scholarly journals Scenario-based earthquake hazard and risk assessment for Baku (Azerbaijan)

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 2697-2712 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Babayev ◽  
A. Ismail-Zadeh ◽  
J.-L. Le Mouël
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
Water Level Fluctuations ◽  
Industrial Building ◽  
Earthquake Risk ◽  
Population Exposure ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Earthquake Scenarios ◽  
The City

Abstract. A rapid growth of population, intensive civil and industrial building, land and water instabilities (e.g. landslides, significant underground water level fluctuations), and the lack of public awareness regarding seismic hazard contribute to the increase of vulnerability of Baku (the capital city of the Republic of Azerbaijan) to earthquakes. In this study, we assess an earthquake risk in the city determined as a convolution of seismic hazard (in terms of the surface peak ground acceleration, PGA), vulnerability (due to building construction fragility, population features, the gross domestic product per capita, and landslide's occurrence), and exposure of infrastructure and critical facilities. The earthquake risk assessment provides useful information to identify the factors influencing the risk. A deterministic seismic hazard for Baku is analysed for four earthquake scenarios: near, far, local, and extreme events. The seismic hazard models demonstrate the level of ground shaking in the city: PGA high values are predicted in the southern coastal and north-eastern parts of the city and in some parts of the downtown. The PGA attains its maximal values for the local and extreme earthquake scenarios. We show that the quality of buildings and the probability of their damage, the distribution of urban population, exposure, and the pattern of peak ground acceleration contribute to the seismic risk, meanwhile the vulnerability factors play a more prominent role for all earthquake scenarios. Our results can allow elaborating strategic countermeasure plans for the earthquake risk mitigation in the Baku city.

scholarly journals First level seismic microzonation map of Chennai city – a GIS approach

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 549-559 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. P. Ganapathy
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
Tamil Nadu ◽  
Cultural Development ◽  
Seismic Microzonation ◽  
Seismic Sources ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Hazard Zone ◽  
Chennai City ◽  
The City

Abstract. Chennai city is the fourth largest metropolis in India, is the focus of economic, social and cultural development and it is the capital of the State of Tamil Nadu. The city has a multi-dimensional growth in development of its infrastructures and population. The area of Chennai has experienced moderate earthquakes in the historical past. Also the Bureau of Indian Standard upgraded the seismic status of Chennai from Low Seismic Hazard (Zone II) to Moderate Seismic Hazard (Zone III)–(BIS: 1893 (2001)). In this connection, a first level seismic microzonation map of Chennai city has been produced with a GIS platform using the themes, viz, Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA), Shear wave velocity at 3 m, Geology, Ground water fluctuation and bed rock depth. The near potential seismic sources were identified from the remote-sensing study and seismo-tectonic details from published literatures. The peak ground acceleration for these seismic sources were estimated based on the attenuation relationship and the maximum PGA for Chennai is 0.176 g. The groundwater fluctuation of the city varies from 0–4 m below ground level. The depth to bedrock configuration shows trough and ridges in the bedrock topography all over the city. The seismic microzonation analysis involved grid datasets (the discrete datasets from different themes were converted to grids) to compute the final seismic hazard grid through integration and weightage analysis of the source themes. The Chennai city has been classified into three broad zones, viz, High, Moderate and Low Seismic Hazard. The High seismic Hazard concentrated in a few places in the western central part of the city. The moderate hazard areas are oriented in NW-SE direction in the Western part. The southern and eastern part will have low seismic hazard. The result of the study may be used as first-hand information in selecting the appropriate earthquake resistant features in designing the forthcoming new buildings against seismic ground motion of the city.

scholarly journals Seismic and Structural Analyses of the Eastern Anatolian Region (Turkey) Using Different Probabilities of Exceedance

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 89
Author(s):  
Ercan Işık ◽  
Ehsan Harirchian ◽  
Aydın Büyüksaraç ◽  
Yunus Levent Ekinci
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Design ◽  
Seismic Moment ◽  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
Earthquake Ground Motion ◽  
Earthquake Risk ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Earthquake Parameters ◽  
Seismic Design Code

