Perceiving moisture damage of asphalt mixes containing RAP using survival analysis based on Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox proportional hazards model

2022 ◽  
Vol 320 ◽  
pp. 126249
Author(s):  
Burhan Showkat ◽  
Dharamveer Singh
Risks ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 121
Author(s):  
Beata Bieszk-Stolorz ◽  
Krzysztof Dmytrów

The aim of our research was to compare the intensity of decline and then increase in the value of basic stock indices during the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic in 2020. The survival analysis methods used to assess the risk of decline and chance of rise of the indices were: Kaplan–Meier estimator, logit model, and the Cox proportional hazards model. We observed the highest intensity of decline in the European stock exchanges, followed by the American and Asian plus Australian ones (after the fourth and eighth week since the peak). The highest risk of decline was in America, then in Europe, followed by Asia and Australia. The lowest risk was in Africa. The intensity of increase was the highest in the fourth and eleventh week since the minimal value had been reached. The highest odds of increase were in the American stock exchanges, followed by the European and Asian (including Australia and Oceania), and the lowest in the African ones. The odds and intensity of increase in the stock exchange indices varied from continent to continent. The increase was faster than the initial decline.


BMC Nutrition ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Akiko Nakanishi ◽  
Erika Homma ◽  
Tsukasa Osaki ◽  
Ri Sho ◽  
Masayoshi Souri ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Dairy products are known as health-promoting foods. This study prospectively examined the association between milk and yogurt intake and mortality in a community-based population. Methods The study population comprised of 14,264 subjects aged 40–74 years who participated in an annual health checkup. The frequency of yogurt and milk intake was categorized as none (< 1/month), low (< 1/week), moderate (1–6/week), and high (> 1/day) intake. The association between yogurt and milk intake and total, cardiovascular, and cancer-related mortalities was determined using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results During the follow-up period, there were 265 total deaths, 40 cardiovascular deaths and 90 cancer-related deaths. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the total mortality in high/moderate/low yogurt intake and moderate/low milk intake groups was lower than that in none group (log-rank, P < 0.01). In the multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis adjusted for possible confounders, the hazard ratio (HR) for total mortality significantly decreased in high/moderate yogurt intake group (HR: 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.42–0.91 for high intake, HR: 0.70, 95%CI: 0.49–0.99 for moderate intake) and moderate milk intake group (HR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.46–0.97) compared with the none yogurt and milk intake groups. A similar association was observed for cancer-related mortality, but not for cardiovascular mortality. Conclusions Our study showed that yogurt and milk intake was independently associated with a decrease in total and cancer-related mortalities in the Japanese population.


Author(s):  
Majdi Imterat ◽  
Tamar Wainstock ◽  
Eyal Sheiner ◽  
Gali Pariente

Abstract Recent evidence suggests that a long inter-pregnancy interval (IPI: time interval between live birth and estimated time of conception of subsequent pregnancy) poses a risk for adverse short-term perinatal outcome. We aimed to study the effect of short (<6 months) and long (>60 months) IPI on long-term cardiovascular morbidity of the offspring. A population-based cohort study was performed in which all singleton live births in parturients with at least one previous birth were included. Hospitalizations of the offspring up to the age of 18 years involving cardiovascular diseases and according to IPI length were evaluated. Intermediate interval, between 6 and 60 months, was considered the reference. Kaplan–Meier survival curves were used to compare the cumulative morbidity incidence between the groups. Cox proportional hazards model was used to control for confounders. During the study period, 161,793 deliveries met the inclusion criteria. Of them, 14.1% (n = 22,851) occurred in parturient following a short IPI, 78.6% (n = 127,146) following an intermediate IPI, and 7.3% (n = 11,796) following a long IPI. Total hospitalizations of the offspring, involving cardiovascular morbidity, were comparable between the groups. The Kaplan–Meier survival curves demonstrated similar cumulative incidences of cardiovascular morbidity in all groups. In a Cox proportional hazards model, short and long IPI did not appear as independent risk factors for later pediatric cardiovascular morbidity of the offspring (adjusted HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.80–1.18; adjusted HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.83–1.37, for short and long IPI, respectively). In our population, extreme IPIs do not appear to impact long-term cardiovascular hospitalizations of offspring.


2015 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 199-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fan Zhang ◽  
Hong Liu ◽  
Xiaoli Gong ◽  
Fuyou Liu ◽  
Youming Peng ◽  
...  

