scholarly journals Impact of rainfall spatial aggregation on the identification of debris flow occurrence thresholds

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (9) ◽  
pp. 4525-4532 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francesco Marra ◽  
Elisa Destro ◽  
Efthymios I. Nikolopoulos ◽  
Davide Zoccatelli ◽  
Jean Dominique Creutin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Spatial Organization ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Spatial Aggregation ◽  
Rain Gauges ◽  
Fine Resolution ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Triggering Rainfall

Abstract. The systematic underestimation observed in debris flow early warning thresholds has been associated with the use of sparse rain gauge networks to represent highly non-stationary rainfall fields. Remote sensing products permit concurrent estimates of debris-flow-triggering rainfall for areas poorly covered by rain gauges, but the impact of using coarse spatial resolutions to represent such rainfall fields is still to be assessed. This study uses fine-resolution radar data for ∼  100 debris flows in the eastern Italian Alps to (i) quantify the effect of spatial aggregation (1–20 km grid size) on the estimation of debris-flow-triggering rainfall and on the identification of early warning thresholds and (ii) compare thresholds derived from aggregated estimates and rain gauge networks of different densities. The impact of spatial aggregation is influenced by the spatial organization of rainfall and by its dependence on the severity of the triggering rainfall. Thresholds from aggregated estimates show 8–21 % variation in the parameters whereas 10–25 % systematic variation results from the use of rain gauge networks, even for densities as high as 1∕10 km−2.

scholarly journals Impact of rainfall spatial aggregation on the identification of debris flow occurrence thresholds

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francesco Marra ◽  
Elisa Destro ◽  
Efthymios I. Nikolopoulos ◽  
Davide Zoccatelli ◽  
Jean Dominique Creutin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Debris Flow ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Debris Flows ◽  
Spatial Organization ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Spatial Aggregation ◽  
Scale Parameters ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Triggering Rainfall

Abstract. The systematic underestimation observed in debris flows early warning thresholds has been associated to the use of sparse rain gauge networks to represent highly non-stationary rainfall fields. Remote sensing products permit concurrent estimates of debris flow-triggering rainfall for areas poorly covered by rain gauges, but the impact of using coarse spatial resolutions to represent such rainfall fields is still to be assessed. This study uses fine resolution radar data for ~ 100 debris flows in the eastern Italian Alps to (i) quantify the effect of spatial aggregation (1–20-km grid size) on the estimation of debris flow triggering rainfall and on the identification of early warning thresholds and (ii) compare thresholds derived from aggregated estimates and rain gauge networks of different densities. The impact of spatial aggregation is influenced by the spatial organization of rainfall and by its dependence on the severity of the triggering rainfall. Thresholds from aggregated estimates show up to 8 % and 21 % variations in the shape and scale parameters respectively. Thresholds from synthetic rain gauge networks show > 10 % variation in the shape and > 25 % systematic underestimation in the scale parameter, even for densities as high as 1/10 km−2.

scholarly journals Influence of uncertain identification of triggering rainfall on the assessment of landslide early warning thresholds

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
David J. Peres ◽  
Antonino Cancelliere ◽  
Roberto Greco ◽  
Thom A. Bogaard
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Continuous Series ◽  
Uncertainty Sources ◽  
Uncertain Knowledge ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Negative Impacts ◽  
Set Up ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Triggering Rainfall ◽  
Landslide Triggering

Abstract. Uncertainty in rainfall datasets and landslide inventories is known to have negative impacts on the assessment of landslide–triggering thresholds. In this paper, we perform a quantitative analysis of the impacts that the uncertain knowledge of landslide initiation instants have on the assessment of landslide intensity–duration early warning thresholds. The analysis is based on an ideal synthetic database of rainfall and landslide data, generated by coupling a stochastic rainfall generator and a physically based hydrological and slope stability model. This dataset is then perturbed according to hypothetical reporting scenarios, that allow to simulate possible errors in landslide triggering instants, as derived from historical archives. The impact of these errors is analysed by combining different criteria to single-out rainfall events from a continuous series and different temporal aggregations of rainfall (hourly and daily). The analysis shows that the impacts of the above uncertainty sources can be significant. Errors influence thresholds in a way that they are generally underestimated. Potentially, the amount of the underestimation can be enough to induce an excessive number of false positives, hence limiting possible landslide mitigation benefits. Moreover, the uncertain knowledge of triggering rainfall, limits the possibility to set up links between thresholds and physio-geographical factors.

