Estimating the impact of natural and anthropogenic emissions on cloud chemistry

2002 ◽  
Vol 62 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 33-55 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lester Alfonso ◽  
G.B. Raga
Keyword(s):  
Anthropogenic Emissions ◽  
Cloud Chemistry ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals Determining the Role of Acidity, Fate and Formation of IEPOX-Derived SOA in CMAQ

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 707
Author(s):  
Petros Vasilakos ◽  
Yongtao Hu ◽  
Armistead Russell ◽  
Athanasios Nenes
Keyword(s):  
Significant Influence ◽  
Organic Aerosol ◽  
Liquid Water Content ◽  
Anthropogenic Emissions ◽  
So2 Emissions ◽  
Aerosol Acidity ◽  
A Value ◽  
Future Emission ◽  
The Impact

Formation of aerosol from biogenic hydrocarbons relies heavily on anthropogenic emissions since they control the availability of species such as sulfate and nitrate, and through them, aerosol acidity (pH). To elucidate the role that acidity and emissions play in regulating Secondary Organic Aerosol (SOA), we utilize the 2013 Southern Oxidant and Aerosol Study (SOAS) dataset to enhance the extensive mechanism of isoprene epoxydiol (IEPOX)-mediated SOA formation implemented in the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model (Pye et al., 2013), which was then used to investigate the impact of potential future emission controls on IEPOX OA. We found that the Henry’s law coefficient for IEPOX was the most impactful parameter that controls aqueous isoprene OA products, and a value of 1.9 × 107 M atm−1 provides the best agreement with measurements. Non-volatile cations (NVCs) were found in higher-than-expected quantities in CMAQ and exerted a significant influence on IEPOX OA by reducing its production by as much as 30% when present. Consistent with previous literature, a strong correlation of isoprene OA with sulfate, and little correlation with acidity or liquid water content, was found. Future reductions in SO2 emissions are found to not affect this correlation and generally act to increase the sensitivity of IEPOX OA to sulfate, even in extreme cases.

scholarly journals A successful prediction of the record CO 2 rise associated with the 2015/2016 El Niño

2018 ◽  
Vol 373 (1760) ◽  
pp. 20170301 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard A. Betts ◽  
Chris D. Jones ◽  
Jeff. R. Knight ◽  
Ralph. F. Keeling ◽  
John. J. Kennedy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Carbon Sink ◽  
Carbon Dioxide Concentration ◽  
Anthropogenic Emissions ◽  
First Year ◽  
Mauna Loa ◽  
Simple Extrapolation ◽  
Biosphere Model ◽  
The Impact

In early 2016, we predicted that the annual rise in carbon dioxide concentration at Mauna Loa would be the largest on record. Our forecast used a statistical relationship between observed and forecast sea surface temperatures in the Niño 3.4 region and the annual CO 2 rise. Here, we provide a formal verification of that forecast. The observed rise of 3.4 ppm relative to 2015 was within the forecast range of 3.15 ± 0.53 ppm, so the prediction was successful. A global terrestrial biosphere model supports the expectation that the El Niño weakened the tropical land carbon sink. We estimate that the El Niño contributed approximately 25% to the record rise in CO 2 , with 75% due to anthropogenic emissions. The 2015/2016 CO 2 rise was greater than that following the previous large El Niño in 1997/1998, because anthropogenic emissions had increased. We had also correctly predicted that 2016 would be the first year with monthly mean CO 2 above 400 ppm all year round. We now estimate that atmospheric CO 2 at Mauna Loa would have remained above 400 ppm all year round in 2016 even if the El Niño had not occurred, contrary to our previous expectations based on a simple extrapolation of previous trends. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue ‘The impact of the 2015/2016 El Niño on the terrestrial tropical carbon cycle: patterns, mechanisms and implications’.

scholarly journals Air quality impacts of COVID-19 lockdown measures detected from space using high spatial resolution observations of multiple trace gases from Sentinel-5P/TROPOMI

