scholarly journals Predicting natural streamflows in regulated snowmelt-driven watersheds using regionalization methods

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 9435-9476
Author(s):  
D. Kim ◽  
J. Kaluarachchi

Abstract. Predicting streamflows in snow-fed watersheds in the Western United States is important for water allocation. Since many of these watersheds are heavily regulated through canal networks and reservoirs, predicting expected natural flows and therefore water availability under limited data is always a challenge. This study investigates the applicability of the flow duration curve (FDC) method for predicting natural flows in gauged and ungauged snow-fed watersheds. Point snow observations, air temperature, precipitation, and snow water equivalent, are used to simulate snowmelt process with SNOW-17 model and extended to streamflow generation by a FDC method with modified current precipitation index. For regulated (ungauged) watersheds, a parametric regional FDC method is applied to reconstruct natural flow. For comparison, a simplified Tank Model is used as well. The proximity regionalization method is used to generate streamflow using the Tank Model in ungauged watersheds. The results show that the FDC method can produce acceptable natural flow estimates in both gauged and ungauged watersheds under data limited conditions. The performance of the FDC method is better in watersheds with relatively low evapotranspiration (ET). Multiple donor data sets including current precipitation index are recommended to reduce uncertainty of the regional FDC method for ungauged watersheds. In spite of its simplicity, the FDC method can perform better than the Tank Model under minimal data availability.

2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (5) ◽  
pp. 1679-1693 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Kim ◽  
J. Kaluarachchi

Abstract. Predicting streamflows in snow-fed watersheds in the Western United States is important for water allocation. Since many of these watersheds are heavily regulated through canal networks and reservoirs, predicting expected natural flows and therefore water availability under limited data is always a challenge. This study investigates the applicability of the flow duration curve (FDC) method for predicting natural flows in gauged and regulated snow-fed watersheds. Point snow observations, air temperature, precipitation, and snow water equivalent were used to simulate the snowmelt process with the SNOW-17 model, and extended to streamflow simulation using the FDC method with a modified current precipitation index. For regulated watersheds, a parametric regional FDC method was applied to reconstruct natural flow. For comparison, a simplified tank model was used considering both lumped and semi-distributed approaches. The proximity regionalization method was used to simulate streamflows in the regulated watersheds with the tank model. The results showed that the FDC method is capable of producing satisfactory natural flow estimates in gauged watersheds when high correlation exists between current precipitation index and streamflow. For regulated watersheds, the regional FDC method produced acceptable river diversion estimates, but it seemed to have more uncertainty due to less robustness of the FDC method. In spite of its simplicity, the FDC method is a practical approach with less computational burden for studies with minimal data availability.


2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 471-485 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Jörg-Hess ◽  
F. Fundel ◽  
T. Jonas ◽  
M. Zappa

Abstract. Gridded snow water equivalent (SWE) data sets are valuable for estimating the snow water resources and verify different model systems, e.g. hydrological, land surface or atmospheric models. However, changing data availability represents a considerable challenge when trying to derive consistent time series for SWE products. In an attempt to improve the product consistency, we first evaluated the differences between two climatologies of SWE grids that were calculated on the basis of data from 110 and 203 stations, respectively. The "shorter" climatology (2001–2009) was produced using 203 stations (map203) and the "longer" one (1971–2009) 110 stations (map110). Relative to map203, map110 underestimated SWE, especially at higher elevations and at the end of the winter season. We tested the potential of quantile mapping to compensate for mapping errors in map110 relative to map203. During a 9 yr calibration period from 2001 to 2009, for which both map203 and map110 were available, the method could successfully refine the spatial and temporal SWE representation in map110 by making seasonal, regional and altitude-related distinctions. Expanding the calibration to the full 39 yr showed that the general underestimation of map110 with respect to map203 could be removed for the whole winter. The calibrated SWE maps fitted the reference (map203) well when averaged over regions and time periods, where the mean error is approximately zero. However, deviations between the calibrated maps and map203 were observed at single grid cells and years. When we looked at three different regions in more detail, we found that the calibration had the largest effect in the region with the highest proportion of catchment areas above 2000 m a.s.l. and that the general underestimation of map110 compared to map203 could be removed for the entire snow season. The added value of the calibrated SWE climatology is illustrated with practical examples: the verification of a hydrological model, the estimation of snow resource anomalies and the predictability of runoff through SWE.


