scholarly journals Data-based estimates of the ocean carbon sink variability – first results of the Surface Ocean <i>p</i>CO<sub>2</sub> Mapping intercomparison (SOCOM)

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (23) ◽  
pp. 7251-7278 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Rödenbeck ◽  
D. C. E. Bakker ◽  
N. Gruber ◽  
Y. Iida ◽  
A. R. Jacobson ◽  
...  

Abstract. Using measurements of the surface-ocean CO2 partial pressure (pCO2) and 14 different pCO2 mapping methods recently collated by the Surface Ocean pCO2 Mapping intercomparison (SOCOM) initiative, variations in regional and global sea–air CO2 fluxes are investigated. Though the available mapping methods use widely different approaches, we find relatively consistent estimates of regional pCO2 seasonality, in line with previous estimates. In terms of interannual variability (IAV), all mapping methods estimate the largest variations to occur in the eastern equatorial Pacific. Despite considerable spread in the detailed variations, mapping methods that fit the data more closely also tend to agree more closely with each other in regional averages. Encouragingly, this includes mapping methods belonging to complementary types – taking variability either directly from the pCO2 data or indirectly from driver data via regression. From a weighted ensemble average, we find an IAV amplitude of the global sea–air CO2 flux of 0.31 PgC yr−1 (standard deviation over 1992–2009), which is larger than simulated by biogeochemical process models. From a decadal perspective, the global ocean CO2 uptake is estimated to have gradually increased since about 2000, with little decadal change prior to that. The weighted mean net global ocean CO2 sink estimated by the SOCOM ensemble is −1.75 PgC yr−1 (1992–2009), consistent within uncertainties with estimates from ocean-interior carbon data or atmospheric oxygen trends.

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (16) ◽  
pp. 14049-14104 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Rödenbeck ◽  
D. C. E. Bakker ◽  
N. Gruber ◽  
Y. Iida ◽  
A. R. Jacobson ◽  
...  

Abstract. Using measurements of the surface-ocean CO2 partial pressure (pCO2) and 14 different pCO2 mapping methods recently collated by the Surface Ocean pCO2 Mapping intercomparison (SOCOM) initiative, variations in regional and global sea–air CO2 fluxes have been investigated. Though the available mapping methods use widely different approaches, we find relatively consistent estimates of regional pCO2 seasonality, in line with previous estimates. In terms of interannual variability (IAV), all mapping methods estimate the largest variations to occur in the Eastern equatorial Pacific. Despite considerable spead in the detailed variations, mapping methods with closer match to the data also tend to be more consistent with each other. Encouragingly, this includes mapping methods belonging to complementary types – taking variability either directly from the pCO2 data or indirectly from driver data via regression. From a weighted ensemble average, we find an IAV amplitude of the global sea–air CO2 flux of 0.31 PgC yr−1 (standard deviation over 1992–2009), which is larger than simulated by biogeochemical process models. On a decadal perspective, the global CO2 uptake is estimated to have gradually increased since about 2000, with little decadal change prior to 2000. The weighted mean total ocean CO2 sink estimated by the SOCOM ensemble is consistent within uncertainties with estimates from ocean-interior carbon data or atmospheric oxygen trends.


2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (17) ◽  
pp. 4599-4613 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Rödenbeck ◽  
D. C. E. Bakker ◽  
N. Metzl ◽  
A. Olsen ◽  
C. Sabine ◽  
...  

Abstract. Interannual anomalies in the sea–air carbon dioxide (CO2) exchange have been estimated from surface-ocean CO2 partial pressure measurements. Available data are sufficient to constrain these anomalies in large parts of the tropical and North Pacific and in the North Atlantic, in some areas covering the period from the mid 1980s to 2011. Global interannual variability is estimated as about 0.31 Pg C yr−1 (temporal standard deviation 1993–2008). The tropical Pacific accounts for a large fraction of this global variability, closely tied to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Anomalies occur more than 6 months later in the east than in the west. The estimated amplitude and ENSO response are roughly consistent with independent information from atmospheric oxygen data. This both supports the variability estimated from surface-ocean carbon data and demonstrates the potential of the atmospheric oxygen signal to constrain ocean biogeochemical processes. The ocean variability estimated from surface-ocean carbon data can be used to improve land CO2 flux estimates from atmospheric inversions.


2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 3167-3207 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Rödenbeck ◽  
D. C. E. Bakker ◽  
N. Metzl ◽  
A. Olsen ◽  
C. Sabine ◽  
...  

