scholarly journals Investment and Growth Amidst Widening Government Debt: “The Ghanaian Story”

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 259
Author(s):  
John Kwaku Mensah Mawutor ◽  
Eric Boachie Yiadom ◽  
Richard Fosu Amankwa

The study revisits the debt-growth nexus and broadens the argument to examine the unique effect of government debt on investment in Ghana. Data from World Development Indicators on the Ghanaian economy were sampled from 1990 to 2015. The empirical results from the Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) suggest an inverse relationship between government debt and economic growth in Ghana. In addition, a percentage increase in government debt reduces investment by 0.65%; implying that government debt harms investment due to fungibility of debt and accompanying debt repayment responsibilities. Policy ramifications resulting from the study are that the Ghanaian government should restructure public debt management to eliminate debt fungibility and reduce debt to GDP ratio as well.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
pp. 27-31
Author(s):  
I. V. SUGAROVA ◽  
◽  
N. V. TADTAEVA ◽  

In the modern world economy, most countries lack the financial resources to fully perform their duties and functions to their citizens. The consequence of the increase in borrowing by countries is the growth of public debt. Its management is becoming one of the most acute problems in the current conditions. The article presents the main aspects of this problem, and suggests measures to stimulate the country's economic growth.


2021 ◽  
pp. 58-68
Author(s):  
Ivanna Moroz

The policy of external and domestic public debt management in different countries has its own specifics, and its results are not always unambiguous. Thus, the existing recommendations of the International Monetary Fund and the Maastricht criteria prove that the maximum value of public debt to GDP should be no more than 60 %. Exceeding this limit can lead to a deterioration in financial stability, debt sustainability, and ultimately to a technical default of the state. However, the practice of public debt management in many developed countries shows quite opposite trends, as a significant excess of the Maastricht criterion not only does not lead to default, but on the contrary allows countries to accumulate the necessary financial resources to ensure stable economic growth. Therefore, the study of European debt strategies and their effectiveness is a very important issue, especially given the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic for developing countries. Given the growing external debt dependence of Ukraine as a result of both the war with the Russian Federation and the COVID-19 pandemic, the search for a better experience of European debt policy and consideration of ways to adapt it to domestic realities are discussed in our article. Based on the analysis of the debt policy of European countries, the expediency of using debt rules, aimed at regulating both the country's debt security and the effectiveness of the use of public borrowing to stimulate economic growth has been proved. Cluster analysis of debt strategies of some European countries has shown that the high level of dependence on external public debt has a negative impact on economic security in general, because in the event of deteriorating macroeconomic situation, the likelihood of foreign investors selling government securities increases, and in the case of external loans from international financial and credit organizations – the risks of negative impact of burdensome non-financial obligations on the national economy grow.


