Estimating surplus production and maximum sustainable yield from biomass data when catch and effort time series are not available

Free et al. (Reports, 1 March 2019, p. 979) linked sea surface temperature (SST) to surplus production and estimated a 4% decline in maximum sustainable yield (MSY) since 1930. Changes in MSY are expected when fitting production models to age-structured data, so attributing observed changes to SST is problematic. Analyses of recruitment (a metric of productivity in the same database) showed increases in global productivity.

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Determination of The Status of Utilization and Level of Sepat (Trichogaster sp) in Public Waters of Mainland Banjar Regency

TROPICAL WETLAND JOURNAL ◽

10.20527/twj.v5i1.69 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 5 (1) ◽

pp. 11-17

Author(s):

Irhamsyah Irhamsyah ◽

Novita Sari ◽

Iriansyah Iriansyah

Keyword(s):

Maximum Sustainable Yield ◽

Catch Rate ◽

Survey Method ◽

Utilization Rate ◽

Sustainable Yield ◽

Effort Level ◽

Surplus Production ◽

The Status

The fishing of Sepat (Trichogaster sp) in freshwaters of Banjar Regency with a solid intensity that has lasted long enough. This study aims: (1) Knowing the model of surplus production that can be used. (2) Knowing the optimum effort Sepat (3) Knowing maximum sustainable yield. (4) Knowing the utilization level of Sepat. (5) Knowing the effort level of Sepat. The method that used in this research is survey method and collecting data. Data is analyzed by the Schaefer’s model and Fox’s model. The result of this research: (1) The best model is the Schaefer model with R2 and validation value. (2) The catch rate of Sepat is 45630 trip per year. (3) Maximum sustainable yield of Sepat is 45,466 ton per year. (4) The utilization rate of Sepat (Trichogaster sp) is 33% which shows there has been no more catch under fishing (5) Effort level of Sepat is 16 %.

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Estimation of maximum sustainable yield of Gelidium robustum seaweed fishery in Mexico

Journal of the Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom ◽

10.1017/s0025315405011689 ◽

2005 ◽

Vol 85 (4) ◽

pp. 775-778 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

M. Casas-Valdez ◽

D. Lluch-Belda ◽

S. Ortega-García ◽

S. Hernández-Vázquez ◽

E. Serviere-Zaragoza ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Dynamic Model ◽

West Coast ◽

Baja California ◽

Maximum Sustainable Yield ◽

Sustainable Yield ◽

Red Seaweed ◽

The West ◽

Surplus Production ◽

Production Models ◽

Gelidium Robustum

Surplus production models were used to assess the fishery condition of red seaweed Gelidium robustum off the west coast of the Baja California Peninsula from 1985 to 1997. The maximum sustainable yield and optimum effort estimated by the Schaefer model were 705 tn and 457 teams, while the Fox model estimated 670 tn and 510 teams. The determination coefficients were r2=0·62 for the Fox and r2=0·58 for the Schaefer model. These results suggest that the resource is not overexploited. Fitting the data to Hilborn & Walters' dynamic model was not satisfactory.

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Analyzing Catch–Effort Data Allowing for Randomness in the Catching Process

Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences ◽

10.1139/f86-020 ◽

1986 ◽

Vol 43 (1) ◽

pp. 174-186 ◽

Cited By ~ 12

Author(s):

William J. Reed

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Dynamic Model ◽

Stochastic Dynamics ◽

Maximum Sustainable Yield ◽

Reliable Data ◽

Model Parameters ◽

Sustainable Yield ◽

Deterministic Dynamic ◽

Method Of Maximum Likelihood ◽

Bivariate Time Series

For many fisheries the only reliable data is a (bivariate) time series of catches and efforts. Most existing methods of analyzing such data implicitly assume that the main source of randomness is in the dynamics of the population, while ignoring randomness in the catching process. The assumption of a deterministic catch production function (usually of the Schaefer form C = qEX) must be contrary to the experience of almost everyone who has ever gone fishing. In this paper a stochastic catch model coupled with a deterministic dynamic model is used in the analysis of catch–effort data and shown to give very plausible results. Estimates (with confidence intervais) of catchability, maximum sustainable yield, and other dynamic model parameters are obtained numerically by the method of maximum likelihood. The incorporation of stochastic dynamics with the stochastic catch model is difficult.

