scholarly journals Uncertainty in the public debt market and stochastic long-run growth

2011 ◽  
Vol 28 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 67-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
Panagiotis Tsintzos ◽  
Theologos Dergiades
Keyword(s):  
Long Run ◽  
Author(s):  
Oleksandra Vіvchar ◽  
◽  
Solomiia Papirnyk ◽  

The article provides an applied analysis of Ukraine's public debt, in particular in the context of the feasibility of optimizing its structure. The comparison of internal and external borrowings is made, the main shortcomings and advantages of each of these ways of mobilization of financial resources are revealed. Given the hypothesis of the need to increase domestic public debt compared to external, special attention is paid to the study of the main financial instrument through which the state raises funds in the domestic market - domestic government bonds of Ukraine. The dynamics of data volumes of debt securities with an emphasis on crisis periods in both the world and domestic economies was also studied. In addition, the structure of domestic government bonds of Ukraine in circulation was considered on the basis of the owner. This made it possible to identify the main players in the domestic government bond market, as well as the motives that motivate them to increase their own portfolio of domestic government bonds of Ukraine. In order to determine the prospects for increasing the volume of output of these instruments of the Ukrainian stock market, their comparative analysis with alternative types of investments. Particular attention in this aspect is paid to the comparison of IGLBs with deposits, which today are considered the simplest, clearest and most proven way to invest money for individuals. An important role in this study is given to the analysis of key problems of the domestic government bond market, which have haunted the domestic economy since the independence of Ukraine. The main successes achieved in recent years by the Public Debt Management Office of Ukraine with the support of representatives of international financial organizations in terms of optimizing the domestic securities market are presented. The main steps that need to be taken for further real transformation of the debt securities market in Ukraine and which in the long run will reduce Ukraine's financial dependence on external creditors, in particular their requirements in the political and economic arena, are also outlined.


2012 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 947-954 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandru Minea ◽  
Patrick Villieu

In a very interesting endogenous growth model, Futagami, Iwaisako, and Ohdoi [Macroeconomic Dynamics 12 (2008), 445–462] study the long-run growth effect of borrowing for public investment. Their model exhibits (i) the multiplicity of balanced growth paths (BGPs) in the long run (two steady states) and (ii) a possible indeterminacy of the transition path to the high-growth BGP. The goal of this note is to show that their results depend on a sharp assumption, namely the definition of the public debt target as a ratio to private capital. If the target is defined in terms of public debt–to–GDP ratio, both results vanish: the model exhibits a unique BGP (no multiplicity) and the adjustment path to this unique equilibrium is determinate (no indeterminacy).


2012 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisco Cabo ◽  
Ana García-González

An aging population in modern societies has put stress on public pension systems. To prevent social security deficits from increasing to unbounded levels of public debt we focus on two policies: reducing the generosity of pension benefits, determined by the government, and postponing the effective retirement age, chosen by employees. An atomistic employee would disregard the effect of his retirement decision on the public debt and would retire as soon as possible. Conversely, an ideal farsighted agency considering all current and future employees would postpone retirement, thereby alleviating the pressure on public debt and allowing a more generous long-run pension. The government may design a proper incentive strategy to induce myopic atomistic decision makers to act nonmyopically. This strategy is a two-part incentive with nonlinear dependence on the stock of public debt. It is credible if deceiving employees slightly adjust their retirement-age decisions to increments in the public debt.


