scholarly journals Investigating the Relationship between Composite, Islamic, and Conventional Indexes in Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 82-101
Author(s):  
Ikram Nur Muharam ◽  
Muhamad Abduh
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Impulse Response ◽  
Response Function ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

Apart from the question of whether all indexes in financial markets are driven by similar factors, this study examines the long and short-run relationships between the composite index (JKSE), Islamic index (JII), and pure non-Islamic index (NST7) in the Indonesia financial market. The results show that there is at least one cointegrated equation among the JKSE, JII, and NST7. Furthermore, the output from VECM shows that only the JII has a significant long-run relationship with the JKSE. In the case of short-run relationships, the JII and NST7 do not significantly affect the JKSE, while the JII was significantly influenced by the JKSE. Otherwise, the Impulse Response Function shows that a shock on the JII will negatively affect both the JKSE and the NST7, while a shock on the NST7 is not very influential on the JKSE or the JII.

Financial Deepening and Economic Growth in Jamaica

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alton Best ◽  
Brian M. Francis ◽  
C. Justin Robinson
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Impulse Response ◽  
Response Function ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Variance Decomposition ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
The Real ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Out Of Sample

The paper empirically examines the question of whether bank liquid reserves to bank assets ratio and domestic credit to private sector as a percentage of GDP strengthens financial deepening on the real sector and hence catalyzes economic growth in Jamaica. A Granger causality approach is employed within a multivariate framework. Cointegration is used to examine the short- and long-run relationships within the model. Innovative accounting techniques (impulse response function and variance decomposition) are also utilized to determine the out-of-sample relation between financial deepening and economic growth. The empirical analysis is conducted with annual data from 1980 to 2014 with three proxies for financial deepening. The empirical evidence suggests a ‘supplying-leading’ relationship in both the short and long run. These results are confirmed by the innovation accounting techniques (impulse response function and the variance decomposition). Our findings imply that Jamaica should first concentrate on developing its financial sectors which has the potential to spur higher levels of economic growth in the real sectors of the economy.

scholarly journals Oil Consumption in Transport and Economic Growth Nexus: Empirical Evidence from Cameroon

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 409
Author(s):  
Youssouf Nvuh Njoya ◽  
Mouhamed Mbouandi Njikam
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Impulse Response ◽  
Response Function ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Oil Consumption ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Long Run

This paper focuses on casting light on the causal relationship between oil consumption in transport and economic growth in Cameroon. This paper uses an annual data covering the period 1975-2014, which is a five-step modern time series techniques. They include the Unit root tests, co-integration analysis, and Granger-causality based on error correction model. As a robustness test, we made use of the impulse response function and variance decomposition to portray the correlations between variables. The main result highlighted in the present paper point out the presence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between oil consumption in transport and economic growth. The error correction model shows that an estimated 1% increase in economic growth causes a rise in oil consumption in transport by 1.29 % in the long run. Another results show that there exists bidirectional causality in the long-run relationship and there was no causality in the short-run relationship at the 5% level of significance. The decomposition of the variance and impulse response function indicates a dissymmetric of the variance of the prediction error and the dynamic properties of the system. This study provides a basis for the discussion of energy consumption in transport policies in order to maintain a sustainable economic growth in Cameroon.

Empirical Research on the Relationship between Investment of Environmental Protection and Economic Growing of Shanghai

2011 ◽  
Vol 361-363 ◽  
pp. 1066-1070
Author(s):  
Ling Wang ◽  
Yang Yang ◽  
Li Juan Wang ◽  
Jiang Guo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Environmental Protection ◽  
Empirical Research ◽  
Impulse Response ◽  
Response Function ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Coordinated Development ◽  
Environmental Investment ◽  
Multiplier Effects ◽  
The Relationship

