scholarly journals Moderate forest disturbance as a stringent test for gap and big-leaf models

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 513-526 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Bond-Lamberty ◽  
J. P. Fisk ◽  
J. A. Holm ◽  
V. Bailey ◽  
G. Bohrer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Production ◽  
Tree Mortality ◽  
Net Primary Production ◽  
Forest Disturbance ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Structural Complexity ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystem ◽  
Ecosystem Models ◽  
Area Index ◽  
C Cycle

Abstract. Disturbance-induced tree mortality is a key factor regulating the carbon balance of a forest, but tree mortality and its subsequent effects are poorly represented processes in terrestrial ecosystem models. It is thus unclear whether models can robustly simulate moderate (non-catastrophic) disturbances, which tend to increase biological and structural complexity and are increasingly common in aging US forests. We tested whether three forest ecosystem models – Biome-BGC (BioGeochemical Cycles), a classic big-leaf model, and the ZELIG and ED (Ecosystem Demography) gap-oriented models – could reproduce the resilience to moderate disturbance observed in an experimentally manipulated forest (the Forest Accelerated Succession Experiment in northern Michigan, USA, in which 38% of canopy dominants were stem girdled and compared to control plots). Each model was parameterized, spun up, and disturbed following similar protocols and run for 5 years post-disturbance. The models replicated observed declines in aboveground biomass well. Biome-BGC captured the timing and rebound of observed leaf area index (LAI), while ZELIG and ED correctly estimated the magnitude of LAI decline. None of the models fully captured the observed post-disturbance C fluxes, in particular gross primary production or net primary production (NPP). Biome-BGC NPP was correctly resilient but for the wrong reasons, and could not match the absolute observational values. ZELIG and ED, in contrast, exhibited large, unobserved drops in NPP and net ecosystem production. The biological mechanisms proposed to explain the observed rapid resilience of the C cycle are typically not incorporated by these or other models. It is thus an open question whether most ecosystem models will simulate correctly the gradual and less extensive tree mortality characteristic of moderate disturbances.

scholarly journals Moderate forest disturbance as a stringent test for gap and big-leaf models

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 11217-11248 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Bond-Lamberty ◽  
J. Fisk ◽  
J. A. Holm ◽  
V. Bailey ◽  
C. M. Gough
Keyword(s):  
Tree Mortality ◽  
Net Primary Production ◽  
Forest Disturbance ◽  
Structural Complexity ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystem ◽  
Ecosystem Models ◽  
Area Index ◽  
C Cycle ◽  
Key Factor ◽  
Big Leaf Model

Abstract. Disturbance-induced tree mortality is a key factor regulating the carbon balance of a forest, but tree mortality and its subsequent effects are poorly represented processes in terrestrial ecosystem models. In particular, it is unclear whether models can robustly simulate moderate (non-catastrophic) disturbances, which tend to increase biological and structural complexity and are increasingly common in aging US forests. We tested whether three forest ecosystem models – Biome-BGC, a classic big-leaf model, and the ED and ZELIG gap-oriented models – could reproduce the resilience to moderate disturbance observed in an experimentally manipulated forest (the Forest Accelerated Succession Experiment in northern Michigan, USA, in which 38% of canopy dominants were stem girdled and compared to control plots). Each model was parameterized, spun up, and disturbed following similar protocols, and run for 5 years post-disturbance. The models replicated observed declines in aboveground biomass well. Biome-BGC captured the timing and rebound of observed leaf area index (LAI), while ED and ZELIG correctly estimated the magnitude of LAI decline. None of the models fully captured the observed post-disturbance C fluxes. Biome-BGC net primary production (NPP) was correctly resilient, but for the wrong reasons, while ED and ZELIG exhibited large, unobserved drops in NPP and net ecosystem production. The biological mechanisms proposed to explain the observed rapid resilience of the C cycle are typically not incorporated by these or other models. As a result we expect that most ecosystem models, developed to simulate processes following stand-replacing disturbances, will not simulate well the gradual and less extensive tree mortality characteristic of moderate disturbances.

scholarly journals Importance of succession in estimating biomass loss: Combining remote sensing and individual-based forest models

