scholarly journals Relationship Between Progression‐Free Survival, Objective Response Rate, and Overall Survival in Clinical Trials of PD‐1/PD‐L1 Immune Checkpoint Blockade: A Meta‐Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 108 (6) ◽  
pp. 1274-1288
Author(s):  
Jiabu Ye ◽  
Xiang Ji ◽  
Phillip A. Dennis ◽  
Hesham Abdullah ◽  
Pralay Mukhopadhyay
2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (6) ◽  
pp. 1331-1342
Author(s):  
Irena Ilic ◽  
Sandra Sipetic ◽  
Jovan Grujicic ◽  
Milena Ilic

Introduction Almost half of patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) are diagnosed at an advanced stage. Our aim was to assess the effects of adding necitumumab to chemotherapy in patients with stage IV NSCLC. Material and methods A comprehensive literature search was performed according to pre-specified inclusion and exclusion criteria. Data on overall survival, progression-free survival, objective response rate and adverse events were extracted. A meta-analysis was performed to obtain pooled hazard ratios (HR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) for time-to-event data and pooled odds ratio (OR) with 95% CI for dichotomous outcomes. Results The meta-analysis included four randomized clinical trials with 2074 patients. The pooled results showed significant improvement for overall survival (HR = 0.87 (95% CI 0.79–0.95), p = 0.004) when necitumumab was added to chemotherapy in patients with advanced NSCLC. No statistically significant improvement was noted for progression-free survival and objective response rate (HR = 0.83 (95% CI 0.69–1.01), p = 0.06 and OR = 1.46 (95% CI 0.90–2.38), p = 0.13, respectively). Subgroup analysis showed that in patients with non-squamous NSCLC, there was no benefit in overall survival and objective response rate. Patients with advanced NSCLC who received necitumumab were at the highest odds of developing a skin rash (OR = 14.50 (95% CI 3.16–66.43), p = 0.0006) and hypomagnesaemia (OR = 2.77 (95% CI 2.23–3.45), p < 0.00001), while the OR for any grade ≥3 adverse event was 1.55 (95% CI 1.28–1.87, p < 0.00001). Conclusions The addition of necitumumab to standard chemotherapy in a first-line setting in patients with stage IV NSCLC results in a statistically significant improvement in overall survival, while the results were not significant for progression-free survival and objective response rate.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (18) ◽  
pp. 1285-1292
Author(s):  
Shengqi He ◽  
Dongqing Hu ◽  
Haixia Feng ◽  
Ye Xue ◽  
Jin Jin ◽  
...  

Aim: PD-1 inhibitors have a leading role among immunotherapy while its efficacy on colorectal cancer (CRC) patients did not reach consensus and the small sample size remains as a limitation. Therefore, we undertook a meta-analysis on the effects of the monotherapy anti-PD-1 inhibitors in treating metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Materials & methods: We searched databases to identify studies on efficacy of anti-PD-1 inhibitor on CRC. Objectives were objective response rate, progression-free survival rate, disease control rate and overall survival rate with their 95% CI. Results: The overall survival rate at 1-year was 64.2% (95% CI: 0.46–0.83). Disease control rate was 56.5% (CI: 0.27–0.86) and the objective response rate as 19.7% (CI: 0.08–0.32). The 1-year-progression-free survival rate was 38.4% (CI: 0.12–0.66). Sensitivity analysis and subgroup analysis were also conducted. Conclusion: The monotherapy anti-PD-1 inhibitors are effective in treating mCRC and could be a new option for dMMR mCRC patient in first-line treatment.


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily Han-Chung Hsiue ◽  
Thomas J Moore ◽  
G Caleb Alexander

