DEBT POLICY RULE, PRODUCTIVE GOVERNMENT SPENDING, AND MULTIPLE GROWTH PATHS: A NOTE

2012 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 947-954 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandru Minea ◽  
Patrick Villieu
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
High Growth ◽  
Growth Effect ◽  
The Public ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Endogenous Growth Model ◽  
Productive Government Spending ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Debt Policy

In a very interesting endogenous growth model, Futagami, Iwaisako, and Ohdoi [Macroeconomic Dynamics 12 (2008), 445–462] study the long-run growth effect of borrowing for public investment. Their model exhibits (i) the multiplicity of balanced growth paths (BGPs) in the long run (two steady states) and (ii) a possible indeterminacy of the transition path to the high-growth BGP. The goal of this note is to show that their results depend on a sharp assumption, namely the definition of the public debt target as a ratio to private capital. If the target is defined in terms of public debt–to–GDP ratio, both results vanish: the model exhibits a unique BGP (no multiplicity) and the adjustment path to this unique equilibrium is determinate (no indeterminacy).

PROSPECTS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE OVDP MARKET IN UKRAINE AS AN ALTERNATIVES TO EXTERNAL BORROWING

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oleksandra Vіvchar ◽  
◽  
Solomiia Papirnyk ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Bond Market ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Securities Market ◽  
Government Bond ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
The Public ◽  
Long Run ◽  
External Borrowing ◽  
Domestic Economies

The article provides an applied analysis of Ukraine's public debt, in particular in the context of the feasibility of optimizing its structure. The comparison of internal and external borrowings is made, the main shortcomings and advantages of each of these ways of mobilization of financial resources are revealed. Given the hypothesis of the need to increase domestic public debt compared to external, special attention is paid to the study of the main financial instrument through which the state raises funds in the domestic market - domestic government bonds of Ukraine. The dynamics of data volumes of debt securities with an emphasis on crisis periods in both the world and domestic economies was also studied. In addition, the structure of domestic government bonds of Ukraine in circulation was considered on the basis of the owner. This made it possible to identify the main players in the domestic government bond market, as well as the motives that motivate them to increase their own portfolio of domestic government bonds of Ukraine. In order to determine the prospects for increasing the volume of output of these instruments of the Ukrainian stock market, their comparative analysis with alternative types of investments. Particular attention in this aspect is paid to the comparison of IGLBs with deposits, which today are considered the simplest, clearest and most proven way to invest money for individuals. An important role in this study is given to the analysis of key problems of the domestic government bond market, which have haunted the domestic economy since the independence of Ukraine. The main successes achieved in recent years by the Public Debt Management Office of Ukraine with the support of representatives of international financial organizations in terms of optimizing the domestic securities market are presented. The main steps that need to be taken for further real transformation of the debt securities market in Ukraine and which in the long run will reduce Ukraine's financial dependence on external creditors, in particular their requirements in the political and economic arena, are also outlined.

scholarly journals Impact of Public Debt, Deficit and Debt Financing on Private Investment in a Large Country: Evidence from the United States

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-161
Author(s):  
Amir Kia
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Adjustment Costs ◽  
The United States ◽  
Direct Impact ◽  
Large Country ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

This paper analyses the direct impact of fiscal variables on private investment. The current literature ignores one or more fiscal variables and, in many cases, the foreign financing of debt. In this paper, an aggregate investment function for an economy in which firms incur adjustment costs in their investment process is developed. The developed model incorporates the direct impact of government expenditure, public debt and investment, deficits and foreign-financed debt on private investment. The model is tested on US data. It is found that public investment does not have any impact on private investment, but government expenditure, deficit, debt and foreign-financed debt crowd out private investment over the long run. However, deficit crowds in the private investment over the short run.

scholarly journals FACTORS OF GROWTH OF THE EFFICIENCY OF PUBLIC DEBT MANAGEMENT

2021 ◽  
pp. 5-11
Author(s):  
M. E. Kosov
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Financial Management ◽  
The State ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
The Public ◽  
Correlation And Regression Analysis ◽  
Public Financial Management ◽  
Public Debt Management ◽  
Debt Policy

Public debt is an integral part of public finances of various countries, the process of its management, including formation, maintenance and repayment has a powerful impact on the macroeconomic system of the state. The subject of the study is the public debt of the Russian Federation. The article performs a correlation and regression analysis of factors that have a direct impact on the state of the Russia’s public debt under the conditions of the restrictions caused by the Covid-19 coronavirus infection, as well as the consequences of these restrictions. The paper proposes an econometric model that describes a system of indirect macroeconomic factors that are not directly related to the state’s debt policy, but show the strongest influence on the formation of public debt in modern realities and increase the efficiency of its management, as well as reflect the quality of public financial management in general. The author concludes that the demographic burden and the indicator reflecting the ratio of the budget deficit to the total budget revenue have the greatest impact on the effectiveness of public debt management.