Seismic hazard analysis of the earthquake-prone Eastern Anatolian Region (Turkey) has become more important due to its growing strategic importance as a global energy corridor. Most of the cities in that region have experienced the loss of life and property due to significant earthquakes. Thus, in this study, we attempted to estimate the seismic hazard in that region. Seismic moment variations were obtained using different types of earthquake magnitudes such as Mw, Ms, and Mb. The earthquake parameters were also determined for all provincial centers using the earthquake ground motion levels with some probabilities of exceedance. The spectral acceleration coefficients were compared based on the current and previous seismic design codes of the country. Additionally, structural analyses were performed using different earthquake ground motion levels for the Bingöl province, which has the highest peak ground acceleration values for a sample reinforced concrete building. The highest seismic moment variations were found between the Van and Hakkari provinces. The findings also showed that the peak ground acceleration values varied between 0.2–0.7 g for earthquakes, with a repetition period of 475 years. A comparison of the probabilistic seismic hazard curves of the Bingöl province with the well-known attenuation relationships showed that the current seismic design code indicates a higher earthquake risk than most of the others.

scholarly journals Seismic hazard assessment of Iran

1999 ◽  
Vol 42 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Tavakoli ◽  
M. Ghafory-Ashtiany
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
Grid Point ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Earthquake Hazard ◽  
Seismic Source ◽  
Historical Earthquakes ◽  
Earthquake Insurance ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Seismic Source Models

The development of the new seismic hazard map of Iran is based on probabilistic seismic hazard computation using the historical earthquakes data, geology, tectonics, fault activity and seismic source models in Iran. These maps have been prepared to indicate the earthquake hazard of Iran in the form of iso-acceleration contour lines, and seismic hazard zoning, by using current probabilistic procedures. They display the probabilistic estimates of Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) for the return periods of 75 and 475 years. The maps have been divided into intervals of 0.25 degrees in both latitudinal and longitudinal directions to calculate the peak ground acceleration values at each grid point and draw the seismic hazard curves. The results presented in this study will provide the basis for the preparation of seismic risk maps, the estimation of earthquake insurance premiums, and the preliminary site evaluation of critical facilities.

scholarly journals Model Percepatan Tanah Maksimum Di Kota Manado Menggunakan Metode Donovan dan McGuire

Jurnal MIPA ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 52
Author(s):  
Guntur Pasau ◽  
Maria Daurina Bobanto ◽  
Dolfie P. Pandara
Keyword(s):  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
Observation Interval ◽  
Earthquake Risk ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
The North ◽  
A Value ◽  
Earthquake Hypocenter ◽  
Acceleration Analysis ◽  
Mitigation Effort ◽  
The Impact

Telah dilakukan analisis percepatan tanah maksimum gempa bumi di Kota Manado menggunakan metode Donovan dan McGuire. Kota Manado merupakan bagian dari lengan utara Pulau Sulawesi terletak pada batas pertemuan beberapa lempeng besar sehingga wilayah ini sangat rawan akan goncangan gempa bumi. Upaya mitigasi perlu dilakuakn sejak dini untuk memperkecil dampak resiko gempa bumi tersebut. Salah satu upaya mitigasi adalah memetakan percepatan tanah maksimum (peak ground acceleration) di permukaan. Penentuan variasi nilai percepatan tanah maksimum menggunakan metode Donovan dan metode McGuire. Data yang digunakan adalah data hypocenter gempa yang dikumpulkan dari dua katalog yakni data USGS dan ANSS selama selang pengamatan Februari 1963 sampai Agustus 2017 meliputi radius 500 km dari Kota Manado. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa percepatan tanah maksimum di Kota Manado menggunkan metode Donovan sekitar 42.12 gal sampai dengan 51.82 gal sedangkan metode Mc Guire diperoleh nilai percepatan tanah sekitar 59.13 gal sampai 72.53 gal.The peak ground acceleration analysis in Manado city has been done using Donovan and McGuire method. Manado City is part of the north arm of Sulawesi Island located at the boundary of several major plate meetings so that this region is very prone to earthquake shocks. Mitigation efforts need to be done early to minimize the impact of the earthquake risk. One mitigation effort is to map the peak ground acceleration on the surface. Determination of peak ground acceleration variation using the Donovan and McGuire method. The data used are earthquake hypocenter data collected from two catalogs namely USGS and ANSS data during the observation interval February 1963 to August 2017 covering a radius of 500 km from Manado City. The result of the analysis shows that the peak ground acceleration in Manado City uses Donovan method about 42.12 gal up to 51.82 gal while Mc Guire method obtained the peak ground acceleration a value of  about 59.13 gal to 72.53 gal.

