A triple tree-ring constraint for tree growth and physiology in a global land surface model

Abstract. Annually resolved tree-ring records extending back to pre-industrial conditions have the potential to constrain the responses of global land surface models at interannual to centennial timescales. Here, we demonstrate a framework to simultaneously constrain the representation of tree growth and physiology in the ORCHIDEE global land surface model using the simulated variability of tree-ring width and carbon (Δ13C) and oxygen (δ18O) stable isotopes in six sites in boreal and temperate Europe. We exploit the resulting tree-ring triplet to derive integrative constraints for leaf physiology and growth from well-known mechanistic relationships among the variables. ORCHIDEE simulates Δ13C (r=0.31–0.80) and δ18O (r=0.36–0.74) better than tree-ring width (r<0.55), with an overall skill similar to that of a tree-ring model (MAIDENiso) and another isotope-enabled global vegetation model (LPX-Bern). The comparison with tree-ring data showed that growth variability is not well represented in ORCHIDEE and that the parameterization of leaf-level physiological responses (stomatal control) to drought stress in the temperate region can be constrained using the interannual variability of tree-ring stable isotopes. The representation of carbon storage and remobilization dynamics emerged as a critical process to improve the realism of simulated growth variability, temporal carryover, and recovery of forest ecosystems after climate extremes. Simulated forest gross primary productivity (GPP) correlates with simulated tree-ring Δ13C and δ18O variability, but the origin of the correlations with tree-ring δ18O is not entirely physiological. The integration of tree-ring data and land surface models as demonstrated here should guide model improvements and contribute towards reducing current uncertainties in forest carbon and water cycling.

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Developing a triple tree-ring constraint for tree growth and physiology in a global land surface model

10.5194/egusphere-egu21-13546 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Jonathan Barichivich ◽

Philippe Peylin ◽

Valérie Daux ◽

Camille Risi ◽

Jina Jeong ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Tree Ring ◽

Land Surface ◽

Forest Ecosystems ◽

Ring Width ◽

Land Surface Model ◽

Surface Model ◽

Growth Variability ◽

Tree Ring Data ◽

Surface Models ◽

Global Land

Gradual anthropogenic warming and parallel changes in the major global biogeochemical cycles are slowly pushing forest ecosystems into novel growing conditions, with uncertain consequences for ecosystem dynamics and climate. Short-term forest responses (i.e., years to a decade) to global change factors are relatively well understood and skilfully simulated by land surface models (LSMs). However, confidence on model projections weaken towards longer time scales and to the future, mainly because the long-term responses (i.e., decade to century) of these models remain unconstrained. This issue limits confidence on climate model projections. Annually-resolved tree-ring records, extending back to pre-industrial conditions, have the potential to constrain model responses at interannual to centennial time scales. Here, we constrain the representation of tree growth and physiology in the ORCHIDEE global land surface model using the simulated interannual variability of tree-ring width and carbon (&#916;13C) and oxygen (&#948;18O) stable isotopes in six sites in boreal and temperate Europe.&#160; The model simulates &#916;13C (r = 0.31-0.80) and &#948;18O (r = 0.36-0.74) variability better than tree-ring width variability (r < 0.55), with an overall skill similar to that of other state-of-the-art models such as MAIDENiso and LPX-Bern. These results show that growth variability is not well represented, and that the parameterization of leaf-level physiological responses to drought stress in the temperate region can be improved with tree-ring data. The representation of carbon storage and remobilization dynamics is critical to improve the realism of simulated growth variability, temporal carrying over and recovery of forest ecosystems after climate extremes. The simulated physiological response to rising CO2 over the 20th century is consistent with tree-ring data in the temperate region, despite an overestimation of seasonal drought stress and stomatal control on photosynthesis. Photosynthesis correlates directly with isotopic variability, but correlations with &#948;18O combine physiological effects and climate variability impacts on source water signatures. The integration of tree-ring data (i.e. the triple constraint: width, &#916;13C and &#948;18O) and land surface models as demonstrated here should contribute towards reducing current uncertainties in forest carbon and water cycling.

