scholarly journals CHROMOSOME 9P21 CDKN2A/CDKN2B GENE VARIATION EXPLAINS 12% OF INCIDENT CARDIOVASCULAR EVENTS IN THE POPULATION BUT DOES NOT ADD INCREMENTAL VALUE ON RISK PREDICTION BEYOND TRADITIONAL RISK FACTORS- THE MALMö DIET AND CANCER STUDY

2012 ◽  
Vol 59 (13) ◽  
pp. E1676
Author(s):  
Klas Gränsbo ◽  
Peter Almgren ◽  
Marketa Sjögren ◽  
Gustav Smith ◽  
Gunnar Engström ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Serrao ◽  
M Temtem ◽  
A Pereira ◽  
J Monteiro ◽  
M Santos ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Despite being a controversial subject, multiple guidelines mention the use of Coronary Artery Calcification (CAC) scoring in the cardiovascular risk prediction, in asymptomatic population. The inclusion of CAC scoring in traditional risk models may help in decision-make providing better cardiovascular risk stratification. Purpose The aim of our study is to estimate the impact of CAC scoring in cardiovascular events risk prediction in a model based on traditional risk factors (TRFs). Methods and results The study consisted of 1052 asymptomatic individuals free of known coronary heart disease, enrolled from GENEMACOR study and referred for computed tomography for the CAC scoring assessment. A cohort of 952 was followed for a mean of 5.2±3.2 years for the primary endpoint of all-cause of cardiovascular events. The following traditional risk factors were considered: (1) current cigarette smoking, (2) dyslipidemia, (3) diabetes mellitus, (4) hypertension and (5) family history of coronary heart disease. Among this population, the extent of CAC differs significantly between men and women in the same age group. Therefore, the distribution of CAC score by age and gender was done by using the Hoff's nomogram (a). According to this nomogram, 3 categories were created: low CAC (0≤CAC<100 and P<50); moderate CAC (100≤CAC<400 or P50–75) and high CAC (CAC≥400 or P>75). Two Cox regression models were created, the first only with TRFs and the second adding the CAC severity categories. When including CAC categories to the TRFs, the higher severity level presented a significant risk of MACE occurrence with an HR of 4.39 (95% CI 1.83–10.52; p=0.001). Conclusion Our results point to the importance of the inclusion of CAC in both primary and secondary prevention to an improved risk stratification. Larger prospective multicentre cohorts with longer follow-up should reproduce and validate these findings. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 01-04
Author(s):  
Delcio G Silva Junior

The presence of Cardio Vascular Disease (CVD) impacts negatively on expectation and quality of life of the population, being one of the main causes of disability. Many of those who become cardiovascular patients throughout their life could have had different evolution if preventive attitudes were taken. Since 50’s decade, Framingham studies have shown the importance of predetermining factors for CVD occurrence. The classical CVD risk factors such as diabetes, metabolic syndrome, dyslipidemia, hypertension, smoking and family history are well established as predictors of cardiovascular events. The presence of Cardio Vascular Disease (CVD) impacts negatively on expectation and quality of life of the population, being one of the main causes of disability. Many of those who become cardiovascular patients throughout their life could have had different evolution if preventive attitudes were taken. Since 50’s decade, Framingham studies have shown the importance of predetermining factors for CVD occurrence. The classical CVD risk factors such as diabetes, metabolic syndrome, dyslipidemia, hypertension, smoking and family history are well established as predictors of cardiovascular events. However, in certain clinical conditions, traditional risk factors seem not to fully explain the incidence of CVD. Coronary artery disease and early atherosclerosis in young women with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) are one of the best examples of how chronic inflammatory diseases can affect individuals who are normally poorly exposed to traditional risk factors. Even with the plurality of extra-articular manifestations of rheumatologic diseases, such as pulmonary hypertension and SLE encephalopathy, uveitis in spondyloarthritis, or as Achalasia in scleroderma, attention is being paid to the frequent cardiovascular system involvement in these patients, especially in the vascular territory


2020 ◽  
Vol 68 (4) ◽  
pp. 754-761 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jarrod E. Dalton ◽  
Michael B. Rothberg ◽  
Neal V. Dawson ◽  
Nikolas I. Krieger ◽  
David A. Zidar ◽  
...  

