scholarly journals Macroeconomic and environmental consequences of circular economy measures in a small open economy

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Brusselaers ◽  
K. Breemersch ◽  
T. Geerken ◽  
M. Christis ◽  
B. Lahcen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Circular Economy ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium Model ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Environmental Consequences ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThis paper investigates the economy-wide impact of the uptake of circular economy (CE) measures for the small open economy (SOE) of Belgium, in particular the impact of fiscal policies in support of lifetime extension through repair activities of household appliances. The impact assessment is completed by means of a computable general equilibrium model as this allows quantification of both the direct and indirect economic and environmental impact of simulated shocks. The results show that different fiscal policy types can steer an economy into a more circular direction. However, depending on the policy type, the impact on the SOE’s macroeconomic structure and level of circularity differs. Furthermore, common claims attributed to a CE (e.g. local job creation or decreased import dependence) can be, but are not always, valid. Hence, policy-makers must prioritize their most important macroeconomic goals and opt for an according fiscal policy. Finally, this paper finds that the CO2 equivalent emissions calculated from a production (or territorial) perspective increase, while they decrease from a consumption perspective. This is explained by the substitution of international activities by local circular activities. This comparative analysis advocates for the consumption approach to assess the CE’s impact on CO2 equivalent emissions.

The Impact of the Public Expenditure Cuts Policy on the Labor Market in Vietnam

2012 ◽  
pp. 22-46
Author(s):  
Huong Nguyen Thi Lan ◽  
Toan Pham Ngoc
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium ◽  
Impact Evaluation ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium Model ◽  
Living Standard ◽  
Input Output ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of public expenditure cuts on employment and income to support policies for the development of the labor mar- ket. Impact evaluation is of interest for policy makers as well as researchers. This paper presents a method – that is based on a Computable General Equilibrium model – to analyse the impact of the public expenditure cuts policy on employment and income in industries and occupations in Vietnam using macro data, the Input output table, 2006, 2008 and the 2010 Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey.

scholarly journals Post-2008 Brazilian fiscal policy: an interpretation through the analysis of fiscal multipliers

2017 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-124
Author(s):  
Celso José Costa Junior ◽  
Alejandro C. García Cintado ◽  
Armando Vaz Sampaio
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
Fiscal Multipliers ◽  
Brazilian Government ◽  
The Government

Abstract The global crisis that erupted in 2007 led many countries to embark on countercyclical fiscal policies as a way to cushion the blow of a depressed aggregate demand. Advocates of discretionary measures emphasize that fiscal policy can indeed stimulate the economy. The main goal of this work is to assess whether the fiscal policies pursued by the Brazilian government in the aftermath of the 2008 crisis, succeeded in bringing the economy back on track in a sustainable fashion. To this end, the fiscal multipliers of five different shocks are studied in a small open-economy New Keynesian framework. Our results point to the government spending and public investment as the most effective fiscal tools for combating the crisis. However, the highest fiscal multiplier turned out to be the one associated with excise tax reductions.

scholarly journals The Impact of the Fiscal Policy on Income and the Consumption of the Poor Households in Morocco: An Analysis with a Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGEM)

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 79
Author(s):  
El Moussaoui Mohamed ◽  
Mohamed Karim
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Equilibrium Model ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium Model ◽  
General Equilibrium Model ◽  
The Other ◽  
The Poor ◽  
Poor Households ◽  
The Impact

This article examines the effects of the fiscal policy on income and the consumption of the poor households in urban and rural areas. The evaluation of this impact is carried out by the use of a real and static Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGEM) in open economy and with government. The Social Accounting Matrix of the year 2013 is used for the supposed simulations.The results obtained show clearly that 50% direct tax reduction in income for the urban poor households and 100% for the rural ones make it possible to increase significantly the disposable income of these households as well as improving their consumption. On the other hand, the other policies such as exempting the agricultural and food commodities from the indirect tax, combined with 20% increase in this tax for the industrial products and the private services, or the exemption of the agricultural and food products from the customs duties, do not have a positive effect on the income and the consumption of the poor households.

The impact of the COVID-19 enforced lockdown and fiscal package on the South African economy and environment: a preliminary analysis

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Margaret Chitiga-Mabugu ◽  
Martin Henseler ◽  
Ramos Mabugu ◽  
Helene Maisonnave
Keyword(s):  
Computable General Equilibrium ◽  
Carbon Dioxide Emissions ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium Model ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Greenhouse Gas Balance ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Poor Households ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This paper offers a quantitative assessment of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic-induced lockdown and government fiscal plan, containing ‘green’ elements on the economy and the environment of South Africa. The analysis uses a dynamic computable general equilibrium model operationalised using a social accounting matrix coupled with a greenhouse gas balance and emissions data. We find that while the economy is harshly impacted by the pandemic in the short term, the government fiscal package ameliorates and cushions the negative effects on poor households. Importantly, an adaptation of the fiscal package towards a ‘greener’ policy achieves the same economic outcome and reduces unemployment. Carbon dioxide emissions decrease in the short run due to economic slowdown. This improvement persists until 2030. These results can be used as decision support for policy makers on how to orient the post COVID-19 policies to be pro-poor and pro-environment, and thus, ‘build back better and fairer’.

scholarly journals External Shocks in a Small Open Economy: A CGE - Microsimulation Analysis

2010 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vaqar Ahmed ◽  
Cathal O’Donoghue
Keyword(s):  
Open Economy ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Foreign Assistance ◽  
Raw Material ◽  
Wage Labor ◽  
Import Prices ◽  
External Balance ◽  
The Impact

