Representation of tropical convection in a near-global convection permitting seasonal simulation with WRF

Author(s):  
Kirsten Warrach-Sagi ◽  
Thomas Schwitalla ◽  
Volker Wulfmeyer

<p>Precipitation observations between March to May 2015 show several coherent propagating systems in an area between 10°N and 10°S with a lifetime of 3-4 weeks demonstrating the importance of simulations beyond a month. The eastward propagation speed is typically 1100 km day<sup>-1</sup>. The main origins of significant amounts of precipitation along this belt are the tropical warm pools in the Western Pacific around 158-174°E and the eastern Indian Ocean around 90°E as well as the tropical rainforest over South America around 69°W.</p><p>We investigated the lifetime and propagation of tropical precipitating systems based on observations and a near-global convection permitting seasonal simulation with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF). The latitude-belt simulation covers an area between 57°S to 65°N with a grid increment of 0.03° over a period of 5 months forced by sea surface temperature (SST) observations.</p><p>Results of this simulation with respect to tropical convection were investigated by means of comparison with satellite-based cloud and precipitation observations and ECMWF operational analysis. Wavenumber-frequency spectra of the tropical convection and the detection of various wave pattern were derived from the 3-h outgoing longwave radiation at the top of the atmosphere (TOA OLR) fields and revealed by Wheeler-Kiladis diagrams. The simulation shows the observed spectral signatures of eastward propagating EIGs and Kelvin waves.</p><p>The EOF decomposition of the monthly averaged sea level pressure fields demonstrates that 65 % of the sea surface pressure fluctuations in the ECMWF analyses can be explained by the correlation pattern shown in the 1<sup>st</sup> EOF. The agreement with the 1<sup>st</sup> EOF of the WRF simulation is excellent despite a slight underestimation of the strength of the correlations. The spatial structure is very similar and 61 % of the variance are contained in first EOF. The EOF analyses provided strong evidence that the seasonal simulation with a convection permitting horizontal resolution captures the representation of the teleconnection pattern.</p>

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (22) ◽  
pp. 7884-7895 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jenni L. Evans ◽  
Jeffrey J. Waters

Abstract The impact of enhanced atmospheric CO2 concentrations on tropical convection and sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the global tropics is assessed using five fully coupled atmospheric–oceanic general circulation models (AOGCMs). Relationships between SST and either outgoing longwave radiation or convective precipitation rates are evaluated for three climate states: present day, a doubled-CO2 scenario, and a quadrupled-CO2 scenario. All AOGCMs capture a relationship between present-day outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) and SST and between convective precipitation rate (PRC) and SST: deep tropical convection (DTC)—signified by rapidly decreasing OLR and rapidly increasing PRC rates—occurs above an SST threshold of around 25°C. Consistent across all AOGCMs, as concentrations increase to 2 × CO2 and 4 × CO2, the threshold SSTs for DTC to occur shift to 25.5°–28°C and 26.5°–30°C, respectively. Annual PRC rates in the 20°N–20°S region increase for two AOGCMs [Meteorological Research Institute Coupled General Circulation Model, version 2.3.2 (MRI CGCM2.3.2) and ECHAM5/Max Planck Institute Ocean Model (MPI-OM)] with increasing CO2, but PRC in the other three AOGCMs [Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Climate Model versions 2.0 and 2.1 (GFDL CM2.0 and CM2.1) and National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Parallel Climate Model (PCM)] exhibits almost no change. Within this tropical zone, increased CO2 concentrations yield up to a 6.1% increase in the number of locations with monthly averaged PRC exceeding two established DTC thresholds (12 and 14 mm day−1). These results indicate that, although the SST threshold for DTC is projected to shift with increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations, there will not be an expansion of regions experiencing DTC. One implication of these findings is that there will be little change in regions experiencing tropical cyclogenesis in future climate states.


1967 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 241-258 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Bradshaw

Townsend's (1961) hypothesis that the turbulent motion in the inner region of a boundary layer consists of (i) an ‘active’ part which produces the shear stress τ and whose statistical properties are universal functions of τ and y, and (ii) an ‘inactive’ and effectively irrotational part determined by the turbulence in the outer layer, is supported in the present paper by measurements of frequency spectra in a strongly retarded boundary layer, in which the ‘inactive’ motion is particularly intense. The only noticeable effect of the inactive motion is an increased dissipation of kinetic energy into heat in the viscous sublayer, supplied by turbulent energy diffusion from the outer layer towards the surface. The required diffusion is of the right order of magnitude to explain the non-universal values of the triple products measured near the surface, which can therefore be reconciled with universality of the ‘active’ motion.Dimensional analysis shows that the contribution of the ‘active’ inner layer motion to the one-dimensional wave-number spectrum of the surface pressure fluctuations varies as τ2w/k1 up to a wave-number inversely proportional to the thickness of the viscous sublayer. This result is strongly supported by the recent measurements of Hodgson (1967), made with a much smaller ratio of microphone diameter to boundary-layer thickness than has been achieved previously. The disagreement of the result with most other measurements is attributed to inadequate transducer resolution in the other experiments.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yair De-Leon ◽  
Nathan Paldor

