Predicting Future Shifts in the Distribution of Tropicalization Indicator Fish that Affect Coastal Ecosystem Services of Japan

Tropicalization characterized by an increase in marine species originating from the tropical waters affects human society in various ways. An increase in toxic harmful species negatively affects fisheries and leisure use, and an increase in herbivorous fish affects fisheries and carbon sink capacity by decreasing seagrass/seaweed beds. On the other hand, an increase in tropical reef fish attracts more tourism. This study aimed to predict future shifts in the distribution of functional groups of tropicalization indicator fish that can affect marine ecosystem services in temperate coastal waters of Japan. We estimated the distribution of harmful fish Aluterus scriptus and Scarus ovifrons, herbivorous fish Kyphosus bigibbus and Siganus fuscescens, and tropical reef fish Amphiprion frenatus and Chaetodon auriga by collecting their distribution data from open databases. Distributions in 2000–2018 and the future (2046–2055 and 2091–2100) under different climate change scenarios (the representative concentration pathways; RCPs) were estimated using a species distribution model. We used environmental variables such as minimum sea surface temperature (SST), depth, slope, coral reef area, and seagrass/seaweed bed area as predictors and carried out future predictions using the future ocean regional projection (FORP) dataset. The minimum SST was the factor most responsible for the estimated distribution patterns for all species. The depth, slope, and seagrass/seaweed bed were also important for some species. The estimated probability of occurrence was high along the Pacific coast, which was affected by the warm Kuroshio Current and Tsushima Current along the coast of the Sea of Japan. Projected shifts in distributions based on different RCP scenarios showed that these indicator species would significantly increase their distribution in the middle to northern parts of Japan (32–37°N). By the 2090s, their habitat range was estimated to increase to 1.2–1.9 times that of 2000-2018 with severe warming (RCP8.5). However, the target species habitat range would not change significantly with stringent mitigation (RCP2.6). Our results suggest that ambitious commitment to reducing CO2 and other greenhouse gas emissions, such as following the Paris Agreement, will alleviate future tropicalization. Moreover, the fine resolution results can also be directly used for planning climate adaptation programs for local decision makers.

MOLLUSCS FROM THE UPPER MESOPHOTIC ZONE IN A SCARCELY KNOWN REEF OF THE WESTERN EQUATORIAL ATLANTIC

Despite the increasing focus on biodiversity of mesophotic coral ecosystems (MCEs) on a global scale, some biological groups, such as molluscs, are still poorly investigated. The taxonomic diversity of the molluscan fauna of a scarcely known MCE of the Western Equatorial Atlantic, Northeastern Brazil, was surveyed. Samples were collected along the shallower strata of the upper mesophotic zone (between 33-36 m depth). Twenty-one taxa (nine species of gastropods, ten species of bivalves, and two taxa of chitons) were listed, two of which (Novastoa sp. and Thylaeodus sp.) are potential endemic species. A new northern limit of distribution of Persicula moscatellii was established and seven species had new bathymetric records for living specimens (Barbatia domingensis, Barbatia cancellaria, Lamychaena hians, Leiosolenus bisulcatus, Pinctada imbricata, Hipponix incurvus, and Persicula moscatellii). Hipponix costellatus are the most representative species with 49 individuals, followed by Lima caribaea with six individuals. The present work is the first contribution to the knowledge of the molluscan fauna associated with consolidated substrates from this little-known MCE. Keywords: mesophotic coral ecosystems, tropical reef, molluscan diversity, Brazilian Province, conventional SCUBA.