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A triple tree-ring constraint for tree growth and physiology in a global land surface model

10.5194/bg-2020-446 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Jonathan Barichivich ◽

Philippe Peylin ◽

Thomas Launois ◽

Valerie Daux ◽

Camille Risi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Tree Ring ◽

Tree Growth ◽

Land Surface ◽

Ring Width ◽

Land Surface Model ◽

Surface Model ◽

Tree Ring Width ◽

Leaf Physiology ◽

Global Land ◽

Temperate Europe

Abstract. Annually-resolved tree-ring records extending back to pre-industrial conditions have the potential to constrain the responses of global land surface models at interannual to centennial time scales. Here, we demonstrate a framework to constrain the representation of tree growth and physiology in the ORCHIDEE global land surface model using the simulated variability of tree-ring width and carbon (Δ13C) and oxygen (δ18O) stable isotopes in six sites in boreal and temperate Europe. We exploit the tree-ring triplet to derive integrative constraints for leaf physiology and growth from well-known mechanistic relationships among the variables. The model simulates Δ13C (r = 0.31–0.80) and δ18O (r = 0.36–0.74) better than tree-ring width (r

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Using the International Tree-Ring Data Bank (ITRDB) records as century-long benchmarks for land-surface models

10.5194/gmd-2020-29 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Jina Jeong ◽

Jonathan Barichivich ◽

Philippe Peylin ◽

Vanessa Haverd ◽

Matthew J. McGrath ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Data Processing ◽

Tree Ring ◽

Land Surface ◽

Environmental Changes ◽

Ring Width ◽

Data Bank ◽

Tree Ring Width ◽

Land Surface Models ◽

Tree Ring Data ◽

Surface Models

Abstract. The search for a long-term benchmark for land-surface models (LSM) has brought tree-ring data to the attention of the land-surface community as they record growth well before human-induced environmental changes became important. The most comprehensive archive of publicly shared tree-ring data is the International Tree-ring Data Bank (ITRDB). Many records in the ITRDB have, however, been collected almost exclusively with a view on maximizing an environmental target signal (e.g. climate), which has resulted in a biased representation of forested sites and landscapes and thus limits its use as a data source for benchmarking. The aim of this study is to propose advances in land-surface modelling and data processing to enable the land-surface community to re-use the ITRDB data as a much-needed century-long benchmark. Given that tree-ring width is largely explained by phenology, tree size, and climate sensitivity, LSMs that intend to use it as a benchmark should at least simulate tree phenology, size-dependent growth, differently-sized trees within a stand, and responses to changes in temperature, precipitation and atmospheric CO2 con¬cen¬tra¬tions. Yet, even if LSMs were capable of accurately simulating tree-ring width, sampling biases in the ITRDB need to be accounted for. This study proposes two solutions: exploiting the observation that the variation due to size-related growth by far exceeds the variation due to environmental changes; and simulating a size-structured population of trees. Combining the proposed advances in modelling and data processing resulted in four complementary benchmarks - reflecting different usage of the information contained in the ITRDB - each described by two metrics rooted in statistics that quantify the performance of the benchmark. Although the proposed benchmarks are unlikely to be precise, they advance the field by providing a much-needed large-scale constraint on changes in the simulated maximum tree diameter and annual growth increment for the transition from pre-industrial to present-day environmental conditions over the past century. Hence, the proposed benchmarks open up new ways of exploring the ITRDB archive, stimulate the dendrochronological community to refine its sampling protocols to produce new and spatially unbiased tree-ring networks, and help the modelling community to move beyond the short-term benchmarking of LSM.

