scholarly journals Polar Lows – Moist Baroclinic Cyclones Developing in Four Different Vertical Wind Shear Environments

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Johannes Stoll ◽  
Thomas Spengler ◽  
Annick Terpstra ◽  
Rune Grand Graversen
Keyword(s):  
Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Polar Lows ◽  
North East ◽  
The North ◽  
Strong Shear ◽  
Polar Low ◽  
Mesoscale Cyclones

Abstract. Polar lows are intense mesoscale cyclones that develop in polar marine air masses. Motivated by the large variety in their proposed intensification mechanisms, cloud structure, and ambient sub-synoptic environment, we use self-organising maps to classify polar lows. The method is applied to 370 polar lows in the North-East Atlantic, which were obtained by matching mesoscale cyclones from the ERA-5 reanalysis to polar lows registered by the Norwegian Meteorological Institute in the STARS dataset. ERA-5 reproduces 93 % of the STARS polar lows. We identify five different polar-low configurations, which are characterised by the vertical wind shear vector relative to the propagation direction. Four categories feature a strong shear with different orientations of the shear vector, whereas the fifth category contains conditions with weak shear. The orientation of the vertical-shear vector for the strong shear categories determines the dynamics of the systems, confirming the relevance of the previously identified categorisation into forward and reverse-shear polar lows. In addition, we expand the categorisation with right and left-shear polar lows that propagate towards colder and warmer environments, respectively. Polar lows in the four strong shear categories feature an up-shear tilt in the vertical, typical for the intensification through moist baroclinic processes. As weak-shear conditions mainly occur at the mature or lysis stage of polar lows, we find no evidence for hurricane-like development and propose that spirali-form PLs are most likely associated with a warm seclusion process.

scholarly journals Polar lows – moist-baroclinic cyclones developing in four different vertical wind shear environments

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-36
Author(s):  
Patrick Johannes Stoll ◽  
Thomas Spengler ◽  
Annick Terpstra ◽  
Rune Grand Graversen
Keyword(s):  
Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Polar Lows ◽  
The North ◽  
Strong Shear ◽  
Polar Low ◽  
Pressure Anomaly ◽  
Mesoscale Cyclones

Abstract. Polar lows are intense mesoscale cyclones that develop in polar marine air masses. Motivated by the large variety of their proposed intensification mechanisms, cloud structure, and ambient sub-synoptic environment, we use self-organising maps to classify polar lows. The method is applied to 370 polar lows in the north-eastern Atlantic, which were obtained by matching mesoscale cyclones from the ERA-5 reanalysis to polar lows registered in the STARS dataset by the Norwegian Meteorological Institute. ERA-5 reproduces most of the STARS polar lows. We identify five different polar-low configurations which are characterised by the vertical wind shear vector, the change in the horizontal-wind vector with height, relative to the propagation direction. Four categories feature a strong shear with different orientations of the shear vector, whereas the fifth category contains conditions with weak shear. This confirms the relevance of a previously identified categorisation into forward- and reverse-shear polar lows. We expand the categorisation with right- and left-shear polar lows that propagate towards colder and warmer environments, respectively. For the strong-shear categories, the shear vector organises the moist-baroclinic dynamics of the systems. This is apparent in the low-pressure anomaly tilting with height against the shear vector and the main updrafts occurring along the warm front located in the forward-left direction relative to the shear vector. These main updrafts contribute to the intensification through latent heat release and are typically associated with comma-shaped clouds. Polar-low situations with a weak shear, which often feature spirali-form clouds, occur mainly at decaying stages of the development. We thus find no evidence for hurricane-like intensification of polar lows and propose instead that spirali-form clouds are associated with a warm seclusion process.

scholarly journals Polar Lows - Moist Baroclinic Cyclones Developing in Four Different Vertical Wind Shear Environments

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Stoll ◽  
Thomas Spengler ◽  
Rune Grand Graversen
Keyword(s):  
Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Polar Lows ◽  
Air Masses ◽  
Strong Shear ◽  
Polar Low ◽  
Pressure Anomaly ◽  
Marine Air

<p>Polar lows are intense mesoscale cyclones that develop in polar marine air masses. Motivated by the large variety of their proposed intensification mechanisms, cloud structure, and ambient sub-synoptic environment, we use self-organising maps to classify polar lows. </p><p>We identify five different polar-low configurations which are characterised by the vertical wind shear vector, the change of the horizontal-wind vector with height, relative to the propagation direction. Four categories feature a strong shear with different orientations of the shear vector, whereas the fifth category contains conditions with weak shear. This confirms the relevance of a previously identified categorisation into forward and reverse-shear polar lows. We expand the categorisation with right and left-shear polar lows that propagate towards colder and warmer environments, respectively.</p><p>For the strong-shear categories, the shear vector organises the moist-baroclinic dynamics of the systems. This is apparent in the low-pressure anomaly tilting with height against the shear vector, and the main updrafts occurring along the warm front located in the forward-left direction relative to the shear vector. These main updrafts contribute to the intensification through latent-heat release and are typically associated with comma-shaped clouds.</p><p>Polar low situations with a weak shear, that often feature spirali-form clouds, occur mainly at decaying stages of the development. We thus find no evidence for hurricane-like intensification of polar lows and propose instead that spirali-form clouds are associated with a warm seclusion process.</p>

scholarly journals Tropical Cyclone Climatology from Satellite Passive Microwave Measurements

