scholarly journals Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system for temperature and humidity profile retrieval from microwave radiometer observations

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 369-384 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Ramesh ◽  
A. P. Kesarkar ◽  
J. Bhate ◽  
M. Venkat Ratnam ◽  
A. Jayaraman
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Microwave Radiometer ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Computational Techniques ◽  
Temperature Profiles ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Temperature And Humidity ◽  
Rainy Days

Abstract. The retrieval of accurate profiles of temperature and water vapour is important for the study of atmospheric convection. Recent development in computational techniques motivated us to use adaptive techniques in the retrieval algorithms. In this work, we have used an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to retrieve profiles of temperature and humidity up to 10 km over the tropical station Gadanki (13.5° N, 79.2° E), India. ANFIS is trained by using observations of temperature and humidity measurements by co-located Meisei GPS radiosonde (henceforth referred to as radiosonde) and microwave brightness temperatures observed by radiometrics multichannel microwave radiometer MP3000 (MWR). ANFIS is trained by considering these observations during rainy and non-rainy days (ANFIS(RD + NRD)) and during non-rainy days only (ANFIS(NRD)). The comparison of ANFIS(RD + NRD) and ANFIS(NRD) profiles with independent radiosonde observations and profiles retrieved using multivariate linear regression (MVLR: RD + NRD and NRD) and artificial neural network (ANN) indicated that the errors in the ANFIS(RD + NRD) are less compared to other retrieval methods. The Pearson product movement correlation coefficient (r) between retrieved and observed profiles is more than 92% for temperature profiles for all techniques and more than 99% for the ANFIS(RD + NRD) technique Therefore this new techniques is relatively better for the retrieval of temperature profiles. The comparison of bias, mean absolute error (MAE), RMSE and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) of retrieved temperature and relative humidity (RH) profiles using ANN and ANFIS also indicated that profiles retrieved using ANFIS(RD + NRD) are significantly better compared to the ANN technique. The analysis of profiles concludes that retrieved profiles using ANFIS techniques have improved the temperature retrievals substantially; however, the retrieval of RH by all techniques considered in this paper (ANN, MVLR and ANFIS) has limited success.

scholarly journals Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system for profiling of the atmosphere

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 2715-2736 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Ramesh ◽  
A. P. Kesarkar ◽  
J. Bhate ◽  
M. Venkat Ratnam ◽  
A. Jayaraman
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Computational Techniques ◽  
Temperature Profiles ◽  
Atmospheric Parameters ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

Abstract. Retrieval of accurate profiles of temperature and water vapor is important for the study of atmospheric convection. However, it is challenging because of the uncertainties associated with direct measurement of atmospheric parameters during convection events using radiosonde and retrieval of remote-sensed observations from satellites. Recent developments in computational techniques motivated the use of adaptive techniques in the retrieval algorithms. In this work, we have used the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) to retrieve profiles of temperature and humidity over tropical station Gadanki (13.5° N, 79.2° E), India. The observations of brightness temperatures recorded by Radiometrics Multichannel Microwave Radiometer MP3000 for the period of June–September 2011 are used to model profiles of atmospheric parameters up to 10 km. The ultimate goal of this work is to use the ANFIS forecast model to retrieve atmospheric profiles accurately during the wet season of the Indian monsoon (JJAS) season and during heavy rainfall associated with tropical convections. The comparison analysis of the ANFIS model retrieval of temperature and relative humidity (RH) profiles with GPS-radiosonde observations and profiles retrieved using the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) algorithm indicates that errors in the ANFIS model are less even in the wet season, and retrievals using ANFIS are more reliable, making this technique the standard. The Pearson product movement correlation coefficient (r) between retrieved and observed profiles is more than 99% for temperature profiles for both techniques and therefore both techniques are successful in the retrieval of temperature profiles. However, in the case of RH the retrieval using ANFIS is found to be better. The comparison of mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE) and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) of retrieved temperature and RH profiles using ANN and ANFIS also indicates that profiles retrieved using ANFIS are significantly better compared to the ANN technique. The error analysis of profiles concludes that retrieved profiles using ANFIS techniques have improved the retrievals substantially; however, retrieval of RH by both techniques (ANN and ANFIS) has limited success.

