Simulation of Aurora basin, East Antarctic

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liyun Zhao ◽  
Yan Zhen ◽  
Rupert Gladstone ◽  
Thomas Zwinger ◽  
John Moore
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Thermal Condition ◽  
Inverse Method ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Dynamic Processes ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Ocean Models ◽  
The Stability

<p>The Aurora basin includes several fast-flowing glaciers (e.g. Totten and Dalton) and has large subglacial areas below sea level, which makes its study an essential part of evaluating the stability of East Antarctic against ocean warming. We use the 3D full-Stokes ice flow model Elmer/Ice to investigate the dynamic processes taking place in this basin. The spatial pattern of basal friction is deduced by inverse method from observed surface velocity. Particular focus is in the thermal condition at the bedrock. We further project the evolution of this basin during the 21st century with parameterized sub-ice shelf melting based provided by high resolution ocean models.</p>

scholarly journals Antarctic ice shelf thickness change from multimission lidar mapping

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 1801-1817 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tyler C. Sutterley ◽  
Thorsten Markus ◽  
Thomas A. Neumann ◽  
Michiel van den Broeke ◽  
J. Melchior van Wessem ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Models ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Thickness Change ◽  
Ice Shelves

Abstract. We calculate rates of ice thickness change and bottom melt for ice shelves in West Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula from a combination of elevation measurements from NASA–CECS Antarctic ice mapping campaigns and NASA Operation IceBridge corrected for oceanic processes from measurements and models, surface velocity measurements from synthetic aperture radar, and high-resolution outputs from regional climate models. The ice thickness change rates are calculated in a Lagrangian reference frame to reduce the effects from advection of sharp vertical features, such as cracks and crevasses, that can saturate Eulerian-derived estimates. We use our method over different ice shelves in Antarctica, which vary in terms of size, repeat coverage from airborne altimetry, and dominant processes governing their recent changes. We find that the Larsen-C Ice Shelf is close to steady state over our observation period with spatial variations in ice thickness largely due to the flux divergence of the shelf. Firn and surface processes are responsible for some short-term variability in ice thickness of the Larsen-C Ice Shelf over the time period. The Wilkins Ice Shelf is sensitive to short-timescale coastal and upper-ocean processes, and basal melt is the dominant contributor to the ice thickness change over the period. At the Pine Island Ice Shelf in the critical region near the grounding zone, we find that ice shelf thickness change rates exceed 40 m yr−1, with the change dominated by strong submarine melting. Regions near the grounding zones of the Dotson and Crosson ice shelves are decreasing in thickness at rates greater than 40 m yr−1, also due to intense basal melt. NASA–CECS Antarctic ice mapping and NASA Operation IceBridge campaigns provide validation datasets for floating ice shelves at moderately high resolution when coregistered using Lagrangian methods.

The effect of Antarctic ice-shelf extent on ice discharge

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jim Jordan ◽  
HIlmar Gudmundsson ◽  
Adrian Jenkins ◽  
Chris Stokes ◽  
Stewart Jamiesson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Recent Work ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Geophysical Research ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Grounding Line ◽  
Natural Variance ◽  
Observational Record

<div>The buttressing strength of Antarctic ice shelves directly effects the amount of ice discharge across the grounding line, with buttressing strength affected by both the thickness and extent of an ice shelf. Recent work has shown that a reduction in ice-shelf buttressing due to ocean induced ice-shelf thinning is responsible for a significant portion of increased Antarctic ice discharge (Gudmundsson et al., 2019, but few studies have attempted to show the effect of variability in ice-shelf extent on ice discharge. This variability arises due to ice-shelf calving following a cycle of long periods of slow, continuous calving interposed with calving of large, discrete sections.  These discrete calving events tend to occur on a comparative timeframe to that of the observational record. As such, when determining observed changes in ice discharge it is crucial that this natural variability is separated from any observed trends.  </div><div> </div><div>In this work we use the numerical ice-flow model Úa in combination with observations of ice shelf extent to diagnostically calculate Antarctic ice discharge. These observations primarily date back to the 1970s, though for some ice shelves records exist back to the 1940s. We assemble an Antarctic wide model for two scenarios: 1) with ice shelves at their maximum observed extent and 2) with ice shelves at their minimum observed extent. We then compare these two scenarios to differences in the observed changes in Antarctic ice-discharge to determine how much can be attributed to natural variance .</div><p> </p><p><span>Gudmundsson, G. H.</span><span>, Paolo, F. S., Adusumilli, S., & Fricker, H. A. (2019). </span>Instantaneous Antarctic ice‐ sheet mass loss driven by thinning ice shelves. <em>Geophysical Research Letters</em>, 46, 13903– 13909. </p>