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ulrike Hiltner ◽  
Andreas Huth ◽  
Rico Fischer
Keyword(s):  
Primary Production ◽  
Leaf Area Index ◽  
Leaf Area ◽  
Tree Mortality ◽  
Net Primary Production ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Mortality Rates ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Forest Height ◽  
Biomass Loss

Abstract. Disturbances can have strong impacts on the dynamics and structure of tropical forests. They often lead to increased tree mortality and affect their behaviour as carbon sinks. In the future, the intensity of disturbances, such as extreme weather events, fires, floods, and biotic agents, will probably even increase, with more serious consequences for tropical forests than we have already observed. However, impacts of altering disturbances on rates of forest biomass loss through tree mortality (hereinafter: biomass mortality) have been little described yet. This complicates progress in quantifying the effects of climate change on forests globally. This study aims to analyse the consequences of elevated tree mortality on forest dynamics and to provide a methodology that can reduce uncertainties in estimating biomass mortality rates at local and country level. We achieved this by linking benefits of individual-based forest model-ling, statistical linear regression, and remote sensing. We applied an individual-based forest model to investigate the impact of varying disturbance regimes on the succession dynamic of a humid Terra Firma forest at the Paracou study site in French Guiana. By simulating increased tree mortality rates, we were able to investigate their influence on several forest attributes, namely biomass, leaf area index, forest height, gross primary production, net primary production, and biomass mortality. Based on simulations of leaf area index and forest height, we developed a linear multivariate regression model to project biomass mortality. Our findings demonstrate that severe disturbances altered the succession pattern of the forests in favour of fast-growing species, which changed gross primary production, but net primary production remained stable. We also observed a strong influence on biomass mortality rates as well as observed complex relationships between these rates and single forest attributes (leaf area index, forest height, and biomass). By combining leaf area index and forest height we obtained relationships that allow an estimation of the biomass mortality. Based on these findings, we mapped the biomass mortality for whole French Guiana. We found a nation-wide biomass mortality of 3 % per year (standard deviation = 1.4 % per year). The approach we describe here, provides a novel methodology for quantifying the spatial-temporal distribution of biomass loss, which has recently been identified as particularly critical for monitoring mortality hot spots. Quantifying biomass mortality rates may help reducing uncertainties in the terrestrial component of the global carbon cycle.

scholarly journals Modeling and Monitoring Terrestrial Primary Production in a Changing Global Environment: Toward a Multiscale Synthesis of Observation and Simulation

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shufen Pan ◽  
Hanqin Tian ◽  
Shree R. S. Dangal ◽  
Zhiyun Ouyang ◽  
Bo Tao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Production ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Net Primary Production ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystem ◽  
Field Measurements ◽  
Ecosystem Model ◽  
Global Environment ◽  
Ecosystem Models ◽  
Key Indicator

There is a critical need to monitor and predict terrestrial primary production, the key indicator of ecosystem functioning, in a changing global environment. Here we provide a brief review of three major approaches to monitoring and predicting terrestrial primary production: (1) ground-based field measurements, (2) satellite-based observations, and (3) process-based ecosystem modelling. Much uncertainty exists in the multi-approach estimations of terrestrial gross primary production (GPP) and net primary production (NPP). To improve the capacity of model simulation and prediction, it is essential to evaluate ecosystem models against ground and satellite-based measurements and observations. As a case, we have shown the performance of the dynamic land ecosystem model (DLEM) at various scales from site to region to global. We also discuss how terrestrial primary production might respond to climate change and increasing atmospheric CO2and uncertainties associated with model and data. Further progress in monitoring and predicting terrestrial primary production requires a multiscale synthesis of observations and model simulations. In the Anthropocene era in which human activity has indeed changed the Earth’s biosphere, therefore, it is essential to incorporate the socioeconomic component into terrestrial ecosystem models for accurately estimating and predicting terrestrial primary production in a changing global environment.