scholarly journals Impact of the Altitudinal Gradients of Precipitation on the Radar QPE Bias in the French Alps

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominique Faure ◽  
Guy Delrieu ◽  
Nicolas Gaussiat
Keyword(s):  
Ground Level ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Altitudinal Gradients ◽  
French Alps ◽  
Rain Gauges ◽  
Quantitative Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Radar Data Processing

In the French Alps the quality of the radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) is limited by the topography and the vertical structure of precipitation. A previous study realized in all the French Alps, has shown a general bias between values of the national radar QPE composite and the rain gauge measurements: a radar QPE over-estimation at low altitude (+20% at 200 m a.s.l.), and an increasing underestimation at high altitudes (until −40% at 2100 m a.s.l.). This trend has been linked to altitudinal gradients of precipitation observed at ground level. This paper analyzes relative altitudinal gradients of precipitation estimated with rain gauges measurements in 2016 for three massifs around Grenoble, and for different temporal accumulations (yearly, seasonal, monthly, daily). Comparisons of radar and rain gauge accumulations confirm the bias previously observed. The parts of the current radar data processing affecting the bias value are pointed out. The analysis shows a coherency between the relative gradient values estimated at the different temporal accumulations. Vertical profiles of precipitation detected by a research radar installed at the bottom of the valley also show how the wide horizontal variability of precipitation inside the valley can affect the gradient estimation.

scholarly journals Quality-Based Combination of Multi-Source Precipitation Data

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1709 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Jurczyk ◽  
Jan Szturc ◽  
Irena Otop ◽  
Katarzyna Ośródka ◽  
Piotr Struzik
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
Flash Flood ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Quality Information ◽  
Precipitation Data ◽  
Spatial Error ◽  
Rain Gauges ◽  
Precipitation Measurement ◽  
Temporal And Spatial

A quantitative precipitation estimate (QPE) provides basic information for the modelling of many kinds of hydro-meteorological processes, e.g., as input to rainfall-runoff models for flash flood forecasting. Weather radar observations are crucial in order to meet the requirements, because of their very high temporal and spatial resolution. Other sources of precipitation data, such as telemetric rain gauges and satellite observations, are also included in the QPE. All of the used data are characterized by different temporal and spatial error structures. Therefore, a combination of the data should be based on quality information quantitatively determined for each input to take advantage of a particular source of precipitation measurement. The presented work on multi-source QPE, being implemented as the RainGRS system, has been carried out in the Polish national meteorological and hydrological service for new nowcasting and hydrological platforms in Poland. For each of the three data sources, different quality algorithms have been designed: (i) rain gauge data is quality controlled and, on this basis, spatial interpolation and estimation of quality field is performed, (ii) radar data are quality controlled by RADVOL-QC software that corrects errors identified in the data and characterizes its final quality, (iii) NWC SAF (Satellite Application Facility on support to Nowcasting and Very Short Range Forecasting) products for both visible and infrared channels are combined and the relevant quality field is determined from empirical relationships that are based on analyses of the product performance. Subsequently, the quality-based QPE is generated with a 1-km spatial resolution every 10 minutes (corresponding to radar data). The basis for the combination is a conditional merging technique that is enhanced by involving detailed quality information that is assigned to individual input data. The validation of the RainGRS estimates was performed taking account of season and kind of precipitation.

scholarly journals Tropical Andes Radar Precipitation Estimates Need High Temporal and Moderate Spatial Resolution