This paper uses Impulse Response Function to empirically analyze the relationship between investment of environmental protection and economic growing of Shanghai. The result shows that Shanghai economic growth relatively contributes more to the environmental investment， while the improvement of environmental investment affects little on the economic growth. Shanghai should further promote multiplier effects of the environmental investment on economic growth in order to achieve the coordinated development between investment of environmental protection and economic growth.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy and Economic Growth: A Review of International Literature

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 123-137 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enock Nyorekwa Twinoburyo ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Theoretical Evolution ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract This paper aims to survey the existing literature, both theoretical and empirical, on the relationship between monetary policy and economic growth. While there has been a wide range of studies on the existing relationship between monetary policy and economic growth, the nexus between the two remains inconclusive. This paper takes a comprehensive view of the theoretical evolution of the relationship and the respective recent empirical findings. Overall, this paper shows that the majority of findings support the relevancy of monetary policy in supporting economic growth, mainly in financially developed economies with fairly independent central banks. The relationship tends to be weaker in developing economies with structural weaknesses and underdeveloped financial markets that are weakly integrated into global markets. This paper concludes that monetary policy matters for growth both in the short-run and long-run despite the prevailing ambiguous relationship. The paper recommends intensive financial development measure for developing countries as well as structural reforms to address to supply side deficiencies.

scholarly journals The Relationship Between Cat Bond Market and Other Financial Asset Markets: Evidence from Cointegration Tests

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 78-85
Author(s):  
Chaouki Mouelhi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Rank Correlation ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Cat Bonds ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Decision Choice ◽  
The Relationship

This study examines the relationship between Cat Bonds market and the other financial markets. Precisely, cointegration tests (the Engle and Granger’s methodology) were applied on weekly data of five indexes over the period 2012- 2019 to test for the existence of a long-run dynamic equilibrium relationship between Cat Bonds market and four financial markets, namely, Insurance Linked Securities (ILS) market, S&P 500 (first stock market), MSCI (second stock market) and Corporate Bonds market. In addition, a comparative analysis correlation vs cointegration was conducted to verify whether Cat Bonds can be really considered as zero-beta assets in the short-run (correlation) as well as the long-run (cointegration). For correlation analysis we employed three correlation coefficients (Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient, Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coefficient and Kendall's Rank Correlation Coefficient). Overall, the main findings of this study showed that in the short-run, Cat Bonds are partially zero-beta assets while over the long-run they are entirely zero-beta assets. Such results will be of great importance for investors in their decision choice between a short strategy or a long strategy in Cat Bonds’ investing.

scholarly journals Linkages between Trade Openness, Productivity and Industrialization in Nigeria: A Co-integration Test

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 78
Author(s):  
Ilemona Adofu ◽  
Innocent Okwanya
Keyword(s):  
Total Factor Productivity ◽  
Impulse Response ◽  
Response Function ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Industrial Output ◽  
Factor Productivity ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test

This study examines the effect of trade openness and total factor productivity on industrial output in Nigeria. The data used for this analysis covers the period 1981-2015. The paper employs the VAR model in estimating the effect of trade openness on industrial output. The impulse response function and the variance decomposition are used to examine the response of industrial output to shocks in trade openness and total factor productivity. The results show that trade openness has a positive increasing effect on industrial output in Nigeria while the effect of total factor productivity on industrial output is found to be insignificant. The impulse response function shows over the long run period tfP negative effect on industrial output in Nigeria. The findings of this study certainly have important policy implications: it suggests that policies geared towards increasing trade openness should be encouraged as this tends to improve industrial output. This study contributes to economics literature by looking at the degree to which trade openness and total factor productivity influence industrial output in Nigeria.

scholarly journals The Effect of US Monetary Policy Normalization Toward The Financing Growth of Indonesian Islamic Banking Industry: Short-Term and Long-Term Approaches

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (01) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Ahmad Mikail ◽  
Kenny Devita Indraswari
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Banking Industry ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Fund Rate