APLIKASI SISTEM CERDAS UNTUK PREDIKSI ENERGI LISTRIK PEMAKAIAN SENDIRI DI PT INDONESIA POWER SUB UNIT PLTA KABUPATEN WONOGIRI

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 489
Author(s):  
Herliyani Hasanah ◽  
Nurmalitasari Nurmalitasari
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy C Means ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Fuzzy Input

Kebutuhan akan energi listrik menjadi kebutuhan primer nasional. Dalam keberlangsungan proses produksi energi listrik pada pembangkitan – pembangkitan diperlukan energi listrik untuk pemakaian sendiri. Dalam penelitian ini dibangun sebuah aplikasi sistem cerdas untuk memprediksi energi listrik pemakaian sendiri di PT Indonesia Power sub unit PLTA Wonogiri. Pada penelitian ini menggunakan 2 kelompok input, yaitu input FIS (Fuzzy Inference System) dan input pada NN (Neuro Fuzzy). Input data  merupakan data produksi harian energi listrik di PLTA Wonogiri selama kurun waktu 2010 – 2016. Variabel data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data produksi listrik untuk pemakaian PLTA Wonogiri adalah energi listrik yang dihasilkan PLTA Wonogiri dengan satuan KwH (f), elevasi muka air waduk dengan satuan meter (a1) dan debit air yang masuk ke turbin dengan satuan /detik (a2).  Output yang diperoleh adalah pusat centroid (m), derajat keanggotaan (mf), bobot (w) dan konsekuen parameter ( c ). Dari hasil pengujian diperoleh keluaran dengan performansi yang optimal pada saat Fuzzy C Means 2 kelas dengan parameter laju pembelajaran 0.4, momentum 0.6 dengan bessar Mean Percentage Error 0.377970875.  Kata kunci:  prediksi, pemakaian sendiri, energi listrik, fuzzy inference system, neuro fuzzy

scholarly journals Early Warning System for Flood Disaster Prediction in Wetland Area in Greater Yola Using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Ishaya Bitrus ◽  
P. B. Zirra ◽  
Sarjiyus Omega
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Human Life ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Flood Disaster ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Flood Prediction ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Flood Level ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

Natural calamity disrupts our daily life activities; thereby bring many sufferings in our life. One of the natural disasters is the flood. Flood is one of the most catastrophic disasters. However, too much rainfall courses environmental hazard. These prompted to flood prediction in order to help communities and Government with the necessary tool to take precaution to safe human life and properties. This work was developed using an (ANFIS) Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System to compare some weather parameter (temperature and relative humidity) with rainfall to forecast the amount of rainfall capable of coursing flood in the study area. From the above graph (Fig. 22) it can be seen that the actual and the forecasted rainfall followed the same pattern from 2008 to 2010 with slight decrease in 2011. A high amount of rainfall in 2012 was forecasted to be flooded during that year and tally with the forecasted rainfall on the above graph in 2012. Based on the results on the graph, it shows that from 2014 to 2017 gives a constant flow between the actual and forecasted rainfall. It is predicted that the maximum amount of rainfall forecasted was 124.0 mm which is far below the recommended flood level of 160.0 mm which reveals that, River Benue would not experience flood disaster in the year ahead. The model developed was validated using (MAPE) Mean Absolute Percentage Error as 4.0% with model efficiency of 96.0% which shows very high excellent prediction accuracy.

scholarly journals AN ADAPTIVE NEURO-FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM FOR FORECASTING AUSTRALIA’S DOMESTIC LOW COST CARRIER PASSENGER DEMAND

Aviation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 150-163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Panarat Srisaeng ◽  
Glenn S. Baxter ◽  
Graham Wild
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Subtractive Clustering ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Partition Method

This study has proposed and empirically tested two Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) models for the first time for predicting Australia‘s domestic low cost carriers‘ demand, as measured by enplaned passengers (PAX Model) and revenue passenger kilometres performed (RPKs Model). In the ANFIS, both the learning capabilities of an artificial neural network (ANN) and the reasoning capabilities of fuzzy logic are combined to provide enhanced prediction capabilities, as compared to using a single methodology. Sugeno fuzzy rules were used in the ANFIS structure and the Gaussian membership function and linear membership functions were also developed. The hybrid learning algorithm and the subtractive clustering partition method were used to generate the optimum ANFIS models. Data was normalized in order to increase the model‘s training performance. The results found that the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) for the overall data set of the PAX and RPKs models was 1.52% and 1.17%, respectively. The highest R2-value for the PAX model was 0.9949 and 0.9953 for the RPKs model, demonstrating that the models have high predictive capabilities.

scholarly journals The Prediction of Solar Radiation for Five Meteorological Stations in Libya Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muna A Alzukrah ◽  
Yosof M Khalifa
Keyword(s):  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Fuzzy Model ◽  
Global Solar Radiation ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Energy Applications ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