Comparing management strategies for conserving communities of climate-threatened species with a stochastic metacommunity model

Many species are shifting their ranges to keep pace with climate change, but habitat fragmentation and limited dispersal could impede these range shifts. In the case of climate-vulnerable foundation species such as tropical reef corals and temperate forest trees, such limitations might put entire communities at risk of extinction. Restoring connectivity through corridors, stepping-stones, or enhanced quality of existing patches could prevent the extinction of several species, but dispersal-limited species might not benefit if other species block their dispersal. Alternatively, managers might relocate vulnerable species between habitats through assisted migration, but this is generally a species-by-species approach. To evaluate the relative efficacy of these strategies, we simulated the climate-tracking of species in randomized competitive metacommunities with alternative management interventions. We found that corridors and assisted migration were the most effective strategies at reducing extinction. Assisted migration was especially effective at reducing the extinction likelihood for short-dispersing species, but it often required moving several species repeatedly. Assisted migration was more effective at reducing extinction in environments with higher stochasticity, and corridors were more effective at reducing extinction in environments with lower stochasticity. We discuss the application of these approaches to an array of systems ranging from tropical corals to temperate forests.

Estimating ecotoxicological effects of chemicals on tropical reef-building corals; a systematic review protocol

Background Tropical coral reefs cover only ca. 0.1% of the Earth’s surface but host an outstanding biodiversity and provide important ecosystem services to millions of people living nearby. They are currently threatened by global (e.g., climate change) and local (e.g., chemical pollution) stressors that interact in different ways. While global stressors cannot be mitigated by local actions alone, local stressors can be reduced through ecosystem management. A systematic map on the impacts of chemicals arising from anthropogenic activities on tropical reef-building corals, which are the main engineer species of reef ecosystems, was published in 2021. This systematic map gathered an abundant literature (908 articles corresponding to 7937 studies), and identified four well-represented subtopics, amenable to relevant full syntheses. Here, we focused on one of the four subtopics: we aimed to systematically review the evidence on the ecotoxicological effects of chemicals on tropical reef-building corals. Methods The evidence will be identified from the recent systematic map on the impacts of chemicals arising from anthropogenic activities on tropical reef-building corals. Especially, all studies in the map database corresponding to the knowledge cluster “evidence on the ecotoxicological effects of chemicals on corals” will be selected. To identify the evidence produced since then, a search update will be performed using a subset of the search string used for the systematic map, and titles, abstracts and full-texts will be screened according to the criteria defining the selected cluster of the map. In addition, as the eligibility criteria for the systematic review are narrower than those used to define the cluster in the systematic map, additional screening will be carried out. The included studies will then be critically appraised and a low, medium, or high risk of bias will be assigned to each study. Data will be extracted from studies and synthesised according to a strategy depending on the type of exposure and outcome. Synthesis will be mainly quantitative but also narrative, aiming to identify toxicity thresholds of chemicals for corals.

Beach Stability on a Tropical Uplifted Coral Atoll: Niue Island

<p>Fundamental knowledge about the change and dynamics, and what thresholds drive sediment accumulation in tropical reef settings are poor. Little is also known about how they may respond to the higher and stormier seas that are predicted in an enhanced greenhouse world. Niue's rocky shore setting and the regular occurrence of small isolated pocket-beaches provides an ideal environment to investigate key factors that drive beaches to accumulate or erode within a tropical reef setting. Niue is the largest uplifted coral atoll in the world, covering an area of 200 km^2 and rising to 70 m above sea level. The island is characterised by a series of Pleistocene reef terraces with distinct platforms forming at the base at approximate mean sea level. Lateral reef growth at sea level is juxtaposed with landward retreat of the limestone cliffs leading to the formation of shore platforms. Geomorphological surveys of 9 sites revealed a combined reef platform width of up to 150 m with the widest section found on the leeward side of the island on the north western coast and the narrowest (<30 m) being located on the more exposed south eastern coast. Therefore, their distribution is likely related to the energy environment around the island. Beaches up to 12 m wide and 50 m long are only found in protected coves along the shoreline. Their development is determined by platform width, with beaches only occurring in areas where platform width is more than 60 m. While distance from the reef crest played a role in dissipating wave energy across the platform therefore reducing beach erosion, beach stability is reliant the morphology of the underlying ramp on the landward edge of the platform. Beaches increased in width at higher elevations therefore implying that a higher ramp can effectively reduce the amount of wave energy reaching the landward edge of the beach resulting in the accumulation of sediment. Composition analysis of 51 samples reveal that the Niuean beaches are largely composed of unconsolidated bioclastic sand and gravels derived from the surrounding reef platform. They are characterised by an assemblage of chlorozoan carbonates typical of tropical areas, in which coral and coralline algae are prominent (>50%) except on the north western platforms (Hio and Tuapa) where foraminifera is the key component. Radiocarbon dating further indicates the youth of these beaches returning modern ages for reef flat microatolls as well as the beach sand itself. These sedimentary environments on Niue are therefore intrinsically linked to the platform biota and their preservation also dependent on the frequency of cyclones. The fast recovery of the foraminifera-rich north western beaches following Tropical Cyclone Heta (2004) is an indication that the foraminifera community can re-establish quicker after cyclones. This therefore confirms that the beaches are highly dynamic, and build out or erode during alternated calm and stormy conditions. The close links between beach accumulation and their biotic communities will be strongly affected by human-induced climate change, likely leading to the beaches becoming more ephemeral in the future.</p>