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Using Cosmic-Ray Neutron Probes in Validating Satellite Soil Moisture Products and Land Surface Models

Water ◽

10.3390/w11071362 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 11 (7) ◽

pp. 1362 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Mustafa Berk Duygu ◽

Zuhal Akyürek

Keyword(s):

Soil Moisture ◽

Land Surface ◽

Land Surface Model ◽

Cosmic Ray ◽

Surface Model ◽

High Temporal Resolution ◽

Land Surface Models ◽

Statistical Measures ◽

Surface Models ◽

Global Land

Soil moisture content is one of the most important parameters of hydrological studies. Cosmic-ray neutron sensing is a promising proximal soil moisture sensing technique at intermediate scale and high temporal resolution. In this study, we validate satellite soil moisture products for the period of March 2015 and December 2018 by using several existing Cosmic Ray Neutron Probe (CRNP) stations of the COSMOS database and a CRNP station that was installed in the south part of Turkey in October 2016. Soil moisture values, which were inferred from the CRNP station in Turkey, are also validated using a time domain reflectometer (TDR) installed at the same location and soil water content values obtained from a land surface model (Noah LSM) at various depths (0.1 m, 0.3 m, 0.6 m and 1.0 m). The CRNP has a very good correlation with TDR where both measurements show consistent changes in soil moisture due to storm events. Satellite soil moisture products obtained from the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS), the METOP-A/B Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT), Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2), Climate Change Initiative (CCI) and a global land surface model Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) are compared with the soil moisture values obtained from CRNP stations. Coefficient of determination ( r 2 ) and unbiased root mean square error (ubRMSE) are used as the statistical measures. Triple Collocation (TC) was also performed by considering soil moisture values obtained from different soil moisture products and the CRNPs. The validation results are mainly influenced by the location of the sensor and the soil moisture retrieval algorithm of satellite products. The SMAP surface product produces the highest correlations and lowest errors especially in semi-arid areas whereas the ASCAT product provides better results in vegetated areas. Both global and local land surface models’ outputs are highly compatible with the CRNP soil moisture values.

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Review of A triple tree-ring constraint for tree growth and physiology in a global land surface model” by Jonathan Barichivich et al.

10.5194/bg-2020-446-rc2 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Anonymous

Keyword(s):

Tree Ring ◽

Tree Growth ◽

Land Surface ◽

Land Surface Model ◽

Surface Model ◽

Global Land

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Inundation prediction in tropical wetlands from JULES-CaMa-Flood global land surface simulations

10.5194/hess-2021-109 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Toby Richard Marthews ◽

Simon J. Dadson ◽

Douglas B. Clark ◽

Eleanor M. Blyth ◽

Garry Hayman ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Land Surface ◽

Land Surface Model ◽

Surface Model ◽

Seasonal Cycles ◽

Hydrological Models ◽

Tropical Wetlands ◽

Surface Models ◽

Global Land ◽

The Tropics ◽

Global Data

Abstract. Wetlands play a key role in hydrological and biogeochemical cycles and provide multiple ecosystem services to society. However, reliable data on the extent of global inundated areas and the magnitude of their contribution to local hydrological dynamics remain surprisingly uncertain. Global hydrological models and Land Surface Models (LSMs) include only the most major inundation sources and mechanisms, therefore quantifying the uncertainties in available data sources remains a challenge. We address these problems by taking a leading global data product on inundation extents (GIEMS) and matching against predictions from a sophisticated global hydrodynamic model (CaMa-Flood) that uses runoff data generated from the JULES land surface model. The ability of the model to reproduce patterns and dynamics showed by the observational product is assessed in a number of case studies across the tropics (including the Sudd, Pantanal, Congo and Amazon), which show that it performs well in large wetland regions, with a good match between corresponding seasonal cycles. However, at finer spatial scale, water inputs (e.g. groundwater inflow to wetland) may become underestimated in comparison to water outputs (e.g. infiltration and evaporation from wetland); or the opposite may occur, depending on the wetland concerned. Additionally, some wetlands display a clear spatial displacement between observed and simulated inundation as a result of over- or under-estimation of overbank flooding upstream. This study provides timely data that can contribute to our current ability to make critical predictions of inundation events at both regional and global levels.

