tropopause folds found when injection is spread farther from the equator is roughly balanced by a decrease in coagulation. Increasing injection altitude is also surprisingly ineffective because the increase in burden is compensated by an increase in large aerosols due to increased condensation. Increasing the local SO2 flux in the injection region by pulse or point emissions reduces the total global annual nucleation. Coagulation is also reduced due to the interruption of the continuous flow of freshly formed particles. The net effect of pulse or point emission of SO2 is to increase stratospheric aerosol residence time and radiative forcing. Pulse or point emissions of AM-H2SO4 has the opposite effect—decreasing stratospheric aerosol burden and radiative forcing by increasing coagulation. In summary, this study corroborates previous studies with uncoupled aerosol and radiation modules, suggesting that, compared to SO2 injection, the direct emission of AM-H2SO4 results in more radiative forcing for the same sulfur equivalent mass injection strength and that sensitivities to different injection strategies may vary for different forms of injected sulfur.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timofei Sukhodolov ◽  
Jian-Xiong Sheng ◽  
Aryeh Feinberg ◽  
Bei-Ping Luo ◽  
Thomas Peter ◽  
...  

Abstract. We evaluate how the coupled aerosol-chemistry-climate model SOCOL-AER represents the influence of the 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo on stratospheric aerosol loading, aerosol microphysical processes, radiative effects, and atmospheric chemistry. The aerosol module includes comprehensive sulfur chemistry and microphysics, in which the particle size distribution is represented by 40 size bins spanning radii from 0.39 nm to 3.2 μm. Radiative forcing is computed online using aerosol optical properties calculated according to Mie theory. SOCOL-AER simulations are compared with satellite and in situ measurements of aerosol parameters, temperature reanalyses, and ozone observations. In addition to the reference model configuration, we performed a series of sensitivity experiments looking at different processes affecting the aerosol layer. An accurate sedimentation scheme is found to be essential to prevent particles diffusing too rapidly to high and low altitudes. The aerosol radiative feedback and the use of a nudged quasi-biennial oscillation help to keep aerosol in the tropics and significantly affect the evolution of the stratospheric aerosol burden, which improves the agreement with observed aerosol mass distributions. Changes in the aerosol distribution affected by an inclusion of Van der Waals forces to the particle coagulation scheme suggest improvements in particle effective radius, although other parameters (such as aerosol longevity) deteriorate. Modification of the Pinatubo emission rate also improves some aerosol parameters, while worsens others compared to observations. Observations themselves are highly uncertain and render it difficult to conclusively judge the necessity of further model reconfiguration. In conclusion, our results show that SOCOL-AER is capable of predicting the most important global-scale atmospheric and climate effects following volcanic eruptions, which is also a prerequisite for improved understanding of anthropogenic effects from sulfur emissions.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 3863-3887 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aryeh Feinberg ◽  
Timofei Sukhodolov ◽  
Bei-Ping Luo ◽  
Eugene Rozanov ◽  
Lenny H. E. Winkel ◽  
...  

Abstract. SOCOL-AERv1 was developed as an aerosol–chemistry–climate model to study the stratospheric sulfur cycle and its influence on climate and the ozone layer. It includes a sectional aerosol model that tracks the sulfate particle size distribution in 40 size bins, between 0.39 nm and 3.2 µm. Sheng et al. (2015) showed that SOCOL-AERv1 successfully matched observable quantities related to stratospheric aerosol. In the meantime, SOCOL-AER has undergone significant improvements and more observational datasets have become available. In producing SOCOL-AERv2 we have implemented several updates to the model: adding interactive deposition schemes, improving the sulfate mass and particle number conservation, and expanding the tropospheric chemistry scheme. We compare the two versions of the model with background stratospheric sulfate aerosol observations, stratospheric aerosol evolution after Pinatubo, and ground-based sulfur deposition networks. SOCOL-AERv2 shows similar levels of agreement as SOCOL-AERv1 with satellite-measured extinctions and in situ optical particle counter (OPC) balloon flights. The volcanically quiescent total stratospheric aerosol burden simulated in SOCOL-AERv2 has increased from 109 Gg of sulfur (S) to 160 Gg S, matching the newly available satellite estimate of 165 Gg S. However, SOCOL-AERv2 simulates too high cross-tropopause transport of tropospheric SO2 and/or sulfate aerosol, leading to an overestimation of lower stratospheric aerosol. Due to the current lack of upper tropospheric SO2 measurements and the neglect of organic aerosol in the model, the lower stratospheric bias of SOCOL-AERv2 was not further improved. Model performance under volcanically perturbed conditions has also undergone some changes, resulting in a slightly shorter volcanic aerosol lifetime after the Pinatubo eruption. With the improved deposition schemes of SOCOL-AERv2, simulated sulfur wet deposition fluxes are within a factor of 2 of measured deposition fluxes at 78 % of the measurement stations globally, an agreement which is on par with previous model intercomparison studies. Because of these improvements, SOCOL-AERv2 will be better suited to studying changes in atmospheric sulfur deposition due to variations in climate and emissions.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duoying Ji ◽  
Songsong Fang ◽  
Charles L. Curry ◽  
Hiroki Kashimura ◽  
Shingo Watanabe ◽  
...  