Abstract. Interannual anomalies in the sea–air carbon dioxide (CO2) exchange have been estimated from surface-ocean CO2 partial pressure measurements. Available data are sufficient to constrain these anomalies in large parts of the tropical and Northern Pacific and in the Northern Atlantic, in some areas since the mid 1980s to 2011. Global interannual variability is estimated as about 0.31 Pg C yr−1 (temporal standard deviation 1993–2008). The tropical Pacific accounts for a large fraction of this global variability, closely tied to ENSO. Anomalies occur more than 6 months later in the East than in the West. The estimated amplitude and ENSO response are consistent with independent information from atmospheric oxygen data. Despite discrepancies in detail, this both supports the variability estimated from surface-ocean carbon data, and demonstrates the potential of the atmospheric oxygen signal to constrain ocean biogeochemical processes. The ocean variability estimated from surface-ocean carbon data can be used to improve land CO2 flux estimates from atmospheric inversions.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amanda R. Fay ◽  
Luke Gregor ◽  
Peter Landschützer ◽  
Galen A. McKinley ◽  
Nicolas Gruber ◽  
...  

Abstract. Air-sea flux of carbon dioxide (CO2) is a critical component of the global carbon cycle and the climate system with the ocean removing about a quarter of the CO2 emitted into the atmosphere by human activities over the last decade. A common approach to estimate this net flux of CO2 across the air-sea interface is the use of surface ocean CO2 observations and the computation of the flux through a bulk parameterization approach. Yet, the details for how this is done in order to arrive at a global ocean CO2 uptake estimate varies greatly, unnecessarily enhancing the uncertainties. Here we reduce some of these uncertainties by harmonizing an ensemble of products that interpolate surface ocean CO2 observations to near global coverage. We propose a common methodology to fill in missing areas in the products and to calculate fluxes and present a new estimate of the net flux. The ensemble data product, SeaFlux (Fay et al. (2021), doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4133802, https://github.com/luke-gregor/SeaFlux), accounts for the diversity of the underlying mapping methodologies. Utilizing six global observation-based mapping products (CMEMS-FFNN, CSIR-ML6, JENA-MLS, JMA-MLR, MPI-SOMFFN, NIES-FNN), the SeaFlux ensemble approach adjusts for methodological inconsistencies in flux calculations that can result in an average error of 15 % in global mean flux estimates. We address differences in spatial coverage of the surface ocean CO2 between the mapping products which ultimately yields an increase in CO2 uptake of up to 19 % for some products. Fluxes are calculated using three wind products (CCMPv2, ERA5, and JRA55). Application of an appropriately scaled gas exchange coefficient has a greater impact on the resulting flux than solely the choice of wind product. With these adjustments, we derive an improved ensemble of surface ocean pCO2 and air-sea carbon flux estimates. The SeaFlux ensemble suggests a global mean uptake of CO2 from the atmosphere of 1.92 +/- 0.35 PgC yr-1. This work aims to support the community effort to perform model-data intercomparisons which will help to identify missing fluxes as we strive to close the global carbon budget.


2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 7793-7815 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Landschützer ◽  
N. Gruber ◽  
D. C. E. Bakker ◽  
U. Schuster ◽  
S. Nakaoka ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Atlantic Ocean is one of the most important sinks for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), but this sink has been shown to vary substantially in time. Here we use surface ocean CO2 observations to estimate this sink and the temporal variability from 1998 through 2007 in the Atlantic Ocean. We benefit from (i) a continuous improvement of the observations, i.e. the Surface Ocean CO2 Atlas (SOCAT) v1.5 database and (ii) a newly developed technique to interpolate the observations in space and time. In particular, we use a two-step neural network approach to reconstruct basin-wide monthly maps of the sea surface partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) at a resolution of 1° × 1°. From those, we compute the air–sea CO2 flux maps using a standard gas exchange parameterization and high-resolution wind speeds. The neural networks fit the observed pCO2 data with a root mean square error (RMSE) of about 10 μatm and with almost no bias. A check against independent time-series data and new data from SOCAT v2 reveals a larger RMSE of 22.8 μatm for the entire Atlantic Ocean, which decreases to 16.3 μatm for data south of 40° N. We estimate a decadal mean uptake flux of −0.45 ± 0.15 Pg C yr−1 for the Atlantic between 44° S and 79° N, representing the sum of a strong uptake north of 18° N (−0.39 ± 0.10 Pg C yr−1), outgassing in the tropics (18° S–18° N, 0.11 ± 0.07 Pg C yr−1), and uptake in the subtropical/temperate South Atlantic south of 18° S (−0.16 ± 0.06 Pg C yr−1), consistent with recent studies. The strongest seasonal variability of the CO2 flux occurs in the temperature-driven subtropical North Atlantic, with uptake in winter and outgassing in summer. The seasonal cycle is antiphased in the subpolar latitudes relative to the subtropics largely as a result of the biologically driven winter-to-summer drawdown of CO2. Over the 10 yr analysis period (1998 through 2007), sea surface pCO2 increased faster than that of the atmosphere in large areas poleward of 40° N, while in other regions of the North Atlantic the sea surface pCO2 increased at a slower rate, resulting in a barely changing Atlantic carbon sink north of the Equator (−0.01 ± 0.02 Pg C yr−1 decade−1). Surface ocean pCO2 increased at a slower rate relative to atmospheric CO2 over most of the Atlantic south of the Equator, leading to a substantial trend toward a stronger CO2 sink for the entire South Atlantic (−0.14 ± 0.02 Pg C yr−1 decade−1). In contrast to the 10 yr trends, the Atlantic Ocean carbon sink varies relatively little on inter-annual timescales (±0.04 Pg C yr−1; 1 σ).