scholarly journals Recent rift formation and impact on the structural integrity of the Brunt Ice Shelf, East Antarctica

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 505-520 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan De Rydt ◽  
G. Hilmar Gudmundsson ◽  
Thomas Nagler ◽  
Jan Wuite ◽  
Edward C. King
Keyword(s):  
Natural Experiment ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Structural Integrity ◽  
East Antarctica ◽  
Heterogeneous Structure ◽  
High Likelihood ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Iceberg Calving ◽  
Slow Propagation

Abstract. We report on the recent reactivation of a large rift in the Brunt Ice Shelf, East Antarctica, in December 2012 and the formation of a 50 km long new rift in October 2016. Observations from a suite of ground-based and remote sensing instruments between January 2000 and July 2017 were used to track progress of both rifts in unprecedented detail. Results reveal a steady accelerating trend in their width, in combination with alternating episodes of fast ( > 600 m day−1) and slow propagation of the rift tip, controlled by the heterogeneous structure of the ice shelf. A numerical ice flow model and a simple propagation algorithm based on the stress distribution in the ice shelf were successfully used to hindcast the observed trajectories and to simulate future rift progression under different assumptions. Results show a high likelihood of ice loss at the McDonald Ice Rumples, the only pinning point of the ice shelf. The nascent iceberg calving and associated reduction in pinning of the Brunt Ice Shelf may provide a uniquely monitored natural experiment of ice shelf variability and provoke a deeper understanding of similar processes elsewhere in Antarctica.

scholarly journals The ice thickness distribution of Flask Glacier, Antarctic Peninsula, determined by combining radio-echo soundings, surface velocity data and flow modelling

2013 ◽  
Vol 54 (63) ◽  
pp. 18-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Farinotti ◽  
Hugh Corr ◽  
G.Hilmar Gudmundsson
Keyword(s):  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Thickness Distribution ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Flow Modelling ◽  
Bedrock Topography ◽  
Sparse Measurements

AbstractAn interpolated bedrock topography is presented for Flask Glacier, one of the tributaries of the remnant part of the Larsen B ice shelf, Antarctic Peninsula. The ice thickness distribution is derived by combining direct but sparse measurements from airborne radio-echo soundings with indirect estimates obtained from ice-flow modelling. The ice-flow model is applied to a series of transverse profiles, and a first estimate of the bedrock is iteratively adjusted until agreement between modelled and measured surface velocities is achieved. The adjusted bedrock is then used to reinterpret the radio-echo soundings, and the recovered information used to further improve the estimate of the bedrock itself. The ice flux along the glacier center line provides an additional and independent constraint on the ice thickness. The resulting bedrock topography reveals a glacier bed situated mainly below sea level with sections having retrograde slope. The total ice volume of 120 ±15 km3 for the considered area of 215 km2 corresponds to an average ice thickness of 560 ± 70 m.

scholarly journals Assessing Controls on Ice Dynamics at Crane Glacier, Antarctic Peninsula Using a Numerical Ice Flow Model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rainey Aberle
Keyword(s):  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Tidewater Glacier ◽  
Mass Discharge