Abstract. We examine extreme temperature and precipitation under two potential geoengineering methods forming part of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP). The solar dimming experiment G1 is designed to completely offset the global mean radiative forcing due to a CO2-quadrupling experiment (abrupt 4 × CO2), while in GeoMIP experiment G4, the radiative forcing due to the representative concentration pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) scenario is partly offset by a simulated layer of aerosols in the stratosphere. Both G1 and G4 geoengineering simulations lead to lower maximum temperatures at higher latitudes, and on land primarily through feedback effects involving high latitude processes such as snow cover, sea ice and soil moisture. Maximum 5-day precipitation increases over subtropical oceans, whereas warm spells decrease markedly in the tropics, and the number of consecutive dry days decreases in most deserts. The precipitation during the tropical cyclone (hurricane) seasons becomes less intense, whilst the remainder of the year becomes wetter. Aerosol injection is more effective than dimming in moderating extreme precipitation (and flooding), possibly due to stratospheric warming by aerosol injection working in tandem with sea surface temperature reductions to moderate extreme tropical storm cyclogenesis. The differences in the response of temperature extremes between the two types of geoengineering are relatively minor. Despite the magnitude of the radiative forcing applied in G1 being ~ 6.5 times larger than in G4, and differences in the aerosol chemistry and transport schemes amongst the models, one can discern clear differences in the precipitation extremes between the types of geoengineering probably due to the aerosol direct effect and related energetic changes.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 2633-2647 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timofei Sukhodolov ◽  
Jian-Xiong Sheng ◽  
Aryeh Feinberg ◽  
Bei-Ping Luo ◽  
Thomas Peter ◽  
...  

Abstract. We evaluate how the coupled aerosol–chemistry–climate model SOCOL-AERv1.0 represents the influence of the 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo on stratospheric aerosol properties and atmospheric state. The aerosol module is coupled to the radiative and chemical modules and includes comprehensive sulfur chemistry and microphysics, in which the particle size distribution is represented by 40 size bins with radii spanning from 0.39 nm to 3.2 µm. SOCOL-AER simulations are compared with satellite and in situ measurements of aerosol parameters, temperature reanalyses, and ozone observations. In addition to the reference model configuration, we performed series of sensitivity experiments looking at different processes affecting the aerosol layer. An accurate sedimentation scheme is found to be essential to prevent particles from diffusing too rapidly to high and low altitudes. The aerosol radiative feedback and the use of a nudged quasi-biennial oscillation help to keep aerosol in the tropics and significantly affect the evolution of the stratospheric aerosol burden, which improves the agreement with observed aerosol mass distributions. The inclusion of van der Waals forces in the particle coagulation scheme suggests improvements in particle effective radius, although other parameters (such as aerosol longevity) deteriorate. Modification of the Pinatubo sulfur emission rate also improves some aerosol parameters, while it worsens others compared to observations. Observations themselves are highly uncertain and render it difficult to conclusively judge the necessity of further model reconfiguration. The model revealed problems in reproducing aerosol sizes above 25 km and also in capturing certain features of the ozone response. Besides this, our results show that SOCOL-AER is capable of predicting the most important global-scale atmospheric effects following volcanic eruptions, which is also a prerequisite for an improved understanding of solar geoengineering effects from sulfur injections to the stratosphere.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Aubry ◽  
Anja Schmidt ◽  
Alix Harrow ◽  
Jeremy Walton ◽  
Jane Mulcahy ◽  
...  