BMC Cancer ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michele Sassano ◽  
Marco Mariani ◽  
Gianluigi Quaranta ◽  
Roberta Pastorino ◽  
Stefania Boccia

Abstract Background Risk prediction models incorporating single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) could lead to individualized prevention of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the added value of incorporating SNPs into models with only traditional risk factors is still not clear. Hence, our primary aim was to summarize literature on risk prediction models including genetic variants for CRC, while our secondary aim was to evaluate the improvement of discriminatory accuracy when adding SNPs to a prediction model with only traditional risk factors. Methods We conducted a systematic review on prediction models incorporating multiple SNPs for CRC risk prediction. We tested whether a significant trend in the increase of Area Under Curve (AUC) according to the number of SNPs could be observed, and estimated the correlation between AUC improvement and number of SNPs. We estimated pooled AUC improvement for SNP-enhanced models compared with non-SNP-enhanced models using random effects meta-analysis, and conducted meta-regression to investigate the association of specific factors with AUC improvement. Results We included 33 studies, 78.79% using genetic risk scores to combine genetic data. We found no significant trend in AUC improvement according to the number of SNPs (p for trend = 0.774), and no correlation between the number of SNPs and AUC improvement (p = 0.695). Pooled AUC improvement was 0.040 (95% CI: 0.035, 0.045), and the number of cases in the study and the AUC of the starting model were inversely associated with AUC improvement obtained when adding SNPs to a prediction model. In addition, models constructed in Asian individuals achieved better AUC improvement with the incorporation of SNPs compared with those developed among individuals of European ancestry. Conclusions Though not conclusive, our results provide insights on factors influencing discriminatory accuracy of SNP-enhanced models. Genetic variants might be useful to inform stratified CRC screening in the future, but further research is needed.


2006 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 484-491 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mona Ezzat Madkour . ◽  
Iman William Bekheet . ◽  
Nagwa Abdel-Ghaffar . ◽  
Emam Waked . ◽  
Khaled Younes .

Hypertension ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 76 (5) ◽  
pp. 1616-1624 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rosa Maria Bruno ◽  
Peter M. Nilsson ◽  
Gunnar Engström ◽  
Benjamin Nilsson Wadström ◽  
Jean-Philippe Empana ◽  
...  

Pulse wave velocity is an established marker of early vascular aging but may also help identifying individuals with supernormal vascular aging. We tested the hypothesis that individuals with the largest difference (Δ-age) between chronological and vascular age show the lowest rate of cardiovascular events and may thus be defined as supernormal vascular aging. Vascular age was defined as the predicted age in the best fitting multivariable regression model including classical risk factors and treatment and pulse wave velocity, in a subset of the Reference Values for Arterial Stiffness Collaboration Database (n=3347). Δ-age was then calculated as chronological age minus vascular age, and the 10th and 90th percentiles were used to define early (Δ-age<−5.7 years), normal (Δ-age −5.7 to 6.8 years) and supernormal vascular aging (Δ-age>6.8 years). The risk for fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events associated with vascular aging categories was investigated in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study cohort (n=2642). In the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study Cohort (6.6-year follow-up, 286 events), Δ-age was significantly ( P <0.01) and inversely associated with cardiovascular events. Compared with normal vascular aging, supernormal vascular aging had lower risk (hazard ratio, 0.59 [95% CI, 0.41–0.85]), whereas early vascular aging had higher risk (hazard ratio, 2.70 [95% CI, 1.55–4.70]) of cardiovascular events, in particular coronary events. There was no significant association with all-cause mortality. This study represents the first validation of the clinical significance of the supernormal vascular aging concept, based on prospective data. Its further characterization may help discovering novel protective molecular pathways and providing preventive strategies for successful vascular aging.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
G Benetos ◽  
M Goncalves ◽  
E Von Felten ◽  
G Rampidis ◽  
O Clerc ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) provides incremental prognostic information over traditional risk factors in patients with suspected coronary artery disease. However, little is known about the long-term predictive performance of CCTA-derived coronary volumes and mid-diastolic left ventricular (LV) mass. Purpose To assess long-term prognostic value of coronary volumes and mid-diastolic LV mass as novel potential imaging predictors derived from low-dose prospectively ECG-triggered CCTA. Methods Consecutive patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease, referred for low-dose CCTA, were included. Patients with previous revascularization were excluded. The following parameters were evaluated: calcium score, segment involvement score (SIS: 1 point for each coronary segment with presence of plaque), coronary volume, mid-diastolic LV mass and coronary volume indexed to LV mass. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were defined as all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction and revascularization (PCI or CABG). The association between CCTA measures and the occurrence of events was quantified using cox regression hazard and Kaplan Meier analysis. Results A total of 147 consecutive patients were included in the study. Of them, 93 (63.3%) were male and 79 (53.7%) hat one or more traditional cardiovascular risk factors. There was a weak but statistical significant inverse correlation between indexed coronary volume and both calcium score (R=-0.3, p=0.01) and SIS (R=-0.24, p=0.005). After a median follow-up of 5.8 years 30 MACE occurred in 25 patients, including 3 deaths, 26 revascularizations and 1 non-fatal myocardial infarction. In univariate cox regression hazard analysis calcium score (HR=12.69, 95% CI 2.99–53.83, p<0.001), SIS (HR=1.66, 95% CI 1.43–1.94, p<0.001), LV mass (HR=1.02, 95% CI 1.01–1.03, p=0.007) and indexed coronary volume (HR=0.89, 95% 0.82–0.96, p=0.004) were associated with outcome. In multivariate analysis, indexed coronary volume, remained an independent predictor for MACE when adjusted for traditional risk factors and SIS (HR=0.93, 95% CI 0.87–1.00, p=0.05), while LV mass did not reach statistical significance (p=0.46). By ROC curve analysis, a value of 21.85 mm3/gr was defined as optimal cutoff for indexed coronary volume. In Kaplan Meier plots, patients with low indexed coronary volume (<21.85 mm3/gr) showed higher event rates (log rank p<0.001) compared to high indexed coronary volume (≥21.85 mm3/gr). Conclusions Indexed coronary volume, derived from low-dose CCTA, independently predicts cardiovascular events. Larger studies are mandated to confirm the predictive value of this potential new biomarker.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
R M Bruno ◽  
P Nilsson ◽  
G Engstrom ◽  
B Wadstrom ◽  
J P Empana ◽  
...  