The widespread retreat of glaciers and the collapse of ice shelves along the Antarctic Peninsula has been attributed to atmospheric and oceanic warming, which promotes mass loss. However, several glaciers on the eastern peninsula that were buttressed by the Larsen A and B ice shelves prior to collapse in 1995 and 2002, respectively, have been advancing in recent years. This asymmetric pattern of rapid retreat and long-term re-advance is similar to the tidewater glacier cycle, which can occur largely independent of climate forcing. Here, I use a width- and depth-integrated numerical ice flow model to investigate glacier response to ice shelf collapse and the influence of changing climate conditions at Crane Glacier, formerly a tributary of the Larsen B ice shelf, over the last ~10 years. Sensitivity tests to explore the influence of perturbations in surface mass balance and submarine melt (up to 10 m a-1) and fresh water impounded in crevasses (up to 10 m) on glacier dynamics reveal that by 2100, the modeled mass discharge ranges from 0.53-98 Gt a-1, with the most substantial changes due to surface melt-induced thinning. My findings suggest that the growth of a floating ice tongue can hinder enhanced flow, allowing the grounding zone to remain steady for many decades, analogous to the advancing stage of the tidewater glacier cycle. Additionally, former tributary glaciers can take several decades to geometrically adjust to ice shelf collapse at their terminal boundary while elevated glacier discharge persists.

Velocities of the Amery Ice Shelf's primary tributary glaciers, 2004–12

2015 ◽  
Vol 27 (5) ◽  
pp. 511-523 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.L. Pittard ◽  
J.L. Roberts ◽  
C.S. Watson ◽  
B.K. Galton-Fenzi ◽  
R.C. Warner ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Ice Surface ◽  
Amery Ice Shelf ◽  
Landsat 7 ◽  
One Year ◽  
Shelf Region

AbstractMonitoring the rate of ice flow into ice shelves is vital to understanding how, where and when mass changes occur in Antarctica. Previous observations of ice surface velocity indicate that the Amery Ice Shelf and tributary glaciers have been relatively stable over the period 1968 to 1999. This study measured the displacement of features on the ice surface over a sequence of Landsat 7 images separated by approximately one year and spanning 2004 to 2012 using the surface feature tracking software IMCORR. The focus is on the region surrounding the southern grounding zone of the Amery Ice Shelf and its primary tributary glaciers: the Fisher, Lambert and Mellor glaciers. No significant changes in surface velocity were observed over this period. Accordingly, the velocity fields from each image pair between 2004 and 2012 were used to synthesize an average velocity dataset of the Amery Ice Shelf region and to compare it to previously published velocity datasets and in situ global positioning system velocity observations. No significant change in ice surface velocities was found between 2004 and 2012 in the Amery Ice Shelf region, which suggests that it continues to remain stable.

Modeling of the Russell glacier's basal conditions at seasonal time scale using the satellite observations of surface ice speed

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Derkacheva ◽  
Fabien Gillet-Chaulet ◽  
Jeremie Mouginot
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Temporal Resolution ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
In Situ Measurements ◽  
Satellite Observations ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Ice ◽  
The Impact

<p>Greenland’s future response to climate change will be determined partly by various phenomena controlling ice flow. For the land-terminating sectors, the water lubricating the glacier's base is considered as a major control on the ice motion. For instance, the seasonal modulations of water input induced by summer melt can cause glacier speed-up up to +200-300% compared to the winter mean. Thus, a comprehensive understanding of variations in the basal conditions, which are at the origin of the glacier flow fluctuations, plays a key role for the climate projections.</p><p>While the in-situ measurements stay a local and hard approach to investigate the basal conditions, ice flow modeling offers the possibility to invert for them over the large area based on observations of surface glacier speed and topography. During the last decade, the number of available satellite observations has increased significantly, allowing for far more frequent measurements of the glacier speed and precise reconstruction of the seasonal fluctuations. Here, we investigate the possibility of applying this satellite-derived time-series of surface ice velocity to reconstruct the annual behavior of the basal conditions with 2 weeks temporal resolution using an ice flow model.</p><p>The area of this study is Russell glacier located on the southwest coast of Greenland. A time series of surface velocity dataset was created by merging measurements from Sentinel-1&2 and Landsat-8, covering an area up to 100 km inland with 150 m/pix spatial resolution and 2-weeks temporal resolution (Derkacheva et al. 2020). The 3D Full-Stokes ice flow model Elmer/Ice is used to invert for the effective basal friction coefficient for each time step.  Usage of a friction law that has been derived for hard beds (Gagliardini et al., 2007) allows to constrain the variation of the basal effective pressure. Overall, the results from the model inversions give access to the evolution of the basal ice speed, friction, effective and water pressure, floatation fraction throughout a complete year. The results are compared with in-situ measurements in terms of absolute values and show a good agreement. The impact of the flow model setup, regularization, assumptions for the ice rheology, and the impact of noise in the speed data are also examined and compared with in-situ measurements.</p>

