scholarly journals Do Stock markets welcome signs of changing ruling set-up? An empirical investigation on the impacts of General and Presidential Elections on KSE

2015 ◽  
Vol 03 (01) ◽  
pp. 08-18
Author(s):  
Zaheer Khan ◽  
◽  
Sahar Zeast ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Empirical Investigation ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Set Up ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Event Study Methodology

This study was an attempt to analyze the impact of general and presidential elections on stock market returns of Karachi Stock Exchange. The event study methodology was employed and the data from 1997 to 2013 was used to identify the impact. This study investigated the impact of general and presidential elections held in Pakistan individually and collectively. The results established that there was a significant impact of elections on stock market returns of Karachi Stock Exchange.

scholarly journals South–South Cooperation in South and East Asia: An Event Study of the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-67
Author(s):  
Wing Him Yeung ◽  
Yilisha Pang ◽  
Asad Aman
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Global South ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Event Study Methodology

South–South cooperation has been on the rise in recent years. One of the latest examples is the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) proposed by the Chinese and Pakistani governments in 2013. Using event study methodology, this article examines the impact of events and announcements associated with CPEC on the Pakistan Stock Exchange in Pakistan and the Shanghai Stock Exchange in China. The first key finding of this article is that the initial announcement associated with CPEC had stronger and positive short-term impact on the Pakistan Stock Exchange in comparison with the impact of subsequent CPEC events on the stock market. The second key finding is that the short-term impact of the CPEC initial announcement was stronger on the Pakistan Stock Exchange than on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, possibly due to the substantial difference in the size of the two economies. The empirical results of this article have important implications for investors, corporations and regulators to the Global South.

scholarly journals Stock Market Returns and Weather Anomaly: Evidence from an Emerging Economy

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 239-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hammad Hassan Mirza ◽  
Naveed Mushtaq .
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Weather Condition ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Emerging Economy ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Temperature Records ◽  
The Impact

Financial economists believe that the arbitrage forces in the market are the main reason of market efficiency and these forces are the fundamental concept of efficient market hypothesis (EMH). During last few years, various theoretical and empirical evidences have been presented to support the work of financial modeling for the markets with less than rational investors whose trading strategies are based on psychological factors like mood and emotions. Weather condition is among the substantial factors affecting investors’ mood and emotions. Present study investigates the impact of temperature on stock market returns in emerging economy of Pakistan. Using the daily temperature records and stock market indices of Karachi and Islamabad, the study has employed auto regressive (AR) – generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model from 2006 to 2010. Based on AR (1)-GARCH (1, 1) estimation the study has found that weather temperatures of both Karachi and Islamabad are negatively related with Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) and Islamabad Stock Exchange (ISE) index returns, respectively.

Rational–Irrational Investor Sentiments and Emerging Stock Market Returns: A Comparison from Turkey

2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 219-245 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidika Gulfem Bayram
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Dynamic Interactions ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the dynamic relationship between rational and irrational consumer-business sentiments and stock returns in an emerging stock market, Turkey. Consumer and business sentiments are divided into two components: rational and irrational sentiments. Then, the dynamic interactions and the impact of the sentiments on stock returns are examined. The fundamental economic variables used in the study consist of business conditions, economic risk premium, country risk, exchange rate risk, country growth rate, inflation rate, and terms of trade. The results show that Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE)-100 index returns are positively and significantly affected by the rational sentiments of both consumers and businesses. JEL Classification: G02, G12, G150

scholarly journals Impact of Terrorism on Stock Market: A Case of South Asian Stock Markets

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 215-242
Author(s):  
Rehana Kousar ◽  
Zahid Imran ◽  
Qaisar Maqbool Khan ◽  
Haris Khurram
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
South Asia ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of terrorism on stock markets of South Asia namely, Karachi Stock Exchange 100 index (Pakistan), Bombay Stock Exchange (India), Colombo Stock Exchange (Sri Lanka) and Chittagong Stock Exchange (Bangladesh). Monthly panel data has been used for the period of January 2000 to December 2016. Terrorism events happened during the period of 2000 to 2016 have been incorporated to examine the impact of terrorism on stock market returns of South Asia. DCC GARCH through R software is used to analyze the impact of terrorism on stock market returns and to analyze the spillover effect of terrorism in one country and on the stock markets of other countries of South Asia. The results indicate that terrorism has significant and negative effect on stock market returns of Pakistan, India and Bangladesh but insignificant in Sri Lanka. Results also shows that stock markets return of Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh are significant and positively correlated with each other except the Stock market of Sri Lanka.

scholarly journals Stock Market Reactions to COVID-19 Pandemic Outbreak: Quantitative Evidence from ARDL Bounds Tests and Granger Causality Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (18) ◽  
pp. 6729 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ștefan Cristian Gherghina ◽  
Daniel Ștefan Armeanu ◽  
Camelia Cătălina Joldeș
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Quantitative Evidence ◽  
Granger Causality Analysis ◽  
Gold Silver ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the linkages in financial markets during coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic outbreak. For this purpose, daily stock market returns were used over the period of December 31, 2019–April 20, 2020 for the following economies: USA, Spain, Italy, France, Germany, UK, China, and Romania. The study applied the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model to explore whether the Romanian stock market is impacted by the crisis generated by novel coronavirus. Granger causality was employed to investigate the causalities among COVID-19 and stock market returns, as well as between pandemic measures and several commodities. The outcomes of the ARDL approach failed to find evidence towards the impact of Chinese COVID-19 records on the Romanian financial market, neither in the short-term, nor in the long-term. On the other hand, our quantitative approach reveals a negative effect of the new deaths’ cases from Italy on the 10-year Romanian bond yield both in the short-run and long-run. The econometric research provide evidence that Romanian 10-year government bond is more sensitive to the news related to COVID-19 than the index of the Bucharest Stock Exchange. Granger causality analysis reveals causal associations between selected stock market returns and Philadelphia Gold/Silver Index.

