Complexity measures and variability of the seismicity monitored whithin the Mexican flat slab before the main shock occurred on 19 September 2017

Author(s):  
Alejandro Ramírez-Rojas ◽  
Elsa Leticia Flores-Márquez

<p>Several subduction zones exists in Earth, which have a more or less known dynamic, however each of them has its particularities, as in the case of the Mexican subduction zone, where the flat slab is of special interest. The present flat-slab area is located along the central part of the Cocos-North America plate boundary that the convergence rate between Cocos and North America. The Cocos plate is a remnant of the large Farallon plate, which began to split into smaller plates since 28 Myr ago approximately, when the East Pacific Rise began to interact with the North American Plate. Within such flat slab could be trigger large and destructives earthquakes like the main shock occurred close to Mexico City on September 19, 2017. In this work, we analyze, under the natural time domain, the seismicity registered within the Mexican flat slab since 1995 until the main shock occurred on September 19, 2017. We analyzed the fluctuations of order parameter for seismicity in order to provide some complex measures defined on natural time. Our analysis reveals a possible precursor measure switching on a few weeks before the main shock.  Also we have observed that in the flat slab region the number of earthquakes recorded is lesser than those observed along the total south Pacific Mexican coast.</p>

Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (7) ◽  
pp. 730 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Leticia Flores-Márquez ◽  
Alejandro Ramírez-Rojas ◽  
Jennifer Perez-Oregon ◽  
N. V. Sarlis ◽  
E. S. Skordas ◽  
...  

One of the most important subduction zones in the world is located in the Mexican Pacific Coast, where the Cocos plate inserts beneath the North American plate. One part of it is located in the Mexican Pacific Coast, where the Cocos plate inserts beneath the North American plate with different dip angles, showing important seismicity. Under the central Mexican area, such a dip angle becomes practically horizontal and such an area is known as flat slab. An earthquake of magnitude M7.1 occurred on 19 September 2017, the epicenter of which was located in this flat slab. It caused important human and material losses of urban communities including a large area of Mexico City. The seismicity recorded in the flat slab region is analyzed here in natural time from 1995 until the occurrence of this M7.1 earthquake in 2017 by studying the entropy change under time reversal and the variability β of the order parameter of seismicity as well as characterize the risk of an impending earthquake by applying the nowcasting method. The entropy change ΔS under time reversal minimizes on 21 June 2017 that is almost one week after the observation of such a minimum in the Chiapas region where a magnitude M8.2 earthquake took place on 7 September 2017 being Mexico’s largest quake in more than a century. A minimum of β was also observed during the period February–March 2017. Moreover, we show that, after the minimum of ΔS, the order parameter of seismicity starts diminishing, thus approaching gradually the critical value 0.070 around the end of August and the beginning of September 2017, which signals that a strong earthquake is anticipated shortly in the flat slab.


1997 ◽  
Vol 102 (B5) ◽  
pp. 10055-10082 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark B. Gordon ◽  
Paul Mann ◽  
Dámaso Cáceres ◽  
Raúl Flores

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Allen ◽  
Benedikt Braszus ◽  
Saskia Goes ◽  
Andreas Rietbrock ◽  
Jenny Collier ◽  
...  

<p>The Caribbean plate has a complex tectonic history, which makes it  particularly challenging to establish the evolution of the subduction zones at its margins. Here we present a new teleseismic P-wave tomographic model under the Antillean arc that benefits from ocean-bottom seismometer data collected in our recent VoiLA (Volatile Recycling in the Lesser Antilles) project. We combine this imagery with a new plate reconstruction that we use to predict possible slab positions in the mantle today. We find that upper mantle anomalies below the eastern Caribbean correspond to a stack of material that was subducted at different trenches at different times, but ended up in a similar part of the mantle due to the large northwestward motion of the Americas. This stack comprises: in the mantle transition zone, slab fragments that were subducted between 70 and 55 Ma below the Cuban and Aves segments of the Greater Arc of the Caribbean; at 450-250 km depth, material subducted between 55 and 35 Ma below the older Lesser Antilles (including the Limestone Caribees and Virgin Islands);  and above 250 km, slab from subduction between 30 and 0 Ma below the present Lesser Antilles to Hispaniola Arc. Subdued high velocity anomalies in the slab above 200 km depth coincide with where the boundary between the equatorial Atlantic and proto-Caribbean subducted, rather than as previously proposed, with the North-South American plate boundary. The different phases of subduction can be linked to changes in the age, and hence buoyancy structure, of the subducting plate.</p>


Geology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 49 (5) ◽  
pp. 602-606 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard O. Lease ◽  
Peter J. Haeussler ◽  
Robert C. Witter ◽  
Daniel F. Stockli ◽  
Adrian M. Bender ◽  
...  