scholarly journals Ice flow modelling to constrain the surface mass balance and ice discharge of San Rafael Glacier, Northern Patagonia Icefield

2018 ◽  
Vol 64 (246) ◽  
pp. 568-582 ◽  
Author(s):  
GABRIELA COLLAO-BARRIOS ◽  
FABIEN GILLET-CHAULET ◽  
VINCENT FAVIER ◽  
GINO CASASSA ◽  
ETIENNE BERTHIER ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Shear Stresses ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Northern Patagonia ◽  
San Rafael

ABSTRACTWe simulate the ice dynamics of the San Rafael Glacier (SRG) in the Northern Patagonia Icefield (46.7°S, 73.5°W), using glacier geometry obtained by airborne gravity measurements. The full-Stokes ice flow model (Elmer/Ice) is initialized using an inverse method to infer the basal friction coefficient from a satellite-derived surface velocity mosaic. The high surface velocities (7.6 km a−1) near the glacier front are explained by low basal shear stresses (<25 kPa). The modelling results suggest that 98% of the surface velocities are due to basal sliding in the fast-flowing glacier tongue (>1 km a−1). We force the model using different surface mass-balance scenarios taken or adapted from previous studies and geodetic elevation changes between 2000 and 2012. Our results suggest that previous estimates of average surface mass balance over the entire glacier (Ḃ) were likely too high, mainly due to an overestimation in the accumulation area. We propose that most of SRG imbalance is due to the large ice discharge (−0.83 ± 0.08 Gt a−1) and a slightly positiveḂ(0.08 ± 0.06 Gt a−1). The committed mass-loss estimate over the next century is −0.34 ± 0.03 Gt a−1. This study demonstrates that surface mass-balance estimates and glacier wastage projections can be improved using a physically based ice flow model.

scholarly journals Diagnosing the sensitivity of grounding line flux to changes in sub-ice shelf melting

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tong Zhang ◽  
Stephen F. Price ◽  
Matthew J. Hoffman ◽  
Mauro Perego ◽  
Xylar Asay-Davis
Keyword(s):  
Principal Stress ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Diagnostic Model ◽  
Line Flux ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Causal Connections ◽  
Alternative Approach ◽  
Grounding Line

Abstract. We seek to understand causal connections between changes in sub-ice shelf melting, ice shelf buttressing, and grounding-line flux. Using a numerical ice flow model, we study changes in ice shelf buttressing and grounding line flux due to localized ice thickness perturbations – a proxy for changes in sub-ice shelf melting – applied to idealized (MISMIP+) and realistic (Larsen C) domains. From our experiments, we identify a correlation between a locally derived buttressing number on the ice shelf, based on the first principal stress, and changes in the integrated grounding line flux. The origin of this correlation, however, remains elusive from a physical perspective; while local thickness perturbations on the ice shelf (thinning) generally correspond to local increases in buttressing, their integrated impact on changes at the grounding line are exactly the opposite (buttressing at the grounding line decreases and ice flux at the grounding line increases). This and additional complications encountered when examining realistic domains motivates us to seek an alternative approach, an adjoint-based method for calculating the sensitivity of the integrated grounding line flux to local changes in ice shelf geometry. We show that the adjoint-based sensitivity is identical to that deduced from pointwise, diagnostic model perturbation experiments. Based on its much wider applicability and the significant computational savings, we propose that the adjoint-based method is ideally suited for assessing grounding line flux sensitivity to changes in sub-ice shelf melting.

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