Evaluation of Peak Ground Acceleration and Response Spectra Considering the Local Site Effects

2010 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. G. Sitharam ◽  
K. S. Vipin
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
Site Effects ◽  
Response Spectra ◽  
Probabilistic Logic ◽  
Site Classification ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Entire Study ◽  
Local Site Effects ◽  
Local Site

The local site effects play an important role in the evaluation of seismic hazard. The proper evaluation of the local site effects will help in evaluating the amplification factors for different locations. This article deals with the evaluation of peak ground acceleration and response spectra based on the local site effects for the study area. The seismic hazard analysis was done based on a probabilistic logic tree approach and the peak horizontal acceleration (PHA) values at the bed rock level were evaluated. Different methods of site classification have been reviewed in the present work. The surface level peak ground acceleration (PGA) values were evaluated for the entire study area for four different site classes based on NEHRP site classification. The uniform hazard response spectrum (UHRS) has been developed for the city of Bangalore and the details are presented in this work.

Estimation of Peak Ground Acceleration and Its Uncertainty for Northern Indian Region

2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Girish Chandra Joshi ◽  
Mukat Lal Sharma
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Indian Region ◽  
Branch Points ◽  
Logic Tree ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Source Models ◽  
Hazard Parameters

In the present study the authors evaluate uncertainties in the seismic hazard assessment for the Northern Indian region, based on the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA). The newly compiled earthquake data has been treated for the quality, consistency, and homogeneity in a systematic manner to find out the uncertainties in every step of calculations. Based on the geological and tectonic setup, seismicity and other geophysical anomalies, a seismotectonic model of the region has been developed. The seismic hazard parameters are calculated based on giving proper weight to specific region. The peak ground acceleration (PGA) is estimated for various return periods for the Northern Indian region using a logic tree approach. The variation at the input level in terms of the source models and different Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) is used. To examine into the effect of source modelling and GMPEs, the Coefficient of Variation (COV) maps have been generated. To encompass the region and for better resolution, the peak ground acceleration (PGA) is estimated at 15 minute intervals. The COV values due to all branch points in the logic tree decrease with distance from the source and conspicuous increase toward fault boundaries are observed.

scholarly journals Peak ground acceleration at surface for Mataram city with a return period of 2500 years using probabilistic method

2018 ◽  
Vol 195 ◽  
pp. 03019
Author(s):  
Rian Mahendra Taruna ◽  
Vrieslend Haris Banyunegoro ◽  
Gatut Daniarsyad
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Return Period ◽  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
Subduction Zones ◽  
Amplification Factor ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Probabilistic Method ◽  
Seismic Zone ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Back Arc

The Lombok region especially Mataram city, is situated in a very active seismic zone because of the existence of subduction zones and the Flores back arc thrust. Hence, the peak ground acceleration (PGA) at the surface is necessary for seismic design regulation referring to SNI 1726:2012. In this research we conduct a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis to estimate the PGA at the bedrock with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years corresponding to the return period of 2500 years. These results are then multiplied by the amplification factor referred from shear wave velocity at 30 m depth (Vs30) and the microtremor method. The result of the analysis may describe the seismic hazard in Mataram city which is important for building codes.

scholarly journals Estimation of peak ground acceleration and spectral acceleration for South India with local site effects: probabilistic approach

2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 865-878 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. S. Vipin ◽  
P. Anbazhagan ◽  
T. G. Sitharam
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
South India ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Shear Zones ◽  
Spectral Acceleration ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Site Class ◽  
Probability Of Exceedance ◽  
Grid Points

Abstract. In this work an attempt has been made to evaluate the seismic hazard of South India (8.0° N–20° N; 72° E–88° E) based on the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA). The earthquake data obtained from different sources were declustered to remove the dependent events. A total of 598 earthquakes of moment magnitude 4 and above were obtained from the study area after declustering, and were considered for further hazard analysis. The seismotectonic map of the study area was prepared by considering the faults, lineaments and the shear zones in the study area which are associated with earthquakes of magnitude 4 and above. For assessing the seismic hazard, the study area was divided into small grids of size 0.1°×0.1°, and the hazard parameters were calculated at the centre of each of these grid cells by considering all the seismic sources with in a radius of 300 km. Rock level peak horizontal acceleration (PHA) and spectral acceleration (SA) values at 1 s corresponding to 10% and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years have been calculated for all the grid points. The contour maps showing the spatial variation of these values are presented here. Uniform hazard response spectrum (UHRS) at rock level for 5% damping and 10% and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years were also developed for all the grid points. The peak ground acceleration (PGA) at surface level was calculated for the entire South India for four different site classes. These values can be used to find the PGA values at any site in South India based on site class at that location. Thus, this method can be viewed as a simplified method to evaluate the PGA values at any site in the study area.

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