Beach Stability on a Tropical Uplifted Coral Atoll: Niue Island

<p>Fundamental knowledge about the change and dynamics, and what thresholds drive sediment accumulation in tropical reef settings are poor. Little is also known about how they may respond to the higher and stormier seas that are predicted in an enhanced greenhouse world. Niue's rocky shore setting and the regular occurrence of small isolated pocket-beaches provides an ideal environment to investigate key factors that drive beaches to accumulate or erode within a tropical reef setting. Niue is the largest uplifted coral atoll in the world, covering an area of 200 km^2 and rising to 70 m above sea level. The island is characterised by a series of Pleistocene reef terraces with distinct platforms forming at the base at approximate mean sea level. Lateral reef growth at sea level is juxtaposed with landward retreat of the limestone cliffs leading to the formation of shore platforms. Geomorphological surveys of 9 sites revealed a combined reef platform width of up to 150 m with the widest section found on the leeward side of the island on the north western coast and the narrowest (<30 m) being located on the more exposed south eastern coast. Therefore, their distribution is likely related to the energy environment around the island. Beaches up to 12 m wide and 50 m long are only found in protected coves along the shoreline. Their development is determined by platform width, with beaches only occurring in areas where platform width is more than 60 m. While distance from the reef crest played a role in dissipating wave energy across the platform therefore reducing beach erosion, beach stability is reliant the morphology of the underlying ramp on the landward edge of the platform. Beaches increased in width at higher elevations therefore implying that a higher ramp can effectively reduce the amount of wave energy reaching the landward edge of the beach resulting in the accumulation of sediment. Composition analysis of 51 samples reveal that the Niuean beaches are largely composed of unconsolidated bioclastic sand and gravels derived from the surrounding reef platform. They are characterised by an assemblage of chlorozoan carbonates typical of tropical areas, in which coral and coralline algae are prominent (>50%) except on the north western platforms (Hio and Tuapa) where foraminifera is the key component. Radiocarbon dating further indicates the youth of these beaches returning modern ages for reef flat microatolls as well as the beach sand itself. These sedimentary environments on Niue are therefore intrinsically linked to the platform biota and their preservation also dependent on the frequency of cyclones. The fast recovery of the foraminifera-rich north western beaches following Tropical Cyclone Heta (2004) is an indication that the foraminifera community can re-establish quicker after cyclones. This therefore confirms that the beaches are highly dynamic, and build out or erode during alternated calm and stormy conditions. The close links between beach accumulation and their biotic communities will be strongly affected by human-induced climate change, likely leading to the beaches becoming more ephemeral in the future.</p>

Influence of historical changes in tropical reef habitat on the diversification of coral reef fishes

Past environmental changes are expected to have profoundly impacted diversity dynamics through time. While some previous studies showed an association between past climate changes or tectonic events and important shifts in lineage diversification, it is only recently that past environmental changes have been explicitly integrated in diversification models to test their influence on diversification rates. Here, we used a global reconstruction of tropical reef habitat dynamics during the Cenozoic and phylogenetic diversification models to test the influence of (i) major geological events, (ii) reef habitat fragmentation and (iii) reef area on the diversification of 9 major clades of tropical reef fish (Acanthuridae, Balistoidea, Carangoidea, Chaetodontidae, Haemulinae, Holocentridae, Labridae, Pomacentridae and Sparidae). The diversification models revealed a weak association between paleo-habitat changes and diversification dynamics. Specifically, the fragmentation of tropical reef habitats over the Cenozoic was found to be a driver of tropical reef fish diversification for 2 clades. However, overall, our approach did not allow the identification of striking associations between diversification dynamics and paleo-habitat fragmentation in contrast with theoretical model’s predictions.

