scholarly journals Multi-scenario numerical modeling applied to groundwater contamination: the Popoli Gorges complex aquifer case study (Central Italy)

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diego Di Curzio ◽  
Sergio Rusi ◽  
Ron Semeraro
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Modeling ◽  
Steady State ◽  
Particle Tracking ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Central Italy ◽  
Advective Transport ◽  
Total Budget ◽  
Well Field

In this research, a multi-scenario numerical modeling was implemented to assess the effects of changes to abstraction patterns in the Sant’Angelo well-field (central Italy) and their implications on the aquifer hydrodynamic and the advective transport of contaminants. Once implemented and calibrated the steady-state numerical model by means of MODFLOW-2005, the well-field turning off scenario was modelled. In addition, the numerical results were analyzed by means of the post-processors ZONEBUDGET and MODPATH, to assess respectively the contribution of each hydrogeological feature to the total budget and the advective transport of contaminant particles. Comparing the two steady-state numerical models and the relative particle tracking analyses, the well-field turning off, although no longer acting as a hydraulic barrier, increased the residence time of contaminant particles and limited their mobility in the aquifer. Furthermore, the general decrease in groundwater abstractions also caused a higher increase in river flow, favoring contaminants’ dilution in surface water.

Improvement of Forecasting Method of Recession Characteristics of River Flow Rate into a Dam by using Estimation of Steady State

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Tomonari Kawai ◽  
Katsuhiro Ichiyanagi ◽  
Takuo Koyasu ◽  
Kazuto Yukita ◽  
Yasuyuki Goto
Keyword(s):  
Steady State ◽  
State Estimation ◽  
Flow Rate ◽  
River Flow ◽  
System Operation ◽  
Forecasting Accuracy ◽  
Hydropower Plants ◽  
Dam Management ◽  
Forecasting Method

This paper describes an application of neural networks for forecasting the flow rate upper district of dams for hydropower plants. The forecasting of recession characteristics of the river flow after rainfalls is important with respect to system operation and dam management. We present a method for improving the precision of forecasting flow rate upper district of dams by utilizing steady-state estimation and recession time constant of the river flow. A case study was carried out on the upper district of the Yahagi River in Central Japan. It is found from our investigations that the forecasting accuracy is improved to 18.6% from 25.8% with a forecasted error of the total amount of river flow by using steady-state estimation.

scholarly journals Numerical simulation of groundwater in an unconfined aquifer with a novel hybrid model (case study: Birjand Aquifer, Iran)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Mohtashami ◽  
Seyed Arman Hashemi Monfared ◽  
Gholamreza Azizyan ◽  
Abolfazl Akbarpour
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Modeling ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Unconfined Aquifer ◽  
Model Case ◽  
Hydrodynamic Parameters ◽  
East Of Iran ◽  
Assimilation Model

Abstract In recent decades, due to the population growth and low precipitation, the overexploitation of ground water resources has become an important issue. To ensure a sustainable scheme for these resources, understanding the behavior of the aquifers is a key step. This study takes a numerical modeling approach to investigate the behavior of an unconfined aquifer in an arid area located in the east of Iran. A novel hybrid model is proposed that couples the numerical modeling to a data assimilation model to remove the uncertainty in the hydrodynamic parameters of the aquifer including the hydraulic conductivity coefficients and specific yields. The uncertainty that exists in these parameters results in unreliability of the head values acquired from the models. Meshless local Petrov-Galerkin (MLPG) is used as the numerical model, and particle filter (PF) is our data assimilation model. These models are implemented in the MATLAB software. We have calibrated and validated our PF-MLPG model by the observation head data from the piezometers. The RMSE in head values for our model and other commonly used numerical models in the literature including the finite difference method and MPLG are calculated as 0.166, 1.197 and 0.757 m, respectively. This fact shows the necessity of using this method in each aquifer.

SEISMIC RISK AND RESILIENCE ASSESSMENT OF INDUSTRIAL FACILITIES: CASE STUDY ON A BLACK CARBON PLANT

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
George Karagiannakis
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Fragility Curves ◽  
Human Life ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Economic Losses ◽  
Risk And Resilience ◽  
Industrial Plants ◽  
Plant Equipment