2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1983-2000 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Wanninkhof ◽  
G. -H. Park ◽  
T. Takahashi ◽  
C. Sweeney ◽  
R. Feely ◽  
...  

Abstract. The globally integrated sea–air anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) flux from 1990 to 2009 is determined from models and data-based approaches as part of the Regional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes (RECCAP) project. Numerical methods include ocean inverse models, atmospheric inverse models, and ocean general circulation models with parameterized biogeochemistry (OBGCMs). The median value of different approaches shows good agreement in average uptake. The best estimate of anthropogenic CO2 uptake for the time period based on a compilation of approaches is −2.0 Pg C yr−1. The interannual variability in the sea–air flux is largely driven by large-scale climate re-organizations and is estimated at 0.2 Pg C yr−1 for the two decades with some systematic differences between approaches. The largest differences between approaches are seen in the decadal trends. The trends range from −0.13 (Pg C yr−1) decade−1 to −0.50 (Pg C yr−1) decade−1 for the two decades under investigation. The OBGCMs and the data-based sea–air CO2 flux estimates show appreciably smaller decadal trends than estimates based on changes in carbon inventory suggesting that methods capable of resolving shorter timescales are showing a slowing of the rate of ocean CO2 uptake. RECCAP model outputs for five decades show similar differences in trends between approaches.


Ocean Science ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 193-216 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Rödenbeck ◽  
R. F. Keeling ◽  
D. C. E. Bakker ◽  
N. Metzl ◽  
A. Olsen ◽  
...  

Abstract. A temporally and spatially resolved estimate of the global surface-ocean CO2 partial pressure field and the sea–air CO2 flux is presented, obtained by fitting a simple data-driven diagnostic model of ocean mixed-layer biogeochemistry to surface-ocean CO2 partial pressure data from the SOCAT v1.5 database. Results include seasonal, interannual, and short-term (daily) variations. In most regions, estimated seasonality is well constrained from the data, and compares well to the widely used monthly climatology by Takahashi et al. (2009). Comparison to independent data tentatively supports the slightly higher seasonal variations in our estimates in some areas. We also fitted the diagnostic model to atmospheric CO2 data. The results of this are less robust, but in those areas where atmospheric signals are not strongly influenced by land flux variability, their seasonality is nevertheless consistent with the results based on surface-ocean data. From a comparison with an independent seasonal climatology of surface-ocean nutrient concentration, the diagnostic model is shown to capture relevant surface-ocean biogeochemical processes reasonably well. Estimated interannual variations will be presented and discussed in a companion paper.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dewang Li ◽  
Xiaobo Ni ◽  
Kui Wang ◽  
Dingyong Zeng ◽  
Bin Wang ◽  
...  

The partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) in the sea and the air-sea CO2 flux in plume waters are subject to interactions among biological production, horizontal advection, and upwelling under wind events. In this study, time series of pCO2 and other biogeochemical parameters in the dynamic Changjiang plume were presented to illuminate the controlling factors of pCO2 and the air-sea CO2 flux after a strong south wind event (July 23–24, maximum of 11.2 ms–1). The surface pCO2 decreased by 310 μatm (to 184 μatm) from July 24 to 26. Low-pCO2 waters (&lt;200 μatm) were observed in the following 2 days. Corresponding chlorophyll a and dissolved oxygen (DO) increase, and a significant relationship between DO and npCO2 indicated that biological uptake drove the pCO2 decrease. The salinity of undersaturated-CO2 waters decreased by 3.57 (from 25.03 to 21.46) within 2 days (July 27–28), suggesting the offshore advection of plume waters in which CO2 had been biologically reduced. Four days after the wind event, the upwelling of high-CO2 waters was observed, which increased the pCO2 by 428 μatm (up to 584 μatm) within 6 days. Eight days after the onset of upwelling, the surface pCO2 started to decrease (from 661 to 346 μatm within 3 days), which was probably associated with biological production. Regarding the air-sea CO2 flux, the carbon sink of the plume was enhanced as the low-pCO2 plume waters were pushed offshore under the south winds. In its initial stage, the subsequent upwelling made the surface waters act as a carbon source to the atmosphere. However, the surface waters became a carbon sink again after a week of upwelling. Such short-term air-sea carbon fluxes driven by wind have likely occurred in other dynamic coastal waters and have probably induced significant uncertainties in flux estimations.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Judith Hauck ◽  
Luke Gregor ◽  
Cara Nissen ◽  
Eric Mortenson ◽  
Seth Bushinsky ◽  
...  

