The risk and predictors of mortality in octogenarians undergoing emergency laparotomy: a multicentre retrospective cohort study

Background First reported case of Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in Kazakhstan was identified in March 2020. Many specialized tertiary hospitals in Kazakhstan including National Research Cardiac Surgery Center (NRCSC) were re-organized to accept coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infected patients during summer months of 2020. Although many studies from worldwide reported their experience in treating patients with COVID-19, there are limited data available from the Central Asia countries. The aim of this study is to identify predictors of mortality associated with COVID-19 in NRCSC tertiary hospital in Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan. Methods This is a retrospective cohort study of patients admitted to the NRCSC between June 1st–August 31st 2020 with COVID-19. Demographic, clinical and laboratory data were collected from electronic records. In-hospital mortality was assessed as an outcome. Patients were followed-up until in-hospital death or discharge from the hospital. Descriptive statistics and factors associated with mortality were assessed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression models. Results Two hundred thirty—nine admissions were recorded during the follow-up period. Mean age was 57 years and 61% were males. Median duration of stay at the hospital was 8 days and 34 (14%) patients died during the hospitalization. Non-survivors were more likely to be admitted later from the disease onset, with higher fever, lower oxygen saturation and increased respiratory rate compared to survivors. Leukocytosis, lymphopenia, anemia, elevated liver and kidney function tests, hypoproteinemia, elevated inflammatory markers (C-reactive protein (CRP), ferritin, and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH)) and coagulation tests (fibrinogen, D-dimer, international normalized ratio (INR), and activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT)) at admission were associated with mortality. Age (OR 1.2, CI:1.01–1.43), respiratory rate (OR 1.38, CI: 1.07–1.77), and CRP (OR 1.39, CI: 1.04–1.87) were determined to be independent predictors of mortality. Conclusion This study describes 14% mortality rate from COVID-19 in the tertiary hospital. Many abnormal clinical and laboratory variables at admission were associated with poor outcome. Age, respiratory rate and CRP were found to be independent predictors of mortality. Our finding would help healthcare providers to predict the risk factors associated with high risk of mortality. Further investigations involving large cohorts should be provided to support our findings.

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Sepsis in two hospitals in Rwanda: A retrospective cohort study of presentation, management, outcomes, and predictors of mortality

PLoS ONE ◽

10.1371/journal.pone.0251321 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 16 (5) ◽

pp. e0251321

Author(s):

Dennis A. Hopkinson ◽

Jean Paul Mvukiyehe ◽

Sudha P. Jayaraman ◽

Aamer A. Syed ◽

Myles S. Dworkin ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Septic Shock ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Low Income ◽

Retrospective Cohort Study ◽

Retrospective Cohort ◽

Baseline Characteristic ◽

Hiv Seropositivity ◽

Predictors Of Mortality ◽

Referral Hospitals ◽

Mortality Predictors

Purpose Few studies have assessed the presentation, management, and outcomes of sepsis in low-income countries (LICs). We sought to characterize these aspects of sepsis and to assess mortality predictors in sepsis in two referral hospitals in Rwanda. Materials and methods This was a retrospective cohort study in two public academic referral hospitals in Rwanda. Data was abstracted from paper medical records of adult patients who met our criteria for sepsis. Results Of the 181 subjects who met eligibility criteria, 111 (61.3%) met our criteria for sepsis without shock and 70 (38.7%) met our criteria for septic shock. Thirty-five subjects (19.3%) were known to be HIV positive. The vast majority of septic patients (92.7%) received intravenous fluid therapy (median = 1.0 L within 8 hours), and 94.0% received antimicrobials. Vasopressors were administered to 32.0% of the cohort and 46.4% received mechanical ventilation. In-hospital mortality for all patients with sepsis was 51.4%, and it was 82.9% for those with septic shock. Baseline characteristic mortality predictors were respiratory rate, Glasgow Coma Scale score, and known HIV seropositivity. Conclusions Septic patients in two public tertiary referral hospitals in Rwanda are young (median age = 40, IQR = 29, 59) and experience high rates of mortality. Predictors of mortality included baseline clinical characteristics and HIV seropositivity status. The majority of subjects were treated with intravenous fluids and antimicrobials. Further work is needed to understand clinical and management factors that may help improve mortality in septic patients in LICs.

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Associations Between Malignancy and Cardiovascular Complications Following Emergency Laparotomy – a Retrospective Cohort Study

10.21203/rs.3.rs-67557/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Rasmus Peuliche Vogelsang ◽

Jacob Hartmann Søby ◽

Mai-Britt Tolstrup ◽

Jakob Burcharth ◽

Sarah Ekeløf ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Retrospective Cohort Study ◽

Retrospective Cohort ◽

Malignant Disease ◽

Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽

Cardiovascular Complications ◽

Emergency Laparotomy ◽

Asa Score ◽

Increased Risk

Abstract Background Several studies have shown a possible causal relationship between the occurrence of systemic inflammation in patients with malignant disease and increased risk of cardiovascular events. Our objective was to estimate the association between malignant disease and postoperative cardiovascular complications. Secondarily, we aimed to identify risk factors for postoperative cardiovascular complications. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study of all patients ≥ 18 years undergoing emergency laparotomy between 2010 and 2016 at the Department of Surgery at Zealand University Hospital, Denmark. Complications were graded according to the Clavien-Dindo (CD) classification of surgical complications. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate the association between malignant disease and cardiovascular complications within 30 days of emergency laparotomy and to identify other risk factors for postoperative cardiovascular complications after emergency laparotomy. Results We identified 1188 patients ≥ 18 years undergoing emergency laparotomy between 2010 and 2016, in which 254 (21%) had malignant disease. Within 30 days of emergency laparotomy, 89 (9.5%) of patients without malignancy died, as compared with 45 (18%) of patients with malignancy (p < 0.001). Severe cardiovascular complication graded CD 3–5 occurred in 93 (8%) of all patients within 30 days of emergency laparotomy. We found no association between malignancy and postoperative cardiovascular complications. Increasing age and ASA physical status classification system (ASA) score ≥ III were the only independent risk factors of cardiovascular complications graded CD 3–5. Conclusions Malignancy was not associated with postoperative cardiovascular complications after emergency laparotomy. Risk factors for major cardiovascular complications after emergency abdominal surgery were age and ASA score ≥ III.

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