scholarly journals Explaining coincidences

Synthese ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julio De Rizzo

AbstractA traditional account of coincidences has it that two facts are coincidental whenever they are not related as cause and effect and do not have a common cause. A recent contribution by Lando (Noûs 51(1): 132–151, 2017) showed that this account is mistaken. In this paper, I argue against two alternative accounts of coincidences, one suggested by Lando, and another by Bhogal (Philos Phenomenol Res 100(3): 677–694, 2020), and defend a third one in their place. In short, I propose that how explanatory links relate to non-coincidental facts in explanation is what drives a wedge between coincidences and non-coincidences. This proposal is not susceptible to the worries I raise, and is more general, since it is not restricted to coincidences and non-coincidences involving physical facts.

1873 ◽  
Vol 163 ◽  
pp. 147-227 ◽  

1. Plutonic action has long been loosely applied by geologists as a term for forces of some sort, of whose nature little was known, acting deep beneath the surface of our globe, and either not directly manifesting themselves at all at the surface, or, if so, chiefly in the form of earthquakes, thermal springs, & c.; while volcanic action, showing itself at the surface in the phenomena of extinct, dormant, or active volcanoes, has been very generally regarded as something different in nature as well as in degree of activity. Some relations have always, more or less vaguely, been admitted between these; but each has in turn been placed in the relation of cause and effect to the other. A third class of actions, those of “forces of elevation,” though assumed to have some relations with the preceding, have very commonly been regarded by geologists as differing in nature from both, in degree as well as in kind. It is true that all these phenomena have been linked together by such wide and vague phrases as that of Humboldt, who speaks of them as “the reaction of the interior of a planet upon its exterior;” but I am not aware of any attempt having previously been made to colligate them all as effects originating in one common cause, and that referable to the admitted cosmical facts and mechanism of our globe. Sir William Thomson, regarding all these phenomena from the lofty point of thermodynamics (from which the writer also is about to view them in this paper), has distinctly colligated them as referable to dissipation of energy existing in our planet in the form of terrestrial heat, and has given to all its play of phenomena the title of “Plutonic action,” which he defines as “any transformation of energy going on within the earth” (Trans. Geolog. Soc. of Glasgow, vol. iii. pt. ii.).


Author(s):  
Gabor Hofer-Szabo ◽  
Miklos Redei ◽  
Laszlo E. Szabo
Keyword(s):  

Pflege ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Kottner ◽  
Armin Hauss
Keyword(s):  

Vergleichende Qualitätsmessungen und Beurteilungen spielen in der Pflege eine zunehmend wichtige Rolle. Qualitätskennzahlen sind von systematischen und zufälligen Fehlern beeinflusst. Eine Möglichkeit, mit zufälliger Variation in Kennzahlenvergleichen adäquat umzugehen, bietet die Theorie der Statistischen Prozesskontrolle (SPC). Im vorliegenden Beitrag werden Regelkarten (control charts) als Werkzeuge der SPC vorgestellt. Es handelt sich dabei um grafische Darstellungen von Qualitätskennzahlen im zeitlichen Verlauf. Attributive Merkmale können mithilfe von p-, u- und c-Regelkarten dargestellt werden. Es gibt eine Reihe von Regeln, mit denen spezielle Variationen (special cause variation) innerhalb des betrachteten Prozesses identifiziert werden können. Finden sich im Diagramm keine Hinweise auf nichtzufällige Variationen, geht man davon aus, dass sich der Prozess innerhalb «statistischer Kontrolle» befindet (common cause variation). Eine Abweichung eines Datenpunktes um mehr als drei Standardabweichungen vom Mittelwert aller vorliegenden Datenpunkte gilt als stärkstes Signal nicht zufallsbedingter Variation. Im Qualitätsmanagementkontext sind Regelkarten für die dynamische Messung von Prozessen und Ergebnissen und deren Beurteilungen traditionellen Mittelwerts- und Streuungsvergleichen überlegen.


Pflege ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Kottner ◽  
Nils Lahmann
Keyword(s):  

