IMPROVING DIRECT RUNOFF ESTIMATIONS THROUGH MODIFYING SCS-CN INITIAL ABSTRACTION RATIO IN A CATCHMENT PRONE TO FLASH FLOODS

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Caletka
Keyword(s):  
Flash Floods ◽  
Direct Runoff ◽  
Initial Abstraction ◽  
Scs Cn

Determination of SCS-CN initial abstraction ratio in a catchment prone to flash floods

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-123 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Caletka ◽  
Monika Šulc Michalková
Keyword(s):  
Surface Runoff ◽  
Soil Conservation ◽  
Curve Number ◽  
Flash Floods ◽  
Soil Conservation Service ◽  
Initial Abstraction ◽  
Service Curve ◽  
Scs Cn ◽  
Proper Setting

Abstract The soil conservation service - curve number method is a globally used approach to simulations of surface runoff for its simplicity and applicability. Nevertheless, relevant simulations require proper setting of the model's components. This work focuses on optimization of initial abstraction ratio λ in the Husí potok sub-catchments in Czech Republic. Due to favorable morphology, the watershed is prone to flash floods and accurate modeling of surface runoff is of high interest. The analysis was conducted using pairs of discharge and rainfall measurements. The results outline that the traditional value λ= 0.2 is too high in this watershed and should be reduced.

scholarly journals Improvement of SCS-CN Initial Abstraction Coefficient in the Czech Republic: A Study of Five Catchments

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1964 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Caletka ◽  
Monika Šulc Michalková ◽  
Petr Karásek ◽  
Petr Fučík
Keyword(s):  
Czech Republic ◽  
Model Fitting ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Event Analysis ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Direct Runoff ◽  
Initial Abstraction ◽  
Universal Applicability ◽  
Scs Cn

The SCS-CN method is a globally known procedure used primarily for direct-runoff estimates. It also is integrated in many modelling applications. However, the method was developed in specific geographical conditions, often making its universal applicability problematic. This study aims to determine appropriate values of initial abstraction coefficients λ and curve numbers (CNs), based on measured data in five experimental catchments in the Czech Republic, well representing the physiographic conditions in Central Europe, to improve direct-runoff estimates. Captured rainfall-runoff events were split into calibration and validation datasets. The calibration dataset was analysed by applying three approaches: (1) Modifying λ, both discrete and interpolated, using the tabulated CN values; (2) event analysis based on accumulated rainfall depth at the moment runoff starts to form; and (3) model fitting, an iterative procedure, to search for a pair of λ, S (CN, respectively). To assess individual rainfall characteristics’ possible influence, a principal component analysis and cluster analysis were conducted. The results indicate that the CN method in its traditional arrangement is not very applicable in the five experimental catchments and demands corresponding modifications to determine λ and CN (or S, respectively). Both λ and CN should be viewed as flexible, catchment-dependent (regional) parameters, rather than fixed values. The acquired findings show the need for a systematic yet site-specific revision of the traditional CN method, which may help to improve the accuracy of CN-based rainfall-runoff modelling.

scholarly journals Variability of the Initial Abstraction Ratio in an Urban and an Agroforested Catchment

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Krajewski ◽  
Anna E. Sikorska-Senoner ◽  
Agnieszka Hejduk ◽  
Leszek Hejduk
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Curve Number ◽  
Threshold Value ◽  
Storm Events ◽  
Direct Runoff ◽  
Initial Abstraction ◽  
Land Use Types ◽  
Rainfall Depth ◽  
Storm Rainfall ◽  
Service Curve

The Curve Number method is one of the most commonly applied methods to describe the relationship between the direct runoff and storm rainfall depth. Due to its popularity and simplicity, it has been studied extensively. Less attention has been given to the dimensionless initial abstraction ratio, which is crucial for an accurate direct runoff estimation with the Curve Number. This ratio is most often assumed to be equal to 0.20, which was originally proposed by the method’s developers. In this work, storm events recorded in the years 2009–2017 in two small Polish catchments of different land use types (urban and agroforested) were analyzed for variability in the initial abstraction ratio across events, seasons, and land use type. Our results showed that: (i) estimated initial abstraction ratios varied between storm events and seasons, and were most often lower than the original value of 0.20; (ii) for large events, the initial abstraction ratio in the catchment approaches a constant value after the rainfall depth exceeds a certain threshold value. Thus, when using the Soil Conservation Service-Curve Number (SCS-CN) method, the initial abstraction ratio should be locally verified, and the conditions for the application of the suggested value of 0.20 should be established.

scholarly journals Using SCS-CN and Earth Observation for the Comparative Assessment of the Hydrological Effect of Gradual and Abrupt Spatiotemporal Land Cover Changes

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1386 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanouil Psomiadis ◽  
Konstantinos X. Soulis ◽  
Nikolaos Efthimiou
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Earth Observation ◽  
Comparative Assessment ◽  
Combined Effect ◽  
Population Increase ◽  
Urbanization Process ◽  
Direct Runoff ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Scs Cn

In this study a comparative assessment of the impacts of urbanization and of forest fires as well as their combined effect on runoff response is investigated using earth observation and the Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) direct runoff estimation method in a Mediterranean peri-urban watershed in Attica, Greece. The study area underwent a significant population increase and a rapid increase of urban land uses, especially from the 1980s to the early 2000s. The urbanization process in the studied watershed caused a considerable increase of direct runoff response. A key observation of this study is that the impact of forest fires is much more prominent in rural watersheds than in urbanized watersheds. However, the increments of runoff response are important during the postfire conditions in all cases. Generally, runoff increments due to urbanization seem to be higher than runoff increments due to forest fires affecting the associated hydrological risks. It should also be considered that the effect of urbanization is lasting, and therefore, the possibility of an intense storm to take place is higher than in the case of forest fires that have an abrupt but temporal impact on runoff response. It should be noted though that the combined effect of urbanization and forest fires results in even higher runoff responses. The SCS-CN method, proved to be a valuable tool in this study, allowing the determination of the direct runoff response for each soil, land cover and land management complex in a simple but efficient way. The analysis of the evolution of the urbanization process and the runoff response in the studied watershed may provide a better insight for the design and implementation of flood risk management plans.