Abstract. Using 20 years of accurately calibrated, high resolution, observations of Sea Surface Height Anomalies (SSHA) by satellite ‎borne altimeters we show that in the Indian Ocean south of the Australian coast the low frequency variations of SSHA are ‎dominated by westward propagating, trapped, i.e. non-harmonic, planetary waves. Our results demonstrate that the ‎meridional-dependent amplitudes of the SSHA are large only within a few degrees of latitude next to the South-Australian ‎coast while farther in the ocean they are uniformly small. This meridional variation of the SSHA signal is typical of the ‎amplitude structure in the trapped wave theory. The westward propagation speed of the SSHA signals is analyzed by ‎employing three different methods of estimation. Each one of these methods yields speed estimates that can vary widely ‎between adjacent latitudes but the combination of at least two of the three methods yields much smoother variation. The ‎estimates obtained in this manner show that the observed phase speeds at different latitudes exceed the phase speeds of ‎harmonic Rossby (Planetary) waves by 140 % to 200 %. In contrast, the theory of trapped Rossby (Planetary) waves in a ‎domain bounded by a wall on its equatorward side yields phase speeds that approximate more closely the observed phase ‎speeds.‎


2018 ◽  
Vol 37 ◽  
pp. 131-145
Author(s):  
Md Mijanur Rahman ◽  
Md Abdus Samad ◽  
SM Quamrul Hassan

An attempt has been made to simulate the thermodynamic features of the thunderstorm (TS) event over Dhaka (23.81°N, 90.41°E) occurred from 1300 UTC to 1320 UTC of 4 April 2015 using Advanced Research dynamics solver of Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF-ARW). The model was run to conduct a simulation for 48 hours on a single domain of 5 km horizontal resolution utilizing six hourly Global Final Analysis (FNL) datasets from 0600 UTC of 3 April 2015 to 0600 UTC of 5 April 2015 as initial and lateral boundary conditions. Kessler schemes for microphysics, Yonsei University (YSU) scheme for planetary boundary layer (PBL) parametrization, Revised MM5 scheme for surface layer physics, Rapid Radiative Transfer Model (RRTM) for longwave radiation, Dudhia scheme for shortwave radiation and Kain–Fritsch (KF) scheme for cumulus parameterization were used. Hourly outputs produced by the model have been analyzed numerically and graphically using Grid Analysis and Display System (GrADS). Deep analyses were carried out by examining several thermodynamic parameters such as mean sea level pressure (MSLP), wind pattern, vertical wind shear, vorticity, temperature, convective available potential energy (CAPE), relative humidity (RH) and rainfall. To validate the model performance, simulated values of MSLP, maximum and minimum temperature and RH were compared with observational data obtained from Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD). Rainfall values were compared with that of BMD and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) of National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). Based on the comparisons and validations, the present study advocates that the model captured the TS event reasonably well.GANIT J. Bangladesh Math. Soc.Vol. 37 (2017) 131-145


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tuomas Kärnä ◽  
Ida Ringgaard ◽  
Vasily Korabel ◽  
Adam Nord ◽  
Patrik Ljungemyr ◽  
...  

<p>We present Nemo-Nordic 2.0, the latest version of the operational marine forecasting model for the Baltic Sea used and developed in the Baltic Monitoring Forecasting Centre (BAL MFC) under the Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (CMEMS). The most notable differences between Nemo-Nordic 2.0 and its predecessor Nemo-Nordic 1.0 are the switch from NEMO 3.6 to NEMO 4.0 and an increase in horizontal resolution from 2 to 1 nautical mile. In addition, the model's bathymetry and bottom friction formulation have been updated. The model configuration was specially tuned to represent Major Baltic Inflow events. Focusing on a 2-year validation period from October 1, 2014, covering one Major Baltic Inflow event, Nemo-Nordic 2.0 simulates Sea Surface Height (SSH) well: centralized Root-Mean-Square Deviation (CRMSD) is within 10 cm for most stations outside the Inner Danish Waters. CRMSD is higher at some stations where small-scale topographical features cannot be correctly resolved. SSH variability tends to be overestimated in the Baltic Sea and underestimated in the Inner Danish Waters. Nemo-Nordic 2.0 represents Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and Salinity (SSS) well, although there is a negative bias around -0.5°C in SST. The 2014 Major Baltic Inflow event is well reproduced. The simulated salt pulse agrees well with observations in the Arkona basin and progresses into the Gotland basin in 3 to 4 months.</p>