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STATUS PEMANFAATAN IKAN CAKALANG (Katsuwonus pelamis) DI PERAIRAN KABUPATEN LUWU SULAWESI SELATAN

JOURNAL OF INDONESIAN TROPICAL FISHERIES (JOINT-FISH) : Jurnal Akuakultur, Teknologi Dan Manajemen Perikanan Tangkap, Ilmu Kelautan ◽

10.33096/joint-fish.v2i2.55 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 2 (2) ◽

pp. 216-228

Author(s):

Muhammad Jamal Alwi ◽

Hasrun Abdullah ◽

Ernaningsih Aras

Keyword(s):

Fishing Effort ◽

Maximum Sustainable Yield ◽

Production Model ◽

Sustainable Yield ◽

Skipjack Tuna ◽

Katsuwonus Pelamis ◽

Surplus Production ◽

Fish Resources ◽

Yield Value ◽

Surplus Production Model

Skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis), should be managed properly because even though it is renewable, natural resources can be depleted. One approach in managing fish resources is by modeling. The purpose of this study is to determine the maximum sustainable yield, the level of utilization and effort of skipjack tuna. Data on catches as well as catch efforts of skipjack tuna were collected from 9 fisheries year books of Luwu Kabupaten (District). The surplus production model used is the Schaefer, Fox, Walter & Hilborn model. Schaefer model obtained by MSY = 1541.08 tons and Fopt = 243 trips; Fox model obtained maximum sustainable yield value (YMSY) of 1602,244 tons, maximum sustainable fishing effort (fMSY) of 303 units and maximum sustainable CpUE value (UMSY) of 5.29 tons trip-1; the Walter & Hilborn model found potential stocks of sustainable reserves (Be) skipjack in Luwu district amounted to 935.72 tons year-1. Utilization rates of the skpjack tuina indicate the fish is still under exploitation.

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Trends in Pacific Canadian groundfish stock status

10.1101/2021.12.13.472502 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Sean C Anderson ◽

Brendan M Connors ◽

Philina A English ◽

Robyn E Forrest ◽

Rowan Haigh ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Credible Interval ◽

Maximum Sustainable Yield ◽

Sustainable Yield ◽

Pacific Cod ◽

Strait Of Georgia ◽

Individual Transferable Quotas ◽

Stock Status ◽

Stock Assessments ◽

Trawl Surveys

We assembled estimated biomass (B) time series from stock assessments for 24 Pacific Canadian groundfish stocks and modelled average and stock status through 2020 based on biomass relative to each stock's (1) Limit Reference Point (B/LRP), (2) Upper Stock Reference (B/USR), and (3) biomass at maximum sustainable yield (B/BMSY). The overall mean B/LRP in 2020 was 3.2 (95% credible interval [CI]: 2.6-3.9). The overall mean B/USR and B/BMSY in 2020 was 1.5 (95% CI: 1.3-1.9) and 1.4 (95% CI: 1.1-1.7), respectively. Average stock status declined from 1950 to around 2000 and has remained relatively stable since then. The change around 2000 followed the implementation of ITQs (individual transferable quotas) for the trawl fleet and the commencement of the synoptic trawl surveys. As of their last assessment, four stocks (Strait of Georgia Lingcod [Area 4B], coastwide Bocaccio, and inside and outside Quillback Rockfish) had a greater than 5% probability of being below their LRP (i.e., in the "critical zone"); Pacific Cod in Area 3CD had a 4.6% probability. Roughly one-third of stocks had a greater than 1 in 4 chance of being below their USR (i.e., in the "cautious zone"). Conversely, two-thirds of assessed groundfish stocks had a high (>75%) probability of being above the USR (i.e., in the "healthy zone").

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Marine Sustainable Yield Analysis of Pelagic Fisheries in Sea Based on Catch Landing data From Tumumpa Fishery Harber, Manado North Sulawesi

JURNAL ILMIAH PLATAX ◽

10.35800/jip.6.1.2018.17866 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 6 (1) ◽

pp. 21

Author(s):

David Y Rumambi ◽

Unstain N. W. J. Rembet ◽

Joudy R. R. Sangari

Keyword(s):