Background: Pivotal clinical trials provide critical evidence to regulators regarding a product’s suitability for marketing approval. The objectives of this study are (1) to characterize select features of trials for oncology products approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration between 2015 and 2017; and (2) to quantify the costs of these trials and how such costs varied based on trial characteristics. Methods: We identified novel oncology therapeutic drugs, and their respective pivotal trials, approved between 2015 and 2017 using annual summary reports from the Food and Drug Administration. Cost estimates for each pivotal trial were calculated using IQVIA’s CostPro, a clinical trial cost estimating tool based on executed contracts between pharmaceutical manufacturers and contract research organizations. Measures of drug and trial characteristics included trial design, end point, patient enrollment, and regulatory pathway. We also performed sensitivity analyses that varied assumptions regarding how efficiently each trial was conducted. Results: A total of 39 pivotal clinical trials provided the basis for Food and Drug Administration approval of 30 new oncology drugs from 2015 to 2017. Among these trials, primary end points were objective response rate in 20 (51.3%), progression-free survival in 13 (33.3%), and overall survival in 6 (15.4%). Twenty trials (51.3%) were single-arm studies. The median estimated cost of oncology pivotal trials was $31.7 million (interquartile range = $17.0–$60.4 million). Trials with objective response rate as primary end point had a median estimate of $17.7 million (interquartile range = $11.9–$27.1 million), compared with trials examining progression-free survival ($42.3 million, interquartile range = $34.6–$101.2 million) or overall survival ($79.4 million, interquartile range = $56.9–$97.7 million) (p < 0.001). Estimated costs for single-arm trials ($17.7 million, interquartile range = $11.9–$23.7 million) were less than for trials with a placebo-controlled ($56.7 million, interquartile range = $40.9–$103.9 million) or active control arm ($67.6 million, IQR = $35.5–$93.5 million) (p < 0.001). Conclusions: Relative to the estimated costs of drug development, the costs of these oncology pivotal trials were modest, with trials that produced more valuable scientific information costing more than their counterparts.


2016 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mário L de Lemos ◽  
Adeline Markarian ◽  
Esther Chan ◽  
Kimberly Schaff ◽  
Susan Walisser

Background Bevacizumab is an antiangiogenic agent active in patients with recurrent malignant gliomas. However, evidence for its clinical efficacy is relatively limited so that bevacizumab is approved for this indication in Canada and the United States, but not in the European Union. We reviewed the effectiveness of bevacizumab in patients with recurrent brain tumour using a large population database. Methods This was a retrospective, multicentre, study conducted at the BC Cancer Agency, a public cancer care organisation for the residents of the Canadian province of British Columbia. Cases were identified from the provincial registry and drug database. Patients were eligible if they were treated with bevacizumab with or without lomustine or etoposide for recurrent brain tumour between April 2011 and March 2014. The primary end points were progression-free survival. Secondary endpoints were overall survival and objective response rate. Results A total of 160 patients were included, with a median age of 55 years. The most common diagnosis was glioblastoma multiforme (70.6%), followed by oligodendroglioma (10.6%). Half of the patients had prior metronomic dosing of temozolomide. The median duration of therapy was 3 months. The median progression-free survival was 4.0 months and the 6-month progression-free survival was 29.4%. The median overall survival was 7 months and the 9-month and 12-month overall survival was 28.1% and 20.6%, respectively. The objective response rate was 23.1%. The most common documented reason for bevacizumab discontinuation was disease progression (66.9%), followed by toxicity (6.9%). Conclusions Bevacizumab therapy seems to be effective in delaying disease progression in patients with recurrent brain tumour, but with limited benefits on the overall survival, when used outside the clinical trial setting.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3588-3588
Author(s):  
Benjamin J. Solomon ◽  
Herbert H. F. Loong ◽  
Yvonne J. Summers ◽  
Zachary M Thomas ◽  
Pearl Plernjit French ◽  
...  