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (21) ◽  
pp. 3610
Author(s):  
Song Yang ◽  
Richard Bankert ◽  
Joshua Cossuth
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Passive Microwave ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Shear Direction ◽  
Motion Direction ◽  
Horizontal Structure

The satellite passive microwave (PMW) sensor brightness temperatures (TBs) of all tropical cyclones (TCs) from 1987–2012 have been carefully calibrated for inter-sensor frequency differences, center position fixing using the Automated Rotational Center Hurricane Eye Retrieval (ARCHER) scheme, and application of the Backus–Gilbert interpolation scheme for better presentation of the TC horizontal structure. With additional storm motion direction and the 200–850 hPa wind shear direction, a unique and comprehensive TC database is created for this study. A reliable and detailed climatology for each TC category is analyzed and discussed. There is significant annual variability of the number of storms at hurricane intensity, but the annual number of all storms is relatively stable. Results based on the analysis of the 89 GHz horizontal polarization TBs over oceans are presented in this study. An eyewall contraction is clearly displayed with an increase in TC intensity. Three composition schemes are applied to present a reliable and detailed TC climatology at each intensity category and its geographic characteristics. The global composition relative to the North direction is not able to lead a realistic structure for an individual TC. Enhanced convection in the down-motion quadrants relative to direction of TC motion is obvious for Cat 1–3 TCs, while Cat 4–5 TCs still have a concentric pattern of convection within 200 km radius. Regional differences are evident for weak storms. Results indicate the direction of TC movement has more impact on weak storms than on Cat 4–5 TCs. A striking feature is that all TCs have a consistent pattern of minimum TBs at 89 GHz in the downshear left quadrant (DSLQ) for the northern hemisphere basins and in the downshear right quadrant (DSRQ) for the southern hemisphere basin, regarding the direction of the 200–850 hPa wind shear. Tropical depression and tropical storm have the minimum TBs in the downshear quadrants. The axis of the minimum TBs is slightly shifted toward the vertical shear direction. There is no geographic variation of storm structure relative to the vertical wind shear direction except over the southern hemisphere which shows a mirror image of the storm structure over the northern hemisphere. This study indicates that regional variation of storm structure relative to storm motion direction is mainly due to differences of the vertical wind shear direction among these basins. Results demonstrate the direction of the 200–850 hPa wind shear plays a critical role in TC structure.

scholarly journals A statistical examination of the effects of stratospheric sulphate geoengineering on tropical storm genesis

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qin Wang ◽  
John C. Moore ◽  
Duoying Ji
Keyword(s):  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Wind Shear ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Stratospheric Aerosol ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
Radiative Heating ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
The North

Abstract. The thermodynamics of the ocean and atmosphere partly determine variability in tropical cyclone (TC) number and intensity and are readily accessible from climate model output, but a complete description of TC variability requires much more dynamical data than climate models can provide at present. Genesis potential index (GPI) and ventilation index (VI) are combinations of potential intensity, vertical wind shear, relative humidity, midlevel entropy deficit, and absolute vorticity that can quantify both thermodynamic and dynamic forcing of TC activity under different climate states. Here we use six CMIP5 models that have run the RCP4.5 experiment and the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) stratospheric aerosol injection G4 experiment, to calculate the two TC indices over the 2020 to 2069 period across the 6 ocean basins that generate tropical cyclones. Globally, GPI under G4 is lower than under RCP4.5, though both have a slight increasing trend. Spatial patterns in the effectiveness of geoengineering show reductions in TC in the North Atlantic basin, and Northern Indian Ocean in all models except NorESM1-M. In the North Pacific, most models also show relative reductions under G4. Most models project potential intensity and relative humidity to be the dominant variables affecting genesis potential. Changes in vertical wind shear are significant, but both it and vorticity exhibit relatively small changes with large variation across both models and ocean basins. We find that tropopause temperature is not a useful addition to sea surface temperature in projecting TC genesis, despite radiative heating of the stratosphere due to the aerosol injection, and heating of the upper troposphere affecting static stability and potential intensity. Thus, simplified statistical methods that quantify the thermodynamic state of the major genesis basins may reasonably be used to examine stratospheric aerosol geoengineering impacts on TC activity.