Initial Abstraction Ratio in the SCS-CN Method in the Loess Plateau of China

2011 ◽  
Vol 54 (1) ◽  
pp. 163-169 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Fu ◽  
G. Zhang ◽  
N. Wang ◽  
L. Luo
Keyword(s):  
Loess Plateau ◽  
The Loess Plateau ◽  
Initial Abstraction ◽  
Scs Cn

scholarly journals Coupling the modified SCS-CN and RUSLE models to simulate hydrological effects of restoring vegetation in the Loess Plateau of China

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 4193-4233 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Y. Gao ◽  
B. J. Fu ◽  
Y. H. Lü ◽  
Y. Liu ◽  
S. Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Loess Plateau ◽  
Soil Loss ◽  
Curve Number ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
The Loess Plateau ◽  
Rusle Model ◽  
Initial Abstraction ◽  
Runoff And Soil Loss ◽  
Scs Cn ◽  
Runoff Production

Abstract. Predicting event runoff and soil loss under different land covers is essential to quantitatively evaluate the hydrological responses of vegetation restoration in the Loess Plateau of China. The Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) and Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) models are widely used in this region to this end. This study incorporated antecedent moisture condition (AMC) in runoff production and initial abstraction of the SCS-CN model, and considered the direct effect of runoff on event soil loss by adopting a rainfall-runoff erosivity factor in the RUSLE model. The modified SCS-CN and RUSLE models were coupled to link rainfall-runoff-erosion modeling. The effects of AMC, slope gradient and initial abstraction ratio on curve number of SCS-CN, as well as those of vegetation cover on cover-management factor of RUSLE were also considered. Three runoff plot groups covered by sparse young trees, native shrubs and dense tussock, respectively, were established in the Yangjuangou catchment of Loess Plateau. Rainfall, runoff and soil loss were monitored during the rainy season in 2008–2011 to test the applicability of the proposed approach. The original SCS-CN model significantly underestimated the event runoff, especially for the rainfall events that have large 5-day antecedent precipitation, whereas the modified SCS-CN model could predict event runoff well with Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (EF) over 0.85. The original RUSLE model overestimated low values of measured soil loss and under-predicted the high values with EF only about 0.30. In contrast to it, the prediction accuracy of the modified RUSLE model improved satisfactorily with EF over 0.70. Our results indicated that the AMC should be explicitly incorporated in runoff production, and direct consideration of runoff should be included in predicting event soil loss. Coupling the modified SCS-CN and RUSLE models appeared to be appropriate for runoff and soil loss simulation at plot scale in the Loess Plateau. The limitations and future study scopes of the proposed models were also indicated.

scholarly journals Sensitivity of Direct Runoff to Curve Number Using the SCS-CN Method

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (12) ◽  
pp. 2738-2746
Author(s):  
Abdul Ghani Soomro ◽  
Muhammad Munir Babar ◽  
Anila Hameem Memon ◽  
Arjumand Zehra Zaidi ◽  
Arshad Ashraf ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Water Availability ◽  
Curve Number ◽  
Resource Planning ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Direct Runoff ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Scs Cn

This study explores the impact of runoff curve number (CN) on the hydrological model outputs for the Morai watershed, Sindh-Pakistan, using the Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) method. The SCS-CN method is an empirical technique used to estimate rainfall-runoff volume from precipitation in small watersheds, and CN is an empirically derived parameter used to calculate direct runoff from a rainfall event. CN depends on soil type, its condition, and the land use and land cover (LULC) of an area. Precise knowledge of these factors was not available for the study area, and therefore, a range of values was selected to analyze the sensitivity of the model to the changing CN values. Sensitivity analysis involves a methodological manipulation of model parameters to understand their impacts on model outputs. A range of CN values from 40-90 was selected to determine their effects on model results at the sub-catchment level during the historic flood year of 2010. The model simulated 362 cumecs of peak discharge for CN=90; however, for CN=40, the discharge reduced substantially to 78 cumecs (a 78.46% reduction). Event-based comparison of water volumes for different groups of CN values—90-75, 80-75, 75-70, and 90-40 —showed reductions in water availability of 8.88%, 3.39%, 3.82%, and 41.81%, respectively. Although it is known that the higher the CN, the greater the discharge from direct runoff and the less initial losses, the sensitivity analysis quantifies that impact and determines the amount of associated discharges with changing CN values. The results of the case study suggest that CN is one of the most influential parameters in the simulation of direct runoff. Knowledge of accurate runoff is important in both wet (flood management) and dry periods (water availability). A wide range in the resulting water discharges highlights the importance of precise CN selection. Sensitivity analysis is an essential facet of establishing hydrological models in limited data watersheds. The range of CNs demonstrates an enormous quantitative consequence on direct runoff, the exactness of which is necessary for effective water resource planning and management. The method itself is not novel, but the way it is proposed here can justify investments in determining the accurate CN before initiating mega projects involving rainfall-runoff simulations. Even a small error in CN value may lead to serious consequences. In the current study, the sensitivity analysis challenges the strength of the results of a model in the presence of ambiguity regarding CN value.

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