This paper studies the impact of changes in the external balance of Pakistan. We explain why the economic growth achieved during the past decade was highly dependent on improvements in the external balance. Between 2001 and 2007, Pakistan benefited from an increase in remittances, foreign assistance from bilateral and multilateral sources, and a relatively stable exchange rate. After 2007, this performance came under pressure from external price shocks. The rise in the import prices of petroleum, raw materials and other manufactured goods has the potential to reduce the country’s growth performance, impacting the competitiveness of the economy and threatening the gains achieved during past years. We integrate a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with a microsimulation model to study the effects of changes in foreign savings and import prices faced by Pakistan. An increase in foreign savings leads to an increase in imports and a decrease in exports. The main sectors facing a decline in exports are textiles, leather, cement, and livestock. In this simulation food and oil prices decline and the factors of production that gain are agricultural wage labor and nonagricultural unskilled wage labor. The increase in import prices of petroleum or industrial raw material leads to a reduction in exports. In this simulation the crop sector is negatively impacted and returns to land and profits to farm owners increase, showing a change in favor of agricultural asset owners, while poverty and inequality increase.

scholarly journals ANALISIS KEBIJAKAN FISKAL DAN IMPLIKASINYA KEPADA PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA: ANALISIS KESEIMBANGAN UMUM

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wawan Hermawan
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Greenhouse Gases ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Household Wealth ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
Role Of Government ◽  
The Impact

The economy cannot be separated from the role of government spending in stimulating the economy. Fiscal policy is government’s tool to intervene in theeconomy, could change for the better economy or even make the economy into a recession. On the other hand, economic activity over the impact of greenhouse gas contribution, so the impact on global climate change. Therefore, a certain sectorspecific fiscal policies have considerable impact in influencing greenhouse gases. This study aims to provide an analysis of fiscal policy scenarios that can affect greenhouse gases, so that could explain what sector-specific fiscal policies that can increase the risk of climate change. This research uses the model of Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) based fiscal policy held by the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Indonesia named AGEFIS (Applied General Equilibrium Model for Fiscal). The scenario is to decrease fosil fuel subsidy that can produce CO2 emision. The results shows that decreasing fossil fuel subsidies can reduce the CO2 emission, but with high consequences. The consequences are the economic growth seen to fall, household wealth declined and the real consumption levels decrease.

scholarly journals The impact of fiscal policies on corruption: A panel analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Monica V. Achim ◽  
Sorin N. Borlea ◽  
Andrei M. Anghelina
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
Panel Analysis ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
The Right ◽  
Fiscal Pressure ◽  
The Impact

This article seeks to complement the previous literature and clarify whether fiscal policy plays a role in the level of corruption of a country. The present work investigates whether the increase in fiscal pressure leads to a higher level of corruption and whether the results differ from developed to developing countries. This article examines a large sample consisting of over 185 countries, during the period 2005–2014. The technique employed was short panel data. Five statistical models were used such as the pooled OLS, pooled FGLS, within model, between model and random-effects GLS model. Our main contribution consists in finding differentiated results of the influence of fiscal policy on the level of corruption among developed and developing countries. For developed countries, we found that, with high-quality institutions, low fiscal pressure leads to a lower level of corruption, which is in line with expectations. Conversely, in developing countries, with low-level institutional quality, low fiscal pressure increases corruption, because of low governance efficiency under which people may easily circumvent the law. Our findings suggest that governments and policy-makers need to acknowledge that the anti-corruption fight requires not only the right fiscal policies but also the right way of implementing these policies, recognising the role of quality institutions, which need to prevail in any country.

The long-run stability of a small, open economy under crawling peg regime

2002 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-78
Author(s):  
S. Çiftçioğlu
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Price Stability ◽  
Output Stability ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The paper analyses the long-run (steady-state) output and price stability of a small, open economy which adopts a “crawling-peg” type of exchange-rate regime in the presence of various kinds of random shocks. Analytical and simulation results suggest that with the exception of money demand shocks, an exchange rate policy which involves a relatively higher rate of indexation of the exchange rate to price level is likely to lead to the worsening of price stability for all types of shocks. On the other hand, the impact of adopting such a policy on output stability depends on the type of the shock; for policy shocks to the exchange rate and shocks to output demand, output stability is worsened whereas for the shocks to risk premium of domestic assets, supply price of domestic output and the wage rate, better output stability is achieved in the long run.

Economic Growth and Foreign Workers in ASEAN and Singapore

2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 114-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shandre Mugan Thangavelu
Keyword(s):  
Open Economy ◽  
Wage Gap ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Foreign Workers ◽  
Domestic Economy ◽  
Unskilled Workers ◽  
Market Trends ◽  
State Growth ◽  
The Impact

This paper studies the trends of foreign immigrants in Asia and their effect on the growth of the Singapore economy. The paper also discusses the key labor market trends and the rationale for foreign workers in a small open economy like Singapore. Further, the paper highlights key simulations of the impact of foreign immigrants on output growth and wage gap for the Singapore economy by using Thangavelu's (2011) dynamic general equilibrium model. The study accounts for the flow of skilled and unskilled foreign workers on (a) steady-state growth; (b) the wage gap between the skilled and unskilled workers; and (c) innovation capabilities of the domestic economy. Further, the model also accounts for the contribution of immigrants on the welfare of the domestic economy through the immigration surplus that will accrue to the domestic economy.

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