2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. 5127-5139 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. A. Artan ◽  
J. P. Verdin ◽  
R. Lietzow

Abstract. We illustrate the ability to monitor the status of snow water content over large areas by using a spatially distributed snow accumulation and ablation model that uses data from a weather forecast model in the upper Colorado Basin. The model was forced with precipitation fields from the National Weather Service (NWS) Multi-sensor Precipitation Estimator (MPE) and the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) data-sets; remaining meteorological model input data were from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) model output fields. The simulated snow water equivalent (SWE) was compared to SWEs from the Snow Data Assimilation System (SNODAS) and SNOwpack TELemetry system (SNOTEL) over a region of the western US that covers parts of the upper Colorado Basin. We also compared the SWE product estimated from the special sensor microwave imager (SSM/I) and scanning multichannel microwave radiometer (SMMR) to the SNODAS and SNOTEL SWE data-sets. Agreement between the spatial distributions of the simulated SWE with MPE data was high with both SNODAS and SNOTEL. Model-simulated SWE with TRMM precipitation and SWE estimated from the passive microwave imagery were not significantly correlated spatially with either SNODAS or the SNOTEL SWE. Average basin-wide SWE simulated with the MPE and the TRMM data were highly correlated with both SNODAS (r = 0.94 and r = 0.64; d.f. = 14 – d.f. = degrees of freedom) and SNOTEL (r = 0.93 and r = 0.68; d.f. = 14). The SWE estimated from the passive microwave imagery was significantly correlated with the SNODAS SWE (r = 0.55, d.f. = 9, p = 0.05) but was not significantly correlated with the SNOTEL-reported SWE values (r = 0.45, d.f. = 9, p = 0.05).The results indicate the applicability of the snow energy balance model for monitoring snow water content at regional scales when coupled with meteorological data of acceptable quality. The two snow water contents from the microwave imagery (SMMR and SSM/I) and the Utah Energy Balance forced with the TRMM precipitation data were found to be unreliable sources for mapping SWE in the study area; both data sets lacked discernible variability of snow water content between sites as seen in the SNOTEL and SNODAS SWE data. This study will contribute to better understanding the adequacy of data from weather forecast models, TRMM, and microwave imagery for monitoring status of the snow water content.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Monika Goeldi ◽  
Stefanie Gubler ◽  
Christian Steger ◽  
Simon C. Scherrer ◽  
Sven Kotlarski

<p>Snow cover is a key component of alpine environments and knowledge of its spatiotemporal variability, including long-term trends, is vital for a range of dependent systems like winter tourism, hydropower production, etc. Snow cover retreat during the past decades is considered as an important and illustrative indicator of ongoing climate change. As such, the monitoring of surface snow cover and the projection of its future changes play a key role for climate services in alpine regions.</p><p>In Switzerland, a spatially and temporally consistent snow cover climatology that can serve as a reference for both climate monitoring and for future snow cover projections is currently missing. To assess the value and the potential of currently available long term spatial snow data we compare a range of different gridded snow water equivalent (SWE) datasets for the area of Switzerland, including three reanalysis-based products (COSMO-REA6, ERA5, ERA5-Land). The gridded data sets have a horizontal resolution between 1 and 30 km. The performance of the data sets is assessed by comparing them against three reference data sets with different characteristics (station data, a high-resolution 1km snow model that assimilates snow observations, and an optical remote sensing data set). Four different snow indicators are considered (mean SWE, number of snow days, date of maximum SWE, and snow cover extent) in nine different regions of Switzerland and six elevation classes.</p><p>The results reveal high temporal correlations between the individual datasets and, in general, a good performance regarding both countrywide and regional estimates of mean SWE. In individual regions, however, larger biases appear. All data sets qualitatively agree on a decreasing trend of mean SWE during the previous decades particularly at low elevations, but substantial differences can exist. Furthermore, all data sets overestimate the snow cover fraction as provided by the remote sensing reference. In general, reanalysis products capture the general characteristics of the Swiss snow climatology but indicate some distinctive deviations – e.g. like a systematic under- respectively overestimation of the mean snow water equivalent.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 1529-1568
Author(s):  
Samuel Saxe ◽  
William Farmer ◽  
Jessica Driscoll ◽  
Terri S. Hogue