The Impact of Treasury Bill Rate and Interest Rate On The Stock Market Returns: Case Of Ghana Stock Exchange

2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Augustine  Addo ◽  
Fidelis Sunzuoye
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Treasury Bill ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ghana Stock Exchange ◽  
The Impact

Several studies have suggested that macroeconomic variables affect Stock market returns using Treasury bill rate as a measure of interest rate. The study examines the joint impact of  interest rates and Treasury bill rate on  stock market returns on Ghana Stock Exchange over the period between January 1995 and December 2011. Using Johansen’s Multivariate Cointegration Model and Vector Error  Correction Model the study establish that there is cointegration between Interest rate, Treasury bill rate and stock market returns indicating long run relationship. On the basis of the Multiple Regression Analysis (OLS) carried out by Eviews 7 program, the results show that Treasury bill rate and interest rate both have a negative relationship with stock market returns but  are not  significant. These results lend support to the idea that interest rate and Treasury bill rate has both  negative  relationship  but  weak predictive  power on stock market returns independently. The study conclude that interest rate and Treasury bill rate jointly impact on stock market returns in the long run. Understanding the effects of both  Treasury bill rate and interest rate dynamics on stock market returns will help investors, fund  and portfolio managers and firms make better investment decisions.

Impact of political events on stock market returns: empirical evidence from Pakistan

2014 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 60-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mian Sajid Nazir ◽  
Hassan Younus ◽  
Ahmad Kaleem ◽  
Zeshan Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Government Structure ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Noisy Information ◽  
Political Events ◽  
Study Methodology

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between uncertain political events and Pakistani Stock Markets from May 1999 to December 2011. Design/methodology/approach – Using the mean-adjusted return model and event study methodology and by comparing the market efficiency between the two government style, i.e. autocratic and democratic, the authors determined that how uncertain political events are affecting Pakistani Stock Markets. Findings – The empirical result shows that political events have an impact on the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) returns. Moreover, the paper derives from the results that the KSE is inefficient for a short span of time, after 15 days KSE absorbs the noisy information. The political situation in Pakistan was more stable in autocratic government structure than in democratic structure but it is difficult to state that the stock markets are more efficient in Autocracy because only few events took place during an autocratic regime and magnitude of events was not same in the autocratic and democratic government structure. Originality/value – This study is unique in its nature as it examines the effect of multiple political events on stock market returns in Pakistan simultaneously and is expected to contribute significantly in the capital market literature of Pakistan in particular.

scholarly journals The Effects of Extreme Weather Conditions on Hong Kong and Shenzhen Stock Market Returns

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 70
Author(s):  
Zhuhua Jiang ◽  
Sang Hoon Kang ◽  
Chongcheul Cheong ◽  
Seong-Min Yoon
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Extreme Weather ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
The Impact

We investigate the impact of extreme weather conditions on the stock market returns of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Exchange. For the weather conditions, we apply dummy variables generated by applying a moving average and moving standard deviation. Our study provides two interesting results. First, extreme weather conditions have a significant impact on the stock returns of the Shenzhen Exchange, indicating that the Shenzhen market is inefficient. Second, during the pre-QFII period, extreme weather conditions have a strong impact on the returns of the Shenzhen stock market, but the impact is significantly weaker in the period after QFII. This means that the efficiency of the Shenzhen stock market has significantly increased since the QFII program due to the market openness to foreign institutional investors. We emphasize the role of foreign investors not affected by local weather conditions by observing how market opening affects extreme weather impacts on stock market returns.

scholarly journals The Effects of the 2010 Chilean Natural Disasters on the Stock Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 31 ◽  
Author(s):  
José Luis Ruiz ◽  
Marcelo Barrero
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Natural Disasters ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Insurance Coverage ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Event Study Methodology

The 2010 Chilean earthquake and tsunami were among the strongest in the world history. The exogeneity of these natural disasters provides the opportunity to test stock price reactions. Using a sample of 42 firms listed in the Santiago Stock Exchange, we develop an event study methodology considering heterogeneity in volatility. Chilean stock market volatility increased by 240% (120%) during the 5 (11) trading days after the earthquake. The results are informative about the behavior of the stock prices: returns are positive in sectors the retail, real estate, and banking sectors and negative in food, steel, and forestry. Insurance coverage decreases the impact on economic growth.

scholarly journals The Impact of China-Pak Economic Corridor (CPEC) on Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 1307-1317
Author(s):  
Muhammad Mudasar Ghafoor ◽  
Zahid Hussain ◽  
Muhammad Yasir Saeed
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Empirical Study ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Positive Effect

Purpose: The study aims to find out the impact of CPEC project on volatility and growth of Pakistan stock exchange PSX-100. The CPEC is a significant subset and southern corridor of (SREB) which consists of three economic corridors (Rana, 2015). The investment in CPEC projects not only accelerates Pakistan and Chinese economy but also anticipated to have significant effects on Pakistan stock exchange PSX. Design/Methodology/Approach: The methodology of event study proposed by Bremer and Sweeney (1991). The methodology of Cox and Peterson (1994) used to identify the effects of events related to CPEC projects and stock market returns. Findings: The results indicated that the volatility of PSX-100 has low in post CPEC as compared to pre CPEC era showing a positive effect of CPEC on PSX in the form of stable PSX 100 returns in post CPEC announcement era. Implications/Originality/Value: The results of this empirical study provide important implications to overseas investors, corporations and regulators.

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