3588 Background: Randomized trials involving agents targeting oncogene addicted tumors have greatly increased over the past decade. Whether clinical response rates can predict or correlate with efficacy measures such as progression-free survival (PFS) or overall survival (OS) has not been established in molecularly enriched patient populations. In this meta-analysis, we investigated whether improvements in objective response rate (ORR) in comparative trials using targeted agents could serve as a potential surrogate endpoint for improvements in PFS or OS in populations with oncogene addicted cancer. Methods: CT.gov and MEDLINE databases were queried (using commercial text mining software I2E) for randomized, phase 3 clinical trials based on the following prospectively defined criteria: (1) use of agents targeting EGFR activating mutations (erlotinib, gefitinib, afatinib, dacomitinib, osimertinib), ALK and ROS1 rearrangements (crizotinib, ceritinib, alectinib), BRAF V600E or V600K mutations (dabrafenib), and BCR-ABL fusion protein (imatinib, dasatinib, nilotinib, ponatinib); (2) must include molecularly enriched trial populations (biomarker subgroup data included if available); (3) control arms should not include targeted agents directed towards those molecularly enriched populations. ORR, OS, and PFS data were manually extracted from the relevant studies and correlative analyses (weighted Pearson correlation) were performed. Results: 61 trials were identified with 15 ultimately meeting the prespecified criteria. ORR effect size (both the ORR difference and log odds ratio) and the log PFS hazard ratio were strongly correlated (-0.78, p-value = 0.0007). No significant correlation was found between ORR and OS. Conclusions: In our analyses, a strong correlation between ORR and PFS was found in randomized clinical trials investigating agents targeting oncogene-driven cancers. Establishing a correlation between ORR and OS was limited, most probably due to confounding factors such as treatment cross-over following progression, number of subsequent therapies and long post-progression survival in this setting. These findings further warrant the use of ORR as a surrogate for PFS in biomarker-driven studies.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (25) ◽  
pp. 2916-2925 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Jacques Grob ◽  
Rene Gonzalez ◽  
Nicole Basset-Seguin ◽  
Olga Vornicova ◽  
Jacob Schachter ◽  
...  

PURPOSE Treatment options are limited for patients with recurrent and/or metastatic (R/M) cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC); mortality rates exceed 70% in patients with distant metastases. Here, we present the first interim analysis of the R/M cSCC cohort from the 2-cohort—locally advanced and R/M—phase II KEYNOTE-629 study. PATIENTS AND METHODS Patients with R/M cSCC not amenable to surgery or radiation received pembrolizumab 200 mg every 3 weeks. The primary end point was objective response rate per RECIST v1.1. Secondary end points were duration of response, disease control rate, progression-free survival, overall survival, and safety. RESULTS At data cutoff (April 8, 2019), median follow-up of 105 enrolled patients in the R/M cohort was 11.4 months (range, 0.4 to 16.3 months). Objective response rate was 34.3% (95% CI, 25.3% to 44.2%; 4 complete responses, 32 partial responses), and disease control rate was 52.4% (95% CI, 42.4% to 62.2%). Median duration of response was not reached (range, 2.7 to 13.1+ months; ‘+’ refers to ongoing response at data cutoff). Median progression-free survival was 6.9 months (95% CI, 3.1 months to 8.5 months). Median overall survival was not reached (95% CI, 10.7 months to not reached). Treatment-related adverse events occurred in 66.7% of patients (n = 70), the most common of which were pruritus (n = 15; 14.3%), asthenia (n = 14; 13.3%), and fatigue (n = 13; 12.4%). Grade 3 to 5 treatment-related adverse events occurred in 5.7% (n = 6) of patients. One patient died of treatment-related cranial nerve neuropathy. CONCLUSION Pembrolizumab demonstrated effective antitumor activity; clinically meaningful, durable responses; and acceptable safety in primarily elderly patients with R/M cSCC, supporting its use in clinical practice. Pembrolizumab adverse events in this study were consistent with its established safety profile.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e11538-e11538
Author(s):  
Ying Fan ◽  
Binghe Xu ◽  
Yuqian Liao ◽  
Fei Ma ◽  
Peng Yuan ◽  
...  

