NVSR 70-13. Evaluating the cause-of-death information needed for estimating the burden of injury mortality: United States, 2019

This study evaluated the quality of the cause-of-death information on death certificates for injury deaths, by determining the percentage of deaths for which the underlying cause was a nonspecific injury mechanism.

Estimating Contributions of Social and Behavioral Factors to Cardiovascular Disease, Cancer, COPD, and Unintentional-Injury Mortality Disparities by Psychological Distress in the United States: A Blinder-Oaxaca Decomposition Analysis of the 1997-2014 NHIS-NDI Record Linkage Study

Background: Previous research has shown a significant association between psychological distress (PD) and cause-specific mortality, but contributions of sociodemographic and behavioral characteristics to mortality differences by PD are not fully explored. Methods: The Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition analysis was used to quantify the contributions of individual sociodemographic and behavioral characteristics to the observed cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and unintentional-injury mortality disparities between United States (US) adults with no PD and those with serious psychological distress (SPD), using the pooled 1997-2014 data from the National Health Interview Survey prospectively linked to the National Death Index (N=263,825). Results: Lower levels of education and household income, and higher proportions of current smokers, former drinkers, non-married adults, US-born, and renters contributed to higher mortality for adults with SPD. The relative percentage of mortality explained by sociodemographic and behavioral factors was highest for cancer mortality (71.25%) and lowest for unintentional-injury mortality (20.19%). Enhancing education level among adults with SPD would decrease approximately 30% of cancer or CVD mortality disparity, and around 10% of COPD and unintentional-injury mortality disparities. Half of the cancer mortality disparity (47.4%) could be attributed to a single factor, smoking. Increasing income level will decrease 7 to 13% of the disparity in cause-specific mortality. Higher proportions of renters explained higher CVD and COPD mortality among adults with SPD by 7% and 3%, respectively. Higher proportions of former drinkers explained higher CVD, cancer, and COPD mortality among adults with SPD by 6%, 7%, and 3%, respectively. Younger age, higher proportion of females, and higher BMI among adults with SPD mitigated the mortality disparities. Conclusions and Implications for Translational Research: Improved education and income levels, and reduced smoking among US adults with SPD would eliminate around 90% of the cancer mortality disparity by SPD, and half of the CVD mortality disparity. Copyright © 2021 Lee and Singh. Published by Global Health and Education Projects, Inc. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License CC BY 4.0.

Prevalence of hepatopancreatic injury and clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19 in USA

Background (1) To determine the prevalence of hepatopancreatic injury in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. (2) To correlate hepatopancreatic injury in COVID-19 with mortality, disease severity, and length of stay in this cohort. Results Forty-five thousand three hundred sixty patients were included in the analysis, 62.82% of which had either hepatic or pancreatic injury. There was a significant upward trend in transaminases, alkaline phosphatase, prothrombin time, bilirubin, lactate dehydrogenase, and lipase and a downward trend in albumin with an increase in disease severity. COVID-19-positive patients with hepato-pancreatic injury have a significantly higher mortality (OR 3.39, 95%CI 3.15–3.65) after controlling for the differences in age, sex, race/ethnicity, liver cirrhosis, and medication exposures. They also have increased disease severity (OR 2.7, 95%CI 2.5–2.9 critical vs mild/moderate; OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.3–1.5 severe vs mild/moderate) and longer hospital length of stay (2 days). Conclusion COVID-19 can cause liver injury. Mortality, disease severity, and hospital length of stay are increased in COVID-19 patients with hepatopancreatic injury. Graphical Abstract

A traumatic injury mortality prediction (TRIMP) based on a comprehensive assessment of abbreviated injury scale 2005 predot codes

Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS)-based systems such as injury severity score (ISS), exponential injury severity score (EISS), trauma mortality prediction model (TMPM), and injury mortality prediction (IMP), classify anatomical injuries with limited accuracy. The widely accepted alternative, trauma and injury severity score (TRISS), improves the prediction rate by combining an anatomical index of ISS, physiological index (the Revised Trauma Score, RTS), and the age of patients. The study introduced the traumatic injury mortality prediction (TRIMP) with the inclusion of extra clinical information and aimed to compare the ability against the TRISS as predictors of survival. The hypothesis was that TRIMP would outperform TRISS in prediction power by incorporating clinically available data. This was a retrospective cohort study where a total of 1,198,885 injured patients hospitalized between 2012 and 2014 were subset from the National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB) in the United States. A TRIMP model was computed that uses AIS 2005 (AIS_05), physiological reserve and physiological response indicators. The results were analysed by examining the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), the Hosmer–Lemeshow (HL) statistic, and the Akaike information criterion. TRIMP gave both significantly better discrimination (AUCTRIMP, 0.964; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.962 to 0.966 and AUCTRISS, 0.923; 95% CI, 0.919 to 0.926) and calibration (HLTRIMP, 14.0; 95% CI, 7.7 to 18.8 and HLTRISS, 411; 95% CI, 332 to 492) than TRISS. Similar results were found in statistical comparisons among different body regions. TRIMP was superior to TRISS in terms of accurate of mortality prediction, TRIMP is a new and feasible scoring method in trauma research and should replace the TRISS.

Prevalence of Hepatopancreatic Injury and Clinical Outcomes in Patients with COVID-19 in United States

Background: 1) To determine the prevalence of hepatopancreatic injury in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. 2) To correlate hepatopancreatic injury in COVID-19 with mortality, disease severity and length of stay in this cohort.Results: 45,360 patients were included in the analysis, 62.82% of which had either hepatic or pancreatic injury. There was a significant upward trend in transaminases, alkaline phosphatase, prothrombin time, bilirubin, lactate dehydrogenase and lipase and a downward trend in albumin with increase in disease severity. COVID-19 positive patients with hepato-pancreatic injury have a significantly higher mortality (OR 3.39, 95%CI 3.15-3.65) after controlling for the differences in age, sex, race/ethnicity, liver cirrhosis and medication exposures. They also have increased disease severity (OR 2.7, 95%CI 2.5-2.9 critical vs mild/moderate; OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.3-1.5 severe vs mild/moderate) and longer hospital length of stay (2 days).Conclusion: COVID-19 can cause liver injury. Mortality, disease severity and hospital length of stay are increased in COVID-19 patients with hepatopancreatic injury.

Trends of injury mortality during the COVID-19 period in Guangdong, China: a population-based retrospective analysis

ObjectiveWe aimed to ascertain the trends of injury mortality during the COVID-19 period in southern China.MethodsWe conducted a population-based retrospective analysis to compare the mortality changes of all-cause injury and transport injuries, poisoning, falls, fire/heat/hot substances, drowning, self-harm and interpersonal violence, which were further stratified by sex and age. Comparisons were made between the COVID-19 period (between January 2020 and June 2020) and control period (between January 2019 and June 2019) in Guangdong province. We used the negative binomial models to explore the associations of deaths during the COVID-19 period, according to the different sex and age strata.ResultsThe all-cause injury mortality in Guangdong province decreased significantly from 28.65 per 100 000 population during the control period to 23.24 per 100 000 population during COVID-19 pandemic period. Similar results were found in specific injury categories. Mortality of self-harm increased by 139.26% in the 10–14 year group during the COVID-19 period as compared with the control period. Although mortality changes in some groups were not statistically significant, some increases were noteworthy during the COVID-19 period (ie, self-harm, transport injury and falls) in the 70–79 year group. The corresponding increase in mortality rate was 16.83%, 3.32% and 4.92%, respectively.ConclusionThe mortality of all-cause injury, transport injury and drowning during the COVID-19 pandemic was consistently decreased. However, the increase in mortality associated with falls, fire/heat/hot substance injury and self-harm in specific age populations warrant the targeted control and prevention measures for the population at risk.