Bayesian segmented regression model for adaptability and stability evaluation of cotton genotypes

Euphytica ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 216 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Moysés Nascimento ◽  
Ana Carolina Campana Nascimento ◽  
Fabyano Fonseca e Silva ◽  
Paulo Eduardo Teodoro ◽  
Camila Ferreira Azevedo ◽  
...  
Calphad ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 69 ◽  
pp. 101762 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Obaied ◽  
B. Bocklund ◽  
S. Zomorodpoosh ◽  
L. Zhang ◽  
R. Otis ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. e00477-e00477
Author(s):  
Hajar Nazari Kangavari ◽  
Abdolrazagh Barzegar ◽  
Seyed Davood Mirtorabi ◽  
Mohammad Reza Ghadirzadeh ◽  
Mehdi Forouzesh ◽  
...  

Background: Murder is one of the public health problems. According to the WHO reports, murder is fourth leading cause of death among young people. The aim of this study was applying joint point regression model to study trend of homicide mortality in Iran, 2006-2016. Study design: A cross-sectional panel (pseudo-panel) study. Methods: Homicide data during 2006 to 2016 were extracted from Iranian legal medicine organization. Trends of homicide incidence were summarized by annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) using non-linear segmented regression model. Results: Totally, 26918 homicide cases occurred during the period from 2006 to 2016. The highest and lowest frequency was related to the 15-29 yr (46.5%) and 0-4 yr (1.5%) age groups, respectively. The homicide incidence rate of the country in 2016 was 2.81 per 100,000. The four provinces of Sistan & Baluchistan, Khuzestan, Kerman and Ilam had the highest incidence rate in 2016, respectively. During the study period, the incidence rate of homicide in Iran and men have been significantly decreased (APC: -2.8% (95% CI: -3.9, -1.7) and -3.2% (95% CI: - 4.5, -1.8) respectively (P<0.001)). Conclusion: The pattern of homicide rate has a downward trend in the country. Moreover, the varying observed trends in some provinces can be due to the variability in mental, geographical, socio-economic and cultural conditions in each region.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S103-S104
Author(s):  
Sonali D Advani ◽  
Sonali D Advani ◽  
Emily Sickbert-Bennett ◽  
Elizabeth Dodds Ashley ◽  
Andrea Cromer ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic had a considerable impact on US healthcare systems, straining hospital resources, staff, and operations. Our objective was to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on incidence and trends of healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) in a network of hospitals. Methods This was a retrospective review of central-line-associated bloodstream infections (CLABSIs), catheter-associated urinary tract infections (CAUTIs), C. difficile infections (CDI), and ventilator-associated events (VAE) in 51 hospitals from 2018 to 2021. Descriptive statistics were reported as mean hospital-level monthly incidence rates (IR) and compared using Poisson regression GEE models with period as the only covariate. Segmented regression (SR) analysis was performed to estimate changes in monthly IR of CAUTIs, CLABSIs and CDI in the baseline period (01/2018 – 02/2020) and the Pandemic period (03/2020 – 03/2021). SR model was not appropriate for VAE based on the plot. All models were constructed using SAS v.9.4 (SAS Institute, Cary NC). Results Compared to the baseline period, CLABSIs increased significantly by 50% from 0.6 to 0.9/ 1000 catheter days (P&lt; 0. 001). In contrast, no significant changes were identified for CAUTI (P=0.87). Similar trends were seen in SR models for CLABSI and CAUTI (Figures 1, 2 and Table 1). While overall CDIs decreased significantly from 3.5 to 2.5/10,000 patient days in the pandemic period (P&lt; 0.001), SR model showed increasing pandemic trend change (Figure 3). VAEs increased &gt; 700% from 6.9 to 59.7/1000 ventilator days (P=0.15), but displayed considerable variation during the pandemic period (Figure 4). Compared to baseline period, there was a significant increase in central line days (647 vs 677, P=0.02), ventilator days (156 vs 215, P&lt; 0.001), but no change in urinary catheter days (675 vs 686, P=0.32) during the pandemic period. Figure 1: Segmented Regression model showing baseline and pandemic period trends of CLABSI Figure 2: Segmented Regression model showing baseline and pandemic period trends of CAUTI Figure 3: Segmented Regression model showing baseline and pandemic period trends of C. difficile (HO-CDI) infections Conclusion The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with substantial increases in CLABSIs and VAEs, no change in CAUTIs, and an increasing trend in CDI incidence. These variations in trends of different HAIs are likely due, in part, to unique characteristics of the underlying infection, resource shortages, staffing concerns, increased device use, changes in testing practices, and the limitations of surveillance definitions. Figure 4: Trend of Ventilator-Associated Events (VAE) in the baseline and pandemic period (Segmented Regression model not appropriate) Disclosures Sonali D. Advani, MBBS, MPH, Nothing to disclose David J. Weber, MD, MPH, Merck (Individual(s) Involved: Self): Consultant; PDI (Individual(s) Involved: Self): Consultant; Pfizer (Individual(s) Involved: Self): Consultant; Sanofi (Individual(s) Involved: Self): Consultant; UVinnovators (Individual(s) Involved: Self): Consultant


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 101-106
Author(s):  
Hadis Barati ◽  
Erfan Ayubi ◽  
Sohrab Iranpour ◽  
Mohammad Barati ◽  
Ahmad Allah-Abadi ◽  
...  

Background and aims: Cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) is one of the most important parasitic diseases in the world. Sabzevar city is endemic area for CL in the north east of Iran. The aim of this study was to evaluate the time distribution of cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) in Sabzevar County using the segmented regression model. Methods: This ecological study used the existing data related to the rural districts of Sabzevar County that were obtained from the Health Deputy of this county during 2011-2017. In addition, the segmented regression model was applied to evaluate the time trend of CLs. Finally, Joinpoint software was used for time series analysis. Results: A total of 1912 CL cases occurred in Sabzevar County from 2011 to 2017, with an incidence rate of 93.61 per 100000. The highest and lowest observed incidence rates were in 2011 (25 per 10000 persons) and 2015 (3.24 per 10000 persons), respectively. Based on the results, the annual incidence of CL in the intended region decreased and the annual percent change was equal to -22.40. Further, the time series analysis using segmented regression by rural districts showed a change point in the trend of the incidence of leishmaniasis in three rural districts (Pain Joveyn and Joghatai in 2014 and Qasabeh-ye Sharqi in 2013). In other words, the trend was different before and after the change point in the mentioned districts. Conclusion: In general, the results indicated that interventional, preventive, and therapeutic measures for breaking the chain of CL transmission in Sabzevar have been desirable in recent years. Eventually, it is suggested that further time-series studies be conducted at the level of the month or a longer interval in order to better evaluate the period effect and secular trend.


2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahab Rezaeian ◽  
Salman Khazaei ◽  
Mokhtar Soheilyzad ◽  
Leila Molaeipoor ◽  
Zaher Khazaei ◽  
...  

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