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1038 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mario Guallpa ◽  
Johanna Orellana-Alvear ◽  
Jörg Bendix
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
Temporal Resolution ◽  
Time Resolution ◽  
Weather Radar ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Tropical Andes ◽  
The Andes ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
The Impact

Weather radar networks are an excellent tool for quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE), due to their high resolution in space and time, particularly in remote mountain areas such as the Tropical Andes. Nevertheless, reduction of the temporal and spatial resolution might severely reduce the quality of QPE. Thus, the main objective of this study was to analyze the impact of spatial and temporal resolutions of radar data on the cumulative QPE. For this, data from the world’s highest X-band weather radar (4450 m a.s.l.), located in the Andes of Ecuador (Paute River basin), and from a rain gauge network were used. Different time resolutions (1, 5, 10, 15, 20, 30, and 60 min) and spatial resolutions (0.5, 0.25, and 0.1 km) were evaluated. An optical flow method was validated for 11 rainfall events (with different features) and applied to enhance the temporal resolution of radar data to 1-min intervals. The results show that 1-min temporal resolution images are able to capture rain event features in detail. The radar–rain gauge correlation decreases considerably when the time resolution increases (r from 0.69 to 0.31, time resolution from 1 to 60 min). No significant difference was found in the rain total volume (3%) calculated with the three spatial resolution data. A spatial resolution of 0.5 km on radar imagery is suitable to quantify rainfall in the Andes Mountains. This study improves knowledge on rainfall spatial distribution in the Ecuadorian Andes, and it will be the basis for future hydrometeorological studies.

scholarly journals Evaluation of the High-Resolution CMORPH Satellite Rainfall Product Using Dense Rain Gauge Observations and Radar-Based Estimates

2012 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 1784-1798 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emad Habib ◽  
Alemseged Tamiru Haile ◽  
Yudong Tian ◽  
Robert J. Joyce
Keyword(s):  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Random Errors ◽  
Event Scale ◽  
Entire Study ◽  
Rain Gauges ◽  
Fine Resolution ◽  
Rain Rates ◽  
Climate Prediction Center ◽  
Rain Gauge Network ◽  
Insight Into

Abstract This study focuses on the evaluation of the NOAA–NCEP Climate Prediction Center (CPC) morphing technique (CMORPH) satellite-based rainfall product at fine space–time resolutions (1 h and 8 km). The evaluation was conducted during a 28-month period from 2004 to 2006 using a high-quality experimental rain gauge network in southern Louisiana, United States. The dense arrangement of rain gauges allowed for multiple gauges to be located within a single CMORPH pixel and provided a relatively reliable approximation of pixel-average surface rainfall. The results suggest that the CMORPH product has high detection skills: the probability of successful detection is ~80% for surface rain rates >2 mm h−1 and probability of false detection <3%. However, significant and alarming missed-rain and false-rain volumes of 21% and 22%, respectively, were reported. The CMORPH product has a negligible bias when assessed for the entire study period. On an event scale it has significant biases that exceed 100%. The fine-resolution CMORPH estimates have high levels of random errors; however, these errors get reduced rapidly when the estimates are aggregated in time or space. To provide insight into future improvements, the study examines the effect of temporal availability of passive microwave rainfall estimates on the product accuracy. The study also investigates the implications of using a radar-based rainfall product as an evaluation surface reference dataset instead of gauge observations. The findings reported in this study guide future enhancements of rainfall products and increase their informed usage in a variety of research and operational applications.

scholarly journals Multifractal Comparison of Reflectivity and Polarimetric Rainfall Data from C- and X-Band Radars and Respective Hydrological Responses of a Complex Catchment Model

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Igor Paz ◽  
Bernard Willinger ◽  
Auguste Gires ◽  
Laurent Monier ◽  
Christophe Zobrist ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Distributed Hydrological Model ◽  
Space Resolution ◽  
Rain Gauges ◽  
X Band ◽  
Distributed Simulations ◽  
Rain Gauge Network ◽  
Catchment Model