Fishing Effort ◽

Maximum Sustainable Yield ◽

Pelagic Fish ◽

Production Model ◽

Sustainable Yield ◽

Research Activity ◽

Fish Stocks ◽

Surplus Production ◽

North Sulawesi ◽

Surplus Production Model

This research activity took place in Manado City, North Sulawesi Province with activities centered on the Tumumpa Fishery Harbor (PPP). The data were recorded from capture fisheries activity conducted in the Sulawesi Sea and its surroundings landed in the Tumumpa Fishery Harbor. The purpose of this study was to analyze the stock value and Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY) of pelagic fish in the Sulawesi Sea based on the approach of the surplus production model (Model Schaefer). This research is expected to be used as a consideration in the management of pelagic fish stocks in the Sulawesi Sea, and can be used as a basis for further research. This research uses secondary data collection method in the form of statistical document and record available. The data taken, including fish catch and fishing effort or effort (trip), from 2012 to 2016 (5 years). The results show that production value is inversely proportional to the value of effort, where the value of production from 2012 to 2016 has decreased every year, while the value of effort from 2012 to 2016 has increased. This condition indicates that the presence of pelagic fish stocks in the Sulawesi Sea and surrounding areas has been and is experiencing a decline that impacts on the decrease of production every year with a large percentage and this condition also indicates the occurrence of potentially overfishing. The value of MSY utilization of capture fishery resources in the Sulawesi Sea based on Tumumpa Fishery Harbor data were 16,305.45 tons / year for HMSY and 1,664,59 trips / year for EMSY, with TAC of 13,044.36 tons / year.Keywords : Capture fishery, MSY, Pelagic, Surplus Production Model, Tumumpa ABSTRAK Kegiatan penelitian ini berlangsung di Kota Manado, Provinsi Sulawesi Utara dengan kegiatan berpusat di Pelabuhan Perikanan Pantai (PPP) Tumumpa Manado. Aktivitas perikanan tangkap yang ditelaah berlangsung di kawasan perairan Laut Sulawesi dan sekitarnya berdasarkan data PPP Tumumpa Manado. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis nilai stok dan Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY) ikan pelagis di Laut Sulawesi berdasarkan pendekatan model produksi surplus (Model Schaefer). Penelitan ini diharapkan dapat digunakan sebagai bahan pertimbangan dalam pengelolaan stok ikan pelagis di Laut Sulawesi dan sekitarnya, serta dapat digunakan sebagai dasar untuk penelitian selanjutnya. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode pengumpulan data sekunder berbentuk dokumen. Data yang diambil adalah data tangkapan ikan dan upaya penangkapan ikan atau effort (trip), dari tahun 2012 sampai dengan 2016 (5 Tahun). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan nilai produksi berbanding terbalik dengan nilai effort, di mana nilai produksi dari tahun 2012 sampai 2016 mengalami penurunan setiap tahunnya, sedangkan nilai effort dari tahun 2012 sampai tahun 2016 mengalami peningkatan. Kondisi yang terjadi ini mengindikasikan bahwa keberadaan stok ikan pelagis di Laut Sulawesi dan sekitarnya telah dan sedang mengalami penurunan yang berdampak pada penurunan produksi setiap tahun dengan persentase yang cukup besar di mana kondisi ini mengindikasikan terjadinya overfishing. Nilai MSY pemanfaatan sumber daya perikanan tangkap di Laut Sulawesi berdasarkan data PPP Tumumpa Manado sebesar 16.305,45 ton/tahun untuk HMSY, dan 1.664,59 trip/tahun untuk EMSY, dengan TAC sebesar 13.044,36 ton/tahun.Kata Kunci: Perikanan Tangkap, MSY, Pelagis, Model Produksi Surplus, Tumumpa

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PENENTUAN STATUS PEMANFAATAN DAN SKENARIO PENGELOLAAN IKAN CAKALANG (Katsuwonus pelamis) YANG TERTANGKAP DI PERAIRAN BOLAANG-MONGONDOW SULAWESI UTARA

JURNAL ILMIAH SAINS ◽

10.35799/jis.14.1.2014.4882 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 14 (1) ◽

pp. 9 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

John S Kekenusa ◽

Victor N.R Watung ◽

Djoni Hatidja

Keyword(s):

