scholarly journals The Prediction of Solar Radiation for Five Meteorological Stations in Libya Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muna A Alzukrah ◽  
Yosof M Khalifa

The prediction of solar radiation is very important tool in climatology, hydrology and energy applications, as it permits estimating solar data for locations where measurements are not available. In this paper, an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is presented to predict the monthly global solar radiation on a horizontal surface in Libya. The real meteorological solar radiation data from 5 stations for the period of 1982 - 2009 with diffrent latitudes and longitudes were used in the current study. The data set is divided into two subsets; the fist is used for training and the latter is used for testing the model. (ANFIS) combines fuzzy logic and neural network techniques that are used in order to gain more effiency. The statistical performance parameters such as root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and the coeffient of effiency (E) were calculated to check the adequacy of the model. On the basis of coeffient of effiency, as well as the scatter diagrams and the error modes, the predicted results indicate that the neuro-fuzzy model gives reasonable results: accuracy of about 92% - 96% and the RMSE ranges between 0.22 - 0.35 kW.hr/m2/day

Aviation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 150-163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Panarat Srisaeng ◽  
Glenn S. Baxter ◽  
Graham Wild

This study has proposed and empirically tested two Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) models for the first time for predicting Australia‘s domestic low cost carriers‘ demand, as measured by enplaned passengers (PAX Model) and revenue passenger kilometres performed (RPKs Model). In the ANFIS, both the learning capabilities of an artificial neural network (ANN) and the reasoning capabilities of fuzzy logic are combined to provide enhanced prediction capabilities, as compared to using a single methodology. Sugeno fuzzy rules were used in the ANFIS structure and the Gaussian membership function and linear membership functions were also developed. The hybrid learning algorithm and the subtractive clustering partition method were used to generate the optimum ANFIS models. Data was normalized in order to increase the model‘s training performance. The results found that the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) for the overall data set of the PAX and RPKs models was 1.52% and 1.17%, respectively. The highest R2-value for the PAX model was 0.9949 and 0.9953 for the RPKs model, demonstrating that the models have high predictive capabilities.


2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 4651-4665
Author(s):  
Sunkuru Gopal Krishna Patro ◽  
Brojo Kishore Mishra ◽  
Sanjaya Kumar Panda ◽  
Raghvendra Kumar ◽  
Hoang Viet Long ◽  
...  

A recommender system (RS) delivers personalized suggestions on products based on the interest of a particular user. Content-based filtering (CBF) and collaborative filtering (CF) schemes have been previously used for this task. However, the main challenge in RS is cold start problem (CSP). This originates once a new user joins the system which makes the recommendation task tedious due to the shortage of information (clickstream, dwell time, rating, etc.) regarding the user’s interest. Therefore, CBF and CF are combined together by developing a knowledge-based preference learning (KBPL) system. This system considers the demographic data that includes gender, occupation, and age for the recommendation task. Initially, the dataset is clustered using the self-organizing map (SOM) technique, then the high dimensional data is decomposed by higher-order singular value decomposition (HOSVD) and finally, Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) predicts the output. For the big dataset, SOM is a robust clustering method and the similarities among the users can be easily observed by grid clustering. The HOSVD extracts the required information from the available data set to find the user similarity by decomposing the dataset in lower dimensions. ANFIS uses IF-THEN rules to recommend similar product to the new users. The proposed KBPL system is evaluated with the Black Friday dataset and the obtained error value is compared with the existing CF and CBF techniques. The proposed KBPL system has obtained root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.71%, mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.54%, and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 37%. Overall, the outcome of the comparative analysis shows minimum error and better performance in terms of precision, recall, and f-measure for the proposed KBPL system compared to the existing techniques and therefore more suitable for accurately recommending the products for the new users.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonal Bindal

<p>In the recent years, prediction modelling techniques have been widely used for modelling groundwater arsenic contamination. Determining the accuracy, performance and suitability of these different algorithms such as univariate regression (UR), fuzzy model, adaptive fuzzy regression (AFR), logistic regression (LR), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and hybrid random forest (HRF) models still remains a challenging task. The spatial data which are available at different scales with different cell sizes. In the current study we have tried to optimize the spatial resolution for best performance of the model selecting the best spatial resolution by testing various predictive algorithms. The model’s performance was evaluated based of the values of determination coefficient (R<sup>2</sup>), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The outcomes of the study indicate that using 100m × 100m spatial resolution gives best performance in most of the models. The results also state HRF model performs the best than the commonly used ANFIS and LR models.</p>


2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 369-384 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Ramesh ◽  
A. P. Kesarkar ◽  
J. Bhate ◽  
M. Venkat Ratnam ◽  
A. Jayaraman

