scholarly journals Variability and trends of rainfall using non-parametric approaches: A case study of semi-arid area

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 71 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-44
Author(s):  
DAS JAYANTA ◽  
MANDAL TAPASH ◽  
SAHA PIU ◽  
BHATTACHARYA SUDIP KUMAR

The analysis of variability and trends of rainfall can be used to assist better decision for climate risk and agricultural water management. This study makes an attempt to evaluate the trend and variability of annual, seasonal and monthly rainfall of 19 stations of Ajmer district, Rajasthan based on 44 year’s monthly rainfall data (1973-2016). Non-parametric Mann-Kendall (MK), Modified Mann-Kendall (mMK) and Spearman’s rho (SR) tests were used to achieve if there was an increasing or decreasing trend in the time series and the Sen’s slope (Q) estimator was applied to identify the quantity of the trend. From the results, it was found that annual and monsoon rainfall both showed an increasing trend at three stations, located in the central part and a decreasing trend at two stations, located in the north-western and south-western part of the study area. The magnitude of maximum increasing trends in both annual  and monsoon rainfall was observed at Goela (Q=+10.17 mm/year and+9.50 mm/year) while Jawaja (Q = - 6.76 mm/year and -5.21 mm/year) appeared with the maximum decreasing trends. On a monthly scale February showed an increasing trend at maximum number of stations (seven) and July showed a decreasing trend at maximum number of stations (seven). The information gathered from our study will help in future to estimate hydraulic procedures as well as to make sustainable water resource planning and management in this region.

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 65 (4) ◽  
pp. 497-508
Author(s):  
S.I. LASKAR ◽  
S.D. KOTAL ◽  
S.K.ROY BHOWMIK

In this study, the trends of seasonal maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall time series were investigated for 9 selected stations in the north eastern India with the available data stretching between the years 1913-2012.During the period under study the minimum temperature has increasing trends in almost all the stations of north east India except Cherrapunji where it shows decreasing trend in all the season of the year. In case of maximum temperature Cherrapunji, Guwahati and Imphal show increasing trends during all the seasons. Agartala and Shillong show increasing trend of maximum temperature during monsoon and post monsoon season. Dibrugarh and Pasighat show decreasing trend during pre monsoon season and increasing trend during all other seasons of the year. Gangtok shows decreasing trend of maximum temperature during all the seasons where as Silchar shows no trend in maximum temperature.Out of all the selected nine stations, most of the stations show either decreasing trend or no trend of rainfall except Guwahati which shows significant increasing trend of rainfall during post monsoon season.


Author(s):  
M. H. Ali ◽  
M. H. Zaman ◽  
M. A. Islam ◽  
P. Biswas ◽  
N. N. Karim ◽  
...  

The study was carried out for investigation and analysis of long-term (45 years) monthly rainfall data of Rajshahi from 1975 to 2019 for better selection of crops and agricultural technology in this region of Bangladesh. The rainfall trend was determined using parametric and non-parametric method. Probability analysis of rainfall was performed for estimation of dry, wet, and average year rainfall. The results revealed negative trend of yearly rainfall, but it is statistically insignificant. By non-parametric method, ‘no trend’ was observed for yearly rainfall. Increasing trend of monthly rainfall during March and May and decreasing trend in other months were observed. The rainfall deficit period continued from November to March, and in some instant up to April (rainfall<PET).Total deficit for dry, wet, and average year were found as 488.2 mm, 405.7mm and 426.1mm respectively. By adopting low water-demanding cropping patterns during the deficit period, the withdrawal of groundwater can be minimized.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 81
Author(s):  
Sudip Saha

The study area lies in Bangladesh that is in the tropical area. The analysis of rainfall data reveals that the average annual rainfall in Rangpur was 2099.25 mm that varies from 427 mm to 3748 mm within the investigated period of time. The highest amount of annual rainfall was recorded in 1984. Heavy rainfall occurs in the month of July of the year. The highest amount of total monthly rainfall was recorded in July, 1987 and measured as 1314 mm. The rainfall trend can be expressed as monsoon rainfall > pre-monsoon rainfall> post monsoon rainfall. The total amount of annual rainfall is strongly significantly positively correlated with the total monthly rainfall of the months of June, July August, September and October and significantly positively correlated with the total monthly rainfall of the month April. The analysis shows that it rained in every year in the month of June as the minimum monthly value for June is greater than zero. Pearson correlation index shows that the mean daily temperature is significantly negatively correlated with daily rainfall which implies that fall of daily mean temperature with the daily rainfall. The increasing trend of annual rainfall suggests the climate change in Rangpur within the investigated period of time. In Rangpur, the value of skewness for all rainfall data are positive that indicate the data are skewed to the right. The positive values of kurtosis indicate that the distribution is not normal. 


Author(s):  
Robert Brochin ◽  
Jashvant Poeran ◽  
Khushdeep S. Vig ◽  
Aakash Keswani ◽  
Nicole Zubizarreta ◽  
...  