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pieternel F. Levelt ◽  
Deborah C. Stein Zweers ◽  
Ilse Aben ◽  
Maite Bauwens ◽  
Tobias Borsdorff ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Air Quality ◽  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
High Spatial Resolution ◽  
Trace Gases ◽  
Trace Gas ◽  
Joint Analysis ◽  
Anthropogenic Emissions ◽  
China And India ◽  
Societal Relevance ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The aim of this paper is two-fold: to provide guidance on how to best interpret TROPOMI trace gas retrievals and to highlight how TROPOMI trace gas data can be used to understand event-based impacts on air quality from regional to city-scales around the globe. For this study, we present the observed changes in the atmospheric column amounts of five trace gases (NO2, SO2, CO, HCHO and CHOCHO) detected by the Sentinel-5P TROPOMI instrument, driven by reductions of anthropogenic emissions due to COVID-19 lockdown measures in 2020. We report clear COVID-19-related decreases in NO2 concentrations on all continents. For megacities, reductions in column amounts of tropospheric NO2 range between 14 % and 63 %. For China and India supported by NO2 observations, where the primary source of anthropogenic SO2 is coal-fired power generation, we were able to detect sector-specific emission changes using the SO2 data. For HCHO and CHOCHO, we consistently observe anthropogenic changes in two-week averaged column amounts over China and India during the early phases of the lockdown periods. That these variations over such a short time scale are detectable from space, is due to the high resolution and improved sensitivity of the TROPOMI instrument. For CO, we observe a small reduction over China which is in concert with the other trace gas reductions observed during lockdown, however large, interannual differences prevent firm conclusions from being drawn. The joint analysis of COVID-19 lockdown-driven reductions in satellite observed trace gas column amounts, using the latest operational and scientific retrieval techniques for five species concomitantly is unprecedented. However, the meteorologically and seasonally driven variability of the five trace gases does not allow for drawing fully quantitative conclusions on the reduction of anthropogenic emissions based on TROPOMI observations alone. We anticipate that in future, the combined use of inverse modelling techniques with the high spatial resolution data from S5P/TROPOMI for all observed trace gases presented here, will yield a significantly improved sector-specific, space-based analysis of the impact of COVID-19 lockdown measures as compared to other existing satellite observations. Such analyses will further enhance the scientific impact and societal relevance of the TROPOMI mission.

scholarly journals Enhancement of secondary aerosol formation by reduced anthropogenic emissions during Spring Festival 2019 and enlightenment for regional PM<sub>2.5</sub> control in Beijing

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuying Wang ◽  
Zhanqing Li ◽  
Qiuyan Wang ◽  
Xiaoai Jin ◽  
Peng Yan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Particle Number ◽  
Surface Ozone ◽  
Sulfur Oxidation ◽  
Anthropogenic Emissions ◽  
Aerosol Formation ◽  
Spring Festival ◽  
Sulfate Formation ◽  
Oxidation Ratio ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Mass Concentrations

Abstract. A comprehensive field experiment measuring aerosol chemical and physical properties at a suburban site in Beijing around the 2019 Spring Festival was carried out to investigate the impact of reduced anthropogenic emissions on aerosol formation. Sharply reduced sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations during the festival holiday resulted in an unexpected increase in the surface ozone (O3) concentration, leading to enhancement of the atmospheric oxidation capacity. Simultaneously, the reduced anthropogenic emissions resulted in massive decreases in particle number concentration at all sizes and the mass concentrations of organics and black carbon. However, the mass concentrations of inorganics (especially sulfate) decreased weakly. Detailed analyses of the sulfur oxidation ratio and the nitrogen oxidation ratio suggest that sulfate formation during the holiday could be promoted by enhanced nocturnal aqueous-phase chemical reactions between SO2 and O3 under moderate relative humidity (RH) conditions (40 % 

scholarly journals Impacts of Anthropogenic Emissions and Meteorological Variation on Hg Wet Deposition in Chongming, China

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 1301
Author(s):  
Yi Tang ◽  
Qingru Wu ◽  
Wei Gao ◽  
Shuxiao Wang ◽  
Zhijian Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wet Deposition ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Meteorological Condition ◽  
Anthropogenic Emissions ◽  
Deposition Flux ◽  
Wet Deposition Flux ◽  
Meteorological Variation ◽  
Global Concern ◽  
The Impact