Kennzahlenbasierte Qualitätsvergleiche von Einrichtungen sind verbreitet. Neben der Standardisierung und Risikoadjustierung muss die zufallsbedingte Variabilität in den Daten adäquat berücksichtigt werden. Rankings ohne Berücksichtigung der Präzision führen zu Fehlinterpretationen und fördern Datenmanipulationen. Konfidenzintervalle um die Kennzahlen der Einzeleinrichtungen sind eine Möglichkeit, die Präzision zu berücksichtigen. Funnel Plots als Spezialform von Regelkarten basieren auf der Theorie der Statistischen Prozesskontrolle (SPC). Darin werden die Kennzahlen in Beziehung zur Gruppengröße gesetzt. Warn- und Kontrollgrenzen, die sich 2 bzw. 3 Standardabweichungen vom Mittelwert aller Kennzahlen befinden, laufen mit steigender Fallzahl aufeinander zu und bilden einen Trichter. Kennzahlen innerhalb der Kontrollgrenzen weisen eine natürlicherweise zu erwartende Variabilität (common cause variation), Kennzahlen außerhalb der Kontrollgrenzen spezielle Variabilität (special cause variation) auf. Der Rankinggedanke ist aufgehoben. Funnel Plots bieten datenbasierte Kriterien, die Leistung von Einrichtungen im Qualitätsmanagement-Kontext zu bewerten.


2001 ◽  
Vol 21 (03) ◽  
pp. 82-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Hoppensteadt ◽  
O. Iqbal ◽  
R. L. Bick ◽  
J. Fareed

SummaryThrombotic disorders are the most common cause of death in the United States. About two million individuals die each year from an arterial or venous thrombosis or related disorders. About 80% to 90% of all cases of thrombosis can now be defined with respect to cause. Of these, over 50% occur in patients who harbor a congenital or acquired blood coagulation protein or platelet defect which caused the thrombotic event. It is obviously of major importance to define those individuals harboring such a defect as this allows: 1) appropriate antithrombotic therapy to decrease risks of recurrence; 2) determination of the length of time the patient must remain on therapy for secondary prevention; and 3) allow for testing of family members of those harboring a blood coagulation protein or platelet defect which is hereditary (about 50% of all coagulation and platelet defects mentioned above). Aside from mortality, significant additional morbidity occurs from both arterial or venous thrombotic events, including, but not limited to paralysis (non-fatal thrombotic stroke), cardiac disability (repeated coronary events), loss of vision (retinal vascular thrombosis), fetal waste syndrome (placental vascular thrombosis), stasis ulcers and other manifestations of post-phlebitic syndrome, etc.


2013 ◽  
Vol 22 (04) ◽  
pp. 260-266 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. P. Tuck ◽  
R. M. Francis ◽  
B. C. Hanusch

SummaryMale osteoporosis is common and results in considerable morbidity and mortality. There are distinct differences in the normal aging of bone between the genders, which result in a lower fracture rate in men. Men who suffer from osteoporosis are much more likely than women to have secondary causes. The identification and treatment of these secondary causes, wherever possible, will result in substantial improvements in BMD. There is now evidence for use of many of the existing agents to treat osteoporosis in men. In younger hypogonadal men testosterone replacement is worth considering, but in older men especially the over sixties this is less effective and there is an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular and prostatic outcomes. Prostate cancer is an increasingly common cause, which is partially the result of the success of ADT. There is now good evidence for the use of bisphosphonates and denosumab in this group of patients. HIV, whilst not being specific to men, is an increasingly recognised cause of male osteoporosis. The reasons for this are multifactorial and some may well be attributable to the anti-retroviral therapy itself. There is emerging evidence of an increased fracture risk in HIV infected individuals. The bone loss can be prevented by the use of bisphosphonates.


Author(s):  
Tegar Aprilio Armanda

Tegar Aprilio Armanda, NPM: 1532010014. “Student Communication Anxiety During Thesis Guidance (Analysis of Communication Anxiety To Alumni of Students of the Communication Studies Program Merdeka Madiun University Class of 2015). Communication Studies Program, Merdeka Madiun University, Supervisor : Maria Madgalena W., S.Sos, M.Si, Supervisor 2: Zulin Nurchayati, S.Psi, M.Si. Year 2020. The purpose of this study was to determine the cause and effect of communication anxiety between students of the Merdeka Madiun University Class of 2015 with the supervisor when conducting thesis guidance, forms of communication anxiety itself that have been experienced by students of Communication Studies Merdeka Madiun University Class of 2015, anticipatory steps taken by the Communication Sciences Merdeka Madiun University Class of 2015 students, how important is the handling of communication anxiety, data related to communication anxiety among final year students. This research uses descriptive qualitative method. Research data obtained through observation techniques, literature studies, interviews, and documentation. The informants came from the 2015 Communication Merdeka Madiun University alumni students. The results of this study are modeling and skill acquisition factors causing the emergence of communication anxiety, the type of communication anxiety perceived by informants is generalized context communication apprehension and situational communication apprehension, the form of communication anxiety perceived by informants is state anxiety, the most anticipatory step recommended by informants is to better understand the thesis material before the guidance and remain calm during the guidance.Keyword: Anxiety, Communication anxiety, Students of the Communication Studies Program Merdeka Madiun University Class of 2015,Thesis Guidance. 


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