Some Effects of Vertical Wind Shear on Thunderstorm Structure *

1949 ◽  
Vol 30 (5) ◽  
pp. 168-175 ◽  
Author(s):  
Horace R. Byers ◽  
Louis J. Battan
Keyword(s):  
Cross Sections ◽  
Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Radar Cross Sections ◽  
Almost All

Observations of thunderclouds obtained with a 3-cm height-finding radar set are used to obtain a description of the vertical shear of thunderclouds. Several photographs are given which show the shearing of the radar clouds. A scattergram of wind shear plotted against echo shear is presented and shows that the two variables are related, with the former exceeding the latter in almost all cases. Scatter-diagrams are given which verify that strong vertical wind shear tends to restrict the growth of thunderstorms. A series of radar cross sections illustrates the displacement of the upper part of a thundercloud which is subjected to wind shear, and the growth of another cloud column from the lower part of the thundercloud.

scholarly journals Structural and Intensity Changes of Hurricane Bret (1999). Part I: Environmental Influences

2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (11) ◽  
pp. 4320-4333 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Lowag ◽  
Michael L. Black ◽  
Matthew D. Eastin
Keyword(s):  
Wind Shear ◽  
Inner Core ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Heat Content ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
Mean Values ◽  
The North ◽  
Intensity Changes ◽  
Environmental Prediction

Abstract Hurricane Bret underwent a rapid intensification (RI) and subsequent weakening between 1200 UTC 21 August and 1200 UTC 22 August 1999 before it made landfall on the Texas coast 12 h later. Its minimum sea level pressure fell 35 hPa from 979 to 944 hPa within 24 h. During this period, aircraft of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) flew several research missions that sampled the environment and inner core of the storm. These datasets are combined with gridded data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Global Model and the NCEP–National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) reanalyses to document Bret’s atmospheric and oceanic environment as well as their relation to the observed structural and intensity changes. Bret’s RI was linked to movement over a warm ocean eddy and high sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Gulf of Mexico coupled with a concurrent decrease in vertical wind shear. SSTs at the beginning of the storm’s RI were approximately 29°C and steadily increased to 30°C as it moved to the north. The vertical wind shear relaxed to less than 10 kt during this time. Mean values of oceanic heat content (OHC) beneath the storm were about 20% higher at the beginning of the RI period than 6 h prior. The subsequent weakening was linked to the cooling of near-coastal shelf waters (to between 25° and 26°C) by prestorm mixing combined with an increase in vertical wind shear. The available observations suggest no intrusion of dry air into the circulation core contributed to the intensity evolution. Sensitivity studies with the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) model were conducted to quantitatively describe the influence of environmental conditions on the intensity forecast. Four different cases with modified vertical wind shear and/or SSTs were studied. Differences between the four cases were relatively small because of the model design, but the greatest intensity changes resulted for much cooler prescribed SSTs. The results of this study underscore the importance of OHC and vertical wind shear as significant factors during RIs; however, internal dynamical processes appear to play a more critical role when a favorable environment is present.

scholarly journals A new paradigm for intensity modification of tropical cyclones: thermodynamic impact of vertical wind shear on the inflow layer

2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 10711-10775 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Riemer ◽  
M. T. Montgomery ◽  
M. E. Nicholls
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Carnot Cycle ◽  
Close Link ◽  
Storm Intensity ◽  
Intensity Evolution

Abstract. An important roadblock to improved intensity forecasts for tropical cyclones (TCs) is our incomplete understanding of the interaction of a TC with the environmental flow. In this paper we re-visit the classical idealised numerical experiment of tropical cyclones (TCs) in vertical wind shear on an f-plane. We employ a set of simplified model physics – a simple bulk aerodynamic boundary layer scheme and "warm rain" microphysics – to foster better understanding of the dynamics and thermodynamics that govern the modification of TC intensity. A suite of experiments is performed with intense TCs in moderate to strong vertical shear. In all experiments the TC is resilient to shear but significant differences in the intensity evolution occur. The ventilation of the TC core with dry environmental air at mid-levels and the dilution of the upper-level warm core are two prevailing hypotheses for the adverse effect of vertical shear on storm intensity. Here we propose an alternative and arguably more effective mechanism how cooler and drier (lower θe) air – "anti-fuel" for the TC power machine – can enter the core region of the TC. Strong and persistent downdrafts flux low θe air from the lower and middle troposphere into the boundary layer, significantly depressing the θe values in the storm's inflow layer. Air with lower θe values enters the eyewall updrafts, considerably reducing eyewall θe values in the azimuthal mean. When viewed from the perspective of an idealised Carnot-cycle heat engine a decrease of storm intensity can thus be expected. Although the Carnot cycle model is – if at all – only valid for stationary and axisymmetric TCs, a strong correlation between the downward transport of low θe into the boundary layer and the intensity evolution offers further evidence in support of our hypothesis. The downdrafts that flush the inflow layer with low θe air are associated with a quasi-stationary region of convective activity outside the TC's eyewall. We show evidence that, to zero order, the formation of the convective asymmetry is driven by the balanced dynamical response of the TC vortex to the vertical shear forcing. Thus a close link is provided between the thermodynamic impact in the near-core boundary layer and the balanced dynamics governing the TC vortex evolution.