<p>The study identifies the effect of The Fed Fund Rate (FFR) normalization toward the financing growth of Islamic banks as well as toward the industrial credit growth in Indonesia. To acquire better understanding about the effect of the increasing FFR, Vector Error Correction Model is being utilized in order to identify short run and long run effects. The data employed are the quarterly data of total credit in banking industry, total financing in Islamic banking industry, FFR, real GDP growth, real interest rate, exchange rate and Indonesian composite index from 2003 - 2015. To forecast the dynamic effect of the rising FFR towards financing growth in the Islamic banks, Impulse Response Function is being applied. The result from the long run estimation suggests that the Fed’s monetary policy has negative effect toward the Indonesian banking credit growth as well as the Islamic financing growth. Moreover, the estimated coefficient shows that the effect is quite low in the long run for the conventional bank and relatively high for the Islamic banks. From the short run dynamic analysis, the study reveals that the Islamic banks financing growth is mostly determined by FFR where Islamic financing growth affects Indonesian composite index and real interest rate. However, the Impulse Response Function result exhibits that the Fed’s monetary policy normalization will not affect Islamic banks financing in Indonesia.</p><p><br />Keywords: Fed Fund Rate, Financing Growth, Islamic Banking, Indonesia, Monetary Policy</p>

Linearly Transforming Variables in the VAR Model, How Does it Change the Impulse Response?

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Reusens ◽  
Christophe Croux
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Impulse Response ◽  
Linear Transformation ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Structural Shocks ◽  
Expected Inflation ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

AbstractThis paper analyzes the impulse response function of vector autoregression models for variables that are linearly transformed. The impulse response is equal to the linear transformation of the original impulse response if and only if the shock is equal to the linear transformation of the original shock. In particular, we consider shocks in one error term only, generalized shocks, structural shocks identified by short-run recursive restrictions and structural shocks identified by long-run recursive restrictions. A vector autoregression model with expected inflation, the overnight rate and a long term ex-ante real interest rate that replaces the corresponding long term nominal interest rate, illustrates our results.

An Analysis of the Importance of Terms of Trade in South Africa Using Impulse Response Function

2020 ◽  
pp. 097215092091655
Author(s):  
Temitope L. A. Leshoro
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Impulse Response ◽  
Response Function ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Terms Of Trade ◽  
Export Market ◽  
Stable States ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Shock

The understanding of the terms of trade is essential as its worsening can cause severe disruptions in any economy. South Africa, as a developing nation and a net importer, coupled with its low contribution to the global export market, is not spared the effects of the volatility of export prices. It is therefore important to observe the effects of a negative shock in the commodity terms of trade on selected key macroeconomic variables. Using quarterly data from the period 1988: Q2 to 2019: Q3, the study adopted the Monte Carlo impulse response function and variance decomposition analyses to examine the path of a given variable that resulted from a negative shock in the terms of trade. The results showed that all the variables responded, as expected, to the shock in the commodity terms of trade, both in the short and long run, and that they all returned to stable states. The study further showed the importance of output growth, exchange rate and investment in explaining the commodity terms of trade decomposition. The study concludes by providing some policy recommendations.

Electricity consumption and economic growth in ASEAN

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Ahmad Ghazali Ismail ◽  
Arlinah Abd Rashid ◽  
Azlina Hanif
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Use ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Panel Estimation ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Bidirectional Relationship ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship and causality direction between electricity consumption and economic growth is an important issue in the fields of energy economics and policies towards energy use. Extensive literatures has discussed the issue, but the array of findings provides anything but consensus on either the existence of relations or direction of causality between the variables. This study extends research in this area by studying the long-run and causal relations between economic growth, electricity consumption, labour and capital based on the neo-classical one sector aggregate production technology mode using data of electricity consumption and real GDP for ASEAN from the year 1983 to 2012. The analysis is conducted using advanced panel estimation approaches and found no causality in the short run while in the long-run, the results indicate that there are bidirectional relationship among variables. This study provides supplementary evidences of relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in ASEAN.

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