ObjectiveThe intent of this study was to evaluate the clinical outcome and risk factors affecting mortality of the continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD) patients in a single peritoneal dialysis (PD) center over a period of 10 years.Patients and methodsWe retrospectively analyzed patients on PD from June 2001 to June 2011. The clinical and biochemical data were collected from the medical records. Clinical variables included gender, age at the start of PD, smoking status, body mass index (BMI), cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), presence of diabetes mellitus and blood pressure. Biochemical variables included hemoglobin, urine volume, residual renal function (RRF), serum albumin, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), creatinine, total cholesterol, triglyceride, comorbidities, and outcomes. Survival curves were made by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses to identify mortality risk factors were performed using the Cox proportional hazard regression model.ResultsA total of 421 patients were enrolled, 269 of whom were male (63.9%). The mean age at the start of PD was 57.9 ± 14.8 years. Chronic glomerulonephritis was the most common cause of ESRD (39.4%). Estimation of patient survival by Kaplan-Meier was 92.5%, 80.2%, 74.4%, and 55.7% at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively. Patient survival was associated with age (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.641 [1.027 – 2.622], p = 0.038), cardiovascular disease (HR: 1.731 [1.08 – 2.774], p = 0.023), hypertriglyceridemia (HR: 1.782 [1.11 – 2.858], p = 0.017) in the Cox proportional hazards model analysis. Estimation of technique survival by Kaplan-Meier was 86.7%, 68.8%, 55.7%, and 37.4% at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively. In the Cox proportional hazards model analysis, age (HR: 1.672 [1.176 – 2.377], p = 0.004) and hypertriglyceridemia (HR: 1.511 [1.050 – 2.174], p = 0.026) predicted technique failure.ConclusionThe PD patients in our center exhibited comparable or even superior patient survival and technical survival rates, compared with reports from other centers in China and other countries.


Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 2789-2789 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kiran Naqvi ◽  
Guillermo Garcia-Manero ◽  
Sagar Sardesai ◽  
Jeong Oh ◽  
Sherry Pierce ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 2789 Poster Board II-765 Background: Cancer patients often experience comorbidities that may affect their therapeutic options, prognosis, and outcome (1). Limited studies have evaluated the characteristics and impact of comorbidities in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). The aim of this study was to determine the effect of comorbidities on the survival of patients with MDS. Methods: We reviewed the medical records of 500 consecutive MDS patients who presented to MD Anderson Cancer Center from January 2002 to June 2004. The Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27 (ACE-27), a validated 27-item comorbidity index for cancer patients (2), was used to assess the severity of comorbid conditions. For each patient, we obtained demographic data and specific staging information based on the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS). We also collected information on stem cell transplantation (SCT), mortality and survival. Kaplan-Meier methods and log-rank tests were used to assess survival. Multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox Proportional Hazards Model. Results: Of the 500 patients included in this study, 327 (65.4%) were male, and 436 (87.9%) were white; median age at presentation was 66.6 years (17.7, 93.5); mean duration of follow-up was 23.5 months (0, 88). A total of 49% of patients had IPSS intermediate-1 or lower risk. The ACE-27 comorbidity scores were as follows: none, 106 patients (21.2%); mild, 213 (42.6%); moderate, 108 (21.6%); and severe, 73 (14.6%). Three hundred and eighty one (76.2%) patients died, and 44 (8.8%) patients underwent SCT. Overall median survival using the Kaplan-Meier method was 17.6 months. Median survival according to ACE-27 scores was: 27.9 months for no comorbidity, 18.9 months for mild comorbidity, 15.2 months for moderate comorbidity, and 9.7 months for severe comorbidity. This trend reached statistical significance (p < 0.0001). The median survival by IPSS ranged from 40.9 months for patients in the low risk group versus 8.1 months for those in the high risk category (p < 0.0001). The hazards ratio obtained from the multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Model was 1.5 and 2.0 for moderate and severe comorbidity scores when adjusted for age and IPSS (p < 0.0001). A linear trend was also observed between the severity of comorbidity and having received SCT (p = 0.001). Of the 44 patients who had SCT, 21 (47.7%) died. The median survival of patients who did not undergo stem cell transplantation ranged from 22.7 months for patients with no comorbidity to 9.3 months for patients with severe comorbidity (p = 0.0002). Conclusion: Comorbidities had a significant impact on the survival of patients with myelodysplastic syndrome. Patients with higher ACE-27 comorbidity scores had a shorter survival than those with no comorbidity, independent of their age and the IPSS risk group. Also patients with comorbid conditions received SCT less often than those without comorbidity. A comprehensive assessment of comorbidity is therefore needed to determine the prognosis in patients with MDS. References: (1) Extermann M. Measurement and impact of comorbidity in older cancer patients. Crit Rev Oncol Hematol. 2000;35:181-200. (1) Piccirillo JF, Tierney RM, Costas I, et al. Prognostic importance of comorbidity in a hospital-based cancer registry. JAMA. 2004;291:2441-47. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 518-518
Author(s):  
Nathan Colin Wong ◽  
Shawn Dason ◽  
Lucas W. Dean ◽  
Sumit Isharwal ◽  
Mark Donoghue ◽  
...  