Abstract. Spatiotemporally continuous estimates of the hydrologic cycle are often generated through hydrologic modeling, reanalysis, or remote sensing (RS) methods and are commonly applied as a supplement to, or a substitute for, in situ measurements when observational data are sparse or unavailable. This study compares estimates of precipitation (P), actual evapotranspiration (ET), runoff (R), snow water equivalent (SWE), and soil moisture (SM) from 87 unique data sets generated by 47 hydrologic models, reanalysis data sets, and remote sensing products across the conterminous United States (CONUS). Uncertainty between hydrologic component estimates was shown to be high in the western CONUS, with median uncertainty (measured as the coefficient of variation) ranging from 11 % to 21 % for P, 14 % to 26 % for ET, 28 % to 82 % for R, 76 % to 84 % for SWE, and 36 % to 96 % for SM. Uncertainty between estimates was lower in the eastern CONUS, with medians ranging from 5 % to 14 % for P, 13 % to 22 % for ET, 28 % to 82 % for R, 53 % to 63 % for SWE, and 42 % to 83 % for SM. Interannual trends in estimates from 1982 to 2010 show common disagreement in R, SWE, and SM. Correlating fluxes and stores against remote-sensing-derived products show poor overall correlation in the western CONUS for ET and SM estimates. Study results show that disagreement between estimates can be substantial, sometimes exceeding the magnitude of the measurements themselves. The authors conclude that multimodel ensembles are not only useful but are in fact a necessity for accurately representing uncertainty in research results. Spatial biases of model disagreement values in the western United States show that targeted research efforts in arid and semiarid water-limited regions are warranted, with the greatest emphasis on storage and runoff components, to better describe complexities of the terrestrial hydrologic system and reconcile model disagreement.


2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1625-1645 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvia Terzago ◽  
Jost von Hardenberg ◽  
Elisa Palazzi ◽  
Antonello Provenzale

Abstract. The estimate of the current and future conditions of snow resources in mountain areas would require reliable, kilometre-resolution, regional-observation-based gridded data sets and climate models capable of properly representing snow processes and snow–climate interactions. At the moment, the development of such tools is hampered by the sparseness of station-based reference observations. In past decades passive microwave remote sensing and reanalysis products have mainly been used to infer information on the snow water equivalent distribution. However, the investigation has usually been limited to flat terrains as the reliability of these products in mountain areas is poorly characterized.This work considers the available snow water equivalent data sets from remote sensing and from reanalyses for the greater Alpine region (GAR), and explores their ability to provide a coherent view of the snow water equivalent distribution and climatology in this area. Further we analyse the simulations from the latest-generation regional and global climate models (RCMs, GCMs), participating in the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment over the European domain (EURO-CORDEX) and in the Fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) respectively. We evaluate their reliability in reproducing the main drivers of snow processes – near-surface air temperature and precipitation – against the observational data set EOBS, and compare the snow water equivalent climatology with the remote sensing and reanalysis data sets previously considered. We critically discuss the model limitations in the historical period and we explore their potential in providing reliable future projections.The results of the analysis show that the time-averaged spatial distribution of snow water equivalent and the amplitude of its annual cycle are reproduced quite differently by the different remote sensing and reanalysis data sets, which in fact exhibit a large spread around the ensemble mean. We find that GCMs at spatial resolutions equal to or finer than 1.25° longitude are in closer agreement with the ensemble mean of satellite and reanalysis products in terms of root mean square error and standard deviation than lower-resolution GCMs. The set of regional climate models from the EURO-CORDEX ensemble provides estimates of snow water equivalent at 0.11° resolution that are locally much larger than those indicated by the gridded data sets, and only in a few cases are these differences smoothed out when snow water equivalent is spatially averaged over the entire Alpine domain. ERA-Interim-driven RCM simulations show an annual snow cycle that is comparable in amplitude to those provided by the reference data sets, while GCM-driven RCMs present a large positive bias. RCMs and higher-resolution GCM simulations are used to provide an estimate of the snow reduction expected by the mid-21st century (RCP 8.5 scenario) compared to the historical climatology, with the main purpose of highlighting the limits of our current knowledge and the need for developing more reliable snow simulations.