Changes in root zone storage capacity and their effects on river discharge and gross primary production

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rodolfo Nóbrega ◽  
David Sandoval ◽  
Colin Prentice
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Primary Production ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Land Cover Change ◽  
Storage Capacity ◽  
Root Zone ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystem ◽  
Ecosystem Models ◽  
Stress Functions

<p>Root zone storage capacity (R<sub>z</sub>) is a parameter widely used in terrestrial ecosystem models that estimate the amount of soil moisture available for transpiration. However, R<sub>z</sub> is subject to large uncertainty, due to the lack of data on the distribution of soil properties and the depth of plant roots that actively take up water. Our study makes use of a mass-balance approach to investigate R<sub>z</sub> in different ecosystems, and changes in water fluxes caused by land-cover change. The method needs no land-cover or soil information, and uses precipitation (P) and evapotranspiration (ET) time series to estimate the seasonal water deficit. To account for some of the uncertainty in ET, we use different methods for ET estimation, including methods based on satellite estimates, and modelling approaches that back-calculate ET from other ecosystem fluxes. We show that reduced ET due to land-cover change reduces R<sub>z</sub>, which in turn increases baseflow in regions with a strong rainfall seasonality. This finding allows us to analyse the trade-off between gross primary production and hydrological fluxes at river basin scales. We also consider some ideas on how to use mass-balance R<sub>z</sub> in water-stress functions as incorporated in existing terrestrial ecosystem models.</p>

scholarly journals Leaf Area Index identified as a major source of variability in modelled CO<sub>2</sub> fertilization

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qianyu Li ◽  
Xingjie Lu ◽  
Yingping Wang ◽  
Xin Huang ◽  
Peter M. Cox ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Production ◽  
Leaf Area Index ◽  
Leaf Area ◽  
Net Primary Production ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Vegetation Types ◽  
Cable Model ◽  
Co2 Fertilization ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Leaf Level

Abstract. The concentration-carbon feedback factor (β), also called the CO2 fertilization effect, is a key unknown in climate-carbon cycle projections. A better understanding of model mechanisms that govern terrestrial ecosystem responses to elevated CO2 is urgently needed to enable a more accurate prediction of future terrestrial carbon sink. We calculated CO2 fertilization effects at various hierarchical levels from leaf biochemical reaction, leaf photosynthesis, canopy gross primary production (GPP), net primary production (NPP), to ecosystem carbon storage (cpool), for seven C3 vegetation types in response to increasing CO2 under RCP 8.5 scenario, using the Community Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange model (CABLE). Our results show that coefficient of variation (CV) for the CABLE model among the seven vegetation types is 0.15–0.13 for the biochemical level β, 0.13–0.16 for the leaf-level β, 0.48 for the βGPP, 0.45 for the βNPP, and 0.58 for the βcpool. The low variation of the leaf-level β is consistent with a theoretical analysis that leaf photosynthetic sensitivity to increasing CO2 concentration is almost an invariant function. In CABLE, the major jump in CV of β values from leaf- to canopy- and ecosystem-levels results from divergence in modelled leaf area index (LAI) within and among the vegetation types. The correlations of βGPP, βNPP, or βcpool with βLAI are very high in CABLE. Overall, our results indicate that modelled LAI is a key factor causing the divergence in β values in CABLE model. It is therefore urgent to constrain processes that regulate LAI dynamics in order to better represent the response of ecosystem productivity to increasing CO2 in Earth System Models.

scholarly journals Reduction of Global Plant Production due to Droughts from 2001 to 2010: An Analysis with a Process-Based Global Terrestrial Ecosystem Model

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (16) ◽  
pp. 1-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chang Liao ◽  
Qianlai Zhuang
Keyword(s):  
Primary Production ◽  
Net Primary Production ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystem ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystems ◽  
Ecosystem Model ◽  
Plant Production ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Drought Impact ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystem Model

Abstract Droughts dramatically affect plant production of global terrestrial ecosystems. To date, quantification of this impact remains a challenge because of the complex plant physiological and biochemical processes associated with drought. Here, this study incorporates a drought index into an existing process-based terrestrial ecosystem model to estimate the drought impact on global plant production for the period 2001–10. Global Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) gross primary production (GPP) data products are used to constrain model parameters and verify the model algorithms. The verified model is then applied to evaluate the drought impact. The study indicates that droughts will reduce GPP by 9.8 g C m−2 month−1 during the study period. On average, drought reduces GPP by 10% globally. As a result, the global GPP decreased from 106.4 to 95.9 Pg C yr−1 while the global net primary production (NPP) decreased from 54.9 to 49.9 Pg C yr−1. This study revises the estimation of the global NPP and suggests that the future quantification of the global carbon budget of terrestrial ecosystems should take the drought impact into account.