Abstract The Fairweather fault (southeastern Alaska, USA) is Earth’s fastest-slipping intracontinental strike-slip fault, but its long-term role in localizing Yakutat–(Pacific–)North America plate motion is poorly constrained. This plate boundary fault transitions northward from pure strike slip to transpression where it comes onshore and undergoes a <25°, 30-km-long restraining double bend. To the east, apatite (U-Th)/He (AHe) ages indicate that North America exhumation rates increase stepwise from ∼0.7 to 1.7 km/m.y. across the bend. In contrast, to the west, AHe age-depth data indicate that extremely rapid 5–10 km/m.y. Yakutat exhumation rates are localized within the bend. Further northwest, Yakutat AHe and zircon (U-Th)/He (ZHe) ages gradually increase from 0.3 to 2.6 Ma over 150 km and depict an interval of extremely rapid >6–8 km/m.y. exhumation rates that increases in age away from the bend. We interpret this migration of rapid, transient exhumation to reflect prolonged advection of the Cenozoic–Cretaceous sedimentary cover of the eastern Yakutat microplate through a stationary restraining bend along the edge of the North America plate. Yakutat cooling ages imply a long-term strike-slip rate (54 ± 6 km/m.y.) that mimics the millennial (53 ± 5 m/k.y.) and decadal (46 mm/yr) rates. Fairweather fault slip can account for all Pacific–North America relative plate motion throughout Quaternary time and indicates stability of highly localized plate boundary strike slip on a single fault where extreme rock uplift rates are persistently localized within a restraining bend.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raymond Sullivan ◽  
Morgan D. Sullivan ◽  
Stephen W. Edwards ◽  
Andrei M. Sarna-Wojcicki ◽  
Rebecca A. Hackworth ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT The mid-Cenozoic succession in the northeast limb of the Mount Diablo anticline records the evolution of plate interactions at the leading edge of the North America plate. Subduction of the Kula plate and later Farallon plate beneath the North America plate created a marine forearc basin that existed from late Mesozoic to mid-Cenozoic times. In the early Cenozoic, extension on north-south faults formed a graben depocenter on the west side of the basin. Deposition of the Markley Formation of middle to late? Eocene age took place in the late stages of the marine forearc basin. In the Oligocene, the marine forearc basin changed to a primarily nonmarine basin, and the depocenter of the basin shifted eastward of the Midland fault to a south-central location for the remainder of the Cenozoic. The causes of these changes may have included slowing in the rate of subduction, resulting in slowing subsidence, and they might also have been related to the initiation of transform motion far to the south. Two unconformities in the mid-Cenozoic succession record the changing events on the plate boundary. The first hiatus is between the Markley Formation and the overlying Kirker Formation of Oligocene age. The succession above the unconformity records the widespread appearance of nonmarine rocks and the first abundant appearance of silicic volcanic detritus due to slab rollback, which reversed the northeastward migration of the volcanic arc to a more proximal location. A second regional unconformity separates the Kirker/Valley Springs formations from the overlying Cierbo/Mehrten formations of late Miocene age. This late Miocene unconformity may reflect readjustment of stresses in the North America plate that occurred when subduction was replaced by transform motion at the plate boundary. The Cierbo and Neroly formations above the unconformity contain abundant andesitic detritus due to proto-Cascade volcanism. In the late Cenozoic, the northward-migrating triple junction produced volcanic eruptive centers in the Coast Ranges. Tephra from these local sources produced time markers in the late Cenozoic succession.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brandon Shuck ◽  
Sean Gulick ◽  
Harm Van Avendonk ◽  
Michael Gurnis ◽  
Rupert Sutherland ◽  
...  

<div> <p><strong>Subduction zones are fundamental to Earth’s plate tectonic history yet details of how they initiate remain enigmatic. Geodynamic models suggest that early stages of subduction depend on whether underthrusting is driven by horizontal or vertical forces. If horizontal forces dominate, the upper plate experiences compression and uplift followed by extension and subsidence, whereas vertically-forced subduction involves only extension. Geologic evidence from the Izu-Bonin-Mariana forearc supports a ~1 Myr rapid transition, whereas observations from Oman indicate a >8 Myr time lag between initial underthrusting and the onset of upper plate extension. We present seismic images of the incipient Puysegur subduction zone south of New Zealand. Our data show evidence for a stress signal (compression followed by extension) that spread from north to south as the trench initiated and propagated along the plate boundary. Both the magnitude and duration of the compressional phase diminish from ~8 Myrs long in the north to ~5 Myrs in the south. This timing indicates that the transition to self-sustaining subduction is more rapid when an adjacent downgoing slab contributes a driving force that aids subduction initiation. We therefore argue for a new framework in which horizontal forces dominate at sites of subduction nucleation and vertical forces gradually strengthen during later propagation as the developing plate boundary weakens and the slab-pull force intensifies. Our findings corroborate evidence for ancient horizontally-forced subduction initiation events and suggest that the geologic record may be biased, since vertically-forced scenarios of subduction propagation are more likely to be preserved than destructive subduction nucleation events. </strong></p> </div>


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