scholarly journals How Many Wells? Exploring the Scope of Shale Gas Production for Achieving Gas Self-Sufficiency in Poland

Author(s):  
Henrik Wachtmeister ◽  
Magdalena Kuchler ◽  
Mikael Höök

AbstractPoland has been estimated to possess large volumes of technically recoverable shale gas resources, which has raised national hopes for increasing energy security and building export capacity. In this paper, we aim to examine political claims and hopes that Poland could achieve natural gas self-sufficiency and even become a gas exporter by harnessing domestic shale potential. We do so by relying on well-by-well production experience from the Barnett Shale in the USA to explore what scope of shale gas extraction, in terms of the number of wells, would likely be required to achieve such national expectations. With average well productivity equal to the Barnett Shale, at least 420 wells per year would be necessary to meet the domestic demand of 20 Bcm in 2030. Adding Poland’s potential export capacity of five Bcm of gas per year would necessitate at least 540 wells per year. Such a significant amount of drilling and hydraulic fracturing would require reconsideration and verification of national energy security plans and expectations surrounding shale gas production. A more informed public debate on technical aspects of extraction would be required, as extensive fracking operations could potentially have implications in terms of environmental risks and local land-use conflicts.

Author(s):  
M. Scryabina

The remarkable results of “shale gas revolution” in the USA have provoked a huge interest in Chinese energy circles. Beijing seriously considers the prospects of developing its abandoned domestic shale gas resources, which might result in a second “shale gas revolution”, this time in Asian region. Developing shale gas would help Beijing to bridge the gap between energy consumption and supply, and would also create a viable alternative to coal. However, the technology of shale gas extraction (hydraulic fracturing) is highly controversial, and raises a lot of concerns among environmentalists. “Fracking” has already been banned in a number of European states and there, and is a subject to moratorium in US states of New York, Connecticut and New Jersey. The core question is whether China can successfully adapt the extraction technology to its geologic conditions, and most importantly whether “fracking” of shale gas will help to alleviate the environmental degradation caused by rapid GDP growth, and help to increase energy security of Chinese economy.


2018 ◽  
Vol 165 ◽  
pp. 691-710 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Kenomore ◽  
Mohamed Hassan ◽  
Reza Malakooti ◽  
Hom Dhakal ◽  
Amjad Shah

2018 ◽  
Vol 167 ◽  
pp. 627
Author(s):  
Michael Kenomore ◽  
Mohamed Hassan ◽  
Reza Malakooti ◽  
Hom Dhakal ◽  
Amjad Shah

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shayan Tavassoli ◽  
Wei Yu ◽  
Farzam Javadpour ◽  
Kamy Sepehrnoori

Gas-production decline in hydraulically fractured wells in shale formations necessitates refracturing. However, the vast number of wells in a field makes selection of the right well challenging. Additionally, the success of a refracturing job depends on the time to refracture a shale-gas well during its production life. In this paper we present a numerical simulation approach to development of a methodology for screening a well and to determine the optimal time of refracturing. We implemented our methodology for a well in the Barnett Shale, where we had access to data. The success of a refracturing job depends on reservoir characteristics and the initial induced fracture network. Systematic sensitivity analyses were performed so that the characteristics of a shale-gas horizontal well could be specified as to the possibility of its candidacy for a successful refracturing job. Different refracturing scenarios must be studied in detail so that the optimal design might be determined. Given the studied trends and implications for a production indicator, the optimal time for refracturing can then be suggested for the studied well. Numerical-simulation results indicate significant improvement (on the order of 30%) in estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) after refracturing, given presented screen criteria and optimal-time selection.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 424 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viet Nguyen-Le ◽  
Hyundon Shin ◽  
Edward Little

This study examined the relationship between the early production data and the long-term performance of shale gas wells, including the estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) and economics. The investigated early production data are peak gas production rate, 3-, 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24-month cumulative gas production (CGP). Based on production data analysis of 485 reservoir simulation datasets, CGP at 12 months (CGP_12m) was selected as a key input parameter to predict a long-term shale gas well’s performance in terms of the EUR and net present value (NPV) for a given well. The developed prediction models were then validated using the field production data from 164 wells which have more than 10 years of production history in Barnett Shale, USA. The validation results showed strong correlations between the predicted data and field data. This suggests that the proposed models can predict the shale gas production and economics reliably in Barnett shale area. Only a short history of production (one year) can be used to estimate the EUR and NPV of various production periods for a gas well. Moreover, the proposed prediction models are consistently applied for young wells with short production histories and lack of reservoir and hydraulic fracturing data.


2014 ◽  
Vol 59 (4) ◽  
pp. 987-1004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Łukasz Klimkowski ◽  
Stanisław Nagy

Abstract Multi-stage hydraulic fracturing is the method for unlocking shale gas resources and maximizing horizontal well performance. Modeling the effects of stimulation and fluid flow in a medium with extremely low permeability is significantly different from modeling conventional deposits. Due to the complexity of the subject, a significant number of parameters can affect the production performance. For a better understanding of the specifics of unconventional resources it is necessary to determine the effect of various parameters on the gas production process and identification of parameters of major importance. As a result, it may help in designing more effective way to provide gas resources from shale rocks. Within the framework of this study a sensitivity analysis of the numerical model of shale gas reservoir, built based on the latest solutions used in industrial reservoir simulators, was performed. The impact of different reservoir and hydraulic fractures parameters on a horizontal shale gas well production performance was assessed and key factors were determined.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 2475
Author(s):  
Andres Soage ◽  
Ruben Juanes ◽  
Ignasi Colominas ◽  
Luis Cueto-Felgueroso

We analyze the effect that the geometry of the Effective Propped Volume (EPV) has on the economic performance of hydrofractured multistage shale gas wells. We study the sensitivity of gas production to the EPV’s geometry and we compare it with the sensitivity to other parameters whose relevance in the production of shale gas is well known: porosity, kerogen content and permeability induced in the Stimulated Recovery Volume (SRV). To understand these sensitivities, we develop a high-fidelity 3D numerical model of shale gas flow that allows determining both the Estimated Ultimate Recovery (EUR) of gas as well as analyzing the decline curves of gas production (DCA). We find that the geometry of the EPV plays an important role in the economic performance and gas production of shale wells. The relative contribution of EPV geometry is comparable to that of induced permeability of the SRV or formation porosity. Our results may lead to interesting technological developments in the oild and gas industry that improve economic efficiency in shale gas production.


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