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Tree growth across the Nepal Himalaya during the last four centuries

Progress in Physical Geography Earth and Environment ◽

10.1177/0309133317714247 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 41 (4) ◽

pp. 478-495 ◽

Cited By ~ 15

Author(s):

UK Thapa ◽

S St. George ◽

DK Kharal ◽

NP Gaire

Keyword(s):

Tree Ring ◽

Tree Growth ◽

Environmental Changes ◽

Ring Width ◽

High Elevation ◽

Forest Growth ◽

Tree Ring Width ◽

Early 19Th Century ◽

Tree Ring Data ◽

Instrumental Records

The climate of Nepal has changed rapidly over the recent decades, but most instrumental records of weather and hydrology only extend back to the 1980s. Tree rings can provide a longer perspective on recent environmental changes, and since the early 2000s, a new round of field initiatives by international researchers and Nepali scientists have more than doubled the size of the country’s tree-ring network. In this paper, we present a comprehensive analysis of the current tree-ring width network for Nepal, and use this network to estimate changes in forest growth nation-wide during the last four centuries. Ring-width chronologies in Nepal have been developed from 11 tree species, and half of the records span at least 290 years. The Nepal tree-ring width network provides a robust estimate of annual forest growth over roughly the last four centuries, but prior to this point, our mean ring-width composite fluctuates wildly due to low sample replication. Over the last four centuries, two major events are prominent in the all-Nepal composite: (i) a prolonged and widespread growth suppression during the early 1800s; and (ii) heightened growth during the most recent decade. The early 19th century decline in tree growth coincides with two major Indonesian eruptions, and suggests that short-term disturbances related to climate extremes can exert a lasting influence on the vigor of Nepal’s forests. Growth increases since AD 2000 are mainly apparent in high-elevation fir, which may be a consequence of the observed trend towards warmer temperatures, particularly during winter. This synthesis effort should be useful to establish baselines for tree-ring data in Nepal and provide a broader context to evaluate the sensitivity or behavior of this proxy in the central Himalayas.

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Forward modelling of tree-ring width and comparison with a global network of tree-ring chronologies

Climate of the Past ◽

10.5194/cp-10-437-2014 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 10 (2) ◽

pp. 437-449 ◽

Cited By ~ 49

Author(s):

P. Breitenmoser ◽

S. Brönnimann ◽

D. Frank

Keyword(s):

Data Assimilation ◽

Tree Ring ◽

Ring Width ◽

Global Network ◽

Threshold Temperature ◽

Tree Ring Width ◽

Data Set ◽

Observation Operator ◽

Tree Ring Data ◽

Wide Range

Abstract. We investigate relationships between climate and tree-ring data on a global scale using the process-based Vaganov–Shashkin Lite (VSL) forward model of tree-ring width formation. The VSL model requires as inputs only latitude, monthly mean temperature, and monthly accumulated precipitation. Hence, this simple, process-based model enables ring-width simulation at any location where monthly climate records exist. In this study, we analyse the growth response of simulated tree rings to monthly climate conditions obtained from the CRU TS3.1 data set back to 1901. Our key aims are (a) to assess the VSL model performance by examining the relations between simulated and observed growth at 2287 globally distributed sites, (b) indentify optimal growth parameters found during the model calibration, and (c) to evaluate the potential of the VSL model as an observation operator for data-assimilation-based reconstructions of climate from tree-ring width. The assessment of the growth-onset threshold temperature of approximately 4–6 °C for most sites and species using a Bayesian estimation approach complements other studies on the lower temperature limits where plant growth may be sustained. Our results suggest that the VSL model skilfully simulates site level tree-ring series in response to climate forcing for a wide range of environmental conditions and species. Spatial aggregation of the tree-ring chronologies to reduce non-climatic noise at the site level yielded notable improvements in the coherence between modelled and actual growth. The resulting distinct and coherent patterns of significant relationships between the aggregated and simulated series further demonstrate the VSL model's ability to skilfully capture the climatic signal contained in tree-ring series. Finally, we propose that the VSL model can be used as an observation operator in data assimilation approaches to reconstruct past climate.