scholarly journals Reevaluating the Role of the Saharan Air Layer in Atlantic Tropical Cyclogenesis and Evolution

2010 ◽  
Vol 138 (6) ◽  
pp. 2007-2037 ◽  
Author(s):  
Scott A. Braun
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Wind Shear ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Tropical Cyclogenesis ◽  
Saharan Air Layer ◽  
The Individual

Abstract The existence of the Saharan air layer (SAL), a layer of warm, dry, dusty air frequently present over the tropical Atlantic Ocean, has long been appreciated. The nature of its impacts on hurricanes remains unclear, with some researchers arguing that the SAL amplifies hurricane development and with others arguing that it inhibits it. The potential negative impacts of the SAL include 1) vertical wind shear associated with the African easterly jet; 2) warm air aloft, which increases thermodynamic stability at the base of the SAL; and 3) dry air, which produces cold downdrafts. Multiple NASA satellite datasets and NCEP global analyses are used to characterize the SAL’s properties and evolution in relation to tropical cyclones and to evaluate these potential negative influences. The SAL is shown to occur in a large-scale environment that is already characteristically dry as a result of large-scale subsidence. Strong surface heating and deep dry convective mixing enhance the dryness at low levels (primarily below ∼700 hPa), but moisten the air at midlevels. Therefore, mid- to-upper-level dryness is not generally a defining characteristic of the SAL, but is instead often a signature of subsidence. The results further show that storms generally form on the southern side of the jet, where the background cyclonic vorticity is high. Based upon its depiction in NCEP Global Forecast System meteorological analyses, the jet often helps to form the northern side of the storms and is present to equal extents for both strengthening and weakening storms, suggesting that jet-induced vertical wind shear may not be a frequent negative influence. Warm SAL air is confined to regions north of the jet and generally does not impact the tropical cyclone precipitation south of the jet. Composite analyses of the early stages of tropical cyclones occurring in association with the SAL support the inferences from the individual cases noted above. Furthermore, separate composites for strongly strengthening and for weakening storms show few substantial differences in the SAL characteristics between these two groups, suggesting that the SAL is not a determinant of whether a storm will intensify or weaken in the days after formation. Key differences between these cases are found mainly at upper levels where the flow over strengthening storms allows for an expansive outflow and produces little vertical shear, while for weakening storms, the shear is stronger and the outflow is significantly constrained.

scholarly journals Lightning in Eastern North Pacific Tropical Cyclones: A Comparison to the North Atlantic

2015 ◽  
Vol 144 (1) ◽  
pp. 225-239 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie N. Stevenson ◽  
Kristen L. Corbosiero ◽  
Sergio F. Abarca
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Wind Shear ◽  
Inner Core ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
Intensity Change ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract As global lightning detection has become more reliable, many studies have analyzed the characteristics of lightning in tropical cyclones (TCs); however, very few studies have examined flashes in eastern North Pacific (ENP) basin TCs. This study uses lightning detected by the World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN) to explore the relationship between lightning and sea surface temperatures (SSTs), the diurnal cycle, the storm motion and vertical wind shear vectors, and the 24-h intensity change in ENP TCs during 2006–14. The results are compared to storms in the North Atlantic (NA). Higher flash counts were found over warmer SSTs, with 28°–30°C SSTs experiencing the highest 6-hourly flash counts. Most TC lightning flashes occurred at night and during the early morning hours, with minimal activity after local noon. The ENP peak (0800 LST) was slightly earlier than the NA (0900–1100 LST). Despite similar storm motion directions and differing vertical wind shear directions in the two basins, shear dominated the overall azimuthal lightning distribution. Lightning was most often observed downshear left in the inner core (0–100 km) and downshear right in the outer rainbands (100–300 km). A caveat to these relationships were fast-moving ENP TCs with opposing shear and motion vectors, in which lightning peaked downmotion (upshear) instead. Finally, similar to previous studies, higher flash densities in the inner core (outer rainbands) were associated with nonintensifying (intensifying) TCs. This last result constitutes further evidence in the efforts to associate lightning activity to TC intensity forecasting.

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