A MODEL OF DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES DETERMINATION FOR DEFENSE SPHERE

The paper describes a model determining the list of disruptive technologies in the defense sector based on the apparatus of fuzzy logic. Input linguistic variables are indicators that determine the criticality of technologies. Each input indicator reflects the presence or absence of a certain feature in the evaluated technologies, so a simple linguistic evaluation is used. However, for the most part only objective evaluations are used without the expert’s opinion. The proposed model is presented in the form of seven fuzzy inference systems, which are arranged hierarchically. The method of bibliometric analysis for determining the prospects of technologies is described and improved. The level of technologies criticality is determined as a result of fuzzy evaluation. It is proposed to apply a new principle of technologies selection as disruptive or critical ones.

Evaluasi Program English Massive Dalam Upaya Peningkatan Kapasitas Masyarakat di Kota Kediri Tahun 2017-2019

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pelaksanaan program English Massive (E-Mas) dalam upaya peningkatan kapasitas masyarakat di Kota Kediri tahun 2017-2019 dengan teori Evaluasi model CIPP menurut Stufflebeam diantaranya: Context; Input, Process, Product. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode penelitian kualitatif deskriptif. Subjek penelitian diantaranya penyelenggara program, partisipan, tutor dengan menggunakan teknik purposive. Hasil Penelitian menunjukkan evaluasi program English Massive berdasarkan: Context, latar belakang dan tujuan ialah ingin memberdayakan masyarakat melalui pembelajaran Bahasa Inggris supaya meningkatkan daya saing dan kapasitas masyarakat kota Kediri; syarat E-Mas mudah dan target sasaran seluruh warga Kota Kediri. Input, kesesuaian partisipan telah sesuai namun hanya kategori children memiliki jumlah partisipan tiggi; Tutor disediakan oleh Dinas Pendidikan dan sesuai dengan kriteria namun jumlah tutor menurun; materi yang diberikan sesuai dengan silabus dan kemampuan partisipan dengan fokus conversation dan speaking; anggaran telah mencukupi untuk kebutuhan dan operasional program; sarana dan prasarana sudah cukup memadai karena dikelola oleh masyarakat sendiri; informasi sudah jelas diberikan melalui sosialisasi, media sosial dan internet. Process, penjadwalan telah sesuai sebab jadwal direncanakan oleh partisipan dan tutor; proses pembelajaran cukup efektif melalui diskusi dan fun game; aktivitas selain pembelajaran yaitu outing class, COIN EMAS, outbond dan sebagainya; hambatan yaitu kesadaran masyarakat kurang, adanya kesibukan, spot kurang kondusif, jarak yang jauh antara spot dengan tempat tinggal tutor, honor tidak cair tiap bulan, modul tidak dibagikan ke partisipan. Product, dampak yang dirasakan partisipan adanya peningkatan kemampuan partisipan dalam berbahasa inggris; meningkatkan IPM Kota Kediri.This study aims to investigate the implementation of the English Massive (E-Mas) program as an effort to improve social capacity in Kediri City, year 2017-2019 by utilising Stufflebeams’s theory of evaluation. This research uses descriptive qualitative research methods. Research subjects include program organizers, participants, tutors by using purposive techniques. The results of the study show that the background and purpose of the English Massive program based on the first indicator in which Context is to empower the society through learning English in order to improve the competitiveness and capacity of the Kediri’s citizens; E-Mas requirements are easy and target for all residents of Kediri City. Based on Input Indicator, participants are arguably fit with the standar but only the children category has a high number of participants; Tutors were provided by the Education Office (Dinas Pendidikan); the material provided is in accordance with the syllabus and the ability of participants focusing on conversation and speaking. The budget is sufficient for program’s expenses and operations; facilities and infrastructure are good enough because they are managed and provided also by the society itself; information has clearly been provided through outreach, social media and the internet. Based on Process Indicator, scheduling is appropriate because the schedule is planned by participants and tutors; the learning process is quite effective through discussion and fun games; activities other than learning, namely outing class, COIN EMAS, outbound and so on; the obstacles are lack of public awareness, busyness, less conducive spot, long distance between spot and tutor's residence, monthly non-payment of honorarium, modules are not distributed to participants. Product Indicator, the impact felt by the participants is an increase in the ability of participants in speaking English as well as improving the HDI of Kediri City.

Benchmarking of Indian Sectoral Mutual Funds - A Non-Separable Undesirable Output Model

Performance analysis of mutual funds is usually made on the basis of return-risk framework where return is considered an output indicator and risk is considered as an input indicator. However, portfolio risk in actuality is a non-separable undesirable output and any effort to reduce it also causes a reduction in portfolio return. In view of this, the present paper uses a non-parametric non-separable undesirable output model to evaluate the performance of 27 sectoral mutual fund schemes based on observations for the period July 2010 to June 2013. The USP of the present study is that return and risk are considered as both non-separable outcome of the process of investment. The results exhibit stability of mean efficiency scores across the observed years. Further, fund inefficiency mostly emerged from the input side and not from the output side.

Przykład indeksu potencjału innowacyjnego dla wybranych miast Polski

Innovation has been a buzz-word in social and economic sciences for over two decades. Nevertheless, the concept of the innovation is one of the most debatable. There are many attempts to create new and better indicators of innovativeness. One of the most known is the European Innovation Scoreboard (EIS), developed by the European Commission and based on the Oslo Manual methodology. The innovation indicators which are used in EIS are assigned to five dimensions and grouped in two main themes: inputs and outputs. Due to the problem of data source, it is hard to analyze output indicators in Poland, especially for cities. It is easier to collect data for the input indicator, which can be called innovation potential. This article presents the aggregate indicator of innovation potential (for years 2000, 2004, 2008) in the biggest cities in Poland, based on five indicators. The analysis shows, apart from interesting changes in the ranking of cities, that the gap between metropolises and other cities is growing.

Taxometric Analysis: II. Detecting Taxonicity Using Covariance of Two Quantitative Indicators in Successive Intervals of a Third Indicator (Maxcov Procedure)

Given three quantitative indicators of a conjectured latent taxon, a statistical function defined as the covariance of two indicators (designated for the procedure as the “output” indicators) computed within successive intervals along the third (designated as “input”) indicator reveals whether the latent structure of the data is taxonic or not. If it is taxonic, latent parameters (base rate, hit rates, complement and taxon means) can be estimated, the latent distributions drawn, and subjects assigned to the taxon or the complement group. Several consistency tests are described. MAXCOV (MAXimum COVariance) is one of a related family of taxometric procedures in Meehl's Coherent Cut Kinetics Method.

The “Orienting Reflex” as an Input Indicator in “Subliminal” Perception

This study explored (1) for evidence of visual input at so-called “subliminal” exposure durations, and (2) whether the response, if any, was a function of the thematic content of the stimulus. Thematic content (threatening versus non-threatening) and stimulus structure (angular versus curved) were varied independently under “subliminal,” “part-cue,” and “identification” exposure conditions. With Ss' reports and the frequency and latency of first eye movements (“orienting reflex”) as input indicators, there was no evidence of input differences which are a function of thematic content at any exposure duration, and the “report” data were consistent with the eye-movement data.