2019 ◽  
pp. 23-36
Author(s):  
Taras MARSHALOK ◽  
Ivanna MOROZ

Introduction. An increase in public debt may have a negative, neutral or positive impact on the country's economic development. A big loan does not mean big growth; it all depends on how the public money is spent. The same amount of money spent by governments from dif­ferent countries has a different meaning for domestic development and the dynamics of public debt. The reasons are differences in the size of GDP, the structure of government borrowings, the shadow economy. Purpose. The objective of this paper is to deepen the theoretical backgrounds and applied aspects of influence of the public debt on the economic development of the country. Methods. In the research process, a set of research methods and approaches were used: systemic, structural-functional, comparisons and others. Results. The problem of a high level of public debt is acute in many countries throughout the world, including Ukraine. Nobody can say for sure whether a high public debt holds back the country's economic development. Theoretically, economically weaker countries, having regard to the financial constraints and economic needs, should have a higher level of public debt in relation to GDP than countries with high levels of development. However, comparing the data on the ratio of public debt and GDP in the EU, it can be noted the following: the higher indicators in the more developed countries of the EU. The latter, in fact, are the largest lenders of the world economy and at the same time have the largest volumes of the public debt both in absolute terms and in relation to GDP. As a result of the unsatisfactory financial state of the public sector, household saving goes to the repayment of the higher-level commitments, and not for the financing of the development of companies. This is especially problematic if we look at the situation of future generations – they will have less capital at their disposal. Public debt is a reduction in future revenues; hence, it is an intergenerational problem. Conclusions. It is possible to make proposals that will have a significant impact on the growth of the economy and the reduction of the public debt: – internal borrowing but not the external loans are economically justified. In this case, the debts do not increase the money base and the turnover of funds is carried out within the state; – entrepreneurship requires the systematic and consistent support that will stimulate the economic development, which needs stable business conditions in the long run.


Author(s):  
Mykhailo Hantsiak

The purpose of the study is to substantiate the need to determine the essence and place of the public debt market in the financial market. Achievement is ensured by the implementation of tasks: systematization of views of domestic and foreign scientists on the essence of the place of public debt in the classification system of financial market segments; study of the structure of the financial market in terms of segments that ensure the implementation of debt financing of public debts; development of a theoretical approach to the structure of the public debt market. The article considers and systematizes the views of scientists concerning the place of the state morgue market in the financial market. The article substantiates the need to supplement the classification features for financial market segmentation in terms of complementing the target of market participants and identifying segments: the market for attracting financial resources to cover the state budget deficit (public debt market); the market for attracting financial resources to increase private capital. The concept of the public debt market is defined and its structure is proposed in general and detailed form. In general, the structure of the public debt market covers the debt securities market and the external credit market. The government debt securities market is a segment of the securities market, which in turn can also be classified. The same can be said about the external segment of the credit market. However, if the government debt securities market is fully owned by the public debt market, then the external segment of the credit market is only partially owned. The detailed structure of the public debt market is also presented. Conclusions are drawn and the directions of further scientific research in this direction are indicated.


Author(s):  
Kazi Mezbah Uddin Ahamad ◽  
Md. Mominul Islam

Public debt is intended to bridge the gap between domestic savings and investment. This paper examines the effect of public debt on economic growth in Bangladesh in the short run and the long run. It finds a significant positive relationship to exist between public debt and economic growth in the short-run while a significant rise in the public debt in Bangladesh appears to be a burden for the economic growth in the long run controlling for other determinants of growth. This suggests that funds have not been utilized in the productive economic avenues which might have improved the economic growth scenario in Bangladesh. Also, the adverse effect exerted by public debt may further be responsible for a reduction in investment and slower growth of capital stock, which eventually can hamper labour productivity growth in the country in the long run.


2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 31-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinshuai Hu ◽  
Albert Kwame Mensah ◽  
Albert Tsang

ABSTRACT The objective of this study is to examine the role of foreign institutional investors (FIIs) in firms' choice of debt. Using a large sample of firms from 40 countries, we find that FIIs are positively associated with the propensity of firms to access the public debt market and the subsequent issuance of new public debt. In contrast, we find no relationship between domestic institutional ownership and public debt. Our results are robust to various specifications, including a 2SLS regression model, a change model, a Heckman two-stage model and propensity score matching model, and a quasi-natural experiment using the exogenous relaxation of foreign equity restrictiveness. Cross-sectional tests further show that findings are stronger for firms with poorer accruals quality, with higher levels of information asymmetry, and firms domiciled in countries with weaker creditor protection. Collectively, our findings suggest that FIIs play a vital role in facilitating firms' public debt financing.


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