Maximum Sustainable Yield ◽

Production Model ◽

Sustainable Yield ◽

Potential Yield ◽

Katsuwonus Pelamis ◽

Effort Level ◽

Surplus Production ◽

North Sulawesi ◽

Surplus Production Model ◽

The Status

PENENTUAN STATUS PEMANFAATAN DAN SKENARIO PENGELOLAANIKAN CAKALANG (Katsuwonus pelamis) YANG TERTANGKAP DI PERAIRANBOLAANG-MONGONDOW SULAWESI UTARAABSTRAKIkan Cakalang (Katsuwonus pelamis L.), perlu dikelola dengan baik sebagai sumber daya alam terbarukan, tetapi semakin habis atau punah. Salah satu pendekatan dalam pengelolaan sumberdaya ikan adalah dengan pemodelan. Analisis dilakukan, bertujuan untuk mendapatkan model terbaik untuk model surplus produksi adalah Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY), dan untuk mendapatkan pemanfaatan cakalang dan tingkat usaha. Data yang digunakan untuk model produksi surplus dikumpulkan dari data hasil tangkapan cakalang yang disediakan oleh Dinas Kelautan Dan Perikanan Kabupaten Bolaang Mongondow Provinsi Sulawesi Utara. Model terbaik Surplus Produksi dapat digunakan untuk menilai potensi hasil cakalang adalah model Fox. Upaya optimal per tahun secara biologi EMSY adalah 3.876 perjalanan. Hasil optimal secara biologi CMSY 1,505.00 ton per tahun. Tingkat pemanfaatan untuk tahun 2005 adalah 124,48%, dengan tingkat usaha 110,96%. Hasil tangkapan untuk tahun 2005 sudah di atas nilai MSY, yang menunjukkan overfishingKata kunci: ikan cakalang, Model surplus produksi, Maksimum Sustainable Yield,Bolaang MonogndowDETERMINATION OF THE STATUS OF UTILIZATION AND MANAGEMENTSCENARIOS SKIPJACK (Katsuwonus pelamis L.) CAUGHT IN THEBOLAANG MONGONDOW BEACH, NORTH SULAWESIABSTRACTSkipjack (Katsuwonus pelamis L.), needs to be managed well as a renewable natural resources, but vunerable to depletion or extinction. One approach in fish resource management is by modeling. Analysis were carried out, aimed to get the best model for surplus production model, to assess the Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY), and to get the skipjack utilization and effort level. Data used for surplus production model were collected from skipjack landings data provided by Marine and Fisheries Service (Dinas Kelautan dan Perikanan) of Bolaang-Mongondow Regency and North Sulawesi Province. The best Surplus Production Model that can be used to assess the skipjack potential yield is the Fox model. The optimum effort per year biologically EMSY is 3,876 trips. The optimum yield biologically CMSY is 1,505.00 tons per year. Utilization level for 2005 was 124.48 %, with effort level 110.96 %. The catch for 2005 had already above the MSY value, which shows an overfishing.Keywords : Skipjack, Surplus Production Model, Maximum Sustainable Yield, Bolaang Mongondow

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PENENTUAN STATUS PEMANFAATAN DAN SKENARIO PENGELOLAAN IKAN TONGKOL (Auxis rochei) YANG TERTANGKAP DI PERAIRAN KABUPATEN SIAU-TAGULANDANG-BIARO SULAWESI UTARA

JURNAL ILMIAH SAINS ◽

10.35799/jis.14.2.2014.6268 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 14 (2) ◽

pp. 136

Author(s):

John S. Kekenusa ◽

Sendy B. Rondonuwu ◽

Marline S. Paendong ◽

Winsy Ch.D. Weku

Keyword(s):