Author(s):  
Pham Xuan Truong

Vietnam embarked on fundamentally building a public debt management system since 2009 as the Law of Public Debt Management was designed and promulgated. From then Vietnam has been following the typical model of public debt management used by developing countries, the market – based model which encompasses gradual building and completion of domestic market for government bond. However, because of several limitations in the national system of public debt management, the current model needs to be improved in alignment with the development level of Vietnam’s economy. Especially, economic shocks such as the 2009 financial crisis or Covid 19 which has increased dramatically the scope of public debt also urge a more technical and effective model. The paper focuses on analyzing the practical models of public debt management in the world and subsequently the current situation of Vietnam’s model. On that basis, the author figures out the limitations of the model and proposes a number of solutions to upgrade the model in accordance with the international practice regarding model of public debt management suitable with development level of economy.  Keywords Public debt, sustainable public debt, public debt management, risk management, model of public debt management. References [1] D.Q. Bao, The science of Management and Organization Statistical Publishing House, Hanoi, 1999 (in Vietnamese),[2] IMF, Defining the Government’s debt and deficit, Working paper, WP/15/238, 2015.[3] IMF, Revised guidelines for public debt management, IMF Policy paper, 2014.[4] WB, Government debt management: Designing debt management strategies, Debt management learning & training note, 2017. [5] E. Currie, J. Dethier and E. Togo, Institutional arrangements for Public Debt Management, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3021, 2003.[6] E.C. Pascal, The debt office and the effective debt management functions: an institutional and operational framework, Public debt and Public Finance Working Paper, 2006.[7] H. Bohn, Tax Smoothing with Financial Instruments, American Economic Review, 80/5 (1990) pp 1217–1230.[8] J. Tobin, An Essay on the Principles of Debt Management, Fiscal and Debt Management Policies, 2 (1963), Reprinted in J. Tobin Essays in Economics, vol.1, Amsterdam: North Holland, 1971.[9] E. Togo, Coordinating Public Debt Management with Fiscal and Monetary Policies: An Analytical Framework, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 4369, 2007.[10] L. Hoogduin, B. Ozturk & P.Wierts, Public debt managers’ behavior: interactions with macro policies, DNB Working paper No.273, 2010.[11] WB, Debt management performance assessment (DeMPA) methodology, 2015.[12] R. Cabral, How strategically is public debt being managed around the globe? A survey on public debt management strategies, WB Financial advisory and Banking department report, 2015.[13] C. Aslan, A. Ajazaj & S.A. Wahidh, Study on Public debt management system and results of a survey on solutions used by debt management office, WB Financial advisory and Banking department report, 2018.[14] IMF, G-20 note: Improving public debt recording, monitoring, and reporting capacity in low and lower middle-income countries: proposed reforms, 2018.[15] A.A. Badurina, S. Svaljek, Public debt management before, during and after the crisis, Finance theory and practice, 36(1) (2012) 73 – 100.[16] I. Storkey, Sound practice, in: M. Williams and P. Brione (Eds.), Government Debt Management: New Trends and Challenge, Central Banking Publications Ltd, London, 2006, pp 300 – 325.[17] G. Wheeler, Sound Practice in Government Debt Management, The World Bank Publication, Washington D.C, 2004. doi. 10.1596/0-8213-5073-0.[18] National Treasury Management Agency, Ireland Information Memorandum 2010, National Treasury Management Agency, Dublin, 2010.[19] M. Williams, The growing responsibilities of debt management offices, in: M. Williams, P. Brione (Eds.), Government Debt Management: New Trends and Challenge, Central Banking Publications Ltd, London, 2006, pp 258 – 273.[20] H.N. Au, Public debt management in Vietnam in the international integration period (in Vietnamese), https://hcma.vn/Uploads/2018/8/8/Hoang%20Ngoc%20Au%20-%20Luan%20an%20-%20CN%20Quan%20ly%20kinh%20te.pdf, 2018 (accessed 20 August 2020).[21] T. Phung, Firmly maintaining the country’s credit rate (in Vietnamese), http://tapchitaichinh.vn/su-kien-noi-bat/tiep-tuc-giu-vung-muc-xep-hang-tin-nhiem-quoc-gia-325601.html, 2020 (accessed 21 August 2020).[22] N.T. Binh, The factors affecting the efficiency of public debt management in Vietnam (in Vietnamese), http://www.tapchicongthuong.vn/bai-viet/cac-yeu-to-anh-huong-toi-hieu-qua-quan-ly-no-cong-o-viet-nam-73005.htm, 2020 (accessed 22 August 2020).[23] T. Anh, Six solutions for public management in the new context (in Vietnamese), http://tapchitaichinh.vn/su-kien-noi-bat/6-giai-phap-quan-ly-no-cong-trong-boi-canh-moi-308263.html, 2019 (accessed 23 August 2020).  


Author(s):  
Mackenzie Scott

Economics & Public Finance support topic page covers issues such as macroeconomic stability, fiscal policy, economic growth, public debt, public finance management (including procurement), financial accountability as well as their practical implications for development programmers, in particular budget support operations but also technical cooperation projects.