AbstractGiven increasing demand for primary knee arthroplasties, revision surgery is also expected to increase, with periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) a main driver of costs. Recent data on national trends is lacking. We aimed to assess trends in PJI in total knee arthroplasty revisions and hospitalization costs. From the National Inpatient Sample (2003–2016), we extracted data on total knee arthroplasty revisions (n = 782,449). We assessed trends in PJI prevalence and (inflation-adjusted) hospitalization costs (total as well as per-day costs) for all revisions and stratified by hospital teaching status (rural/urban by teaching status), hospital bed size (≤299, 300–499, and ≥500 beds), and hospital region (Northeast, Midwest, South, and West). The Cochran–Armitage trend test (PJI prevalence) and linear regression determined significance of trends. PJI prevalence overall was 25.5% (n = 199,818) with a minor increasing trend: 25.3% (n = 7,828) in 2003 to 28.9% (n = 19,275) in 2016; p < 0.0001. Median total hospitalization costs for PJI decreased slightly ($23,247 in 2003–$20,273 in 2016; p < 0.0001) while median per-day costs slightly increased ($3,452 in 2003–$3,727 in 2016; p < 0.0001), likely as a function of decreasing length of stay. With small differences between hospitals, the lowest and highest PJI prevalences were seen in small (≤299 beds; 22.9%) and urban teaching hospitals (27.3%), respectively. In stratification analyses, an increasing trend in PJI prevalence was particularly seen in larger (≥500 beds) hospitals (24.4% in 2003–30.7% in 2016; p < 0.0001), while a decreasing trend was seen in small-sized hospitals. Overall, PJI in knee arthroplasty revisions appears to be slightly increasing. Moreover, increasing trends in large hospitals and decreasing trends in small-sized hospitals suggest a shift in patients from small to large volume hospitals. Decreasing trends in total costs, alongside increasing trends in per-day costs, suggest a strong impact of length of stay trends and a more efficient approach to PJI over the years (in terms of shorter length of stay).


Author(s):  
Shruti Makarand Kanade

 Cloud computing is the buzz word in today’s Information Technology. It can be used in various fields like banking, health care and education. Some of its major advantages that is pay-per-use and scaling, can be profitably implemented in development of Enterprise Resource Planning or ERP. There are various challenges in implementing an ERP on the cloud. In this paper, we discuss some of them like ERP software architecture by considering a case study of a manufacturing company.


Focaal ◽  
2019 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Vasiliki P. Neofotistos

Using the Republic of North Macedonia as a case study, this article analyzes the processes through which national sports teams’ losing performance acquires a broad social and political significance. I explore claims to sporting victory as a direct product of political forces in countries located at the bottom of the global hierarchy that participate in a wider system of coercive rule, frequently referred to as empire. I also analyze how public celebrations of claimed sporting victories are intertwined with nation-building efforts, especially toward the global legitimization of a particular version of national history and heritage. The North Macedonia case provides a fruitful lens through which we can better understand unfolding sociopolitical developments, whereby imaginings of the global interlock with local interests and needs, in the Balkans and beyond.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 555-582
Author(s):  
Nkemjika Chimee

Technological innovations, which in the nineteenth century were principally developed by European nations, were a crucial factor in transforming economies – not only those of the countries in which they originated, but also those of their colonies. This case study of Nigeria explores the way the British controlled the colony and subjugated the local people as a result of their superior technology. Upon taking over the territory, to aid the country's economic development, they began to construct railway lines to link major resource zones of the north and south. This facilitated the more efficient shipment of natural resources from these zones to the coastal ports for onward shipment to Britain. Indigenous production and the rendering of palm oil were transformed by the introduction of oil presses. The article examines the transformative impact of technology in resource exploitation, focusing specifically on railways and oil presses and their impact on Nigerian society.


2018 ◽  
Vol 68 (suppl 1) ◽  
pp. bjgp18X696929
Author(s):  
Jill Mitchell

BackgroundThere is an emerging debate that general practice in its current format is out-dated and there is a requirement to move to a federated model of provision where groups of Practices come together. The emergence of federations has developed over the past 5 years but the factors that influence how federations develop and the impact of this new model is an under researched area.AimThe study explored the rationale around why a group of independent GP practices opted to pursue an alternative business venture and the benefits that this strategy offered.MethodA single organisational case study of a federation in the North of England was conducted between 2011–2016. Mixed methods data collection included individual and group semi-structured interviews and quantitative surveys.ResultsFederations promote collaborative working, relying on strategic coherence of multiple individual GP practices through a shared vision and common purpose. Findings revealed many complexities in implementing a common strategy across multiple independent businesses. The ability of the federation to gain legitimacy was two dimensional – externally and internally. The venture had mixed successes, but their approach to quality improvement proved innovative and demonstrated outcomes on a population basis. The study identified significant pressures that practices were experiencing and the need to seek alternative ways of working but there was no shared vision or inclination to relinquish individual practice autonomy.ConclusionOrganisational development support is critical to reform General Practice. Whether central funding through the GP Five Year Forward View will achieve the scale of change required is yet to be evidenced.


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