Maximum Sustainable Yield ◽

Production Model ◽

Sustainable Yield ◽

Management Scenarios ◽

Potential Yield ◽

Effort Level ◽

Surplus Production ◽

North Sulawesi ◽

Surplus Production Model ◽

The Status

ABSTRAK Ikan tongkol (Auxis rochei), perlu dikelola dengan baik karena walaupun sebagai sumberdaya alam terbarukan, namun dapat mengalami deplesi ataupun kepunahan. Salah satu pendekatan dalam pengelolaan sumberdaya ikan ialah dengan pemodelan. Analisis dilakukan bertujuan untuk mendapatkan model terbaik untuk model produksi surplus guna mengetahui tangkapan maksimum lestari (MSY), tingkat pemanfaatan, dan pengupayaan ikan tongkol. Data hasil tangkapan dan upaya tangkap ikan tongkol dikumpulkan dari Dinas Kelautan dan Perikanan Kabupaten Siau-Tagulandang-Biaro dan Dinas Kelautan dan Perikanan Provinsi Sulawesi Utara Sulawesi. Model Produksi Surplus terbaik, yang digunakan untuk menilai potensi ikan tongkol ialah model Schaefer. Upaya optimal (EMSY)sebesar 5436 trip per tahun. Hasil tangkapan optimal CMSY sebesar 1040,94 ton per tahun. Tingkat pemanfaatan untuk tahun 2013 ialah 103,80 %, dengan tingkat pengusahaan sebesar 110,56 %, yang menunjukkan terjadi tangkap-lebih (overfishing). Kata Kunci : Ikan tongkol, Model Produksi Surplus,Tangkapan Maksimum Lestari, Siau-Tagulandang-Biaro DETERMINATION OF THE STATUS OF UTILIZATION AND MANAGEMENT SCENARIOS BONITO (Auxis rochei) CAUGHT IN THE SIAU-TAGULANDANG-BIARO REGENCY NORTH SULAWESI ABSTRACT Bonito (Auxis rochei), needs to be managed well as a renewable natural resources, but vunerable to depletion or extinction. One approach in fish resource management is by modeling. Analysis were carried out, aimed to get the best model for surplus production model, to assess the Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY), and to get the bonito utilization and effort level. Data used for surplus production model were collected from bonito landings data provided by Marine and Fisheries Service (Dinas Kelautan dan Perikanan) of Siau-Tagulandang-Biaro Regency and North Sulawesi Province. The best Surplus Production Model that can be used to assess the bonito potential yield is the Schaefer model. The optimum effort biologically EMSY is 5,436 trips per year. The optimum yield biologically CMSY is 1,040.94 tons per year. Utilization level for 2013 was103.80 %, with effort level 110.56 %. The catch for 2013 had already above the MSY value, which shows an overfishing. Keywords : Bonito, Surplus Production Model, Maximum Sustainable Yield, Siau-Tagulandang-Biaro

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STATUS STOK GENUS Rastrelliger spp. SEBAGAI DASAR PENGELOLAAN PERIKANAN (STUDI KASUS PERAIRAN SELAT SUNDA)

Jurnal Perikanan Universitas Gadjah Mada ◽

10.22146/jfs.12424 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 18 (2) ◽

pp. 73

Author(s):

Wulandari Sarasati ◽

Mennofatria Boer ◽

Sulistiono Sulistiono

Keyword(s):

Maximum Sustainable Yield ◽

Production Model ◽

Sustainable Yield ◽

Growth Coefficient ◽

Surplus Production ◽

Stock Status ◽

Surplus Production Model ◽

Exploitation Rate ◽

Two Peaks ◽

Recruitment Period

The Rastrelliger spp. is one of the important commodities of the Sunda Strait. This research aimsto analyze the stock status of Rastrelliger spp. Including R. faughni, R. kanagurta and R. brachysoma in Sunda Strait that landed at the Fishery Harbor (PPP) Labuan, Banten. The sampling was conducted in April-August 2015. The data was collected using Random stratified sampling based on the fish size, small, medium and large. The length of the sample was measured and classified into male and female. The data were analyzed using FISAT II ELEFAN I software to present the stock with growth, recruitment, surplus production model, and mortality and rate of exploitation parameters. The results show that R. faughni has L∞ values for females and males respectively of 264.00 mm and 288.69 mm, 293.09 mm and 330.24 mm R. kanagurta and R. brachysoma 272.04 mm and 286.42. Growth Performs Index (GPI) on R. faughni of 4.2758, R. kanagurta of 4.1673, and on R. brachysoma of 4.2076. The growth coefficient of female and male R. faughni was 0.22 and 0.16, R. kanagurta of 0.24 and 0.10, and R. brachysoma 0.20 and 0.13. The level of recruitment of each varies but overall undergoes two peaks during the recruitment period. Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY) for the Rastrelliger spp. 1,919.02 tons and FMSY (Effort MSY) for 16,766 trips. Furthermore, the mortality rate of arrest (F) R. faughni amounted to 14.53, R. kanagurta 9.43, and R. brachysoma 1.74. The estimation of stock status has never been detached from the exploitation rate. The rate of exploitation for R. faughni, and that is equal to 0.98, R. kanagurta of 0.98, and R. brachysoma 0.85. Judging from the rate of exploitation can be expected the three fish of the Rastrelliger spp. In the Sunda Strait has been over exploited because it has exceeded the limits of optimum exploitation rate.

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