e11538 Background: It is extremely important to identify proper cytotoxic agents for TNBC which had limited choices except chemotherapy. Capecitabine are well established as a major chemotherapeutic agent in metastatic setting. The efficacy of capecitabine-based chemotherapy has not been prospectively studied in TNBC and data remains scant. This study was designed to investigate the efficacy of capecitabine-based doublets in the treatment of metastatic TNBC. Methods: Eligible metastatic TNBC women with measurable diseases were recruited to receive either TX regimen (docetaxel 75mg/m2 iv d1 plus capecitabine 1000mg/m2 bid, d1-14,q3w) or NX regimen (vinorelbine 25mg/m2 iv d1, 8 plus capecitabine 1000mg/m2 bid, d1-14, q3w) at the discretion of physicians for up to 6 cycles, until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity. The primary endpoint was objective response rate and secondary endpoints included progression free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS). Results: 45 mTNBC patients, 27 in TX and 18 in NX were recruited, mostly (73.3%) as 1st line and the remaining as the 2nd line. The total objective response rate was 20.0% and clinical benefit rate was 62.2%. After a median follow-up of 28 months, PFS was 5.2 months (95%CI, 4.1-6.3mons) and OS was 18.2months (95%CI, 8.7-27.7mons). Almost half of the patients (22/45) progressed during treatment or within one month of the treatment discontinuation. PFS was significantly longer if patients got CR/PR (9.6 vs 4.3mons, P=0.015). When comparing two doublets, the response rate was numerically but not statistically lower in TX group than in NX group (14.8% vs 27.8%, P=0.449). Similarly, no difference was found in either PFS (4.9 vs 5.2 mons, P=0.483) or OS (21.5 vs 18.3 mons, P=0.964) between two regimens. Conclusions: Although the overall survival seems to be reasonable, efficacy of capecitabine-contained TX or NX regimen was relatively poor in terms of tumor remission and progression free survival in mTNBC patients, suggesting capecitabine may have limited potency in this subtype. These two combinations may be considered to be acceptable but may not be recommended as prior choice for mTNBC patients.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e20609-e20609
Author(s):  
Boris Pfeiffer ◽  
Mahmoud Hashim ◽  
Robert Bartsch ◽  
Maarten Postma ◽  
Bart Heeg

e20609 Background: Correlations between overall survival (OS) and objective response rate (ORR) or progression-free survival (PFS) are poor. We aimed to evaluate the impact of crossover and unbalanced subsequent treatments on ORR and PFS as surrogate endpoints for OS in patients with advanced NSCLC receiving second- and further-line therapy. Methods: A systematic literature review of randomized clinical trials of systemic treatment for patients with stage IIIB/IV NSCLC receiving second- and further-line therapy was performed. Weighted (by trial size) linear regression models were fitted with the absolute difference in ORR or median PFS as an independent variable and the absolute difference in median OS as a dependent variable. The analysis was repeated in predefined subsets based on crossover and balance of post-progression therapies. Surrogate threshold effect (STE) was estimated using prediction intervals. Results: 146 trials (43,061 patients) fulfilled the eligibility criteria. In all treatment arms, the mean ORR, median PFS, and median OS were 12.2% (standard deviation [SD] 11.2%), 3.2 months (SD 1.3), and 9.6 months (SD 4.1), respectively. ORR and PFS had very weak (R = 0.181; 95% CI: 0.016-0.337) and weak (R = 0.254; 95% CI: 0.074-0.418) relationships, respectively, with OS. However, within trials that did not allow crossover and reported balanced post-progression treatments, ORR and PFS had moderate (R = 0.528; 95% CI: 0.081-0.798) and strong (R = 0.778; 95% CI: 0.475-0.916) relationships, respectively, with OS. STE estimation indicated that trials that show statistically significant treatment effect size of ≥41.0% ORR or ≥4.15 median PFS months can be expected to show significant OS benefit with sufficient certainty. Conclusions: Surrogacy of ORR and PFS for OS might be better estimated in trials that do not allow crossover and report balanced post-progression treatments. Presented STE calculation can be used to estimate the expected effect on OS when either ORR or PFS are used as primary endpoints.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arne Strauss ◽  
Marianne Schmid ◽  
Michael Rink ◽  
Michael Moran ◽  
Stephan Bernhardt ◽  
...  

Aim: Examine outcomes in sunitinib-treated patients by International Metastatic RCC Database Consortium (IMDC) or Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) risk factors. Patients & methods: Patients enrolled in STAR-TOR registry (n = 327). End points included overall survival, progression-free survival and objective response rate. Results: Overall survival was similar for IMDC 0 versus 1 (p = 0.238) or 2 versus ≥3 (p = 0.156), but different for MSKCC (0 vs 1, p = 0.037; 2 vs ≥3, p = 0.001). Progression-free survival was similar for IMDC 2 versus 3 (p = 0.306), but different for MSKCC (p = 0.009). Objective response rate was different for IMDC 1 (41.9%) and 2 (29.5%) and similar for MSKCC 1 (34.4%) and 2 (31.0%). Conclusion: Outcome data varied according to IMDC or MSKCC. MSKCC model accurately stratify patients into risk groups. Clinical trial registration: NCT00700258 (ClinicalTrials.gov)


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