Absorption of Ocean Heat Along and Across Isopycnals in HadCM3

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Louis Clement ◽  
Elaine McDonagh ◽  
Jonathan Gregory ◽  
Quran Wu ◽  
Alice Marzocchi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Ekman Pumping ◽  
Temperature Changes ◽  
Surface Heat Fluxes ◽  
The North ◽  
Winter Mixed Layer ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Heat Budgets

<p><span>Anthropogenic warming added to the climate system accumulates mostly in the ocean interior and discrepancies in how this is modelled contribute to uncertainties in predicting sea level rise. Temperature changes are partitioned between excess, due to perturbed surface heat fluxes, and redistribution, that arises from the changing circulation and perturbations to mixing. In a model (HadCM3) with realistic historical forcing (anthropogenic and natural) from 1960 to 2011, we firstly compare this excess-redistribution partitioning with the spice and heave decomposition, in which ocean interior temperature anomalies occur along or across isopycnals, respectively. This comparison reveals that in subtropical gyres (except in the North Atlantic) heave mostly captures excess warming in the top 2000 m, as expected from Ekman pumping, whereas spice captures redistributive cooling. At high-latitudes and in the subtropical Atlantic, however, spice predicts excess warming at the winter mixed layer whereas below this layer, spice represents redistributive warming in southern high latitudes.</span></p><p><span> </span></p><p><span>Secondly, we use Eulerian heat budgets of the ocean interior to identify the process responsible for excess and redistributive warming. In southern high latitudes, spice warming results from reduced convective cooling and increased warming by isopycnal diffusion, which account for the deep redistributive and shallow excess warming, respectively. In the North Atlantic, excess warming due to advection contains both cross-isopycnal warming (heave found in subtropical gyres) and along-isopycnal warming (spice). Finally, projections of heat budgets —coupled with salinity budgets— into thermohaline and spiciness-density coordinates inform us about how water mass formation occurs with varying T-S slopes. Such formation happens preferentially along isopycnal surfaces at high-latitudes and along isospiciness surfaces at mid-latitudes, and along both coordinates in the subtropical Atlantic. Because spice and heave depend only on temperature and salinity, our study suggests a method to detect excess warming in observations.</span></p>

Ocean climate response to anomalous surface buoyancy and momentum fluxes

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rene Navarro-Labastida ◽  
Riccardo Farneti
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Surface Heat ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Temperature Changes ◽  
Ocean Climate ◽  
The North ◽  
Anomalous Surface ◽  
Low Latitudes ◽  
The North Atlantic

<p>The aim of the project is to evaluate the response of the global ocean climate to anomalous surface fluxes in terms of ocean heat uptake and circulation changes. All simulations have been performed with the NOAA-GFDL Modular Ocean Model (MOM) version 5. Ocean-only MOM has been integrated toward a near-equilibrium state using as multicentinal initial conditions derivated from a former CORE-I protocol implementation (Griffies et al., 2009). After equilibrium, a restored control simulation has been obtained by a further 70 years of integration while effective total air-sea heat fluxes and freshwater fluxes were stored at daily intervals. A second control simulation has been obtained by the prescription of these storage fluxes. Differences between the restored and prescribed fluxes controls are rather small. Explicit flux sensitivity experiments are proposed by the Flux-Anomaly-Forced Model Intercomparison Project (FAFMIP) in which prescribed surface flux perturbations are applied to the ocean in separated simulations (Gregory et al., 2016). Experiments are 70 years long and branch from piControl conditions. Both wind stress and freshwater anomalies implies nearly-to-zero temperature changes in volume mean temperature. Only the last implies a rather small cooling effect after year 50 of integration. In contrast, anomalous heat flux causes significant volume mean temperature changes. Observed total temperature changes are solely determined by the local addition of heat implying vanishing of the redistribution effect in the entire ocean by inter-basin exchanges and vertical mixing. So far, surface heat anomalies produce the most notable zonal-mean change in ocean temperature. Strong positive temperature change is observed along the top ocean while deepening of temperature anomalies occurs at high latitudes in both hemispheres. Both added and redistributed temperature tracers show maxima in the same area. In most cases, both processes are proportionally inverse. Except for the northern ocean, added temperature tracer is roughly limited to the first 1000 m deep. In contrast, redistributed temperature tracer shows the cooling of subtropical areas and the warming of both the tropical and southern ocean. Maximum at the North Atlantic is possibly due to atmosphere-sea feedbacks, while near-surface tropical and subtropical changes are due to redistribution processes. Heat is mainly taken as a passive tracer in the North Atlantic Ocean and along the entire Southern Ocean. Warming up of mid and low latitudes by redistribution processes is due to the weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). In turn, changes in AMOC are dominated by surface heat flux changes. The reduction of northward heat transport cools down high latitudes near the surface causing low latitudes to warm up.</p><p> </p>