ScienceRise ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 58-67
Author(s):  
Ivanna Moroz

The object of research is the policy of public debt management of the United States of America and Ukraine. The problem solved is the low level of efficiency of the policy of public external and internal debt management of Ukraine in the context of financing economic growth. The main scientific results: based on the analysis of the policy of public debt management of the United States of America, it has been proved, that the public debt and the US budget deficit should be perceived not as a problem or threat to macroeconomic stability, but as a tool to stimulate economic growth. It is substantiated, that in order to optimize the policy of internal and external public debt management of Ukraine it is expedient to introduce a debt rule, which is based on the program-targeted method of attracting public debt and provides for the use of public borrowing exclusively to finance economic development programs. In this case, Ukraine, following the example of the United States, will be able to achieve sustainable economic growth, because changing the priorities from debt financing of current state budget expenditures to financing capital expenditures will allow the Ukrainian government to develop economic infrastructure, create conditions for high value-added goods and to develop small and medium business, which will ultimately ensure macroeconomic stability and progressive economic development of the state. The scope of practical use of research results. The results of the study can be used by the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and in particular by the Ministry of Finance during the formation of the Medium-Term public debt management strategy of Ukraine. Innovative technological product: The debt rule is based on the program-target method of attraction and use of the state internal and external debt that allows to use effectively the state borrowings for financing of economic growth. Scope of application of an innovative technological product: Policy of management of the state internal and external debt of Ukraine


Author(s):  
Mariia Aleksandrova ◽  
Vita Dovgaliuk ◽  
Klym Fursov

The article reveals the essence of state debt security and examines the threats to state debt security in the context of minimizing their negative impact and increasing the efficiency of the public debt management system. In determining the essence of state debt security and the study of threats to state debt security in the context of minimizing their negative impact and improving the efficiency of public debt management system, it was determined that debt security is the basis of economic sovereignty, resilience of its financial system to internal and external threats and implementation socio-economic strategy of sustainable development. The study is devoted to identifying the features of the current system of debt security in Ukraine and a set of threats to the growth of debt security in the country. One of the financial instruments of the national economy is loans from international financial organizations, which have a targeted strategic direction of innovation. These borrowings contribute to long-term economic growth. It is the inefficient management of such debt that leads to the disruption of the economic system, in particular to its imbalance and increase its vulnerability to factors of negative foreign economic influence. Therefore, the strategic goal of reducing the threat of negative impact on debt security is to determine the optimal policy for managing both external and internal debt of the state. Again, debt management policy is a condition for the stability and efficiency of the state economy. As a result of the study, the main reasons for the deterioration of Ukraine’s debt security can be identified, in particular: a complex political crisis, military conflict, deep economic recession, the existence of obligations to meet the state’s needs in natural gas and pensions, lack of sufficient political will to reform and apply unpopular measures to stabilize the economic situation. Coordinating the public debt management mechanism with Ukraine’s financial stabilization strategy will provide an opportunity to analyze the financial threats facing Ukraine in the global crisis and develop a common framework for all bodies, public authorities, which represent the external debt of Ukraine. When appropriate measures are taken, public debt coverage will be carried out mainly not by increasing the tax burden, but by economic growth. After studying the state of Ukraine’s debt security, conclusions were drawn on its increase by stabilizing the national currency, optimizing the structure of budget expenditures, stimulating the state domestic market, directing external borrowing to implement investment development programs and developing a promising debt strategy.


2007 ◽  
Vol 10 (05) ◽  
pp. 763-770
Author(s):  
SILVIA CECCACCI ◽  
ALESSANDRO MARCHESIANI ◽  
LORENZO PECCHI

Foreign-currency denominated securities are introduced in a stochastic model à la Missale [13]. It is shown that the percentage share of this bond type, as compared to total debt, is an increasing function of the covariance between the output and the rate of depreciation, but it may or may not be a decreasing function of the volatility of the rate of depreciation.


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