scholarly journals Effects of carbon turnover time on terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage

2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (23) ◽  
pp. 5441-5454 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaner Yan ◽  
Xuhui Zhou ◽  
Lifeng Jiang ◽  
Yiqi Luo
Keyword(s):  
Primary Production ◽  
Spatial Variation ◽  
Net Primary Production ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystem ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystems ◽  
Turnover Time ◽  
Soil C ◽  
C Storage ◽  
Key Factor

Abstract. Carbon (C) turnover time is a key factor in determining C storage capacity in various plant and soil pools as well as terrestrial C sink in a changing climate. However, the effects of C turnover time on ecosystem C storage have not been well explored. In this study, we compared mean C turnover times (MTTs) of ecosystem and soil, examined their variability to climate, and then quantified the spatial variation in ecosystem C storage over time from changes in C turnover time and/or net primary production (NPP). Our results showed that mean ecosystem MTT based on gross primary production (GPP; MTTEC_GPP =  Cpool/GPP, 25.0 ± 2.7 years) was shorter than soil MTT (MTTsoil =  Csoil/NPP, 35.5 ± 1.2 years) and NPP-based ecosystem MTT (MTTEC_NPP =  Cpool/NPP, 50.8 ± 3 years; Cpool and Csoil referred to ecosystem or soil C storage, respectively). On the biome scale, temperature is the best predictor for MTTEC (R2 =  0.77, p < 0.001) and MTTsoil (R2 =  0.68, p < 0.001), while the inclusion of precipitation in the model did not improve the performance of MTTEC (R2 =  0.76, p < 0.001). Ecosystem MTT decreased by approximately 4 years from 1901 to 2011 when only temperature was considered, resulting in a large C release from terrestrial ecosystems. The resultant terrestrial C release caused by the decrease in MTT only accounted for about 13.5 % of that due to the change in NPP uptake (159.3 ± 1.45 vs. 1215.4 ± 11.0 Pg C). However, the larger uncertainties in the spatial variation of MTT than temporal changes could lead to a greater impact on ecosystem C storage, which deserves further study in the future.

scholarly journals MERIS GPP/NPP product for Estonia: I. Algorithm and preliminary results of simulation / MERIS’e GPP/NPP tulem Eesti jaoks: I. Algoritm ja mudelarvutuste esialgsed tulemused

2012 ◽  
Vol 56 (1) ◽  
pp. 56-78
Author(s):  
Tiit Nilson ◽  
Mattias Rennel ◽  
Andres Luhamaa ◽  
Maris Hordo ◽  
Aire Olesk ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Production ◽  
Tree Ring ◽  
Net Primary Production ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Type Model ◽  
Limited Area ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Tree Ring Data ◽  
Resolution Imaging

Abstract. A light use efficiency (LUE) type model named EST_PP to simulate the yearly gross primary production (GPP) and net primary production (NPP) of Estonian land on a 1 km2 grid is described. The model is based on MERIS (MEdium Resolution Imaging Spectrometer) satellite images to describe the fraction of photosynthetically active radiation (fAPAR) and leaf area index (LAI) as well as meteorological reanalysis datasets on 11 km2 grid produced by Estonian Meteorological Institute (EMHI) and Tartu University (TU) by means of the HIRLAM (High Resolution Limited Area Model) numerical weather prediction model. The land cover map of Estonia needed for the model was derived using DMCii (Disaster Monitoring Constellation International Imaging) SLIM-6-22 (Surrey Linear Imager - 6 channel - 22 m resolution) images and ancillary information. The EST_PP model was run for the period from years 2003 to 2011. The results of GPP and NPP simulation are compared with the available global MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) GPP/NPP product and with the Estonian statistical data on yearly volume increment in forests and on yield of agricultural crops. The NPP simulation results on coniferous and deciduous forests are compared with the data from tree ring analyses from different counties. These comparisons show us that the simulated country average yearly NPP values for Estonian forests agree reasonably well with the indirect estimates from other sources, taking into account the rather high uncertainty of the model predictions, uncertainty of forest inventory-based estimates and limited representativity of existing tree ring data. However, problems arise with the ability of present versions of EST_PP and MODIS NPP models to adequately simulate the regional differences of productivity and of variability of productivity in different years. The model needs some modification and the basic LUE principles to be tested in Estonia. Nevertheless, the MODIS NPP and EST_PP models offer additional possibilities to map yearly productivity and carbon sequestration by Estonian vegetation. There is a perspective to add the model-simulated NPP values into the national inventory datasets.