&lt;p&gt;The Southern Ocean is the main gateway for anthropogenic CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; into the ocean owing to the upwelling of old water masses with low anthropogenic CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; concentration, and the transport of the newly equilibrated surface waters into the ocean interior through intermediate, deep and bottom water formation. Here we present first results of the Southern Ocean chapter of RECCAP2, which is the Global Carbon Project&amp;#8217;s second systematic study on Regional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes. In the Southern Ocean chapter, we aim to assess the Southern Ocean carbon sink 1985-2018 from a wide range of available models and data sets, and to identify patterns of regional and temporal variability, model limitations and future challenges.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;We gathered global and regional estimates of the air-sea CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; flux over the period 1985-2018 from global ocean biogeochemical models, surface pCO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-based data products, and data-assimilated models. The analysis on the Southern Ocean quantified geographical patterns in the annual mean and seasonal amplitude of air-sea CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; flux, with results presented here aggregated to the level of large-scale ocean biomes.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Considering the suite of observed and modelled estimates, we found that the subtropical seasonally stratified (STSS) biome stands out with the largest air-sea CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; flux per area and a seasonal cycle with largest ocean uptake of CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; in winter, whereas the ice (ICE) biome is characterized by a large ensemble spread and a pronounced seasonal cycle with the largest ocean uptake of CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; in summer. Connecting these two, the subpolar seasonally stratified (SPSS) biome has intermediate flux densities (flux per area), and most models have difficulties simulating the seasonal cycle with strongest uptake during the summer months.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Our analysis also reveals distinct differences between the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian sectors of the aforementioned biomes. In the STSS, the Indian sector contributes most to the ocean carbon sink, followed by the Atlantic and then Pacific sectors. This hierarchy is less pronounced in the models than in the data-products. In the SPSS, only the Atlantic sector exhibits net CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; uptake in all years, likely linked to strong biological production. In the ICE biome, the Atlantic and Pacific sectors take up more CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; than the Indian sector, suggesting a potential role of the Weddell and Ross Gyres.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;These first results confirm the global relevance of the Southern Ocean carbon sink and highlight the strong regional and interannual variability of the Southern Ocean carbon uptake in connection to physical and biogeochemical processes.&lt;/p&gt;


2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Herbst ◽  
T. Friborg ◽  
K. Schelde ◽  
R. Jensen ◽  
R. Ringgaard ◽  
...  

Abstract. The atmospheric greenhouse gas (GHG) budget of a restored wetland in western Denmark was established for the years 2009–2011 from eddy covariance measurements of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) fluxes. The water table in the wetland, which was restored in 2002, was unregulated, and the vegetation height was limited through occasional grazing by cattle and grass cutting. The annual net CO2 uptake varied between 195 and 983 g m−2 and the annual net CH4 release varied between 11 and 17 g m−2. In all three years the wetland was a carbon sink and removed between 42 and 259 g C m−2 from the atmosphere. However, in terms of the full annual GHG budget (assuming that 1 g CH4 is equivalent to 25 g CO2 with respect to the greenhouse effect over a time horizon of 100 years) the wetland was a sink in 2009, a source in 2010 and neutral in 2011. Complementary observations of meteorological factors and management activities were used to explain the large inter-annual variations in the full atmospheric GHG budget of the wetland. The largest impact on the annual GHG fluxes, eventually defining their sign, came from site management through changes in grazing duration and animal stocking density. These changes accounted for half of the observed variability in the CO2 fluxes and about two thirds of the variability in CH4 fluxes. An unusually long period of snow cover in 2010 had the second largest effect on the annual CO2 flux, whose interannual variability was larger than that of the CH4 flux. Since integrated CO2 and CH4 flux data from restored wetlands are still very rare, it is concluded that more long-term flux measurements are needed to quantify the effects of ecosystem disturbance, in terms of management activities and exceptional weather patterns, on the atmospheric GHG budget more accurately.


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