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (20) ◽  
pp. 5812
Author(s):  
Wentian Wang ◽  
Sixin Liu ◽  
Xuzhang Shen ◽  
Wenjun Zheng

The directional borehole radar can accurately locate and image the geological target around the borehole, which overcomes the shortcomings that the conventional borehole radar can only detect the depth of the target and the distance from the borehole. The directional borehole radar under consideration consists of a transmitting antenna and four receiving antennas equally distributed on the ring in the borehole. The nonuniformity caused by the borehole and sonde, as well as the mutual coupling among the four receiving antennas, will have a serious impact on the received signal and then cause interference to the azimuth recognition for the targets. In this paper, Finite difference time domain (FDTD), including the subgrid, is applied to study these effects and interferences, and the influence of borehole, sonde, and mutual coupling among the receiving antennas is found. The results show that, without considering the sonde and the fluid in the borehole, the one transmitting and one receiving borehole radar system does not have resonance, but the wave pattern of the reflected wave will have obvious distortion. For the four receiving antennas of the borehole radar system, there is obvious resonance, which is caused by the multiple reflections between the receiving antennas. However, when the fluid in the borehole is water and the relative permittivity of the sonde is low to a certain extent, the resonance disappears; that is, the generation of resonance requires a large relative permittivity material between the receiving antennas. When the influence of the sonde is considered, the resonance disappears because the relative permittivity of the sonde is low, which makes the propagation speed of the electromagnetic wave between the antennas accelerate and lose the conditions for resonance. In addition, the diameters of the sonde and the circular array of the receiving antennas can affect the received signal: the higher the diameter of the sonde and the higher the diameter of the circular array are, the better the differentiation of the received signal. The development of the research provides scientific guidance for the design and application of borehole radar in the future.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicola Telcik ◽  
Charitha Pattiaratchi

Northwest cloudbands are tropical-extratropical feature that crosses the Australian continent originating from Australia’s northwest coast and develops in a NW-SE orientation. In paper, atmospheric and oceanic reanalysis data (NCEP) and Reynolds reconstructed sea surface temperature data were used to examine northwest cloudband activity across the Australian mainland. An index that reflected the monthly, seasonal, and interannual activity of northwest cloudbands between 1950 and 1999 was then created. Outgoing longwave radiation, total cloud cover, and latent heat flux data were used to determine the number of days when a mature northwest cloudband covered part of the Australian continent between April and October. Regional indices were created for site-specific investigations, especially of cloudband-related rainfall. High and low cloudband activity can affect the distribution of cloudbands and their related rainfall. In low cloudband activity seasons, cloudbands were mostly limited to the south and west Australian coasts. In high cloudband activity seasons, cloudbands penetrated farther inland, which increased the inland rainfall. A case study of the southwest Australian region demonstrated that, in a below average rainfall year, cloudband-related rainfall was limited to the coast. In an above average rainfall year, cloudband-related rainfall occurred further inland.


Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 379 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuka Kikuchi ◽  
Masato Fukushima ◽  
Takeshi Ishihara

In this study, offshore wind climate assessments are carried out by using mesoscale model Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) and validated by measurement at a demonstration site located 3.1 km offshore of Choshi. An optimal nudging method is investigated by using offshore and meteorological observations. The land-use datasets are then created from a higher-resolution land-use data by using a maximum area sampling scheme according to the horizontal resolution of the mesoscale model. Finally, the sea surface temperature datasets are corrected by observation data. It is found that the relative error of annual wind speed is reduced from 7.3% to 2.2% and the correlation coefficient between predicted and measured wind speed is improved from 0.80 to 0.84 by considering the effects of land-use and sea surface temperature.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dong-Jae Cho ◽  
Kwang-Yul Kim

AbstractUral blocking (UB) is suggested as one of the contributors to winter sea ice loss in the Barents–Kara Seas (BKS). This study compares UB with Arctic warming (AW) in order to delineate the role of UB on winter sea ice loss and its potential link with AW. A detailed comparison reveals that UB and AW are partly linked on sub-seasonal scales via a two-way interaction; circulation produced by AW affects UB and advection induced by UB affects temperature in AW. On the other hand, the long-term impacts of AW and UB on the sea ice concentration in the BKS are distinct. In AW, strong turbulent flux from the sea surface warms the lower troposphere, increases downward longwave radiation, and broadens the open sea surface. This feedback process explains the substantial sea ice reduction observed in the BKS in association with long-term accelerating trend. Patterns of turbulent flux, net evaporation, and net longwave radiation at surface associated with UB are of opposite signs to those associated with AW, which implies that moisture and heat flux is suppressed as warm and moist air is advected from mid-latitudes. As a result, vertical feedback process is hindered under UB. The qualitative and quantitative differences arise in terms of their impacts on sea ice concentrations in the BKS, because strong turbulent flux from the open sea surface is a main driving force in AW whereas heat and moisture advection is a main forcing in UB.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document