&lt;p&gt;Reconstructions of volcanic aerosol forcing and its climatic impacts are undermined by uncertainties in both the models used to build these reconstructions as well as the proxy and observational records used to constrain those models. Reducing these uncertainties has been a priority and in particular, several modelling groups have developed interactive stratospheric aerosol models. Provided with an initial volcanic injection of sulfur dioxide, these models can interactively simulate the life cycle and optical properties of sulfate aerosols, and their effects on climate. In contrast, most climate models that took part in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and 6 (CMIP6) directly prescribe perturbations in atmospheric optical properties associated with an eruption. However, before the satellite era, the volcanic forcing dataset used for CMIP6 mostly relies on a relatively simple aerosol model and a volcanic sulfur inventory derived from ice-cores, both of which have substantial associated uncertainties.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In this study, we produced a new set of historical simulations using the UK Earth System Model UKESM1, with interactive stratospheric aerosol capability (referred to as interactive runs hereafter) instead of directly prescribing the CMIP6 volcanic forcing dataset as was done for CMIP6 (standard runs, hereafter). We used one of the most recent volcanic sulfur inventories as input for the interactive runs, in which aerosol properties are consistent with the model chemistry, microphysics and atmospheric components. We analyzed how the stratospheric aerosol optical depth, the radiative forcing and the climate response to volcanic eruptions differed between interactive and standard runs, and how these compare to observations and proxy records. In particular, we investigate in detail the differences in the response to the large-magnitude Krakatoa 1883 eruption between the two sets of runs. We also discuss differences for the 1979-2015 period where the forcing data in standard runs is directly constrained from satellite observations. Our results shed new light on uncertainties affecting the reconstruction of past volcanic forcing and highlight some of the benefits and disadvantages of using interactive stratospheric aerosol capabilities instead of a unique prescribed volcanic forcing dataset in CMIP&amp;#8217;s historical runs.&lt;/p&gt;


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harri Kokkola ◽  
Thomas Kühn ◽  
Anton Laakso ◽  
Tommi Bergman ◽  
Kari E. J. Lehtinen ◽  
...  

Abstract. In this paper, we present the implementation and evaluation of the aerosol microphysics module SALSA2.0 in the framework of the aerosol-chemistry-climate model ECHAM-HAMMOZ. It is an alternative microphysics module to the default modal microphysics scheme M7 in ECHAM-HAMMOZ. The SALSA2.0 implementation is evaluated against the observations of aerosol optical properties, aerosol mass, and size distributions. We also compare the skill of SALSA2.0 in reproducing the observed quantities to the skill of the M7 implementation. The largest differences between SALSA2.0 and M7 are evident over regions where the aerosol size distribution is heavily modified by the microphysical processing of aerosol particles. Such regions are, for example, highly polluted regions and regions strongly affected by biomass burning. In addition, in a simulation of the 1991 Mt Pinatubo eruption in which a stratospheric sulfate plume was formed, the global burden and the effective radii of the stratospheric aerosol are very different in SALSA2.0 and M7. While SALSA2.0 was able to reproduce the observed time evolution of the global burden of sulfate and the effective radii of stratospheric aerosol, M7 strongly overestimates the removal of coarse stratospheric particles and thus underestimates the effective radius of stratospheric aerosol. As the mode widths of M7 have been optimized for the troposphere and were not designed to represent stratospheric aerosol the ability of M7 to simulate the volcano plume was improved by modifying the mode widths decreasing the standard deviations of the accumulation and coarse modes from 1.59 and 2.0, respectively, to 1.2. Overall, SALSA2.0 shows promise in improving the aerosol description of ECHAM-HAMMOZ and can be further improved by implementing methods for aerosol processes that are more suitable for the sectional method, e.g size dependent emissions for aerosol species and size resolved wet deposition.


2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (14) ◽  
pp. 5609-5628 ◽  
Author(s):  
Baoqiang Xiang ◽  
Ming Zhao ◽  
Yi Ming ◽  
Weidong Yu ◽  
Sarah M. Kang