518 Background: Late relapse (>2 years) GCT is associated with an increased rate of SSM. We report our experience with SSM in the setting of late relapse and determine predictors of overall survival (OS). Methods: From 1985 to 2018, 46 patients with GCT and SSM at late relapse were identified. Clinical and pathologic parameters were reviewed. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate OS from time of relapse and a Cox proportional hazards model to assess predictors of OS. Results: Of 46 men (44 testicular primary, 2 mediastinal primary), median time to late relapse with SSM was 10.4 years (range, 2.3 - 38.1). Most (n=27, 59%) were symptomatic at presentation but 11 were detected by elevated tumor markers (AFP 8, HCG 2, both 1) and 8 by surveillance imaging. SSMs were adenocarcinoma (25), sarcoma (14), poorly differentiated neoplasm (3), Wilms (2), PNET (1) and glioma (1). Median time to relapse was longer for adenocarcinoma vs other histotypes of SSM (14.6 vs 4.1 years, p < 0.001). The initial site of relapse was the retroperitoneum (RP, 26), pelvis (7), lung (6), retrocrural space (3), mediastinum (2), neck (1) and duodenum (1). Only 10 of 26 men with late relapse in the RP had undergone prior RPLND (all at outside institutions; variable templates) with histology in 7/10 showing teratoma. The other 16 men had received chemotherapy only (8), orchiectomy only for stage I (3), RPLND aborted due to cardiac arrest (1), and unknown (4). All 46 late relapses were managed with surgical resection; 26 also received chemotherapy (16 SSM-directed, 10 GCT-directed). Overall, 12 patients died and the median OS was 14.2 years. On univariable analysis, symptomatic presentation (HR = 3.1), SSM at multiple sites (HR = 3.9), extra-RP disease (HR: 3.9), and incomplete/no resection of SSM (HR = 3.6) predicted mortality. On multivariable analysis, only extra-RP disease was independently associated with inferior OS (5-year OS, 82 vs 52%, p = 0.017). Conclusions: SSM is an important potential complication of late relapse GCT and seems to be associated with the lack of resection of retroperitoneal metastases. Early identification and complete surgical resection prior to SSM arising in extra-RP sites is critical to optimizing outcomes.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shilong Wu ◽  
Mengyang Liu ◽  
Weixue Cui ◽  
Guilin Peng ◽  
Jianxing He

Abstract Background Thymoma is an uncommon intrathoracic malignant tumor and has a long natural history. It is uncertain whether the survival of thymoma patient is affected by prior cancer history. Finding out the impact of a prior cancer history on thymoma survival has important implications for both decision making and research. Method The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for thymoma patients diagnosed between 1975 and 2015. Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze overall survival across a variety of stages, age, and treatment methods with a prior cancer history or not. Results A total of 3604 patients with thymoma were identified including 507 (14.1%) with a prior cancer history. The 10-year survival rate of patients with a prior cancer history (53.8%) was worse than those without a prior cancer history (40.32%, 95%CI 35.24-45.33, P < 0.0001). However, adjusted analyses showed that the impact of a prior cancer history was heterogenous across age and treatment methods. In subset analyses, prior cancer history was associated with worse survival among patients who were treated with chemoradiotherapy (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.51-5.20, P = 0.001) and age ≤ 65 years (HR: 1.33, 95%CI: 1.02-1.73, P = 0.036). Conclusions Prior cancer history provides an inferior overall survival for patients with thymoma. But it does not worsen the survival in some subgroups and these thymoma patients should not be excluded from clinical trials.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Zhao ◽  
Deepika Dilip

Abstract Background: The outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has struck us in many ways and we observed that China and South Korea found an effective measure to contain the virus. Conversely, the United States and the European countries are struggling to fight the virus. China is not considered a democracy and South Korea is less democratic than the United States. Therefore, we want to explore the association between the deaths of COVID-19 and democracy. Methods: We collected COVID-19 deaths data for each country from the Johns Hopkins University website and democracy indices of 2018 from the Economist Intelligence Unit website in May 2020. Then we conducted a survival analysis, regarding each country as a subject, with the Cox Proportional Hazards Model, adjusting for other selected variables. Result: The result showed that the association between democracy and deaths of COVID-19 was significant (P=0.04), adjusting for other covariates. Conclusion: In conclusion, less democratic governments performed better in containing the virus and controlling the number of deaths.


Agriculture ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 238
Author(s):  
Kramer ◽  
Schorr ◽  
Doluschitz ◽  
Lips

We analysed the adjustment phase following a dairy shed investment. On the basis of farm observations from both the Swiss Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) and a database of government-supported investments from 2003 through 2014, we focused on the imputed profit, the farm income minus opportunity costs for family labour and family capital. After investment, the analysed farms needed three years to return to the same profit level as that before the investment (median value). A Cox proportional-hazards model (survival analysis) showed that the probability of reattaining the imputed profit increased with equity capital. A reduction of the probability was related to a high imputed profit, a high off-farm income, high expenses for purchased animals and, in particular, a greater use of family labour before the investment. We conclude that the use of family labour after investment should be addressed more thoroughly during the planning process prior to an investment.


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