scholarly journals Why is the North Atlantic Oscillation More Predictable in December?

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 477 ◽  
Author(s):  
Baoqiang Tian ◽  
Ke Fan
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Surface Heat Fluxes ◽  
The North ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly ◽  
Stratospheric Circulation ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
The Relationship

The prediction skill of the Climate Forecast System, version 2 (CFSv2), for the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is evaluated in three winter months (December, January, and February). The results show that the CFSv2 model can skillfully predict the December NAO one month in advance. There are two main contributors to NAO predictability in December. One is the predictability of the relationship between the North Atlantic sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) tripole and the NAO and the other is the second empirical orthogonal function (EOF) mode of the geopotential height at 50 hPa (Z50-EOF2). The relationship between the NAO and SSTA tripole index in December is the most significant in the three winter months. The significant monthly differences of surface heat fluxes in December over the whole North Atlantic are favorable for promoting the interaction between the NAO and North Atlantic SSTAs, in addition to improving the predictability of the December NAO. When the NAO is in a positive phase, easterly anomalies are located at the low and high latitudes and westerly anomalies prevail in the mid-latitudes of the troposphere. The correlation between the December Z50-EOF2 and zonal-mean zonal wind anomalies shows a similar spatial structure to that for the NAO. The possible reason why the CFSv2 model can predict the December NAO one month ahead is that it can reasonably reproduce the relationship between the December NAO and both the North Atlantic SST and stratospheric circulation.

The North Atlantic Ocean as a Modulator of Vegetation Greening/Browning in the Northern High Latitudes?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leonard F. Borchert ◽  
Alexander J. Winkler
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
North Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Internal Variability ◽  
Dominant Mode ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
Internal Climate Variability ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

<p>Vegetation in the northern high latitudes shows a characteristic pattern of persistent changes as documented by multi-decadal satellite observations. The prevailing explanation that these mainly increasing trends (greening) are a consequence of external CO<sub>2</sub> forcing, i.e., due to the ubiquitous effect of CO2-induced fertilization and/or warming of temperature-limited ecosystems, however does not explain why some areas also show decreasing trends of vegetation cover (browning). We propose here to consider the dominant mode of multi-decadal internal climate variability in the north Atlantic region, the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV), as the missing link in the explanation of greening and browning trend patterns in the northern high latitudes. Such a link would also imply potential for decadal predictions of ecosystem changes in the northern high latitudes.</p><p>An analysis of observational and reanalysis data sets for the period 1979-2019 shows that locations characterized by greening trends largely coincide with warming summer temperature and increasing precipitation. Wherever either cooling or decreasing precipitation occurs, browning trends are observed over this period. These precipitation and temperature patterns are significantly correlated with a North Atlantic sea surface temperature index that represents the AMV signal, indicating its role in modulating greening/browning trend patterns in the northern high latitudes.</p><p>Using two large ensembles of coupled Earth system model simulations (100 members of MPI-ESM-LR Grand Ensemble and 32 members of the IPSL-CM6A-LR Large Ensemble), we separate the greening/browning pattern caused by external CO<sub>2</sub> forcing from that caused by internal climate variability associated with the AMV. These sets of model simulations enable a clean separation of the externally forced signal from internal variability. While the greening and browning patterns in the simulations do not agree with observations in terms of magnitude and location, we find consistent internally generated greening/browning patterns in both models caused by changes in temperature and precipitation linked to the AMV signal. These greening/browning trend patterns are of the same magnitude as those caused by the external forcing alone. Our work therefore shows that internally-generated changes of vegetation in the northern lands, driven by AMV, are potentially as large as those caused by external CO<sub>2</sub> forcing. We thus argue that the observed pattern of greening/browning in the northern high latitudes could originate from the combined effect of rising CO<sub>2</sub> as well as the AMV.</p>