The prediction of solar radiation is very important tool in climatology, hydrology and energy applications, as it permits estimating solar data for locations where measurements are not available. In this paper, an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is presented to predict the monthly global solar radiation on a horizontal surface in Libya. The real meteorological solar radiation data from 5 stations for the period of 1982 - 2009 with diffrent latitudes and longitudes were used in the current study. The data set is divided into two subsets; the fist is used for training and the latter is used for testing the model. (ANFIS) combines fuzzy logic and neural network techniques that are used in order to gain more effiency. The statistical performance parameters such as root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and the coeffient of effiency (E) were calculated to check the adequacy of the model. On the basis of coeffient of effiency, as well as the scatter diagrams and the error modes, the predicted results indicate that the neuro-fuzzy model gives reasonable results: accuracy of about 92% - 96% and the RMSE ranges between 0.22 - 0.35 kW.hr/m2/day

scholarly journals Prediksi Hasil Ujian Kompetensi Mahasiswa Program Profesi Dokter (UKMPPD) dengan Pendekatan ANFIS

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 554-559
Author(s):  
Fajri Marindra Siregar ◽  
Gunadi Widi Nurcahyo ◽  
Sarjon Defit
Keyword(s):  
Membership Function ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Average Percentage ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Average Percentage Error

Tujuan utama dari penelitian ini adalah untuk memprediksi hasil ujian kompetensi mahasiswa program profesi dokter (UKMPPD) menggunakan metode Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Data didapatkan dari database mahasiswa Fakultas Kedokteran Universitas Riau tahun 2015 yang berjumlah 170 data. Variabel input yang digunakan meliputi status kepesertaan, lama studi, dan Indeks Prestasi Kumulatif. Selanjutnya data dianalisis menggunakan software MATLAB dengan pengaturan jumlah membership  function 2 2 2 dan type membership funtion gbell. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa metode ANFIS mampu memprediksi hasil UKMPPD dengan nilai Mean Average Percentage Error (MAPE) sebesar 0,07%, minimal 0,00% dan maximal 0,44%.

scholarly journals Plant Seeds Growth Prediction on Greenhouse Using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) Method

2020 ◽  
Vol 202 ◽  
pp. 14008
Author(s):  
Siska Ayu Widiana ◽  
Suryono Suryono ◽  
Budi Warsito
Keyword(s):  
Food Security ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Plant Seeds ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Anfis Method

Food security is a problem that every country had, especially for poor and developing countries. To improve the food security one of the solutions that can be applied is to collaborate technology and agriculture such as greenhouse. The technology that is applied to greenhouse can produce plants with good quality. Good quality plant can be predicted with prediction on the plant seeds in order to develop the plants production just as we expected. Prediction on plant seeds is using the adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model which is a combination of fuzzy and neural network. ANFIS will process the data with high complexity and it will provide the prediction result with high accuracy. Plant seeds prediction is using 65 data which divided into two data, specifically 50 training data and 15 testing data. The prediction provides accurate result and will generate 14/15 x 100% = 93.3333% precision with Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) is 64.3391 from 15 prediction data about 4.2893, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is 5.3485 from 15 prediction data about 0.35657, Mean Square Deviation (MSD) is 9.159 from 15 prediction data about 0.6106.

Knowledge-based preference learning model for recommender system using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 4651-4665
Author(s):  
Sunkuru Gopal Krishna Patro ◽  
Brojo Kishore Mishra ◽  
Sanjaya Kumar Panda ◽  
Raghvendra Kumar ◽  
Hoang Viet Long ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Recommender System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Preference Learning ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Knowledge Based ◽  
Main Challenge ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

A recommender system (RS) delivers personalized suggestions on products based on the interest of a particular user. Content-based filtering (CBF) and collaborative filtering (CF) schemes have been previously used for this task. However, the main challenge in RS is cold start problem (CSP). This originates once a new user joins the system which makes the recommendation task tedious due to the shortage of information (clickstream, dwell time, rating, etc.) regarding the user’s interest. Therefore, CBF and CF are combined together by developing a knowledge-based preference learning (KBPL) system. This system considers the demographic data that includes gender, occupation, and age for the recommendation task. Initially, the dataset is clustered using the self-organizing map (SOM) technique, then the high dimensional data is decomposed by higher-order singular value decomposition (HOSVD) and finally, Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) predicts the output. For the big dataset, SOM is a robust clustering method and the similarities among the users can be easily observed by grid clustering. The HOSVD extracts the required information from the available data set to find the user similarity by decomposing the dataset in lower dimensions. ANFIS uses IF-THEN rules to recommend similar product to the new users. The proposed KBPL system is evaluated with the Black Friday dataset and the obtained error value is compared with the existing CF and CBF techniques. The proposed KBPL system has obtained root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.71%, mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.54%, and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 37%. Overall, the outcome of the comparative analysis shows minimum error and better performance in terms of precision, recall, and f-measure for the proposed KBPL system compared to the existing techniques and therefore more suitable for accurately recommending the products for the new users.

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