Mercury (Hg) is a ubiquitous environmental toxicant that has caused global concern due to its persistence and bioaccumulation in the environment. Wet deposition is a crucial Hg input for both terrestrial and aquatic environments and is a significant indicator for evaluating the effectiveness of anthropogenic Hg control. Rainwater samples were collected from May 2014 to October 2018 in Chongming Island to understand the multi-year Hg wet deposition characteristics. The annual Hg wet deposition flux ranged from 2.6 to 9.8 μg m−2 yr−1 (mean: 4.9 μg m−2 yr−1). Hg wet deposition flux in Chongming was comparable to the observations at temperate and subtropical background sites (2.0–10.2 μg m−2 yr−1) in the northern hemisphere. Hg wet deposition flux decreased from 8.6 μg m−2 yr−1 in 2014–2015 to 3.8 μg m−2 yr−1 in 2016 and was attributed to a decrease in the volume-weighted mean (VWM) Hg concentration (−4.1 ng L−1 yr−1). The reduced VWM Hg was explained by the decreasing atmospheric Hg and anthropogenic emissions reductions. The annual Hg wet deposition flux further decreased from 3.8 μg m−2 in 2016 to 2.6 μg m−2 in 2018. The reduction of warm season (April–September) rainfall amounts (356–845 mm) mainly contributed to the Hg wet deposition flux reduction during 2016–2018. The multi-year monitoring results suggest that long-term measurements are necessary when using wet deposition as an indicator to reflect the impact of anthropogenic efforts on mercury pollution control and meteorological condition variations.

Investigating the sensitivity of the onset and withdrawal of the south Asian summer monsoon system to changes in anthropogenic emissions using a climate model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shiwansha Mishra ◽  
Dilip Ganguly ◽  
Puneet Sharma
Keyword(s):  
South Asian ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Anthropogenic Emissions ◽  
South Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
The South ◽  
Monsoon System ◽  
Asian Summer ◽  
The Impact

&lt;p&gt;While the monsoon onset is recognized as a rapid, substantial, and sustained increase in rainfall over large parts of south Asia, the withdrawal marks the return to dry conditions. Normally, the south Asian summer monsoon onset occurs around 1&lt;sup&gt;st&lt;/sup&gt; June over extreme south of peninsular India, which gradually advances to extreme northwest of India by around 15&lt;sup&gt;th&lt;/sup&gt; July. The withdrawal starts from northwest India from around 1st September and from extreme south peninsular India by around 30th September. The determinations of the onset and withdrawal dates of monsoon have great economic significance for this region as they influence many agriculture and water resource management decisions in one of the most highly populated regions of the world. Several studies involving global model simulations have shown that changing aerosol emissions could result in significant changes in the seasonal mean precipitation distribution over India. A few studies also show that presence of absorbing aerosols in the foothills of Himalayas and over the Tibetan plateau could increase the moisture convergence over India thereby causing an advancement and intensification of the monsoon precipitation. However, most of the previous studies, which investigated the impact of anthropogenic emissions on the monsoon, are limited to understanding the impact of various emission changes on the seasonal mean monsoon characteristics. In the present study, we try to understand the sensitivity of the onset and withdrawal period of the south Asian summer monsoon system to changes in anthropogenic emissions using a climate model (CESM1.2). We diagnose the onset and withdrawal of the south Asian monsoon by analyzing the variability in vertically integrated moisture transport (VIMT) over the south Asian region and following the definition of hydrologic onset and withdrawal index (HOWI) defined by Fasullo et al. (2002). We examined the effect of changing emissions anthropogenic aerosol, greenhouse gases and both on the onset and withdrawal of the south Asian summer monsoon system. Our preliminary results suggest that increases in the emissions of aerosols and greenhouse gases from anthropogenic sources from pre-industrial to present day could possibly result in significant delay in the onset and advancement in withdrawal of the south Asian summer monsoon system thereby shortening the length of the monsoon season. More results with greater detail will be presented.&lt;/p&gt;

scholarly journals Changes in dissolved iron deposition to the oceans driven by human activity: a 3-D global modelling study