scholarly journals Leaf area index identified as a major source of variability in modeled CO<sub>2</sub> fertilization

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (22) ◽  
pp. 6909-6925 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qianyu Li ◽  
Xingjie Lu ◽  
Yingping Wang ◽  
Xin Huang ◽  
Peter M. Cox ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Production ◽  
Leaf Area Index ◽  
Leaf Area ◽  
Net Primary Production ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Leaf Photosynthesis ◽  
Cable Model ◽  
Co2 Fertilization ◽  
C3 Plant ◽  
Area Index

Abstract. The concentration–carbon feedback (β), also called the CO2 fertilization effect, is a key unknown in climate–carbon-cycle projections. A better understanding of model mechanisms that govern terrestrial ecosystem responses to elevated CO2 is urgently needed to enable a more accurate prediction of future terrestrial carbon sink. We conducted C-only, carbon–nitrogen (C–N) and carbon–nitrogen–phosphorus (C–N–P) simulations of the Community Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange model (CABLE) from 1901 to 2100 with fixed climate to identify the most critical model process that causes divergence in β. We calculated CO2 fertilization effects at various hierarchical levels from leaf biochemical reaction and leaf photosynthesis to canopy gross primary production (GPP), net primary production (NPP), and ecosystem carbon storage (cpool) for seven C3 plant functional types (PFTs) in response to increasing CO2 under the RCP 8.5 scenario. Our results show that β values at biochemical and leaf photosynthesis levels vary little across the seven PFTs, but greatly diverge at canopy and ecosystem levels in all simulations. The low variation of the leaf-level β is consistent with a theoretical analysis that leaf photosynthetic sensitivity to increasing CO2 concentration is almost an invariant function. In the CABLE model, the major jump in variation of β values from leaf levels to canopy and ecosystem levels results from divergence in modeled leaf area index (LAI) within and among PFTs. The correlation of βGPP, βNPP, or βcpool each with βLAI is very high in all simulations. Overall, our results indicate that modeled LAI is a key factor causing the divergence in β in the CABLE model. It is therefore urgent to constrain processes that regulate LAI dynamics in order to better represent the response of ecosystem productivity to increasing CO2 in Earth system models.

scholarly journals Generation of High Resolution Vegetation Productivity from a Downscaling Method

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 1748 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tao Yu ◽  
Rui Sun ◽  
Zhiqiang Xiao ◽  
Qiang Zhang ◽  
Juanmin Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Primary Production ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Net Primary Production ◽  
Gross Primary Production ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystems ◽  
Vegetation Productivity ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Downscaling Method

Accurately estimating vegetation productivity is important in the research of terrestrial ecosystems, carbon cycles and climate change. Although several gross primary production (GPP) and net primary production (NPP) products have been generated and many algorithms developed, advances are still needed to exploit multi-scale data streams for producing GPP and NPP with higher spatial and temporal resolution. In this paper, a method to generate high spatial resolution (30 m) GPP and NPP products was developed based on multi-scale remote sensing data and a downscaling method. First, high resolution fraction photosynthetically active radiation (FPAR) and leaf area index (LAI) were obtained by using a regression tree approach and the spatial and temporal adaptive reflectance fusion model (STARFM). Second, the GPP and NPP were estimated from a multi-source data synergized quantitative algorithm. Finally, the vegetation productivity estimates were validated with the ground-based field data, and were compared with MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and estimated Global LAnd Surface Satellite (GLASS) products. Results of this paper indicated that downscaling methods have great potential in generating high resolution GPP and NPP.

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