Abstract Most current climate models suffer from pronounced cloud and radiation biases in the Southern Ocean (SO) and in the tropics. Using one GFDL climate model, this study investigates the migration of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) with prescribed top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) shortwave radiative heating in the SO (50°–80°S) versus the southern tropics (ST; 0°–20°S). Results demonstrate that the ITCZ position response to the ST forcing is twice as strong as the SO forcing, which is primarily driven by the contrasting sea surface temperature (SST) gradient over the tropics; however, the mechanism for the formation of the SST pattern remains elusive. Energy budget analysis reveals that the conventional energetic constraint framework is inadequate in explaining the ITCZ shift in these two perturbed experiments. For both cases, the anomalous Hadley circulation does not contribute to transport the imposed energy from the Southern Hemisphere to the Northern Hemisphere, given a positive mean gross moist stability in the equatorial region. Changes in the cross-equatorial atmospheric energy are primarily transported by atmospheric transient eddies when the anomalous ITCZ shift is most pronounced during December–May. The partitioning of energy transport between the atmosphere and ocean shows latitudinal dependence: the atmosphere and ocean play an overall equivalent role in transporting the imposed energy for the extratropical SO forcing, while for the ST forcing, the imposed energy is nearly completely transported by the atmosphere. This contrast originates from the different ocean heat uptake and also the different meridional scale of the anomalous ocean circulation.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabien Paulot ◽  
David Paynter ◽  
Paul Ginoux ◽  
Vaishali Naik ◽  
Larry Horowitz

Abstract. We present observation and model-based estimates of the changes in the direct shortwave effect of aerosols under clear-sky (SDRECS) from 2001 to 2015. Observation-based estimates are obtained from changes in the outgoing shortwave clear-sky radiation (Rsutcs) measured by the Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES), accounting for the effect of variability in surface albedo, water vapor, and ozone. We find increases in SDRECS (i.e., less radiation scattered to space by aerosols) over Western Europe (0.7–1 W m−2 dec−1) and the Eastern US (0.9–1.8 W m−2 dec−1), decreases over India (−0.5– −1.9 W m−2 dec−1) and no significant change over Eastern China. Comparisons with the GFDL chemistry climate model AM3, driven by CMIP6 historical emissions, show that changes in SDRECS over Western Europe and the Eastern US are well captured, which largely reflects the mature understanding of the sulfate budget in these regions. In contrast, the model overestimates the trends in SDRECS over India and Eastern China. Over China, this bias can be partly attributed to the decline of SO2 emissions after 2007, which is not captured by the CMIP6 emissions. In both India and Eastern China, we find much larger contributions of nitrate and black carbon to changes in SDRECS than in the US and Europe, which highlights the need to better constrain their precursors and chemistry. Globally, our model shows that changes in the all-sky aerosol direct forcing between 2001 and 2015 (+0.03 W m−2) are dominated by black carbon (+0.12 W m−2) with significant offsets from nitrate (−0.03 W m−2) and sulfate (−0.03 W m−2). Changes in the sulfate (+7 %) and nitrate (+60 %) all-sky direct forcing between 2001 and 2015 are only weakly related to changes in the emissions of their precursors (−12.5 % and 19 % for SO2 and NH3, respectively), due mostly to chemical non linearities.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer Schallock ◽  
Christoph Brühl ◽  
Christine Bingen ◽  
Michael Höpfner ◽  
Landon Rieger ◽  
...  

Abstract. This paper presents model simulations of stratospheric aerosols with a focus on explosive volcanic eruptions. Using various (occulation and limb based) satellite instruments, with vertical profiles of sulfur dioxide (SO2) from the MIPAS (Michelson Interferometer for Passive Atmospheric Sounding) instrument and vertical profiles of aerosol extinction from GOMOS (Global Ozone Monitoring by Occultation of Stars), OSIRIS (Optical Spectrograph and InfraRed Imaging System), and SAGE II (Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment), we characterised the influence of volcanic aerosols for the period between 1990 and 2019. We established a volcanic sulfur emission inventory that includes more than 500 eruptions. The identified SO2 perturbations were incorporated as three-dimensional pollution plumes into a chemistry-climate model, which converts the gases into aerosol particles and computes their optical properties. The Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) and the climate radiative forcing are calculated online. Combined with model improvements, the simulations reproduce the observations of the various satellites. Slight deviations between the observations and model simulations were found only for the large volcanic eruption of Pinatubo in 1991. This is likely due to either an overestimation of the removal of aerosol particles in the model, or limitations of the satellite measurements, which are related to saturation effects associated with anomalously high aerosol concentrations. Since Pinatubo, only smaller-sized volcanic eruptions have taken place. Weak- and medium-strength volcanic eruptions captured in satellite data and the Smithsonian database typically inject about 10 kt to 50 kt SO2 directly into the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS) region or transport it indirectly via convection and advection. Our results show that these relatively smaller eruptions, which occur quite frequently, can nevertheless contribute significantly to the stratospheric aerosol layer and are relevant for the Earth's radiation budget. These eruptions are found to cause a global radiative forcing in the order of −0.1 Wm−2 at the tropopause.


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