On the applicability of Benford law to exoplanetary and asteroid data

New Astronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 101654
Author(s):  
M.D. Melita ◽  
J.E. Miraglia
Keyword(s):  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonatas Sallaberry ◽  
Leonardo Flach ◽  
Mauricio Mello Codesso ◽  
Luiz Fernando Rodrigues
Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
Lucas Silva ◽  
Dalson Figueiredo Filho

Abstract We employ Newcomb–Benford law (NBL) to evaluate the reliability of COVID-19 figures in Brazil. Using official data from February 25 to September 15, we apply a first digit test for a national aggregate dataset of total cases and cumulative deaths. We find strong evidence that Brazilian reports do not conform to the NBL theoretical expectations. These results are robust to different goodness of fit (chi-square, mean absolute deviation and distortion factor) and data sources (John Hopkins University and Our World in Data). Despite the growing appreciation for evidence-based-policymaking, which requires valid and reliable data, we show that the Brazilian epidemiological surveillance system fails to provide trustful data under the NBL assumption on the COVID-19 epidemic.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-36
Author(s):  
Роман Котельников ◽  
Roman Kotelnikov ◽  
Алескандр Мартынюк ◽  
Aleskandr Martynyuk

Timely availability of accurate burned out area data is a key management aspect in forest protection arrange-ments. Special operation multilevel net-work including field surveys of burned out areas has been established now to verify appropriate data accuracy. In the mean time extensive levels of information from various sources accumulated in wildfire databases enable statistical assessment of the data accuracy drastically reducing time and financial costs of verification operations. Mathematically proven that amount of numbers that specify real natural facilities may grow exponentially due to the Benford law. The paper proves applicability of the Benford law provisions in assessment of wildfire area data accuracy through analysis of first figure occurrence in numbers specifying forest covered burned out area in the Russian Federation territory in 2016 and assessed a minimum set of values needed for an adequate result. In addition the paper highlights an opportunity of variously outsourced data accuracy comparative analysis. Taking into consideration that variation of individual figure occurrence frequency in analyzed value packages may have a different sign for various figures it is offered to apply an indicator representing a mean value of appropriate figure occurrence probability variation modules. The offered procedure based on the Benford law application may be a part of a risk-targeted approach to plan control supervisory operations in forest relations.


Cells ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. 1004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sne Morag ◽  
Mali Salmon-Divon

Processing massive transcriptomic datasets in a meaningful manner requires novel, possibly interdisciplinary, approaches. One principle that can address this challenge is the Benford law (BL), which posits that the occurrence probability of a leading digit in a large numerical dataset decreases as its value increases. Here, we analyzed large single-cell and bulk RNA-seq datasets to test whether cell types and tissue origins can be differentiated based on the adherence of specific genes to the BL. Then, we used the Benford adherence scores of these genes as inputs to machine-learning algorithms and tested their separation accuracy. We found that genes selected based on their first-digit distributions can distinguish between cell types and tissue origins. Moreover, despite the simplicity of this novel feature-selection method, its separation accuracy is higher than that of the mean-expression level approach and is similar to that of the differential expression approach. Thus, the BL can be used to obtain biological insights from massive amounts of numerical genomics data—a capability that could be utilized in various biomedical applications, e.g., to resolve samples of unknown primary origin, identify possible sample contaminations, and provide insights into the molecular basis of cancer subtypes.


Author(s):  
Ahmad Imam

The Borno State Government in its effort to rid the state civil service of the ghost worker syndrome made a lot of efforts such as verification of staff by consultants and physical head count of staff by committee. The present administration and its predecessors have all made that effort, but the syndrome seems far from over. It is in light of the above that this study seeks to investigate the Personnel Cost Budget of the state government in respect of education and health sectors to see if it assisted in controlling fraud in personnel cost. Both primary and secondary data were used for this research. Closed ended questionnaire was administered to personnel depart of the education and Health sectors, while the Borno state budget figure for these sectors are extracted from the State budget document of 2015 to 2019. These data were analysed by the use of Benford’s Law. The study found out that budget is being prepared annually on incremental basis using the previous year’s budget figure as basis. It also found out that the budgeted figure is always higher than the actual giving rise to favourable variance, and do not usual follow the pattern of Benford Law in which figures are supposed to appear in a numeric data setup in line with its rule.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
VINCENZO FIORITI ◽  
IVAN ROSELLI ◽  
MARTA CHINNICI ◽  
ANDREA ARBORE ◽  
NICOLA SIGISMONDI

Information about the early growth of infectious outbreaks are indispensable to estimate the epidemic spreading. A large number of mathematical tools have been developed to this end, facing as much large number of different dynamic evolutions, ranging from sub-linear to super-exponential growth. Of course, the crucial point is that we do not have enough data during the initial outbreak phase to make reliable inferences. Here we propose a methodology to estimate the epidemic growth dynamics from the infected cumulative data of just a week, provided a surveillance system is available over the whole territory. The methodology, based on the Newcomb-Benford Law, is applied to Italian covid 19 case-study. Results show that it is possible to discriminate the epidemic dynamics using the first seven data points collected over fifty Italian cities. Moreover, the form of the most probable approximating function of the growth, within a six weeks epidemic scenario, is identified.


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