This paper deals with state of the art risk and resilience calculations for industrial plants. Resilience is a top priority issue on the agenda of societies due to climate change and the all-time demand for human life safety and financial robustness. Industrial plants are highly complex systems containing a considerable number of equipment such as steel storage tanks, pipe rack-piping systems, and other installations. Loss Of Containment (LOC) scenarios triggered by past earthquakes due to failure on critical components were followed by severe repercussions on the community, long recovery times and great economic losses. Hence, facility planners and emergency managers should be aware of possible seismic damages and should have already established recovery plans to maximize the resilience and minimize the losses. Seismic risk assessment is the first step of resilience calculations, as it establishes possible damage scenarios. In order to have an accurate risk analysis, the plant equipment vulnerability must be assessed; this is made feasible either from fragility databases in the literature that refer to customized equipment or through numerical calculations. Two different approaches to fragility assessment will be discussed in this paper: (i) code-based Fragility Curves (FCs); and (ii) fragility curves based on numerical models. A carbon black process plant is used as a case study in order to display the influence of various fragility curve realizations taking their effects on risk and resilience calculations into account. Additionally, a new way of representing the total resilience of industrial installations is proposed. More precisely, all possible scenarios will be endowed with their weighted recovery curves (according to their probability of occurrence) and summed together. The result is a concise graph that can help stakeholders to identify critical plant equipment and make decisions on seismic mitigation strategies for plant safety and efficiency. Finally, possible mitigation strategies, like structural health monitoring and metamaterial-based seismic shields are addressed, in order to show how future developments may enhance plant resilience. The work presented hereafter represents a highly condensed application of the research done during the XP-RESILIENCE project, while more detailed information is available on the project website https://r.unitn.it/en/dicam/xp-resilience.

scholarly journals Two-Dimensional Numerical Modeling of Flow in Physical Models of Rock Vane and Bendway Weir Configurations

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 458
Author(s):  
Drew C. Baird ◽  
Benjamin Abban ◽  
S. Michael Scurlock ◽  
Steven B. Abt ◽  
Christopher I. Thornton
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Modeling ◽  
Physical Model ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Hydraulic Performance ◽  
Physical Models ◽  
Protection Measures ◽  
Design Engineers ◽  
Model Study ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Wide Range

While there are a wide range of design recommendations for using rock vanes and bendway weirs as streambank protection measures, no comprehensive, standard approach is currently available for design engineers to evaluate their hydraulic performance before construction. This study investigates using 2D numerical modeling as an option for predicting the hydraulic performance of rock vane and bendway weir structure designs for streambank protection. We used the Sedimentation and River Hydraulics (SRH)-2D depth-averaged numerical model to simulate flows around rock vane and bendway weir installations that were previously examined as part of a physical model study and that had water surface elevation and velocity observations. Overall, SRH-2D predicted the same general flow patterns as the physical model, but over- and underpredicted the flow velocity in some areas. These over- and underpredictions could be primarily attributed to the assumption of negligible vertical velocities. Nonetheless, the point differences between the predicted and observed velocities generally ranged from 15 to 25%, with some exceptions. The results showed that 2D numerical models could provide adequate insight into the hydraulic performance of rock vanes and bendway weirs. Accordingly, design guidance and implications of the study results are presented for design engineers.

scholarly journals Estimation of Damage Induced by Single-Hole Rock Blasting: A Review on Analytical, Numerical, and Experimental Solutions

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 29
Author(s):  
Mahdi Shadabfar ◽  
Cagri Gokdemir ◽  
Mingliang Zhou ◽  
Hadi Kordestani ◽  
Edmond V. Muho
Keyword(s):  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Experimental Models ◽  
Rock Blasting ◽  
Discussion Section ◽  
Reliability Models ◽  
Fine Grain ◽  
Experimental Approaches ◽  
Engineering Projects

This paper presents a review of the existing models for the estimation of explosion-induced crushed and cracked zones. The control of these zones is of utmost importance in the rock explosion design, since it aims at optimizing the fragmentation and, as a result, minimizing the fine grain production and recovery cycle. Moreover, this optimization can reduce the damage beyond the set border and align the excavation plan with the geometric design. The models are categorized into three groups based on the approach, i.e., analytical, numerical, and experimental approaches, and for each group, the relevant studies are classified and presented in a comprehensive manner. More specifically, in the analytical methods, the assumptions and results are described and discussed in order to provide a useful reference to judge the applicability of each model. Considering the numerical models, all commonly-used algorithms along with the simulation details and the influential parameters are reported and discussed. Finally, considering the experimental models, the emphasis is given here on presenting the most practical and widely employed laboratory models. The empirical equations derived from the models and their applications are examined in detail. In the Discussion section, the most common methods are selected and used to estimate the damage size of 13 case study problems. The results are then utilized to compare the accuracy and applicability of each selected method. Furthermore, the probabilistic analysis of the explosion-induced failure is reviewed using several structural reliability models. The selection, classification, and discussion of the models presented in this paper can be used as a reference in real engineering projects.

scholarly journals A case study on farmed European seabass and gilthead seabream in central Italy: The negligible parasitological risk of nematode larvae paves the way for the freezing derogation

Food Control ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 125 ◽  
pp. 107964
Author(s):  
Daniele Castiglione ◽  
Lisa Guardone ◽  
Francesca Susini ◽  
Federica Alimonti ◽  
Valeria Paternoster ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Central Italy ◽  
Gilthead Seabream ◽  
Nematode Larvae ◽  
European Seabass ◽  
The Way
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