scholarly journals The pliocene record of climatic change: equator-to-pole biotic response

1992 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 78-78
Author(s):  
Thomas M. Cronin ◽  
H.J. Dowsett
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
North Pacific Ocean ◽  
Thermal Gradients ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Temperature Changes ◽  
The North

Pliocene faunal events in tropical and subtropical regions of the Americas and the Caribbean have been causally linked to global climatic events, particularly, progressive cooling and increased amplitude of climatic cycles between 3.5 and 2.0 Ma. However, the rate and magnitude of Pliocene temperature changes has been determined in only a few climate proxy records. Our study contrasts paleoceanographic conditions at 3 Ma, an extremely warm period in many areas, with conditions 2.4 Ma, a much cooler interval, in equator-to-pole transects for the North Atlantic and the North Pacific Oceans. By using microfaunal data (ostracodes from ocean margin environments and planktic foraminifers from deep sea cores), quantitative factor analytic and modern analog dissimilarity coefficient analyses were carried out on faunas from the following sections.Our studies lead to the following conclusions: (1) Equator-to-pole thermal gradients in the oceans at 3.0 Ma were not as steep as they are today, but thermal gradients at 2.4 Ma were steeper than those today; (2)At 3 Ma middle to high latitudes were substantially warmer than today, but tropical regions were about the same; (3)Substantial cooling occurred in middle and high latitudes in the western North Pacific Ocean and the western North Atlantic between 3 Ma and 2.4 Ma; (4)Ocean water temperatures off the southeastern U.S. remained the same or cooled only slightly between 3 Ma and 2.4 Ma. Our results support the hypothesis that ocean circulation changes, probably resulting from the closure of near surface water by the Isthmus of Panama, had significant impact on equator-to-pole heat transport and global climate between about 3 and 2.4 Ma. They also argue against the hypothesis that climatically induced ocean temperature changes were directly linked to a major marine extinction in the southwestern North Atlantic and Caribbean.

scholarly journals Atlantic water in the Faroe area: sources and variability

2012 ◽  
Vol 69 (5) ◽  
pp. 802-808 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karin Margretha H. Larsen ◽  
Hjálmar Hátún ◽  
Bogi Hansen ◽  
Regin Kristiansen
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Atlantic Water ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
The North ◽  
Salinity Variability ◽  
Increasing Trend ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Northeastern Atlantic

Abstract Larsen, K. M. H., Hátún, H., Hansen, B., and Kristiansen, R. 2012. Atlantic water in the Faroe area: sources and variability. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 69: 802–808. The inflow of Atlantic water (AW) across the Greenland–Scotland Ridge and into the Nordic Seas controls both physical and biological conditions in the northeastern Atlantic through its transport of heat, salt, and other properties. The two main branches of this flow pass through the Iceland–Faroe Gap and the Faroe–Shetland Channel, respectively. Regular monitoring along four standard sections crossing these flows provides time-series of the AW temperature and salinity variability since the late 1980s. The analysis of these series presented shows a persistent increasing trend in both temperature and salinity, modulated by smaller subdecadal oscillations. Using supplementary data sources, the previously established link between the large-scale circulation in the North Atlantic and Atlantic inflow properties is supported. Salinity is also impacted by large changes in the Bay of Biscay source waters, and upstream air–sea heat fluxes modulate temperature. Relationships between changes in transport and associated residence time, and the modifying strength of the air–sea interaction and mixing, are also discussed.

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