Abstract. The retrieval of accurate profiles of temperature and water vapour is important for the study of atmospheric convection. Recent development in computational techniques motivated us to use adaptive techniques in the retrieval algorithms. In this work, we have used an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to retrieve profiles of temperature and humidity up to 10 km over the tropical station Gadanki (13.5° N, 79.2° E), India. ANFIS is trained by using observations of temperature and humidity measurements by co-located Meisei GPS radiosonde (henceforth referred to as radiosonde) and microwave brightness temperatures observed by radiometrics multichannel microwave radiometer MP3000 (MWR). ANFIS is trained by considering these observations during rainy and non-rainy days (ANFIS(RD + NRD)) and during non-rainy days only (ANFIS(NRD)). The comparison of ANFIS(RD + NRD) and ANFIS(NRD) profiles with independent radiosonde observations and profiles retrieved using multivariate linear regression (MVLR: RD + NRD and NRD) and artificial neural network (ANN) indicated that the errors in the ANFIS(RD + NRD) are less compared to other retrieval methods. The Pearson product movement correlation coefficient (r) between retrieved and observed profiles is more than 92% for temperature profiles for all techniques and more than 99% for the ANFIS(RD + NRD) technique Therefore this new techniques is relatively better for the retrieval of temperature profiles. The comparison of bias, mean absolute error (MAE), RMSE and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) of retrieved temperature and relative humidity (RH) profiles using ANN and ANFIS also indicated that profiles retrieved using ANFIS(RD + NRD) are significantly better compared to the ANN technique. The analysis of profiles concludes that retrieved profiles using ANFIS techniques have improved the temperature retrievals substantially; however, the retrieval of RH by all techniques considered in this paper (ANN, MVLR and ANFIS) has limited success.


2012 ◽  
Vol 229-231 ◽  
pp. 1449-1453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Jun Li ◽  
Xiao Hui Peng ◽  
Yu Qiang Cheng ◽  
Jian Jun Wu

In this paper, the data of faulty sensors reconstruct algorithm of liquid-propellant rocket engine is developed based on adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system. First, the input parameters selected for method is according to regularity criterion and the relationships between each parameter; second, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system is train by normal test, finally, the fuzzy mode is validated by normal data and the data of faulty sensor is reconstructed. The results indicate that this algorithm can reconstruct the data of faulty sensors accurately and show that the fuzzy model approach has good performance in faulty sensors data reconstruct for LRE.


Author(s):  
Reza Pourbabaki ◽  
Zahra Beigzadeh ◽  
Behnam Haghshenas ◽  
Ali Karimi ◽  
Zahra Alaei ◽  
...  

Background: Unsafe behavior in industries can be due to different factors. The aim of this study was to predict and model unsafe behavior using a safety atmosphere and cultural attitudes questionnaires. Methods: This study was a descriptive-analytic and cross-sectional examination that analyzed the data and predicted the unsafe behaviors of 90 construction workers using Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) in MATLAB R2016a software. Results: In this study, the model of the safety atmosphere - unsafe behavior and the model of the cultural attitudes - unsafe behavior had the regression coefficients of 0.93373 and 0.9234, respectively. It showed that each of the parameters has a close relationship to the rate of the unsafe behavior. In this regard, a combination of the safety atmosphere and safety attitude parameters for the estimation of the unsafe behaviors achieved the better results with a regression coefficient of 0.9453 which indicates the direct effect of both parameters simultaneously on unsafe behavior. Conclusion: Based on the findings, it can be concluded that the neuro-fuzzy model can be used as an appropriate tool for predicting unsafe behavior in the industries.


Processes ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 1280
Author(s):  
Khaled Mohamed Nabil I. Elsayed ◽  
Rabee Rustum ◽  
Adebayo J. Adeloye

Estimating groundwater recharge using mathematical models such as water budget or soil water balance method has been proved to be very difficult due to the complex, uncertain multidimensional nature of the process, despite the simplicity of the concept. Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques have been proposed to deal with this complexity and uncertainty in a similar way to human thinking and reasoning. This study proposed the use of the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) to model unconfined groundwater recharge using a set of data records from Kaharoa monitoring site in the North Island of New Zealand. Fifty-three data points, comprising a set of input parameters such as rainfall, temperature, sunshine hours, and radiation, for a period of approximately four and a half years, have been used to estimate ground water recharge. The results suggest that the ANFIS model is overall a reliable estimator for groundwater recharge, the correlation coefficient of the model reached 93% using independent data set. The method is easy, flexible and reliable; hence, it is recommended to be used for similar applications.


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