Modeling the links between institutional and actual globalization in the countries of the world

The paper is devoted to modeling the links between the institutional and actual level of globalization in the countries of the world. Vector models of error correction, quantile regression, and a stochastic frontier model are considered. As a measure of globalization and its components, the KOF-index of globalization system is used, which allows us to analyze individual globalization processes in the economy, social sphere and politics. According to 2020 data, we determine the dynamic relations between the actual and institutional components of globalization, and the priority of the institutional component for informational and financial globalization is revealed. The example of financial globalization shows the uneven degree of influence of the institutional component on the actual globalization, in particular, its prevailing importance for less globalized countries, indicating the alignment of the degree of internationalization in the global financial system. The degree of effectiveness of the impact of institutional measures, together with the overall level of well-being on the actual financial globalization is analyzed. It is shown that the spread across the countries of the world in the efficiency indicator is almost 70%. Almost 10% of countries have a low efficiency of up to 50%. One third of the countries has average efficiency (50–75%). The share of countries with high efficiency over 75% is about 60%.

RUSSIA - ASEAN: EFFECTIVENESS AND PROSPECTS FOR COOPERATION

The article is devoted to the analysis of partnership relations between the Russian Federation and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). The study is relevant as in 2018 at the summit in Singapore the Russia-ASEAN dialogue was brought to the level of strategic partnership, and today active and dynamic relations are being formed between Russia and ASEAN, stimulating foreign economic and trade activities. Special attention is paid to cooperation during the Coronavirus pandemic. Russia’s practical role in strengthening ASEAN’s positions in the Asia-Pacific region is also analyzed. The article focuses on both the achievements and the problems of bilateral relations, as well as on outlining the prospects for their further development. The author comes to the conclusion that nowadays the presence of political will allows Russia and ASEAN to develop their relations quite dynamically, and the parties solve any problems in the spirit of mutual understanding and respect, which outlines rather broad prospects for cooperation.

Where to cut to delay a pandemic with minimum disruption? mathematical analysis based on the SIS model

We consider the problem of modifying a network topology in such a way as to delay the propagation of a disease with minimal disruption of the network capacity to reroute goods/items/passengers. We find an approximate solution to the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model, which constitutes an upper bound to its exact solution. This upper bound allows direct structure-epidemic dynamic relations via the total communicability function. Using this approach we propose a strategy to remove edges in a network that significantly delays the propagation of a disease across the network with minimal disruption of its capacity to deliver goods/items/passengers. We apply this strategy to the analysis of the UK airport transportation network weighted by the number of passengers transported in 2003. We find that the removal of all flights connecting four origin-destination pairs in the UK delays the propagation of a disease by more than 300%, with a minimal deterioration of the transportation capacity of this network. These time delays in the propagation of a disease represent an important non-pharmaceutical intervention to confront an epidemic, allowing for better preparations of the health systems, while keeping the economy moving with minimal disruptions.

Dynamic Mechanics of Rigid Helicopter Systems During Ditching

Aircraft and helicopter often fly above open waters and thus have to observe regulations to ensure safe water landing under emergency conditions. This practice is also referred to as ditching - one of several types of slamming problems that are under review by the current regulations of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA). Ditching is related to the controlled landing on water, with distinctive features such as hydrodynamic slamming loads, complex hydromechanics at tremendous forward speeds, as well as the interaction of multiphase fluid dynamics (air, water, and vapor). This paper presents the knowledge on system mechanics during helicopter ditching. The discussion begins with the fundamental kinetics of the rigid body, and then delves into dynamic relations to describe the effect of forces on motions. In the end, the paper discusses several relevant theories to further contribute to the understanding of the problem of impact.