Abstract Background/Introduction Increased pulse wave velocity (PWV), is a reliable marker of early vascular aging (EVA). However, the identification of individuals whose arteries are abnormally healthy in comparison to their age and cardiovascular (CV) risk profile might be of interest, to discover novel pathways of cardioprotection and provide preventive strategies for successful vascular aging. Purpose 1) to provide a novel calculation for vascular age and examine his determinants; 2) to test the hypothesis that individuals with the largest difference between chronological and vascular age (C-V age) show a lower rate of CV events than their counterparts, and may thus be defined as the supernormal vascular aging group (SUPERNOVA). Methods Vascular age was defined as predicted age based on classical CV risk factors and PWV. The best fitting model for vascular age was investigated in the multicenter, European, cross-sectional Reference Values for Arterial stiffness Collaboration Database (n=11406). Continuous variables were modelled as smoothing splines. Thereafter, the risk of fatal and non-fatal CV events associated with C-V age was examined in the longitudinal cohort of the Malmo Diet and Cancer Study (n=2663) using Cox proprotional hazard regression models. C-V age was examined as a continuous variable (natural splines) and as a 3 levels categorical variables based on the best grouping of the deciles of C-V age and corresponding to the EVA (<3.0 years), normal vascular aging (3.0 to 8.8 years) and SUPERNOVA (>8.8 years) respectively. Results In the Reference Values Cohort (age range 17–85 years, 52.4% men, 38.1% hypertensives, 3.9% diabetics, average PWV 7.8 m/s), the most significant predictor of vascular age (full model r2 0.598) was PWV. In the Malmo Diet and Cancer Study Cohort (age 61–89 years, 63.6% men, 64.0% hypertensives, 12.9% diabetics, PWV 11.5 m/s), during follow-up (6.6 years on average), 286 individuals developed a first cardiovascular event. In the Cox survival analysis, C-V age was significantly and inversely associated with CV events. Compare to normal vascular aging, participants with SUPERNOVA had lower risk for CV events [HR 0.51 (0.34–0.76)] whereas those with EVA had a higher risk [HR 2.71 (1.80–4.09)]. Instead, there was no significant association with all-cause mortality. Conclusions The use of PWV and CV risk factors may be useful to define early and supernormal vascular aging in particular, and to assess its clinical relevance towards the risk of cardiovascular disease and death.


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