1981 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 143-166 ◽  
Author(s):  
W.H. Stiles ◽  
F.T. Ulaby ◽  
A. Rango

Prior microwave measurements of snow water equivalent and liquid water content and conceptualizations of emission and backscattering models are reviewed. The results of an experiment designed to collect simultaneous passive and active microwave data to be used in interpreting and analyzing the sensitivity of the microwave spectrum to changing snowpack properties are reported. Both the scattering coefficient, σ°, and the apparent radiometric temperature, Tap, were found to be sensitive to changes in snow water equivalent and liquid water content. The σ° data exhibit an exponential-like increase with increasing water equivalent, whereas, the Tap data exhibit an exponential-like decrease. For both the active and passive data, the snow water equivalent at which the microwave response begins to saturate decreases as the wavelength decreases. Increasing liquid water in the snowpack causes a decrease in σ° and an increase in the Tap. Diurnal data sets show the greatest σ° and Tap variation in response to snowmelt at 35 and 37 GHz with correspondingly less variation at the lower frequencies. Based on research results to date, immediate formulation of a comprehensive microwave and snow research program is recommended.


Eos ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 101 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Shultz

A new study compares the accuracy of three observation-based methods of calculating snow water equivalent, a key component in water management.


2011 ◽  
Vol 32 (21) ◽  
pp. 6611-6629 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cody L. Moser ◽  
Glenn A. Tootle ◽  
Abdoul A. Oubeidillah ◽  
Venkat Lakshmi

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 2284
Author(s):  
Achut Parajuli ◽  
Daniel F. Nadeau ◽  
François Anctil ◽  
Oliver S. Schilling ◽  
Sylvain Jutras

Temperature-index (TI) models are commonly used to simulate the volume and occurrence of meltwater in snow-fed catchments. TI models have varying levels of complexity but are all based on air temperature observations. The quality and availability of data that drive these models affect their predictive ability, particularly given that they are frequently applied in remote environments. This study investigates the performance of non-calibrated TI models in simulating the subcanopy snow water equivalent (SWE) of a small watershed located in Eastern Canada, for which some distinctive observations were collected. Among three relatively simple TI algorithms, the model that performed the best was selected based on the average percent bias (Pbias of 24%) and root mean square error (RMSE of 100 mm w.e.), and was designated as the base TI model. Then, a series of supplemental tests were conducted in order to quantify the performance gain that resulted from including the following inputs/processes to the base TI model: subcanopy incoming radiation, canopy interception, snow surface temperature, sublimation, and cold content. As a final test, all the above modifications were performed simultaneously. Our results reveal that, with the exception of snow sublimation (Pbias of 5.4%) and snow surface temperature, the variables mentioned above were unable to improve TI models within our sites. It is therefore worth exploring other feasible alternatives to existing TI models in complex forested environments.


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