Abstract. Due to the uncertainty concerning the location of flow paths on active
alluvial fans, alluvial fan floods could be more dangerous than riverine
floods. The United States Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) used a
simple stochastic model named FAN for this purpose, which has been practiced
for many years. In the last decade, this model has been criticized as a
consequence of development of more complex computer models. This study was
conducted on three alluvial fans located in northeast and southeast Iran
using a combination of the FAN model, the hydraulic portion of the FLO-2D model, and
geomorphological information. Initial stages included three steps:
(a) identifying the alluvial fans' landforms, (b) determining the active and
inactive areas of alluvial fans, and (c) delineating 100-year flood within
these selected areas. This information was used as an input in the mentioned
three approaches of the (i) FLO-2D model, (ii) geomorphological method, and
(iii) FAN model. Thereafter, the results of each model were obtained and
geographical information system (GIS) layers were created and overlaid.
Afterwards, using a scoring system, the results were evaluated and compared.
The goal of this research was to introduce a simple but effective solution
to estimate the flood hazards. It was concluded that the integrated method
proposed in this study is superior at projecting alluvial fan flood
hazards with minimum required input data, simplicity, and affordability, which
are considered the primary goals of such comprehensive studies. These
advantages are more highlighted in underdeveloped and developing
countries, which may well lack detailed data and financially cannot
support such costly projects. Furthermore, such a highly cost-effective
method could be greatly advantageous and pragmatic for developed countries.