This paper presents a comparison between rain gauges, C-band and X-band radar data over an instrumented and regulated catchment of the Paris region, as well as their respective hydrological impacts with the help of flow observations and a semi-distributed hydrological model. Both radars confirm the high spatial variability of the rainfall down to their space resolution (respectively one kilometer and 250 m) and therefore underscore limitations of semi-distributed simulations. The use of the polarimetric capacity of the Météo-France C-band radar was limited to corrections of the horizontal reflectivity and its rainfall estimates are adjusted with the help of a rain gauge network. On the contrary, neither calibration was performed for the polarimetric X-band radar of the Ecole des Ponts ParisTech (below called ENPC X-band radar), nor any optimization of its scans. In spite of that and the non-negligible fact that the catchment was much closer to the C-band radar than to the X-band radar (20 km vs. 40 km), the latter seems to perform at least as well as the former, but with a higher scale resolution. This characteristic was best highlighted with the help of a multifractal analysis of the respective radar data, which also shows that the X-band radar was able to pick up a few extremes that were smoothed out by the C-band radar.

scholarly journals Statistical and neural classifiers in estimating rain rate from weather radar measurements

2007 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 111-115
Author(s):  
C. I. Christodoulou ◽  
S. C. Michaelides
Keyword(s):  
Electromagnetic Radiation ◽  
Rain Rate ◽  
Weather Radar ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Meteorological Conditions ◽  
Swiss Alps ◽  
Rain Gauges ◽  
Weather Radars ◽  
Radar Measurements

Abstract. Weather radars are used to measure the electromagnetic radiation backscattered by cloud raindrops. Clouds that backscatter more electromagnetic radiation consist of larger droplets of rain and therefore they produce more rain. The idea is to estimate rain rate by using weather radar as an alternative to rain-gauges measuring rainfall on the ground. In an experiment during two days in June and August 1997 over the Italian-Swiss Alps, data from weather radar and surrounding rain-gauges were collected at the same time. The statistical KNN and the neural SOM classifiers were implemented for the classification task using the radar data as input and the rain-gauge measurements as output. The proposed system managed to identify matching pattern waveforms and the rainfall rate on the ground was estimated based on the radar reflectivities with a satisfactory error rate, outperforming the traditional Z/R relationship. It is anticipated that more data, representing a variety of possible meteorological conditions, will lead to improved results. The results in this work show that an estimation of rain rate based on weather radar measurements treated with statistical and neural classifiers is possible.

scholarly journals Radar Data Analyses for a Single Rainfall Event and Their Application for Flow Simulation in an Urban Catchment Using the SWMM Model

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariusz Barszcz
Keyword(s):  
Flow Simulation ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Rainfall Rate ◽  
Correction Coefficient ◽  
Urban Catchment ◽  
Storm Water Management Model ◽  
Rain Gauges ◽  
Swmm Model

In this study, regression analyses were used to find a relationship between the rain gauge rainfall rate R and radar reflectivity Z for the urban catchment of the Służewiecki Stream in Warsaw, Poland. Rainfall totals for 18 events which were measured at two rainfall stations were used for these analyses. Various methods for determining calculational values of radar reflectivity in reference to specific rainfall cells with 1-km resolution within an event duration were applied. The influence of each of these methods on the Z-R relationship was analyzed. The correction coefficient for data from the SRI (Surface Rainfall Intensity) product was established, in which the values of rainfall rate are calculated based on parameters a and b determined by Marshall and Palmer. Relatively good agreement between measured and estimated rainfall totals for the analyzed events was obtained using the Z-R relationships as well as the correction coefficient determined in this study. Rainfall depths estimated from radar data for two selected events were used to simulate flow hydrographs in the catchment using the SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) hydrodynamic model. Different scenarios were applied to investigate the stream response to changes in rainfall depths, in which the data both for 2 existing as well as 64 virtual rain gauges assigned to appropriate rainfall cells in the catchment were included.

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