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The Met Office Unified Model Global Atmosphere 4.0 and JULES Global Land 4.0 configurations

Geoscientific Model Development ◽

10.5194/gmd-7-361-2014 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 7 (1) ◽

pp. 361-386 ◽

Cited By ~ 121

Author(s):

D. N. Walters ◽

K. D. Williams ◽

I. A. Boutle ◽

A. C. Bushell ◽

J. M. Edwards ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Land Surface ◽

Weather Prediction ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Land Surface Model ◽

Unified Model ◽

Surface Model ◽

Development Cycle ◽

Global Land ◽

Overall Performance ◽

Ongoing Development

Abstract. We describe Global Atmosphere 4.0 (GA4.0) and Global Land 4.0 (GL4.0): configurations of the Met Office Unified Model and JULES (Joint UK Land Environment Simulator) community land surface model developed for use in global and regional climate research and weather prediction activities. GA4.0 and GL4.0 are based on the previous GA3.0 and GL3.0 configurations, with the inclusion of developments made by the Met Office and its collaborators during its annual development cycle. This paper provides a comprehensive technical and scientific description of GA4.0 and GL4.0 as well as details of how these differ from their predecessors. We also present the results of some initial evaluations of their performance. Overall, performance is comparable with that of GA3.0/GL3.0; the updated configurations include improvements to the science of several parametrisation schemes, however, and will form a baseline for further ongoing development.

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Evaluating a land surface model at a water-limited site: implications for land surface contributions to droughts and heatwaves

10.5194/egusphere-egu21-4083 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Mengyuan Mu ◽

Martin De Kauwe ◽

Anna Ukkola ◽

Andy Pitman ◽

Teresa Gimeno ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Soil Moisture ◽

Land Surface ◽

Land Surface Model ◽

Heat Fluxes ◽

Surface Model ◽

Strong Impact ◽

Water Fluxes ◽

Land Surface Models ◽

Groundwater Aquifer ◽

Surface Models

Land surface models underpin coupled climate model projections of droughts and heatwaves. However, the lack of simultaneous observations of individual components of evapotranspiration, concurrent with root-zone soil moisture, has limited previous model evaluations. Here, we use a comprehensive set of observations from a water-limited site in southeastern Australia including both evapotranspiration and soil moisture to a depth of 4.5 m to evaluate the Community Atmosphere-Biosphere Land Exchange (CABLE) land surface model. We demonstrate that alternative process representations within CABLE had the capacity to improve simulated evapotranspiration, but not necessarily soil moisture dynamics - highlighting problems of model evaluations against water fluxes alone. Our best simulation was achieved by resolving a soil evaporation bias; a more realistic initialisation of the groundwater aquifer state; higher vertical soil resolution informed by observed soil properties; and further calibrating soil hydraulic conductivity. Despite these improvements, the role of the empirical soil moisture stress function in influencing the simulated water fluxes remained important: using a site calibrated function reduced the soil water stress on plants by 36 % during drought and 23 % at other times. These changes in CABLE not only improve the seasonal cycle of evapotranspiration, but also affect the latent and sensible heat fluxes during droughts and heatwaves. The range of parameterisations tested led to differences of ~150 W m-2 in the simulated latent heat flux during a heatwave, implying a strong impact of parameterisations on the capacity for evaporative cooling and feedbacks to the boundary layer (when coupled). Overall, our results highlight the opportunity to advance the capability of land surface models to capture water cycle processes, particularly during meteorological extremes, when sufficient observations of both evapotranspiration fluxes and soil moisture profiles are available.

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