Species ecology explains the spatial components of genetic diversity in tropical reef fishes

Generating genomic data for 19 tropical reef fish species of the Western Indian Ocean, we investigate how species ecology influences genetic diversity patterns from local to regional scales. We distinguish between the α , β and γ components of genetic diversity, which we subsequently link to six ecological traits. We find that the α and γ components of genetic diversity are strongly correlated so that species with a high total regional genetic diversity display systematically high local diversity. The α and γ diversity components are negatively associated with species abundance recorded using underwater visual surveys and positively associated with body size. Pelagic larval duration is found to be negatively related to genetic β diversity supporting its role as a dispersal trait in marine fishes. Deviation from the neutral theory of molecular evolution motivates further effort to understand the processes shaping genetic diversity and ultimately the diversification of the exceptional diversity of tropical reef fishes.

Evidence on the impacts of chemicals arising from human activity on tropical reef-building corals; a systematic map

Background Tropical coral reefs cover ca. 0.1% of the Earth’s surface but host an outstanding biodiversity and provide important ecosystem services to millions of people living nearby. They are currently threatened by local stressors (e.g. nutrient enrichment and chemical pollution arising from poor land management, sewage effluents, agriculture, industry) and global stressors (mainly seawater warming and acidification, i.e. climate change). Global and local stressors interact in different ways, but the presence of one stressor often reduces the tolerance to additional stress. While global stressors cannot be mitigated solely by local actions, local stressors can be reduced through ecosystem management, therefore minimizing the impact of climate change on coral reefs. We systematically mapped the evidence of impacts of chemicals arising from anthropogenic activities on tropical reef-building corals, which are the main engineer species of reef ecosystems, to inform decision-makers on the available evidence on this topic. Methods We searched the relevant literature using English terms combined in a tested search string in two publication databases (Scopus and Web Of Science Core Collection). The search string combined terms describing the population (tropical reef-building corals) and the exposure (chemicals). We searched for additional literature through three search engines, three dissertations repositories, 11 specialist websites, and through a call to local stakeholders. Titles, abstracts, and full-texts were successively screened using pre-defined eligibility criteria. A database of all studies included in the map with coded metadata was produced. The evidence was described and knowledge clusters and gaps were identified through the distribution and frequency of studies into types of exposure and/or types of outcomes and/or types of study. Review findings The initial searches identified 23,403 articles which resulted in 15,177 articles after duplicate removal. Among them, 908 articles were retained after screening process, corresponding to 7937 studies (a study being the combination of a taxon, an exposure, and an outcome). Among these studies, 30.5% dealt with the impact of nutrient enrichment on corals while 25% concerned the impact of human activities without reference to a chemical. The most measured outcomes were those related to the chemical concentration in corals (bioaccumulation, 25.8%), to coral physiology (16.9%), cover (14%), and mortality (9%). Half of the studies (48.4%) were experimental—the exposure was controlled by the researchers—and were conducted in laboratory conditions (39.4%) and in situ (9%). The most studied taxa, exposure, and outcomes were different between experimental and observational studies. Conclusions We identified four well-represented subtopics that may be amenable to relevant full syntheses via systematic reviews: (1) evidence on bioaccumulation of chemicals by corals; (2) evidence on the effects of nutrient enrichment on corals; (3) evidence on the effects of human activities on corals; and (4) evidence on the ecotoxicological effects of chemicals on corals (except nutrient enrichment). The systematic map shows that corals in their natural environment can be exposed to many categories of chemicals, and that there is a complete gap in experimental research on the combined effects of more than two categories of chemicals. We therefore encourage research on this topic.