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 3943-3990
Author(s):  
S. Myriokefalitakis ◽  
N. Daskalakis ◽  
N. Mihalopoulos ◽  
A. R. Baker ◽  
A. Nenes ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Air Quality ◽  
Transport Model ◽  
Organic Ligand ◽  
Photochemical Reactions ◽  
Anthropogenic Emissions ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Variability ◽  
Deposition Flux ◽  
Chemical Transport Model ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The global atmospheric iron (Fe) cycle is parameterized in the global 3-D chemical transport model TM4-ECPL to simulate the proton- and the organic ligand-promoted mineral Fe dissolution as well as the aqueous-phase photochemical reactions between the oxidative states of Fe(III/II). Primary emissions of total (TFe) and dissolved (DFe) Fe associated with dust and combustion processes are also taken into account. TFe emissions are calculated to amount to ~35 Tg Fe yr−1. The model reasonably simulates the available Fe observations, supporting the reliability of the results of this study. Accounting for proton- and organic ligand-promoted Fe-dissolution in present-day TM4-ECPL simulations, the total Fe-dissolution is calculated to be ~0.163 Tg Fe yr−1 that accounts for up to ~50% of the calculated total DFe emissions. The atmospheric burden of DFe is calculated to be ~0.012 Tg Fe. DFe deposition presents strong spatial and temporal variability with an annual deposition flux ~0.489 Tg Fe yr−1 from which about 25% (~0.124 Tg Fe yr−1) are deposited over the ocean. The impact of air-quality on Fe deposition is studied by performing sensitivity simulations using preindustrial (year 1850), present (year 2008) and future (year 2100) emission scenarios. These simulations indicate that an increase (~2 times) in Fe-dissolution may have occurred in the past 150 years due to increasing anthropogenic emissions and thus atmospheric acidity. On the opposite, a decrease (~2 times) of Fe-dissolution is projected for near future, since atmospheric acidity is expected to be lower than present-day due to air-quality regulations of anthropogenic emissions. The organic ligand contribution to Fe dissolution shows inverse relationship to the atmospheric acidity thus its importance has decreased since the preindustrial period but is projected to increase in the future. The calculated changes also show that the atmospheric DFe supply to High-Nutrient-Low-Chlorophyll oceanic areas (HNLC) characterized by Fe scarcity, has increased (~50%) since the preindustrial period. However, the DFe deposition flux is expected to decrease (~30%) to almost preindustrial levels over the Northern Hemisphere HNLC oceanic regions in the future. Significant reductions of ~20% over the Southern Ocean and the remote tropical Pacific Ocean are also projected which can further limit the primary productivity over HNLC waters.

scholarly journals Attribution of projected changes in US ozone and PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations to global changes

2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 15131-15163 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Avise ◽  
J. Chen ◽  
B. Lamb ◽  
C. Wiedinmyer ◽  
A. Guenther ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Anthropogenic Emissions ◽  
Southeastern Us ◽  
Regional Air Quality ◽  
Projected Changes ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The impact that changes in future climate, anthropogenic US emissions, background tropospheric composition, and land-use have on regional US ozone and PM2.5 concentrations is examined through a matrix of downscaled regional air quality simulations using the Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) model. Projected regional scale changes in meteorology due to climate change under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) A2 scenario are derived through the downscaling of Parallel Climate Model (PCM) output with the MM5 meteorological model. Future chemical boundary conditions are obtained through downscaling of MOZART-2 (Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers, version 2.4) global chemical model simulations based on the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 emissions scenario. Projected changes in US anthropogenic emissions are estimated using the EPA Economic Growth Analysis System (EGAS), and changes in land-use are projected using data from the Community Land Model (CLM) and the Spatially Explicit Regional Growth Model (SERGOM). For July conditions, changes in chemical boundary conditions are found to have the largest impact (+5 ppbv) on average daily maximum 8-h (DM8H) ozone. Changes in US anthropogenic emissions are projected to increase average DM8H ozone by +3 ppbv. Land-use changes are projected to have a significant influence on regional air quality due to the impact these changes have on biogenic hydrocarbon emissions. When climate changes and land-use changes are considered simultaneously, the average DM8H ozone decreases due to a reduction in biogenic VOC emissions (−2.6 ppbv). Changes in average 24-h (A24-h) PM2.5 concentrations are dominated by projected changes in anthropogenic emissions (+3 μg m−3), while changes in chemical boundary conditions have a negligible effect. On average, climate change reduces A24-h PM2.5 concentrations by −0.9 μg m−3, but this reduction is more than tripled in the Southeastern US due to increased precipitation and wet deposition.

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