REGIONAL CONVERGENCE OF ECONOMIC GROWTH DURING POST-REFORM PERIOD IN INDIA

2014 ◽  
Vol 59 (02) ◽  
pp. 1450012 ◽  
Author(s):  
JAGANNATH MALLICK
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Models ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Club Convergence ◽  
Conditional Convergence ◽  
Indian States ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
The Public ◽  
Long Run

This paper examines the club-convergence and conditional convergence of economic growth of the major 15 states in India over the periods from 1993–1994 to 2004–2005 by using dynamic fixed effect growth models. The result finds that there is club-convergence within the middle income states. There is also evidence of the convergence of per capita income among Indian states by conditioning private investment and public investment along with other factors of economic growth. This paper is innovative in separating the significance of private investment from the public investment in the long-run dynamics of income in Indian states. This paper suggests that regional disparity in income can be reduced by equitable allocation of private investment and equitable distribution of public investment.

scholarly journals The Risk of Long-Term Financing of Public Investments

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 42
Author(s):  
Krzysztof Jarosiński ◽  
Benedykt Opałka
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
The Public ◽  
Public Investments ◽  
The Impact

The risk of financing of public investments is a phenomenon that accompanies development processes in a permanent manner. Investments in the public sector are generally characterized by relatively long implementation cycles and involve significant capital expenditure and the necessity of often parallel running a large number of investment projects. In the processes of this type of investment a specific risk category of financing of this type of investment is quite often taken into account, given that such projects are financed mainly from budgetary resources: the state budget and self-government budgets. Economic practice indicates an importance of the proper selection of the method of the financing of new investments and taking into account new funds from various sources. This situation is often the result of a shortage of budgetary resources from which public investments could be financed. There may be difficulties in financing investments resulting from the emergence of a risk of budgetary deficit and the public debt. This risk may have a negative impact on investment decisions and may adversely affect the future course of ongoing investment projects. The purpose of the paper is to undertake studies on the conditions of financing investments from the point of view of the possibility of budget deficit and public debt and the impact of changes in the financial situation on the overall level of risk of public investment. The text is an invitation to undertake a broader discussion on financing public investments in conditions of limited public financial resources.

scholarly journals Public Investment in Bolivia

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (151) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yehenew Endegnanew ◽  
Dawit Tessema
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Structural Model ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
External Current ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
The Public ◽  
Current Account Deficits ◽  
Social And Economic Development ◽  
The Face

Bolivia’s “Patriotic Agenda 2025” sets targets for social and economic development propelled by state-led industrialization under a five-year development plan (2016–2020). Large-scale public investment has aimed to fill infrastructure gaps and raise productivity to ensure sustained medium-term growth. Pursuit of these goals in a period of lower hydrocarbon revenues has, however, contributed to widening fiscal and external current account deficits. The paper uses a structural model to outline different scenarios for the level of public investment in the face of declining hydrocarbon revenues. It finds that if public investment is sustained at current levels as a share of GDP while hydrocarbon revenues continue to decline, the sustainability of the public debt could be called into question.

scholarly journals State debt management in the context of Ukraine's economic development

2020 ◽  
pp. 21-25
Author(s):  
Artem HUSIEV
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
The State ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Optimal Decision ◽  
Main Task ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Debt Policy

The paper explores the theoretical and methodological basis of the concept of public debt management. The relationship between the problem of public debt and economic development of the country has been revealed. The dynamics of Ukraine's public debt for the period 2010-2019 have been analyzed. The default as a means of state debt policy has been investigated and its main economic consequences are presented. The international experience of managing public debt on the example of Argentina has been analyzed. The economic essence of technical default has been defined and the concept of technical default as a priority direction of Ukraine's state debt policy in the current conditions has been proposed. Public debt is a set of State commitments to internal and external creditors. State debt Management provides for state creation of the concept of debt policy. In economic terms, the main task of debt management is to maintain the level of public debt on a moderate level. In Ukraine, the problem of state indebtedness is particularly relevant after 2014. However, the most acute this problem was at the beginning of 2020 with the beginning of the recession economy and raising the deficit of the State budget. There are three main strategies to address public debt: investing in the country's economic development and timely repayment of liabilities, default and technical default. The strategy of investing in the country's economic development envisages emission of money or additional involvement in order to stimulate economic development, as well as timely payment of debts and interests. This strategy is appropriate in terms of relatively small amounts of public debt. Defaulted involves declaring the state insolvency payment obligations to creditors. Defaulted in the short run means a rapid deterioration in the economic situation in the country, but under certain conditions, there may be positive consequences in the long run. The technical default means the state's inability to pay debts on a certain date if there is a possibility of their payment in the future. In Ukraine today, the optimal decision of the state debt policy is the proclamation of technical default to restructure debts and prevent aggravation of socio-economic crisis in the country.

David Ricardo on Public Policy: The Question of Motive

1995 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 133-152 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nancy Churchman
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Income Tax ◽  
Napoleonic Wars ◽  
Policy Debate ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Military Expenditures ◽  
David Ricardo ◽  
Interest Payments ◽  
Debt Policy

Among the most controversial of David Ricardo's contributions to policy debate was his scheme for the redemption of the public debt by means of a “capital levy,” a one-time tax on the property of the nation. Public debt policy had been the subject of sporadic debate throughout the eighteenth century, but faced increased scrutiny by the time Ricardo came to address the subject. While government revenues were suffering from the repeal of the temporary income tax which had been imposed during the Napoleonic Wars, revenue requirements remained high, as the savings in terms of military expenditures were being offset by the need to make interest payments on a debt which had grown during the latter years of the war. Ricardo's analysis of public debt was not novel; nor was the proposal for a capital levy to achieve its redemption.

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